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UK Grocery Retail Market Size 2025-2029
The UK grocery retail market size is valued to increase USD 56.2 billion, at a CAGR of 3.8% from 2024 to 2029. Rapid urbanization and rising consumer spending will drive the UK grocery retail market.
Major Market Trends & Insights
By Product - Food and beverages segment was valued at USD 176.60 billion in 2022
By Distribution Channel - Hypermarkets and supermarkets segment accounted for the largest market revenue share in 2022
CAGR : 3.8%
Market Summary
The Grocery Retail Market in the UK is a dynamic and evolving sector, characterized by the adoption of core technologies and innovative applications. With rapid urbanization and rising consumer spending, grocery retailers are investing in advanced technologies such as automation, AI, and robotics to streamline operations and enhance the customer experience. For instance, the use of self-checkout kiosks and mobile apps for contactless shopping has surged in popularity, particularly in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. However, the market also faces challenges, including the threat from counterfeit grocery products. According to a report by the Food Standards Agency, around 10% of all food and drink products sold in the UK are believed to be counterfeit.
To mitigate this issue, regulatory bodies are implementing stricter regulations and collaborating with retailers to ensure product authenticity. Despite these challenges, opportunities abound for grocery retailers in the UK. The market is expected to witness significant growth in the coming years, with online grocery sales projected to reach 15% of the total market share by 2025. Innovative store layouts and offerings, such as click-and-collect services and subscription-based models, are also gaining popularity among consumers. Overall, the Grocery Retail Market in the UK is a continuously unfolding landscape, shaped by a complex interplay of technological advancements, regulatory requirements, and consumer preferences.
What will be the Size of the UK Grocery Retail Market during the forecast period?
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How is the Grocery Retail in UK Market Segmented and what are the key trends of market segmentation?
The grocery retail in UK industry research report provides comprehensive data (region-wise segment analysis), with forecasts and estimates in 'USD billion' for the period 2025-2029, as well as historical data from 2019-2023 for the following segments.
Product
Food and beverages
Non food
Distribution Channel
Hypermarkets and supermarkets
Convenience stores
Discount stores
Online
Others
Sales Channel
In-Store
Online Delivery
Click-and-Collect
Consumer Segment
Urban Consumers
Rural Consumers
Premium Shoppers
Product Types
Fresh Produce
Packaged Foods
Household Goods
Health and Beauty
Geography
Europe
UK
By Product Insights
The food and beverages segment is estimated to witness significant growth during the forecast period.
In the dynamic and evolving grocery retail market in the UK, loss prevention strategies continue to be a priority for retailers, with online grocery shopping seeing a significant increase in adoption, reaching 7.1% of total sales in 2020. Sales promotion techniques, such as promotional pricing models and loyalty programs, are essential tools to attract and retain customers. Food safety regulations play a crucial role in ensuring product quality and consumer trust. Stock rotation and inventory optimization are essential for maintaining freshness and reducing waste. Automated checkout systems and self-checkout kiosks streamline the shopping experience, while e-commerce platforms enable seamless online ordering and last mile delivery.
Product traceability and quality control measures are vital for ensuring the authenticity and safety of goods. Retail technology integration, including demand forecasting and data analytics dashboards, enables retailers to optimize store operations efficiency and adapt to changing consumer behavior. Customer service metrics, such as response times and resolution rates, are key performance indicators for maintaining customer satisfaction. The grocery market is expected to grow further, with online sales projected to reach 11.7% of total sales by 2025. The adoption of advanced technologies, such as RFID tagging, AI-driven demand forecasting, and warehouse automation, will continue to transform the industry.
Category management techniques and waste reduction initiatives will help retailers optimize their offerings and reduce costs. The foods and beverages segment, which includes fresh and frozen meat, dairy products, fruits and vegetables, and snack foods, is a significant contributor to the market's growth. The most preferred grocery products in this segment include fresh bread, salty snacks, and ce
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TwitterThe market share of the leading supermarkets in Great Britain (GB) has begun to shift from the traditional market leaders to discounters in recent years. However, Tesco and Sainsbury's have continually had the largest share over the period under consideration, holding **** percent of the market together as of July 2025. Prior to the popularity of the discounters, the grocery retail market was dominated by the 'big four' supermarkets: Tesco, Sainsbury's, Asda, and Morrisons. On the back of the post-Brexit uncertainty and growing inflation, consumer behavior has shifted in favor of cheaper alternatives such as Aldi and Lidl. In September 2022, Aldi took over fourth place in the grocery store ranking from Morrisons for the first time. In April 2023, Aldi's market share reached double digits for the first time. In July 2025, this figure stood at **** percent.
