The Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland provides daily “nowcasts” of inflation for two popular price indexes, the price index for personal consumption expenditures (PCE) and the Consumer Price Index (CPI). These nowcasts give a sense of where inflation is today. Released each business day.

The inflation rate in the United States declined significantly between June 2022 and July 2025, despite rising inflationary pressures towards the end of 2024. The peak inflation rate was recorded in June 2022, at *** percent. In August 2023, the Federal Reserve's interest rate hit its highest level during the observed period, at **** percent, and remained unchanged until September 2024, when the Federal Reserve implemented its first rate cut since September 2021. By January 2025, the rate dropped to **** percent, signalling a shift in monetary policy. What is the Federal Reserve interest rate? The Federal Reserve interest rate, or the federal funds rate, is the rate at which banks and credit unions lend to and borrow from each other. It is one of the Federal Reserve's key tools for maintaining strong employment rates, stable prices, and reasonable interest rates. The rate is determined by the Federal Reserve and adjusted eight times a year, though it can be changed through emergency meetings during times of crisis. The Fed doesn't directly control the interest rate but sets a target rate. It then uses open market operations to influence rates toward this target. Ways of measuring inflation Inflation is typically measured using several methods, with the most common being the Consumer Price Index (CPI). The CPI tracks the price of a fixed basket of goods and services over time, providing a measure of the price changes consumers face. At the end of 2023, the CPI in the United States was ****** percent, up from ****** a year earlier. A more business-focused measure is the producer price index (PPI), which represents the costs of firms.

Inflation Rate in the United States increased to 2.90 percent in August from 2.70 percent in July of 2025. This dataset provides - United States Inflation Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

The inflation rate in the United States is expected to decrease to 2.1 percent by 2029. 2022 saw a year of exceptionally high inflation, reaching eight percent for the year. The data represents U.S. city averages. The base period was 1982-84. In economics, the inflation rate is a measurement of inflation, the rate of increase of a price index (in this case: consumer price index). It is the percentage rate of change in prices level over time. The rate of decrease in the purchasing power of money is approximately equal. According to the forecast, prices will increase by 2.9 percent in 2024. The annual inflation rate for previous years can be found here and the consumer price index for all urban consumers here. The monthly inflation rate for the United States can also be accessed here. Inflation in the U.S.Inflation is a term used to describe a general rise in the price of goods and services in an economy over a given period of time. Inflation in the United States is calculated using the consumer price index (CPI). The consumer price index is a measure of change in the price level of a preselected market basket of consumer goods and services purchased by households. This forecast of U.S. inflation was prepared by the International Monetary Fund. They project that inflation will stay higher than average throughout 2023, followed by a decrease to around roughly two percent annual rise in the general level of prices until 2028. Considering the annual inflation rate in the United States in 2021, a two percent inflation rate is a very moderate projection. The 2022 spike in inflation in the United States and worldwide is due to a variety of factors that have put constraints on various aspects of the economy. These factors include COVID-19 pandemic spending and supply-chain constraints, disruptions due to the war in Ukraine, and pandemic related changes in the labor force. Although the moderate inflation of prices between two and three percent is considered normal in a modern economy, countries’ central banks try to prevent severe inflation and deflation to keep the growth of prices to a minimum. Severe inflation is considered dangerous to a country’s economy because it can rapidly diminish the population’s purchasing power and thus damage the GDP .

Graph and download economic data for FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Personal Consumption Expenditures less Food and Energy Inflation Rate, Central Tendency, Midpoint (JCXFECTM) from 2025 to 2028 about core, projection, PCE, consumption expenditures, consumption, personal, inflation, rate, and USA.

Core consumer prices in the United States increased 3.10 percent in August of 2025 over the same month in the previous year. This dataset provides - United States Core Inflation Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

Inflation Nowcasting Monthly Month-Over-Month is a part of the Inflation Nowcasting indicator of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.

