This graph shows population projections for the United States of America. The estimated population of the USA in 2050 is 398 million residents. Population The U.S. Census Bureau presents annual projections for the growth of the U.S. population up to the year 2060. By 2050, it is estimated that the American population will surpass 398 million citizens. The U.S. census also projects a regressing annual growth rate, starting at 0.8 percent in 2015 and decreasing to 0.46 percent by 2060.

The UN population division publishes population projections for the entire world up to the year 2100. The United Nations also projects a regressing annual growth rate of the world population. Between 2015 and 2020, the population is expected to increase by 1.04 percent annually. Around 2060, the annual growth rate will have decreased to 0.34 percent.

According to a population projection based on 2020 Census Data, in 2040, California's population will amount to ***** million inhabitants.

United States US: Population Projection: Mid Year: Growth data was reported at 0.450 % in 2050. This stayed constant from the previous number of 0.450 % for 2049. United States US: Population Projection: Mid Year: Growth data is updated yearly, averaging 0.700 % from Jun 2001 (Median) to 2050, with 50 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 0.980 % in 2006 and a record low of 0.450 % in 2050. United States US: Population Projection: Mid Year: Growth data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by US Census Bureau. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.US Census Bureau: Demographic Projection.

projected population total, broken down by age and sex, for 2030, 2040, and 2050. They are benchmarked on the 2020 Decennial Census Count data from the U.S. Census Bureau to reflect the effect of the latest demographic trends on the future population. These projections were produced and released by the Cooper Center on July 1, 2024.

The Cooper Center projections research is widely used and well received; this data has been cited by a diverse range of organizations including many federal agencies, state legislatures, businesses, non-profits, think-tanks, academic institutions, and the media. The last vintage of projections for 2020 were found to be highly accurate when evaluated and compared to the actual Census Count data.

Context

The United States Census Bureau’s international dataset provides estimates of country populations since 1950 and projections through 2050. Specifically, the dataset includes midyear population figures broken down by age and gender assignment at birth. Additionally, time-series data is provided for attributes including fertility rates, birth rates, death rates, and migration rates.

Querying BigQuery tables

You can use the BigQuery Python client library to query tables in this dataset in Kernels. Note that methods available in Kernels are limited to querying data. Tables are at bigquery-public-data.census_bureau_international.

Sample Query 1

What countries have the longest life expectancy? In this query, 2016 census information is retrieved by joining the mortality_life_expectancy and country_names_area tables for countries larger than 25,000 km2. Without the size constraint, Monaco is the top result with an average life expectancy of over 89 years!

standardSQL

SELECT age.country_name, age.life_expectancy, size.country_area FROM ( SELECT country_name, life_expectancy FROM bigquery-public-data.census_bureau_international.mortality_life_expectancy WHERE year = 2016) age INNER JOIN ( SELECT country_name, country_area FROM bigquery-public-data.census_bureau_international.country_names_area where country_area > 25000) size ON age.country_name = size.country_name ORDER BY 2 DESC /* Limit removed for Data Studio Visualization */ LIMIT 10

Sample Query 2

Which countries have the largest proportion of their population under 25? Over 40% of the world’s population is under 25 and greater than 50% of the world’s population is under 30! This query retrieves the countries with the largest proportion of young people by joining the age-specific population table with the midyear (total) population table.

standardSQL

SELECT age.country_name, SUM(age.population) AS under_25, pop.midyear_population AS total, ROUND((SUM(age.population) / pop.midyear_population) * 100,2) AS pct_under_25 FROM ( SELECT country_name, population, country_code FROM bigquery-public-data.census_bureau_international.midyear_population_agespecific WHERE year =2017 AND age < 25) age INNER JOIN ( SELECT midyear_population, country_code FROM bigquery-public-data.census_bureau_international.midyear_population WHERE year = 2017) pop ON age.country_code = pop.country_code GROUP BY 1, 3 ORDER BY 4 DESC /* Remove limit for visualization*/ LIMIT 10

Sample Query 3

The International Census dataset contains growth information in the form of birth rates, death rates, and migration rates. Net migration is the net number of migrants per 1,000 population, an important component of total population and one that often drives the work of the United Nations Refugee Agency. This query joins the growth rate table with the area table to retrieve 2017 data for countries greater than 500 km2.