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TwitterIn 2025, the value of the leading sales channels in grocery retailing came to approximately ***** billion British pounds (GBP) in the United Kingdom. Of the major sales channels, supermarkets had the largest share of the market value with over *** billion pounds. Supermarkets had more than twice as big a market value as the convenience channel, the second largest channel. By 2030, the value of grocery retailing is expected to increase to over *** billion British pounds. Where UK shoppers buy groceries Some ** percent of surveyed grocery shoppers stated that they regularly shopped at supermarkets in the UK. Online retailers ranked in second place, with*** percent. Market leader Tesco held just over *********** of the market share of all grocery stores in Great Britain in July 2025. Together with Sainsbury's, the two retailers had a combined market share of **** percent. Tesco operated roughly ***** stores in the United Kingdom and the Republic of Ireland in 2025. With this presence, the company regularly reached ** percent of shoppers according to a recent survey.
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European supermarkets’ revenue is forecast to inch upwards at a compound annual rate of 0.6% over the five years through 2025 to reach €1.7 trillion. European supermarkets face intense price competition amid lingering cost pressures. Though EU food inflation stabilised at 2.7% in April 2025 according to Eurostat, consumer focus on value remains high. Discounters like Aldi and Lidl continue to gain share as shoppers seek lower prices. Supermarkets are investing heavily in price-matching schemes, though sustaining these is financially challenging. Tesco and Sainsbury’s have begun scaling back such initiatives, while Asda has abandoned its price match strategy. Private label growth is reshaping the sector, with sales reaching €352 billion in 2024, the Private Label Manufacturers Association (PLMA) notes. Retailers are diversifying these ranges to balance value, quality and margins. Smarter product mixes are emerging as retailers prioritise local sourcing and premium niches to build loyalty. Strategies like Sainsbury’s ‘Supporting British’ and Mercadona’s local sourcing model resonate with values-driven shoppers. Loyalty programmes have become a strategic pillar, offering personalisation and margin-friendly growth. Programmes like Tesco Clubcard and Carrefour+ drive retention and profitability beyond price wars. Finally, rising labour costs add further pressure. Recent minimum wage increases across Europe have prompted supermarkets to pursue automation, cost savings, and operational efficiencies to protect profitability in an evolving retail landscape. In 2025, revenue is expected to grow at 0.9%, while profit is expected to reach 5.2%, a minor drop from 5.6% in 2020, thanks to intense price competition. Over the five years through 2030, supermarkets’ revenue is slated to climb at a compound annual rate of 2.9% to €2 trillion. Private label growth remains a structural trend while health, convenience and on-the-go meals are driving new demand, particularly among younger shoppers. Supermarkets must diversify their ranges to capture this growth, blending value, quality and functionality. Convenience is also fuelling an ongoing channel shift. Online grocery sales remain, with consumers willing to pay premiums for faster delivery. Retailers are scaling up e-commerce, partnering with delivery apps and innovating store formats to meet demand for flexibility. Smaller urban stores, hybrid models and grocerants are gaining traction. Supermarkets are accelerating investment in automation and AI to boost efficiency and margins. Personalised loyalty schemes are driving customer retention, while automation in warehouses and stores enhances productivity. Trials in drone delivery and robotic shelf scanning signal further innovation. Consolidation and integration are key to navigating sustained margin pressure. Larger grocers are pursuing M&A and pan-European alliances to drive scale, while moving upstream into food production for resilience. Supermarkets that adapt rapidly – blending private labels, convenience, technology and scale – will outperform in Europe’s increasingly competitive grocery landscape.
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TwitterIn 2023, is was forecast that the grocery market in the United Kingdom would grow by around 6.1 percent. Growth hit an all-time high in 2020 at over eight percent and is forecast to decrease to 2.3 percent by 2026.
Market shares of grocery stores
As of August 2023, the four most important players on the grocery market were Tesco, Sainsbury’s, Asda, and Aldi. The market leader Tesco had a share of over a quarter of the market. Fifth-placed Morrisons was around 1.5 percent away from retaking fourth place from Aldi.
Sales channels
The most relevant grocery sales channels measured by generated monetary value are supermarkets and convenience stores. Discounters, a smaller channel in comparison, still surpassed online sales.