United States FRB Cleveland Forecast: Inflation Nowcast: Core Consumer Price Index (CPI): YoY data was reported at 2.123 % in Dec 2018. This records a decrease from the previous number of 2.199 % for Nov 2018. United States FRB Cleveland Forecast: Inflation Nowcast: Core Consumer Price Index (CPI): YoY data is updated monthly, averaging 1.861 % from Aug 2013 (Median) to Dec 2018, with 65 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 2.322 % in Aug 2018 and a record low of 1.583 % in Jan 2015. United States FRB Cleveland Forecast: Inflation Nowcast: Core Consumer Price Index (CPI): YoY data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.I003: Consumer Price Index: Urban: Forecast: Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.

FRBOP Forecast: Core CPI Inflation: sa: Mean: Plus 1 Qtr data was reported at 2.226 % in Mar 2019. This records a decrease from the previous number of 2.327 % for Dec 2018. FRBOP Forecast: Core CPI Inflation: sa: Mean: Plus 1 Qtr data is updated quarterly, averaging 1.951 % from Mar 2007 (Median) to Mar 2019, with 49 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 2.365 % in Jun 2018 and a record low of 1.127 % in Mar 2009. FRBOP Forecast: Core CPI Inflation: sa: Mean: Plus 1 Qtr data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.I008: Consumer Price Index: Urban: sa: Forecast: Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.

Graph and download economic data for 30-Year Expected Inflation (EXPINF30YR) from Jan 1982 to Sep 2025 about 30-year, projection, inflation, and USA.

Consumer Price Index CPI in the United States increased to 323.98 points in August from 323.05 points in July of 2025. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United States Consumer Price Index (CPI) - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

Inflation Nowcasting Monthly Year-Over-Year is a part of the Inflation Nowcasting indicator of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.

FRBOP Forecast: CPI Inflation: sa: Mean: Plus 3 Qtrs data was reported at 2.233 % in Mar 2019. This records a decrease from the previous number of 2.361 % for Dec 2018. FRBOP Forecast: CPI Inflation: sa: Mean: Plus 3 Qtrs data is updated quarterly, averaging 2.531 % from Sep 1981 (Median) to Mar 2019, with 151 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 7.710 % in Dec 1981 and a record low of 1.460 % in Sep 2010. FRBOP Forecast: CPI Inflation: sa: Mean: Plus 3 Qtrs data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.I008: Consumer Price Index: Urban: sa: Forecast: Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.

The Consumer Price Index in the United States increased 0.40 percent in August of 2025 over the previous month. This dataset provides - United States Inflation Rate MoM - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

Inflation Expectations in the United States increased to 3.40 percent in September from 3.20 percent in August of 2025. This dataset provides - United States Consumer Inflation Expectations- actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

Graph and download economic data for 10-Year Expected Inflation (EXPINF10YR) from Jan 1982 to Sep 2025 about projection, 10-year, inflation, and USA.

United States FRBOP Forecast: Annual(CPI) Consumer Price IndexInflation: sa: Mean: Current data was reported at 2.394 % in Dec 2018. This records a decrease from the previous number of 2.467 % for Sep 2018. United States FRBOP Forecast: Annual(CPI) Consumer Price IndexInflation: sa: Mean: Current data is updated quarterly, averaging 2.835 % from Sep 1981 (Median) to Dec 2018, with 150 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 9.932 % in Dec 1981 and a record low of 0.265 % in Mar 2009. United States FRBOP Forecast: Annual(CPI) Consumer Price IndexInflation: sa: Mean: Current data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.I008: Consumer Price Index: Urban: sa: Forecast: Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.

FRBOP Forecast: CPI Inflation: sa: Median: Plus 3 Qtrs data was reported at 2.300 % in Jun 2018. This records an increase from the previous number of 2.227 % for Mar 2018. FRBOP Forecast: CPI Inflation: sa: Median: Plus 3 Qtrs data is updated quarterly, averaging 2.513 % from Sep 1981 (Median) to Jun 2018, with 148 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 7.550 % in Sep 1981 and a record low of 1.600 % in Sep 2010. FRBOP Forecast: CPI Inflation: sa: Median: Plus 3 Qtrs data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.I008: Consumer Price Index: Urban: sa: Forecast: Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.

We report average expected inflation rates over the next one through 30 years. Our estimates of expected inflation rates are calculated using a Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland model that combines financial data and survey-based measures. Released monthly.

Graph and download economic data for 3-Year Expected Inflation (EXPINF3YR) from Jan 1982 to Sep 2025 about 3-year, projection, inflation, and USA.