SELECT growth.country_name, growth.net_migration, CAST(area.country_area AS INT64) AS country_area FROM ( SELECT country_name, net_migration, country_code FROM bigquery-public-data.census_bureau_international.birth_death_growth_rates WHERE year = 2017) growth INNER JOIN ( SELECT country_area, country_code FROM bigquery-public-data.census_bureau_international.country_names_area

Update frequency

Historic (none)

Dataset source

United States Census Bureau

Terms of use: This dataset is publicly available for anyone to use under the following terms provided by the Dataset Source - http://www.data.gov/privacy-policy#data_policy - and is provided "AS IS" without any warranty, express or implied, from Google. Google disclaims all liability for any damages, direct or indirect, resulting from the use of the dataset.

See the GCP Marketplace listing for more details and sample queries: https://console.cloud.google.com/marketplace/details/united-states-census-bureau/international-census-data

United States EIA Projection: Population: 16 Years & Over data was reported at 326,696.625 Person th in 2050. This records an increase from the previous number of 325,115.143 Person th for 2049. United States EIA Projection: Population: 16 Years & Over data is updated yearly, averaging 295,935.073 Person th from Dec 2015 (Median) to 2050, with 36 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 326,696.625 Person th in 2050 and a record low of 256,707.825 Person th in 2015. United States EIA Projection: Population: 16 Years & Over data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Energy Information Administration. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.G005: Population: Projection: Energy Information Administration.

The 2018 edition of Woods and Poole Complete U.S. Database provides annual historical data from 1970 (some variables begin in 1990) and annual projections to 2050 of population by race, sex, and age, employment by industry, earnings of employees by industry, personal income by source, households by income bracket and retail sales by kind of business. The Complete U.S. Database contains annual data for all economic and demographic variables for all geographic areas in the Woods & Poole database (the U.S. total, and all regions, states, counties, and CBSAs). The Complete U.S. Database has following components: Demographic & Economic Desktop Data Files: There are 122 files covering demographic and economic data. The first 31 files (WP001.csv – WP031.csv) cover demographic data. The remaining files (WP032.csv – WP122.csv) cover economic data. Demographic DDFs: Provide population data for the U.S., regions, states, Combined Statistical Areas (CSAs), Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs), Micropolitan Statistical Areas (MICROs), Metropolitan Divisions (MDIVs), and counties. Each variable is in a separate .csv file. Variables: Total Population Population Age (breakdown: 0-4, 5-9, 10-15 etc. all the way to 85 & over) Median Age of Population White Population Population Native American Population Asian & Pacific Islander Population Hispanic Population, any Race Total Population Age (breakdown: 0-17, 15-17, 18-24, 65 & over) Male Population Female Population Economic DDFs: The other files (WP032.csv – WP122.csv) provide employment and income data on: Total Employment (by industry) Total Earnings of Employees (by industry) Total Personal Income (by source) Household income (by brackets) Total Retail & Food Services Sales ( by industry) Net Earnings Gross Regional Product Retail Sales per Household Economic & Demographic Flat File: A single file for total number of people by single year of age (from 0 to 85 and over), race, and gender. It covers all U.S., regions, states, CSAs, MSAs and counties. Years of coverage: 1990 - 2050 Single Year of Age by Race and Gender: Separate files for number of people by single year of age (from 0 years to 85 years and over), race (White, Black, Native American, Asian American & Pacific Islander and Hispanic) and gender. Years of coverage: 1990 through 2050. DATA AVAILABLE FOR 1970-2019; FORECASTS THROUGH 2050

United States EIA Projection: Population: incl Armed Forces Overseas data was reported at 397,524.506 Person th in 2050. This records an increase from the previous number of 395,735.260 Person th for 2049. United States EIA Projection: Population: incl Armed Forces Overseas data is updated yearly, averaging 364,229.645 Person th from Dec 2015 (Median) to 2050, with 36 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 397,524.506 Person th in 2050 and a record low of 321,977.692 Person th in 2015. United States EIA Projection: Population: incl Armed Forces Overseas data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Energy Information Administration. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.G005: Population: Projection: Energy Information Administration.

In 2020, about 82.66 percent of the total population in the United States lived in cities and urban areas. As the United States was one of the earliest nations to industrialize, it has had a comparatively high rate of urbanization over the past two centuries. The urban population became larger than the rural population during the 1910s, and by the middle of the century it is expected that almost 90 percent of the population will live in an urban setting. Regional development of urbanization in the U.S. The United States began to urbanize on a larger scale in the 1830s, as technological advancements reduced the labor demand in agriculture, and as European migration began to rise. One major difference between early urbanization in the U.S. and other industrializing economies, such as the UK or Germany, was population distribution. Throughout the 1800s, the Northeastern U.S. became the most industrious and urban region of the country, as this was the main point of arrival for migrants. Disparities in industrialization and urbanization was a key contributor to the Union's victory in the Civil War, not only due to population sizes, but also through production capabilities and transport infrastructure. The Northeast's population reached an urban majority in the 1870s, whereas this did not occur in the South until the 1950s. As more people moved westward in the late 1800s, not only did their population growth increase, but the share of the urban population also rose, with an urban majority established in both the West and Midwest regions in the 1910s. The West would eventually become the most urbanized region in the 1960s, and over 90 percent of the West's population is urbanized today. Urbanization today New York City is the most populous city in the United States, with a population of 8.3 million, while California has the largest urban population of any state. California also has the highest urbanization rate, although the District of Columbia is considered 100 percent urban. Only four U.S. states still have a rural majority, these are Maine, Mississippi, Montana, and West Virginia.