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The FCA provides a latest analysis of the intermediary sector based on data drawn from the Retail Mediation Activities Return (RMAR) for 2020. Firms that provide advice on, or arrange, mortgages, insurance policies or retail investment products for consumers must send the FCA information about their activities on the RMAR. The FCA uses this information to help it supervise the activities of these intermediary firms and inform its other regulatory functions. It has published data from the RMAR since 2016. This analysis gives an update on firms in the retail intermediary sector based on data for 2020. The data reflects returns submitted to us by firms for periods ending within 2020. Firms have different reporting cycles, so the extent to which their data covers the coronavirus (COVID-19) affected period from March 2020 will vary from firm to firm.
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TwitterForced closures and weak consumer demand have caused UK retail sales to plunge over 2020. Which categories have been the most heavily affected?
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TwitterIn the United Kingdom, Sainsbury's, M&S Food, and Aldi were the most popular three supermarket chains in Q1 2025. Sainsbury's topped the ranking with 84 percent of respondents having a positive opinion of the food retailer. M&S Food and Aldi came in second and third places and were popular with 81 percent and 78 percent of those polled in this study, respectively. UK grocery market The entire UK grocery market was worth almost 227 billion British pounds in 2024, according to estimates. Market leader Tesco operated over 4,300 stores as of May 2025. In comparison, mixed retailer M&S operated close to 1,100 stores in the UK. Marks & Spencer as a grocery retailer M&S is a mixed retailer and sometimes not even included in statistics about the UK grocery market. When viewed as a grocery store, the company had a market share of slightly over three percent as of August 2021. Compared to other grocery and food retailers, M&S is only a minor player on the market. Since the first of September 2020, M&S grocery products can be ordered via the online grocery store Ocado.
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TwitterThe weekly order trends of online retail during the Coronavirus pandemic in the UK, Germany, Italy and Spain demonstrated great volatility with huge spikes and falls from March ***, 2020 onwards. Compared to the year prior, the UK’s online retail orders saw the greatest volatility between May 10 and May 24, where a respective growth of *** percent was followed by a drastic decline of minus **** percent. Out of the four countries measured, Germany tended to display the steadiest rates of online retail orders compared to the UK, Italy and Spain.
Expected impact of Coronavirus on retail sales and GDP in the UK
Between March 9, 2020 and April 20, 2020, the Coronavirus had a major negative impact on retail sales in the UK, and the EU in general. The expected impact of lost cumulative retail sales in the UK during this time period is *** million British pounds. The expected impact of lost cumulative retail sales in the EU was **** billion British pounds. The Coronavirus outbreak also had a major negative impact on the GDP growth rate in the UK. Out of the ** EU-Member States surveyed, it was projected that the UK’s GDP growth rate in 2020 would be the fifth most affected, with a contraction of *** percent. The UK is preceded by Croatia, Spain, Italy and Greece.
Projected growth in the UK’s retail sector following Coronavirus
Although most of the UK’s retail sectors have been negatively impacted by the Coronavirus pandemic in 2020, there is one retail sector that is projected to grow, the food and grocery sector. The food and grocery retail sector is expected to grow by *** percent in 2020, following the Coronavirus pandemic. However, the overall growth in the UK’s retail sector is expected to contract by *** percent in 2020.
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Over the five years through 2025, industry revenue is expected to drop at a compound annual rate of 5.8%. Specialist food retailers in the UK have endured a turbulent period marked by soaring costs, fragile consumer confidence, and intensifying competition. Supermarkets and discounters intensified pressure, expanding private label ranges into premium and organic lines. In response, specialists leaned on differentiation through provenance, artisanal quality, sustainability, and closer community ties, with many embracing digital tools, home delivery, and loyalty initiatives. Evolving consumer habits also spurred adoption of grocery-plus models, blending retail and food service to deliver ready-to-eat, health-focused, and locally sourced meals—an increasingly important lever of resilience and growth.Operating expenses rose sharply due to surging ingredient, feed, energy, and labour costs, squeezing margins even as food inflation eased from an EU peak of 19.3% in 2023 to 3.1% by mid-2025. Stubborn input costs and stagnant household budgets kept value top of mind for consumers, with over a third of UK shoppers still cutting back on groceries. Labour costs climbed with minimum wage hikes and tight labour markets, challenging a sector reliant on personal service and skilled staff. Independents often turned to flexible or family labour, while larger chains absorbed premium wage pressures. Energy shocks in 2022 pushed many small shops to the brink, with government relief proving vital. In 2025, revenue is expected to dip by 4.7% to €99.5 billion, while profit is anticipated to absorb 8.7% of revenue. Over the five years through 2030, revenue is expected to dip at a compound annual growth rate of 1.5% reaching €92.2 billion, while profit is anticipated to remain under pressure from intense competition reaching 7.2% of revenue. Specialist food retailers face a complex future shaped by labour pressures, intensifying competition, and shifting consumer values. Persistent labour shortages and rising wages will remain a defining challenge, with larger chains turning to automation to offset costs, while smaller shops balance authenticity with cautious digital adoption, wary of undermining their artisanal identity. Competitive pressure will sharpen as supermarkets expand premium private labels and capture more foot traffic through scale and strategic locations. To stand out, specialist retailers must lean into differentiation, offering experiences such as tastings, workshops and masterclasses, alongside stronger storytelling and digital engagement. Consumer behaviour will reinforce opportunities for specialists. Health, sustainability and premiumisation are driving demand for fresh, ethically sourced and high-quality food. Younger shoppers, in particular, expect traceability and are willing to pay premiums for welfare-friendly, clean-label products.
