The benchmark interest rate in the United States was last recorded at 4.50 percent. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United States Fed Funds Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

Graph and download economic data for Federal Funds Target Range - Upper Limit (DFEDTARU) from 2008-12-16 to 2025-07-31 about federal, interest rate, interest, rate, and USA.

The benchmark interest rate in Japan was last recorded at 0.50 percent. This dataset provides - Japan Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

In May 2025, global inflation rates and central bank interest rates showed significant variation across major economies. Most economies initiated interest rate cuts from mid-2024 due to declining inflationary pressures. The U.S., UK, and EU central banks followed a consistent pattern of regular rate reductions throughout late 2024. In early 2025, Russia maintained the highest interest rate at 20 percent, while Japan retained the lowest at 0.5 percent. Varied inflation rates across major economies The inflation landscape varies considerably among major economies. China had the lowest inflation rate at -0.1 percent in May 2025. In contrast, Russia maintained a high inflation rate of 9.9 percent. These figures align with broader trends observed in early 2025, where China had the lowest inflation rate among major developed and emerging economies, while Russia's rate remained the highest. Central bank responses and economic indicators Central banks globally implemented aggressive rate hikes throughout 2022-23 to combat inflation. The European Central Bank exemplified this trend, raising rates from 0 percent in January 2022 to 4.5 percent by September 2023. A coordinated shift among major central banks began in mid-2024, with the ECB, Bank of England, and Federal Reserve initiating rate cuts, with forecasts suggesting further cuts through 2025 and 2026.

Graph and download economic data for FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Median (FEDTARMD) from 2025 to 2027 about projection, federal, median, rate, and USA.

The benchmark interest rate in Canada was last recorded at 2.75 percent. This dataset provides - Canada Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

The benchmark interest rate In the Euro Area was last recorded at 2.15 percent. This dataset provides - Euro Area Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

By April 2026, it is projected that there is a probability of ***** percent that the United States will fall into another economic recession. This reflects a significant decrease from the projection of the preceding month.

The benchmark interest rate in Sweden was last recorded at 2 percent. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - Sweden Interest Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

ABSTRACT The study evaluated the average return on invested capital (ROIC) in function of the variations in the historical prices of beef cattle and the odds of return on that capital gain within the system of beef cattle fattening on a farm in the state of Minas Gerais, Brazil, from 2004 to 2007. To calculate the risk of ROIC, monthly data of beef cattle prices (BM&F) were used from July 1997 to December 2013, revised by the General Price Index of the Fundação Getúlio Vargas in December 2013. The corrected data were divided into five classes that correspond to the risk scenarios. In light of these classes, the observed frequencies and their respective probabilities were calculated. The cumulative and updated ROIC were -3.02 and 0.24%, respectively. The odds for obtaining returns above 8.4% (Brazilian Selic Rate) per year were median, corresponding to 32.0 and 34.94% for the calculation of operating profit (ROIC OP) and total profit (ROIC TP), respectively. The expected average annual return was 6.26 and 7.66% for ROIC OP and ROIC TP, respectively. The standard deviation and coefficient of variation showed a high risk of ROIC because the scale and extent of dispersion per unit of expected return were elevated in the accumulation period and the risk for 2013 was reduced according to the price of beef cattle. The expected risk of ROIC was considered high between 2004 and 2007 and average for 2013. The probability of return on capital invested in the intensification of fattening beef cattle is a function of the selling price of cattle and purchase of inputs, in which the high scenario ranching provides greater probability of getting a return above the bank interest rates.

Male child mortality rate of Palau went down by 2.00% from 25.0 deaths per thousand live births in 2022 to 24.5 deaths per thousand live births in 2023. Since the 0.78% climb in 2019, male child mortality rate reduced by 4.67% in 2023. Child mortality rate is the probability of dying between the exact ages of one and five, if subject to current age-specific mortality rates. The probability is expressed as a rate per 1,000.

Female child mortality rate of Turkey rocketed by 35.96% from 8.9 deaths per thousand live births in 2022 to 12.1 deaths per thousand live births in 2023. Since the 4.08% reduction in 2021, female child mortality rate shot up by 28.72% in 2023. Child mortality rate is the probability of dying between the exact ages of one and five, if subject to current age-specific mortality rates. The probability is expressed as a rate per 1,000.

We use the yield curve to predict future GDP growth and recession probabilities. The spread between short- and long-term rates typically correlates with economic growth. Predications are calculated using a model developed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. Released monthly.

According to the European Central Bank's survey of professional forecasters, the interest rate on the ECB's main refinancing operations is expected to decrease from *** percent in January 2025 to *** percent in 2026.

Female child mortality rate of Republic of Moldova declined by 0.76% from 13.1 deaths per thousand live births in 2022 to 13.0 deaths per thousand live births in 2023. Since the 1.39% reduction in 2013, female child mortality rate slumped by 8.45% in 2023. Child mortality rate is the probability of dying between the exact ages of one and five, if subject to current age-specific mortality rates. The probability is expressed as a rate per 1,000.

Graph and download economic data for Real-time Sahm Rule Recession Indicator (SAHMREALTIME) from Dec 1959 to Jun 2025 about recession indicators, academic data, and USA.

The benchmark interest rate in the United Kingdom was last recorded at 4.25 percent. This dataset provides - United Kingdom Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

The benchmark interest rate in India was last recorded at 5.50 percent. This dataset provides - India Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

Risk and loss assessment is closely linked to the insurance industry. In addition to risk and loss assessment in insurance cases, it also handles the entire claims settlement process for insurance companies in some cases. Average annual sales growth of 3.1% is forecast for the industry for the period from 2019 to 2024. IBISWorld expects turnover of 604.6 million euros for 2024. This corresponds to an increase of 1.2% compared to the previous year. This is due to the tendency of insurance companies to outsource more processes to external service providers.Since the end of the financial crisis, the German economy has been growing. This has led to a favourable consumer climate. In this stable economic environment, many companies have increased their business activities and expanded, which has led to more insurance policies being taken out and at the same time to more insurance claims. This increased the demand for risk and loss estimates. At the same time, more and more insurers were under strong cost pressure and were forced to reduce their fixed costs. Among other things, claims settlement was therefore outsourced in full or in part. In the context of the coronavirus pandemic, however, the consumer climate was weakened by the economic restrictions and there were fewer accidents requiring a claims assessment in the meantime. Despite a slight recovery, the consumer climate is also suffering in the current year due to the war in Ukraine and high inflation.For the period from 2024 to 2029, IBISWorld forecasts average annual growth of 1.6% and industry turnover of 654 million euros in 2029. The economic impact of the pandemic is likely to be barely noticeable and will have decreased significantly compared to previous years. This is also likely to have an impact on demand for insurance. As economic activity increases, so does the probability of industrial accidents and thus the demand for risk and loss assessments. However, despite a slight reduction in June 2024, the European Central Bank's key interest rate will remain at a high level in the current year in order to further counteract high inflation. This is likely to ease the cost pressure on insurers somewhat in the coming years and have a negative impact on demand for the industry's services.

Female child mortality rate of Ecuador declined by 1.74% from 11.5 deaths per thousand live births in 2022 to 11.3 deaths per thousand live births in 2023. Since the 4.03% reduction in 2013, female child mortality rate plummeted by 20.98% in 2023. Child mortality rate is the probability of dying between the exact ages of one and five, if subject to current age-specific mortality rates. The probability is expressed as a rate per 1,000.