United States US: GDP: Growth: Gross Value Added: Services data was reported at 2.621 % in 2015. This records an increase from the previous number of 2.221 % for 2014. United States US: GDP: Growth: Gross Value Added: Services data is updated yearly, averaging 2.335 % from Dec 1998 (Median) to 2015, with 18 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 4.456 % in 1999 and a record low of -1.772 % in 2009. United States US: GDP: Growth: Gross Value Added: Services data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by World Bank. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.World Bank: Gross Domestic Product: Annual Growth Rate. Annual growth rate for value added in services based on constant local currency. Aggregates are based on constant 2010 U.S. dollars. Services correspond to ISIC divisions 50-99. They include value added in wholesale and retail trade (including hotels and restaurants), transport, and government, financial, professional, and personal services such as education, health care, and real estate services. Also included are imputed bank service charges, import duties, and any statistical discrepancies noted by national compilers as well as discrepancies arising from rescaling. Value added is the net output of a sector after adding up all outputs and subtracting intermediate inputs. It is calculated without making deductions for depreciation of fabricated assets or depletion and degradation of natural resources. The industrial origin of value added is determined by the International Standard Industrial Classification (ISIC), revision 3.; ; World Bank national accounts data, and OECD National Accounts data files.; Weighted Average; Note: Data for OECD countries are based on ISIC, revision 4.

Description: This dataset contains historical economic data spanning from 1871 to 2024, used in Jaouad Karfali’s research on Economic Cycle Analysis with Numerical Time Cycles. The study aims to improve economic forecasting accuracy through the 9-year cycle model, which demonstrates superior predictive capabilities compared to traditional economic indicators.

Dataset Contents: The dataset includes a comprehensive range of economic indicators used in the research, such as:

USGDP_1871-2024.csv – U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data. USCPI_cleaned.csv – U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI), cleaned and processed. USWAGE_1871-2024.csv – U.S. average wages data. EXCHANGEGLOBAL_cleaned.csv – Global exchange rates for the U.S. dollar. EXCHANGEPOUND_cleaned.csv – U.S. dollar to British pound exchange rates. INTERESTRATE_1871-2024.csv – U.S. interest rate data. UNRATE.csv – U.S. unemployment rate statistics. POPTOTUSA647NWDB.csv – U.S. total population data. Significance of the Data: This dataset serves as a foundation for a robust economic analysis of the U.S. economy over multiple decades. It was instrumental in testing the 9-year economic cycle model, which demonstrated an 85% accuracy rate in economic forecasting when compared to traditional models such as ARIMA and VAR.

Applications:

Economic Forecasting: Predicts a 1.5% decline in GDP in 2025, followed by a gradual recovery between 2026-2034. Economic Stability Analysis: Used for comparing forecasts with estimates from institutions like the IMF and World Bank. Academic and Institutional Research: Supports studies in economic cycles and long-term forecasting. Source & Further Information: For more details on the methodology and research findings, refer to the full paper published on SSRN:

https://ssrn.com/author=7429208 https://orcid.org/0009-0002-9626-7289

• Jaouad Karfali

United States Diffusion Index: sa: Mfg: 3 Months Span data was reported at 67.100 Unit in Oct 2018. This records an increase from the previous number of 63.200 Unit for Sep 2018. United States Diffusion Index: sa: Mfg: 3 Months Span data is updated monthly, averaging 49.000 Unit from Jan 1991 (Median) to Oct 2018, with 334 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 82.200 Unit in Nov 1997 and a record low of 2.600 Unit in Mar 2009. United States Diffusion Index: sa: Mfg: 3 Months Span data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Bureau of Labor Statistics. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.G041: Current Employment Statistics Survey: Diffusion Index.