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Time series for the UK convenience retail market value in millions of GBP from 2020 to 2025F, showing historical performance and forecast growth.
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Home and Garden Retailing in United Kingdom (UK) – Sector Overview, Market Size and Forecast to 2025 provides both the historic and forecast market data of total retail sales, and the home market in United Kingdom (UK). It illustrates the data with charts, graphs and tables summarizing the value, with category details in home sector. The forecasts include the impact of COVID-19 on growth. The report also reveals major retailers share in home sector with their price and market positioning in 2020. Read More
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Kosher Foods Market Size 2025-2029
The kosher foods market size is valued to increase by USD 16.5 billion, at a CAGR of 7.2% from 2024 to 2029. Rise in Jewish and Muslim population will drive the kosher foods market.
Major Market Trends & Insights
North America dominated the market and accounted for a 39% growth during the forecast period.
By Product - Kosher pareve segment was valued at USD 13.80 billion in 2023
By Distribution Channel - Supermarkets and hypermarkets segment accounted for the largest market revenue share in 2023
Market Size & Forecast
Market Opportunities: USD 74.84 billion
Market Future Opportunities: USD 16.50 billion
CAGR from 2024 to 2029: 7.2%
Market Summary
The market, fueled by the increasing global population adhering to kosher dietary laws, has experienced significant growth. According to market research, the value of the global kosher food industry surpassed USD 23 billion in 2020. This expansion is driven not only by the Jewish community but also by the growing popularity of private label kosher food brands. The market's evolution is marked by intense competition, particularly from the halal foods sector. Both industries cater to specific dietary requirements, creating a unique dynamic in the food industry. As consumer preferences shift towards healthier and ethically sourced food options, kosher food manufacturers are adapting by offering organic and gluten-free products.
Moreover, advancements in technology have streamlined production processes, ensuring stricter adherence to kosher certification standards. This commitment to quality and transparency is crucial for maintaining consumer trust and loyalty. The market continues to innovate, with new product launches and collaborations shaping its future direction. In conclusion, the market's growth is underpinned by demographic trends, consumer preferences, and technological advancements. With a global value of over USD 23 billion in 2020, this sector is poised for continued expansion and evolution.
What will be the Size of the Kosher Foods Market during the forecast period?
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How is the Kosher Foods Market Segmented?
The kosher foods industry research report provides comprehensive data (region-wise segment analysis), with forecasts and estimates in 'USD billion' for the period 2025-2029, as well as historical data from 2019-2023 for the following segments.
Product
Kosher pareve
Kosher meat
Kosher dairy
Distribution Channel
Supermarkets and hypermarkets
Grocery stores
Online stores
End-user
Household consumers
Food service industry
Food processing industry
Geography
North America
US
Canada
Europe
France
Germany
Italy
UK
Middle East and Africa
Egypt
KSA
Oman
UAE
APAC
China
India
Japan
South America
Argentina
Brazil
Rest of World (ROW)
By Product Insights
The kosher pareve segment is estimated to witness significant growth during the forecast period.
The market continues to evolve, with a significant focus on consumer acceptance testing and adherence to religious dietary laws. Pareve foods, which are neither meat nor dairy, account for a substantial portion of this market. Products such as fruits, vegetables, nuts, seeds, grains, tofu, and plant proteins undergo rigorous checks to ensure they meet kosher standards. These include packaging material approval, heavy metal detection, and sensory evaluation. The manufacturing process undergoes validation, with energy consumption metrics and inventory management playing crucial roles. Food safety regulations mandate temperature monitoring, microbiological testing, and pest control methods. The supply chain is meticulously managed, with distribution logistics, order fulfillment, and retail shelf placement all factored in.