EIA Projection: Population: 65 Years & Over data was reported at 87,861.542 Person th in 2050. This records an increase from the previous number of 87,119.713 Person th for 2049. EIA Projection: Population: 65 Years & Over data is updated yearly, averaging 76,691.349 Person th from Dec 2015 (Median) to 2050, with 36 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 87,861.542 Person th in 2050 and a record low of 48,022.327 Person th in 2015. EIA Projection: Population: 65 Years & Over data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Energy Information Administration. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.G005: Population: Projection: Energy Information Administration.

Context

The United States Census Bureau’s International Dataset provides estimates of country populations since 1950 and projections through 2050.

Content

The U.S. Census Bureau provides estimates and projections for countries and areas that are recognized by the U.S. Department of State that have a population of at least 5,000. Specifically, the data set includes midyear population figures broken down by age and gender assignment at birth. Additionally, they provide time-series data for attributes including fertility rates, birth rates, death rates, and migration rates.

Fork this kernel to get started.

Acknowledgements

https://bigquery.cloud.google.com/dataset/bigquery-public-data:census_bureau_international

https://cloud.google.com/bigquery/public-data/international-census

Dataset Source: www.census.gov

This dataset is publicly available for anyone to use under the following terms provided by the Dataset Source -http://www.data.gov/privacy-policy#data_policy - and is provided "AS IS" without any warranty, express or implied, from Google. Google disclaims all liability for any damages, direct or indirect, resulting from the use of the dataset.

Banner Photo by Steve Richey from Unsplash.

Inspiration

What countries have the longest life expectancy?

Which countries have the largest proportion of their population under 25?

Which countries are seeing the largest net migration?

In 2020, about 82.66 percent of the total population in the United States lived in cities and urban areas. As the United States was one of the earliest nations to industrialize, it has had a comparatively high rate of urbanization over the past two centuries. The urban population became larger than the rural population during the 1910s, and by the middle of the century it is expected that almost 90 percent of the population will live in an urban setting. Regional development of urbanization in the U.S. The United States began to urbanize on a larger scale in the 1830s, as technological advancements reduced the labor demand in agriculture, and as European migration began to rise. One major difference between early urbanization in the U.S. and other industrializing economies, such as the UK or Germany, was population distribution. Throughout the 1800s, the Northeastern U.S. became the most industrious and urban region of the country, as this was the main point of arrival for migrants. Disparities in industrialization and urbanization was a key contributor to the Union's victory in the Civil War, not only due to population sizes, but also through production capabilities and transport infrastructure. The Northeast's population reached an urban majority in the 1870s, whereas this did not occur in the South until the 1950s. As more people moved westward in the late 1800s, not only did their population growth increase, but the share of the urban population also rose, with an urban majority established in both the West and Midwest regions in the 1910s. The West would eventually become the most urbanized region in the 1960s, and over 90 percent of the West's population is urbanized today. Urbanization today New York City is the most populous city in the United States, with a population of 8.3 million, while California has the largest urban population of any state. California also has the highest urbanization rate, although the District of Columbia is considered 100 percent urban. Only four U.S. states still have a rural majority, these are Maine, Mississippi, Montana, and West Virginia.

In 2023, about 17.7 percent of the American population was 65 years old or over; an increase from the last few years and a figure which is expected to reach 22.8 percent by 2050. This is a significant increase from 1950, when only eight percent of the population was 65 or over. A rapidly aging population In recent years, the aging population of the United States has come into focus as a cause for concern, as the nature of work and retirement is expected to change to keep up. If a population is expected to live longer than the generations before, the economy will have to change as well to fulfill the needs of the citizens. In addition, the birth rate in the U.S. has been falling over the last 20 years, meaning that there are not as many young people to replace the individuals leaving the workforce. The future population It’s not only the American population that is aging -- the global population is, too. By 2025, the median age of the global workforce is expected to be 39.6 years, up from 33.8 years in 1990. Additionally, it is projected that there will be over three million people worldwide aged 100 years and over by 2050.