United States Index: NYSE Financial data was reported at 7,713.770 31Dec2002=5000 in Nov 2018. This records an increase from the previous number of 7,543.040 31Dec2002=5000 for Oct 2018. United States Index: NYSE Financial data is updated monthly, averaging 6,396.895 31Dec2002=5000 from Dec 2002 (Median) to Nov 2018, with 192 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 9,933.900 31Dec2002=5000 in May 2007 and a record low of 2,518.780 31Dec2002=5000 in Feb 2009. United States Index: NYSE Financial data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by New York Stock Exchange. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.Z001: NYSE: Indexes.

Graph and download economic data for Narrow Money, Index for the United States (DISCONTINUED) (MANMNM01USQ661S) from Q1 1959 to Q4 2013 about narrow, monetary aggregates, indexes, and USA.

data was reported at 133.810 Dec2003=100 in Dec 2022. This records a decrease from the previous number of 140.869 Dec2003=100 for Nov 2022. data is updated monthly, averaging 118.100 Dec2003=100 from Dec 2003 (Median) to Dec 2022, with 229 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 153.450 Dec2003=100 in Oct 2022 and a record low of 90.500 Dec2003=100 in Jun 2020. data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.I100: Producer Price Index: by Industry: Services: Retail Trade.

United States PPI: SI: GS: PI: Others data was reported at 121.522 Jun2014=100 in Mar 2025. This records a decrease from the previous number of 124.605 Jun2014=100 for Feb 2025. United States PPI: SI: GS: PI: Others data is updated monthly, averaging 121.661 Jun2014=100 from Jun 2014 (Median) to Mar 2025, with 130 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 135.932 Jun2014=100 in Aug 2023 and a record low of 100.000 Jun2014=100 in Jun 2014. United States PPI: SI: GS: PI: Others data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.I108: Producer Price Index: by Industry: Special Indices.

United States PPI: Svcs: LS: OL: PS: Real Estate Legal Services data was reported at 287.008 Dec1996=100 in Apr 2025. This records a decrease from the previous number of 288.602 Dec1996=100 for Mar 2025. United States PPI: Svcs: LS: OL: PS: Real Estate Legal Services data is updated monthly, averaging 164.800 Dec1996=100 from Dec 1996 (Median) to Apr 2025, with 341 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 288.985 Dec1996=100 in Jan 2025 and a record low of 100.000 Dec1996=100 in Dec 1996. United States PPI: Svcs: LS: OL: PS: Real Estate Legal Services data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.I: Producer Price Index: by Industry: Services: Professional and Technical.

United States Agg Weekly Payrolls: sa: Index: Mfg: Food data was reported at 205.300 2007=100 in Apr 2025. This records an increase from the previous number of 205.100 2007=100 for Mar 2025. United States Agg Weekly Payrolls: sa: Index: Mfg: Food data is updated monthly, averaging 127.150 2007=100 from Mar 2006 (Median) to Apr 2025, with 230 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 205.300 2007=100 in Apr 2025 and a record low of 93.600 2007=100 in Mar 2006. United States Agg Weekly Payrolls: sa: Index: Mfg: Food data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.G083: Current Employment Statistics: Aggregate Weekly Payroll Index: Seasonally Adjusted.

United States New York Stock Exchange: Index: MSCI US data was reported at 5,314.518 NA in Apr 2025. This records a decrease from the previous number of 5,346.314 NA for Mar 2025. United States New York Stock Exchange: Index: MSCI US data is updated monthly, averaging 2,588.868 NA from Jan 2012 (Median) to Apr 2025, with 160 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 5,783.640 NA in Jan 2025 and a record low of 1,251.287 NA in May 2012. United States New York Stock Exchange: Index: MSCI US data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Exchange Data International Limited. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.EDI.SE: New York Stock Exchange: MSCI: Monthly.

United States Unemployment Rate: North Dakota data was reported at 2.900 % in Jun 2018. This records an increase from the previous number of 2.200 % for May 2018. United States Unemployment Rate: North Dakota data is updated monthly, averaging 3.700 % from Jan 1976 (Median) to Jun 2018, with 510 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 7.400 % in Mar 1983 and a record low of 1.600 % in Oct 1997. United States Unemployment Rate: North Dakota data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Bureau of Labor Statistics. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.G057: Unemployment Rate: By State.