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The Kosher pareve segment was valued at USD 13.80 billion in 2019 and showed a gradual increase during the forecast period.
Kosher certification involves a production facility audit, chemical analysis, and ingredient traceability. Quality control systems oversee product formulation, labeling requirements, nutritional labeling, and packaging integrity. Compliance with dietary laws and shelf life testing are essential, as is adherence to Waste Management practices and ingredient sourcing with specifications. A recent study revealed that 85% of consumers prefer kosher-certified products, highlighting the market's importance.
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Regional Analysis
North America is estimated to contribute 39% to the growth of the global market during the forecast period. Technavio's analysts have elaborately explained the regional trends and drivers that shape the market during the forecast period.
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This databook uses data from GlobalData’s Retail database showing the trends in the market and sectors by value. It also reveals the major retailers by market share in 2020 in each of the sectors. All data includes the impact COVID-19 has had on sales in 2020 (forecasted at the date of publication). Read More
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Duty-Free Retailing Market Size 2025-2029
The duty-free retailing market size is valued to increase by USD 22.74 billion, at a CAGR of 8.3% from 2024 to 2029. Growing international tourism will drive the duty-free retailing market.
Major Market Trends & Insights
APAC dominated the market and accounted for a 45% growth during the forecast period.
By Product - Cosmetics and perfumes segment was valued at USD 15.77 billion in 2023
By Distribution Channel - Airport segment accounted for the largest market revenue share in 2023
Market Size & Forecast
Market Opportunities: USD 80.00 billion
Market Future Opportunities: USD 22737.10 billion
CAGR from 2024 to 2029 : 8.3%
Market Summary
The market experiences continuous expansion, driven by the surge in international tourism and the increasing emphasis on enhancing the shopping experience for travelers. The global duty-free retail sales amounted to approximately USD 74 billion in 2020. Despite this growth, the industry faces challenges from stringent government regulations, particularly concerning duty-free tobacco products. To cater to evolving consumer preferences, retailers invest in innovative strategies, such as omnichannel offerings, personalized services, and technology integration. Duty-free retailers are leveraging advanced technologies like RFID and beacons to create interactive shopping experiences, enabling travelers to locate products and receive real-time promotions.
Additionally, partnerships with local brands and duty-paid retailers offer unique shopping experiences, making duty-free retail an essential component of the global travel industry. As international travel resumes, the market is expected to rebound, with retailers focusing on adapting to the new normal through contactless payment options, social distancing measures, and enhanced hygiene protocols. The future of duty-free retail lies in seamless integration of technology, personalized services, and a focus on creating memorable shopping experiences for travelers.
What will be the Size of the Duty-Free Retailing Market during the forecast period?
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How is the Duty-Free Retailing Market Segmented?
The duty-free retailing industry research report provides comprehensive data (region-wise segment analysis), with forecasts and estimates in 'USD billion' for the period 2025-2029, as well as historical data from 2019-2023 for the following segments.
Product
Cosmetics and perfumes
Fashion apparel and accessories
Tobacco and alcoholic beverages
Confectionery and fine foods
Distribution Channel
Airport
Border/downtown/hotel
Others
End-User
International Travelers
Domestic Travelers
Price Range
Budget
Mid-range
Premium
Geography
North America
US
Canada
Europe
France
Germany
Italy
Spain
UK
Middle East and Africa
UAE
APAC
China
India
Japan
South Korea
South America
Brazil
Rest of World (ROW)
By Product Insights
The cosmetics and perfumes segment is estimated to witness significant growth during the forecast period.
The market is witnessing continuous evolution, with various segments, including cosmetics and perfumes, showcasing significant growth. International travelers' increasing number and their penchant for luxury shopping during travel, the rising disposable income of middle-class travelers, and urbanization are key factors driving this trend. In 2020, the cosmetics and perfumes segment accounted for over 30% of the market revenue. Travelers from the APAC and Middle East regions were the primary contributors to this segment's high sales growth. Leading cosmetic and perfume brands like L'Oreal, Chanel, Christian Dior, Estée Lauder, and Guerlain dominate the market.
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The Cosmetics and perfumes segment was valued at USD 15.77 billion in 2019 and showed a gradual increase during the forecast period.
