Graph and download economic data for Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 30-Year Constant Maturity, Quoted on an Investment Basis (DGS30) from 1977-02-15 to 2025-07-22 about 30-year, maturity, Treasury, interest rate, interest, rate, and USA.

The yield on US 30 Year Bond Yield rose to 4.94% on July 23, 2025, marking a 0.02 percentage point increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.10 points and is 0.39 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. United States 30 Year Bond Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on July of 2025.

United States - Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 30-Year Constant Maturity was 4.90% in July of 2025, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, United States - Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 30-Year Constant Maturity reached a record high of 15.21 in October of 1981 and a record low of 0.99 in March of 2020. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for United States - Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 30-Year Constant Maturity - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on July of 2025.

United States - Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 30-Year Constant Maturity, Inflation-Indexed was 2.62% in May of 2025, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, United States - Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 30-Year Constant Maturity, Inflation-Indexed reached a record high of 2.62 in May of 2025 and a record low of -0.44 in November of 2021. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for United States - Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 30-Year Constant Maturity, Inflation-Indexed - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on June of 2025.

Graph and download economic data for Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 20-Year Constant Maturity, Quoted on an Investment Basis (DGS20) from 1962-01-02 to 2025-07-22 about 20-year, maturity, Treasury, interest rate, interest, rate, and USA.

As of July 22, 2025, the yield for a ten-year U.S. government bond was 4.38 percent, while the yield for a two-year bond was 3.88 percent. This represents an inverted yield curve, whereby bonds of longer maturities provide a lower yield, reflecting investors' expectations for a decline in long-term interest rates. Hence, making long-term debt holders open to more risk under the uncertainty around the condition of financial markets in the future. That markets are uncertain can be seen by considering both the short-term fluctuations, and the long-term downward trend, of the yields of U.S. government bonds from 2006 to 2021, before the treasury yield curve increased again significantly in the following years. What are government bonds? Government bonds, otherwise called ‘sovereign’ or ‘treasury’ bonds, are financial instruments used by governments to raise money for government spending. Investors give the government a certain amount of money (the ‘face value’), to be repaid at a specified time in the future (the ‘maturity date’). In addition, the government makes regular periodic interest payments (called ‘coupon payments’). Once initially issued, government bonds are tradable on financial markets, meaning their value can fluctuate over time (even though the underlying face value and coupon payments remain the same). Investors are attracted to government bonds as, provided the country in question has a stable economy and political system, they are a very safe investment. Accordingly, in periods of economic turmoil, investors may be willing to accept a negative overall return in order to have a safe haven for their money. For example, once the market value is compared to the total received from remaining interest payments and the face value, investors have been willing to accept a negative return on two-year German government bonds between 2014 and 2021. Conversely, if the underlying economy and political structures are weak, investors demand a higher return to compensate for the higher risk they take on. Consequently, the return on bonds in emerging markets like Brazil are consistently higher than that of the United States (and other developed economies). Inverted yield curves When investors are worried about the financial future, it can lead to what is called an ‘inverted yield curve’. An inverted yield curve is where investors pay more for short term bonds than long term, indicating they do not have confidence in long-term financial conditions. Historically, the yield curve has historically inverted before each of the last five U.S. recessions. The last U.S. yield curve inversion occurred at several brief points in 2019 – a trend which continued until the Federal Reserve cut interest rates several times over that year. However, the ultimate trigger for the next recession was the unpredicted, exogenous shock of the global coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, showing how such informal indicators may be grounded just as much in coincidence as causation.

In June 2025, the yield on a 10-year U.S. Treasury note was **** percent, forecasted to decrease to reach **** percent by February 2026. Treasury securities are debt instruments used by the government to finance the national debt. Who owns treasury notes? Because the U.S. treasury notes are generally assumed to be a risk-free investment, they are often used by large financial institutions as collateral. Because of this, billions of dollars in treasury securities are traded daily. Other countries also hold U.S. treasury securities, as do U.S. households. Investors and institutions accept the relatively low interest rate because the U.S. Treasury guarantees the investment. Looking into the future Because these notes are so commonly traded, their interest rate also serves as a signal about the market’s expectations of future growth. When markets expect the economy to grow, forecasts for treasury notes will reflect that in a higher interest rate. In fact, one harbinger of recession is an inverted yield curve, when the return on 3-month treasury bills is higher than the ten-year rate. While this does not always lead to a recession, it certainly signals pessimism from financial markets.