The I-15 Statewide Tool provides a comprehensive overview of the I-15 corridor across the State of Utah. It helps us understand how well I-15 is performing on important Utah transportation values like mobility, safety, and connectivity. The tool also identifies areas where I-15 should be improved to meet Utah’s needs, and provides standards and guidelines that UDOT and other transportation agencies can use to maintain a consistent I-15 experience throughout the state. This map contains Population Projection 2021 to 2050 data for the I-15 Corridor. It is sourced from the Population Projection TAZ data and is considered static. This intermediate map is not intended to be viewed directly, but through the I-15 Tool.This map is a component of the I-15 Population Projections 2024-2050 app and the broader I-15 ToolFor questions on the data, please contact Andrea Moser at AndreaMoser@utah.gov.

In 2023, about 17.7 percent of the American population was 65 years old or over; an increase from the last few years and a figure which is expected to reach 22.8 percent by 2050. This is a significant increase from 1950, when only eight percent of the population was 65 or over. A rapidly aging population In recent years, the aging population of the United States has come into focus as a cause for concern, as the nature of work and retirement is expected to change to keep up. If a population is expected to live longer than the generations before, the economy will have to change as well to fulfill the needs of the citizens. In addition, the birth rate in the U.S. has been falling over the last 20 years, meaning that there are not as many young people to replace the individuals leaving the workforce. The future population It’s not only the American population that is aging -- the global population is, too. By 2025, the median age of the global workforce is expected to be 39.6 years, up from 33.8 years in 1990. Additionally, it is projected that there will be over three million people worldwide aged 100 years and over by 2050.

Every four years, the Wasatch Front’s two metropolitan planning organizations (MPOs), Wasatch Front Regional Council (WFRC) and Mountainland Association of Governments (MAG), collaborate to update a set of annual small area -- traffic analysis zone and ‘city area’, see descriptions below) -- population and employment projections for the Salt Lake City-West Valley City (WFRC), Ogden-Layton (WFRC), and Provo-Orem (MAG) urbanized areas.

These projections are primarily developed for the purpose of informing long-range transportation infrastructure and services planning done as part of the 4 year Regional Transportation Plan update cycle, as well as Utah’s Unified Transportation Plan, 2023-2050. Accordingly, the foundation for these projections is largely data describing existing conditions for a 2019 base year, the first year of the latest RTP process. The projections are included in the official travel models, which are publicly released at the conclusion of the RTP process.

Projections within the Wasatch Front urban area ( SUBAREAID = 1) were produced with using the Real Estate Market Model as described below. Socioeconomic forecasts produced for Cache MPO (Cache County, SUBAREAID = 2), Dixie MPO (Washington County, SUBAREAID = 3), Summit County (SUBAREAID = 4), and UDOT (other areas of the state, SUBAREAID = 0) all adhere to the University of Utah Gardner Policy Institute's county-level projection controls, but other modeling methods are used to arrive at the TAZ-level forecasts for these areas.

As these projections may be a valuable input to other analyses, this dataset is made available here as a public service for informational purposes only. It is solely the responsibility of the end user to determine the appropriate use of this dataset for other purposes.

Wasatch Front Real Estate Market Model (REMM) Projections

WFRC and MAG have developed a spatial statistical model using the UrbanSim modeling platform to assist in producing these annual projections. This model is called the Real Estate Market Model, or REMM for short. REMM is used for the urban portion of Weber, Davis, Salt Lake, and Utah counties. REMM relies on extensive inputs to simulate future development activity across the greater urbanized region. Key inputs to REMM include:

Demographic data from the decennial census
County-level population and employment projections -- used as REMM control totals -- are produced by the University of Utah’s Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute (GPI) funded by the Utah State Legislature
Current employment locational patterns derived from the Utah Department of Workforce Services
Land use visioning exercises and feedback, especially in regard to planned urban and local center development, with city and county elected officials and staff
Current land use and valuation GIS-based parcel data stewarded by County Assessors
Traffic patterns and transit service from the regional Travel Demand Model that together form the landscape of regional accessibility to workplaces and other destinations
Calibration of model variables to balance the fit of current conditions and dynamics at the county and regional level

‘Traffic Analysis Zone’ Projections

The annual projections are forecasted for each of the Wasatch Front’s 3,546 Traffic Analysis Zone (TAZ) geographic units. TAZ boundaries are set along roads, streams, and other physical features and average about 600 acres (0.94 square miles). TAZ sizes vary, with some TAZs in the densest areas representing only a single city block (25 acres).