L'Oreal, in particular, holds a substantial market share. Business intelligence tools, mobile payment processing, and automated checkout systems are essential for airport retail operations, enabling data-driven decision making and customer relationship management. Additionally, customer retention strategies, such as personalized shopping experiences, loyalty program management, and inventory management software, are crucial for market success. Other trends include pricing optimization strategies, passenger flow management, and real-time inventory updates. Furthermore, digital signage solutions, e-commerce platform integration, and omni-channel retail strategies are becoming increasingly popular. The market also prioritizes fraud prevention systems, queue management systems, customer segmentation techniques, and sales performance metrics for operational efficien
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Frozen And Convenience Food Market Size 2024-2028
The frozen and convenience food market size is valued to increase USD 468.9 billion, at a CAGR of 8.09% from 2023 to 2028. Growing consumer inclination toward vegan frozen foods will drive the frozen and convenience food market.
Major Market Trends & Insights
North America dominated the market and accounted for a 49% growth during the forecast period.
By Distribution Channel - Offline segment was valued at USD 422.90 billion in 2022
By Type - Convenience food segment accounted for the largest market revenue share in 2022
Market Size & Forecast
Market Opportunities: USD 110.16 billion
Market Future Opportunities: USD 468.90 billion
CAGR from 2023 to 2028 : 8.09%
Market Summary
The market has witnessed significant expansion in recent years, fueled by shifting consumer preferences and the increasing demand for time-saving solutions. According to market data, the global frozen food market was valued at over USD128 billion in 2020, with convenience foods accounting for a substantial portion of this figure. This trend is driven by several factors, including the escalating need for convenience in today's fast-paced world and the growing consumer inclination toward plant-based diets. The convenience food sector, which includes ready-to-eat meals, snacks, and beverages, has experienced remarkable growth due to its ability to cater to the busy lifestyles of modern consumers.
Frozen foods, in particular, have gained popularity due to their extended shelf life and ease of preparation. However, this market segment faces challenges, such as health concerns related to the high sodium, sugar, and preservative content in many frozen food products. Despite these challenges, the market continues to evolve, with innovations in product development and manufacturing processes aimed at addressing consumer demands for healthier, more convenient options. For instance, companies are focusing on reducing sodium and sugar content, increasing the use of natural ingredients, and offering more plant-based and vegan alternatives. These efforts are expected to drive the market's future growth, as consumers increasingly seek out healthier, more convenient food solutions.
What will be the Size of the Frozen And Convenience Food Market during the forecast period?
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How is the Frozen And Convenience Food Market Segmented ?
The frozen and convenience food industry research report provides comprehensive data (region-wise segment analysis), with forecasts and estimates in 'USD billion' for the period 2024-2028, as well as historical data from 2018-2022 for the following segments.
Distribution Channel
Offline
Online
Type
Convenience food
Frozen food
Geography
North America
US
Europe
Germany
UK
APAC
China
Japan
Rest of World (ROW)
By Distribution Channel Insights
The offline segment is estimated to witness significant growth during the forecast period.
The market continues to evolve, with the offline segment holding a dominant position, accounting for approximately 75% of global sales. This segment includes supermarkets, hypermarkets, convenience stores, and local merchants, offering a wide variety of products such as frozen fruits, vegetables, ready meals, and snacks. Consumer preference for convenience, competitive pricing, and a vast selection of brands and stock-keeping units (SKUs) contribute to the growth of this distribution channel. In the production process, advanced technologies like IQF freezing, high-pressure processing, and vacuum packaging are employed to ensure extended shelf life and maintain food texture.
HACCP implementation, ingredient declaration standards, and food safety certifications are crucial for maintaining quality control and consumer trust. The market also prioritizes supply chain visibility and efficient refrigerated transport logistics to ensure product freshness and reduce waste. Notably, meal kit assembly lines and automated packaging systems have gained traction, streamlining production processes and optimizing costs.
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The Offline segment was valued at USD 422.90 billion in 2018 and showed a gradual increase during the forecast period.
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Regional Analysis
North America is estimated to contribute 49% to the growth of the global market during the forecast period.Technavio's analysts have elaborately explained the regional trends and drivers that shape the market during the forecast period.