These rates are commonly referred to as Constant Maturity Treasury rates, or CMTs. Yields are interpolated by the Treasury from the daily yield curve. This curve, which relates the yield on a security to its time to maturity is based on the closing market bid yields on actively traded Treasury securities in the over-the-counter market. These market yields are calculated from composites of quotations obtained by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. The yield values are read from the yield curve at fixed maturities, currently 1, 3 and 6 months and 1, 2, 3, 5, 7, 10, 20, and 30 years. This method provides a yield for a 10 year maturity, for example, even if no outstanding security has exactly 10 years remaining to maturity.

Graph and download economic data for Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 2-Year Constant Maturity, Quoted on an Investment Basis (DGS2) from 1976-06-01 to 2025-07-21 about 2-year, maturity, Treasury, interest rate, interest, rate, and USA.

The yield on US 10 Year Note Bond Yield rose to 4.37% on July 23, 2025, marking a 0.02 percentage point increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.07 points and is 0.08 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. US 10 Year Treasury Bond Note Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on July of 2025.

United States - Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 30-Year Constant Maturity was 4.89% in June of 2025, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, United States - Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 30-Year Constant Maturity reached a record high of 14.68 in October of 1981 and a record low of 1.27 in April of 2020. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for United States - Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 30-Year Constant Maturity - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on July of 2025.

The yield on US 2 Year Note Bond Yield rose to 3.92% on July 24, 2025, marking a 0.04 percentage point increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.13 points, though it remains 0.52 points lower than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. US 2 Year Treasury Bond Note Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on July of 2025.

United States Treasury Bonds Yield: Constant Maturity: Nominal: MA: 30 Years data was reported at 3.361 % pa in Nov 2018. This records an increase from the previous number of 3.340 % pa for Oct 2018. United States Treasury Bonds Yield: Constant Maturity: Nominal: MA: 30 Years data is updated monthly, averaging 6.127 % pa from Feb 1977 (Median) to Nov 2018, with 502 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 14.684 % pa in Oct 1981 and a record low of 2.227 % pa in Jul 2016. United States Treasury Bonds Yield: Constant Maturity: Nominal: MA: 30 Years data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Board. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.M008: Treasury Securities Yields.

These rates are the daily secondary market quotation on the most recently auctioned Treasury Bills for each maturity tranche (4-week, 13-week, 26-week, and 52-week) that Treasury currently issues new Bills. Market quotations are obtained at approximately 3:30 PM each business day by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. The Bank Discount rate is the rate at which a Bill is quoted in the secondary market and is based on the par value, amount of the discount and a 360-day year. The Coupon Equivalent, also called the Bond Equivalent, or the Investment Yield, is the bill's yield based on the purchase price, discount, and a 365- or 366-day year. The Coupon Equivalent can be used to compare the yield on a discount bill to the yield on a nominal coupon bond that pays semiannual interest.

Graph and download economic data for Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 5-Year Constant Maturity, Quoted on an Investment Basis, Inflation-Indexed (DFII5) from 2003-01-02 to 2025-07-22 about TIPS, maturity, securities, Treasury, interest rate, interest, real, 5-year, rate, and USA.

United States - 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus Federal Funds Rate was 0.08% in June of 2025, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, United States - 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus Federal Funds Rate reached a record high of 4.92 in November of 1975 and a record low of -9.57 in December of 1980. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for United States - 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus Federal Funds Rate - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on June of 2025.

The yield on 30 Year TIPS Yield rose to 2.58% on July 3, 2025, marking a 0.03 percentage point increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.03 points, though it remains 0.33 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. This dataset includes a chart with historical data for the United States 30 Year TIPS Yield.

Graph and download economic data for Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 1-Month Constant Maturity, Quoted on an Investment Basis (DGS1MO) from 2001-07-31 to 2025-07-21 about 1-month, bills, maturity, Treasury, interest rate, interest, rate, and USA.

The yield on 10 Year TIPS Yield eased to 1.94% on July 22, 2025, marking a 0.01 percentage point decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.06 points and is 0.03 points lower than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. This dataset includes a chart with historical data for the United States 10 Year TIPS Yield.

We use the yield curve to predict future GDP growth and recession probabilities. The spread between short- and long-term rates typically correlates with economic growth. Predications are calculated using a model developed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. Released monthly.