‘City Area’ Projections

The TAZ-level output from the model is also available for ‘city areas’ that sum the projections for the TAZ geographies that roughly align with each city’s current boundary. As TAZs do not align perfectly with current city boundaries, the ‘city area’ summaries are not projections specific to a current or future city boundary, but the ‘city area’ summaries may be suitable surrogates or starting points upon which to base city-specific projections.

Summary Variables in the Datasets

Annual projection counts are available for the following variables (please read Key Exclusions note below):

Demographics

Household Population Count (excludes persons living in group quarters) 
Household Count (excludes group quarters) 

Employment

Typical Job Count (includes job types that exhibit typical commuting and other travel/vehicle use patterns)
Retail Job Count (retail, food service, hotels, etc)
Office Job Count (office, health care, government, education, etc)
Industrial Job Count (manufacturing, wholesale, transport, etc)
Non-Typical Job Count* (includes agriculture, construction, mining, and home-based jobs) This can be calculated by subtracting Typical Job Count from All Employment Count 
All Employment Count* (all jobs, this sums jobs from typical and non-typical sectors).

• These variables includes REMM’s attempt to estimate construction jobs in areas that experience new and re-development activity. Areas may see short-term fluctuations in Non-Typical and All Employment counts due to the temporary location of construction jobs.

Key Exclusions from TAZ and ‘City Area’ Projections

As the primary purpose for the development of these population and employment projections is to model future travel in the region, REMM-based projections do not include population or households that reside in group quarters (prisons, senior centers, dormitories, etc), as residents of these facilities typically have a very low impact on regional travel. USTM-based projections also excludes group quarter populations. Group quarters population estimates are available at the county-level from GPI and at various sub-county geographies from the Census Bureau.

Statewide Projections

Population and employment projections for the Wasatch Front area can be combined with those developed by Dixie MPO (St. George area), Cache MPO (Logan area), and the Utah Department of Transportation (for the remainder of the state) into one database for use in the Utah Statewide Travel Model (USTM). While projections for the areas outside of the Wasatch Front use different forecasting methods, they contain the same summary-level population and employment projections making similar TAZ and ‘City Area’ data available statewide. WFRC plans, in the near future, to add additional areas to these projections datasets by including the projections from the USTM model.

The statistic shows the degree of urbanization in the United States from 2000 to 2050. In 2015, about **** percent of the total population in the United States lived in urban areas. Projections estimate that the corresponding figure in 2050 will be **** percent.

Site-licensed "Complete U.S. Database" 2017 from Woods & Poole Economics. The downloadable ZIP file contains all folders and files as distributed on the DVD. From their description: "The Complete U.S. Database contains, on DVD, annual historical data from 1970 (some variables begin in 1990) and annual projections to 2050 of population by race, sex, and age, employment by industry, earnings of employees by industry, personal income by source, households by income bracket and retail sales by kind of business. The Complete U.S. Database contains annual data, 1970 (some variables begin in 1990) to 2050, for all economic and demographic variables for all geographic areas in the Woods & Poole database (the U.S. total, and all regions, states, counties, and CBSAs) – more than 130 million statistics. The Complete U.S. Database differs from CEDDS in that it has the population data by single year of age cross tabulated by sex and by race – more than 1,500 demographic variables."

Site-licensed "Complete U.S. Database" 2018 from Woods & Pole Economics. The downloadable ZIP file contains all folders and files as distributed on DVD. From their description: "The Complete U.S. Database contains, on DVD, annual historical data from 1970 (some variables begin in 1990) and annual projections to 2050 of population by race, sex, and age, employment by industry, earnings of employees by industry, personal income by source, households by income bracket and retail sales by kind of business. The Complete U.S. Database contains annual data, 1970 (some variables begin in 1990) to 2050, for all economic and demographic variables for all geographic areas in the Woods & Poole database (the U.S. total, and all regions, states, counties, and CBSAs) – more than 130 million statistics. The Complete U.S. Database differs from CEDDS in that it has the population data by single year of age cross tabulated by sex and by race – more than 1,500 demographic variables."

United States EIA Projection: Labour Force data was reported at 195,160.248 Person th in 2050. This records an increase from the previous number of 194,082.474 Person th for 2049. United States EIA Projection: Labour Force data is updated yearly, averaging 177,149.010 Person th from Dec 2015 (Median) to 2050, with 36 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 195,160.248 Person th in 2050 and a record low of 157,126.251 Person th in 2015. United States EIA Projection: Labour Force data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Energy Information Administration. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.G013: Current Population Survey: Labour Force: Projection: Energy Information Administration.