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In The market, the European region held a significant market share in 2023. Key contributors to this growth include the UK, Germany, and Spain. Factors fueling the expansion of the Euro
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The United Kingdom luxury goods market, encompassing clothing and apparel, footwear, bags, jewelry, watches, and other accessories, presents a robust and dynamic landscape. Driven by a confluence of factors including increasing disposable incomes among high-net-worth individuals, a growing aspirational middle class, and a strong preference for high-quality, branded goods, the market exhibits considerable growth potential. The UK's position as a global hub for fashion and luxury retail, coupled with a thriving tourism sector, further fuels this expansion. While the market experienced fluctuations during the COVID-19 pandemic, the post-pandemic recovery has been strong, indicating a sustained demand for luxury products. The market's segmentation across distribution channels, including single-brand stores, multi-brand stores, and a rapidly expanding online presence, reflects the evolving consumer behavior and the importance of omnichannel strategies for luxury brands. Competition is fierce, with established players like LVMH, Richemont, and Kering vying for market share alongside emerging luxury brands. The continued focus on sustainability and ethical sourcing is also influencing consumer preferences, presenting both opportunities and challenges for luxury brands operating within the UK market. The projected Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 4.35% from 2025 to 2033 suggests a steady, albeit moderate, expansion of the UK luxury goods market. While precise market size figures for 2025 and beyond require further data, a logical estimation based on the provided CAGR and typical growth patterns in mature luxury markets would indicate substantial market value growth over the forecast period. The ongoing digital transformation continues to reshape the landscape, with online sales showing impressive growth. Maintaining a delicate balance between brand exclusivity and accessibility through online platforms is crucial for success. Factors like economic fluctuations and geopolitical uncertainties could potentially impact market growth, but the overall outlook remains positive, driven by resilient consumer demand for luxury products within the UK. Recent developments include: In September 2021, Estée Lauder launched a new collection of luxury perfumes, featuring the brand's exclusive technology - ScentCapture Fragrance Extender which allows the fragrance to last for aroundnd 12 hours after a single application., In April 2020, Burberry has released a curated edit of 26 styles from the Spring/Summer 2020 collection made from the most cutting-edge sustainable materials currently being used throughout the Burberry product range. This is part of the brand's industry-leading product sustainability programs and builds on a legacy of innovation., In January 2020, Versace has unveiled a new flagship shop in London. The London shop will open on New Bond Street and will be 7,244 square feet in size. Over three floors, the boutique will provide a comprehensive assortment of men's and women's ready-to-wear and accessories.. Notable trends are: Rising Affinity for Vegan Leather Goods.
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The global big data analytics in retail market size is projected to reach USD 40.88 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 23.2% and North America is the most significant shareholder in the global market.
Report Scope:
| Report Metric | Details |
|---|---|
| Market Size in 2021 | USD 6.25 Billion |
| Market Size in 2022 | USD XX Billion |
| Market Size in 2030 | USD 40.88 Billion |
| CAGR | 23.2% (2022-2030) |
| Base Year for Estimation | 2021 |
| Historical Data | 2018-2020 |
| Forecast Period | 2022-2030 |
| Report Coverage | Revenue Forecast, Competitive Landscape, Growth Factors, Environment & Regulatory Landscape and Trends |
| Segments Covered | By Component,By Deployment,By Organization Size,By Applications,By Region. |
| Geographies Covered | North America, Europe, APAC, Middle East and Africa, LATAM, |
| Countries Covered | U.S., Canada, U.K., Germany, France, Spain, Italy, Russia, Nordic, Benelux, China, Korea, Japan, India, Australia, Taiwan, South East Asia, UAE, Turkey, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, Egypt, Nigeria, Brazil, Mexico, Argentina, Chile, Colombia, |
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The performance of the hospitality sector, consumer spending habits and supermarket demand are the key factors affecting the Grocery Wholesaling industry. Over the five years through 2024-25, revenue is forecast to grow at a compound annual rate of 2% to £44.2 billion, including an anticipated hike of 0.7% in 2024-25. Inflation has played a big role in the industry’s recent performance. Food prices reached record highs in March 2023, with the Office for National Statistics reporting they climbed by 19.3% over the year, primarily due to the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Consumers responded to sky-high prices by trading down and eating out less, denting sales to supermarkets and hospitality venues; still, rising prices kept revenue growing. Food inflation has since fallen considerably, paving the way for growth in consumer confidence. However, food prices rose by 3.3% in the year to January 2025. While this is much lower than the peak in March 2023, food inflation had been trending downward in previous months (October to December 2024). High prices have limited sales volumes and increased the rate of wholesale bypass. Revenue is slated to swell at a compound annual rate of 2% over the five years through 2029-30 to £48.7 billion. As inflation stabilises, pressure on household finances will ease and boost consumer confidence. According to the Bank of England's projections in February 2025, inflation will rise to 3.7% at the end of Q3 2025, before easing slowly back to its target 2% in Q4 2027. This recovery will raise grocery sales, particularly in the hospitality sector. At the same time, consumers will trade up to higher-priced, healthier and sustainably sourced products, boosting revenue and profit. However, threats remain; wholesale bypass, the rise of farmers markets and rising demand for fresh, healthy products will continue to present challenges to grocery wholesalers, eating into sales. Upcoming hikes in the National Living Wage and employers’ National Insurance contributions are set to drive up wholesalers’ costs, hindering profitability.
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UK Grocery Retail Market Size 2025-2029
The UK grocery retail market size is valued to increase USD 56.2 billion, at a CAGR of 3.8% from 2024 to 2029. Rapid urbanization and rising consumer spending will drive the UK grocery retail market.
Major Market Trends & Insights
By Product - Food and beverages segment was valued at USD 176.60 billion in 2022
By Distribution Channel - Hypermarkets and supermarkets segment accounted for the largest market revenue share in 2022
CAGR : 3.8%
Market Summary
The Grocery Retail Market in the UK is a dynamic and evolving sector, characterized by the adoption of core technologies and innovative applications. With rapid urbanization and rising consumer spending, grocery retailers are investing in advanced technologies such as automation, AI, and robotics to streamline operations and enhance the customer experience. For instance, the use of self-checkout kiosks and mobile apps for contactless shopping has surged in popularity, particularly in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. However, the market also faces challenges, including the threat from counterfeit grocery products. According to a report by the Food Standards Agency, around 10% of all food and drink products sold in the UK are believed to be counterfeit.
To mitigate this issue, regulatory bodies are implementing stricter regulations and collaborating with retailers to ensure product authenticity. Despite these challenges, opportunities abound for grocery retailers in the UK. The market is expected to witness significant growth in the coming years, with online grocery sales projected to reach 15% of the total market share by 2025. Innovative store layouts and offerings, such as click-and-collect services and subscription-based models, are also gaining popularity among consumers. Overall, the Grocery Retail Market in the UK is a continuously unfolding landscape, shaped by a complex interplay of technological advancements, regulatory requirements, and consumer preferences.
What will be the Size of the UK Grocery Retail Market during the forecast period?
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How is the Grocery Retail in UK Market Segmented and what are the key trends of market segmentation?
The grocery retail in UK industry research report provides comprehensive data (region-wise segment analysis), with forecasts and estimates in 'USD billion' for the period 2025-2029, as well as historical data from 2019-2023 for the following segments.
Product
Food and beverages
Non food
Distribution Channel
Hypermarkets and supermarkets
Convenience stores
Discount stores
Online
Others
Sales Channel
In-Store
Online Delivery
Click-and-Collect
Consumer Segment
Urban Consumers
Rural Consumers
Premium Shoppers
Product Types
Fresh Produce
Packaged Foods
Household Goods
Health and Beauty
Geography
Europe
UK
By Product Insights
The food and beverages segment is estimated to witness significant growth during the forecast period.
In the dynamic and evolving grocery retail market in the UK, loss prevention strategies continue to be a priority for retailers, with online grocery shopping seeing a significant increase in adoption, reaching 7.1% of total sales in 2020. Sales promotion techniques, such as promotional pricing models and loyalty programs, are essential tools to attract and retain customers. Food safety regulations play a crucial role in ensuring product quality and consumer trust. Stock rotation and inventory optimization are essential for maintaining freshness and reducing waste. Automated checkout systems and self-checkout kiosks streamline the shopping experience, while e-commerce platforms enable seamless online ordering and last mile delivery.
Product traceability and quality control measures are vital for ensuring the authenticity and safety of goods. Retail technology integration, including demand forecasting and data analytics dashboards, enables retailers to optimize store operations efficiency and adapt to changing consumer behavior. Customer service metrics, such as response times and resolution rates, are key performance indicators for maintaining customer satisfaction. The grocery market is expected to grow further, with online sales projected to reach 11.7% of total sales by 2025. The adoption of advanced technologies, such as RFID tagging, AI-driven demand forecasting, and warehouse automation, will continue to transform the industry.
Category management techniques and waste reduction initiatives will help retailers optimize their offerings and reduce costs. The foods and beverages segment, which includes fresh and frozen meat, dairy products, fruits and vegetables, and snack foods, is a significant contributor to the market's growth. The most preferred grocery products in this segment include fresh bread, salty snacks, and ce