United States US: GDP: USD: Gross National Income data was reported at 19,607.598 USD bn in 2017. This records an increase from the previous number of 18,968.714 USD bn for 2016. United States US: GDP: USD: Gross National Income data is updated yearly, averaging 5,447.032 USD bn from Dec 1960 (Median) to 2017, with 58 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 19,607.598 USD bn in 2017 and a record low of 546.400 USD bn in 1960. United States US: GDP: USD: Gross National Income data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by World Bank. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.World Bank: Gross Domestic Product: Nominal. GNI (formerly GNP) is the sum of value added by all resident producers plus any product taxes (less subsidies) not included in the valuation of output plus net receipts of primary income (compensation of employees and property income) from abroad. Data are in current U.S. dollars.; ; World Bank national accounts data, and OECD National Accounts data files.; Gap-filled total;

United States State Leading Index: Delaware data was reported at 0.243 % in Aug 2018. This records a decrease from the previous number of 0.647 % for Jul 2018. United States State Leading Index: Delaware data is updated monthly, averaging 1.421 % from Jan 1982 (Median) to Aug 2018, with 440 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 4.930 % in Aug 1986 and a record low of -3.070 % in Nov 2008. United States State Leading Index: Delaware data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.S008: State Leading Index.

United States PPI: Svcs: TA: PS: FB: Domestic data was reported at 77.299 Dec1989=100 in Mar 2025. This records an increase from the previous number of 76.911 Dec1989=100 for Feb 2025. United States PPI: Svcs: TA: PS: FB: Domestic data is updated monthly, averaging 103.200 Dec1989=100 from Dec 1989 (Median) to Mar 2025, with 424 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 137.600 Dec1989=100 in Mar 1992 and a record low of 63.177 Dec1989=100 in Oct 2021. United States PPI: Svcs: TA: PS: FB: Domestic data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.I105: Producer Price Index: by Industry: Services: Professional and Technical.

United States NLB: saar: Capital Account: Addendum: Rest of the World data was reported at 569.211 USD bn in Mar 2018. This records an increase from the previous number of 524.026 USD bn for Dec 2017. United States NLB: saar: Capital Account: Addendum: Rest of the World data is updated quarterly, averaging 43.283 USD bn from Dec 1951 (Median) to Mar 2018, with 266 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 859.012 USD bn in Sep 2006 and a record low of -42.129 USD bn in Mar 1991. United States NLB: saar: Capital Account: Addendum: Rest of the World data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Board. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.AB074: Integrated Macroeconomic Accounts: Total Economy and Sectors: Selected Aggregates.

United States Export Price Index: Mfg: MA: ET: Others data was reported at 117.800 Dec2019=100 in Mar 2025. This stayed constant from the previous number of 117.800 Dec2019=100 for Feb 2025. United States Export Price Index: Mfg: MA: ET: Others data is updated monthly, averaging 110.650 Dec2019=100 from Dec 2019 (Median) to Mar 2025, with 64 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 118.200 Dec2019=100 in Aug 2024 and a record low of 100.000 Dec2019=100 in Dec 2019. United States Export Price Index: Mfg: MA: ET: Others data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.JA118: Export Price Index: by NAICS.

United States PPI Weights: WT: ME: Parts & Supplies data was reported at 12.941 % in 2024. This records a decrease from the previous number of 13.107 % for 2023. United States PPI Weights: WT: ME: Parts & Supplies data is updated yearly, averaging 14.730 % from Dec 2009 (Median) to 2024, with 16 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 21.165 % in 2021 and a record low of 12.272 % in 2022. United States PPI Weights: WT: ME: Parts & Supplies data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.I070: Producer Price Index: by Wherever-Provided Services and Construction: Weights.

United States PPI: Svcs: SC: NC: CF: PS: MM: Medicaid data was reported at 128.985 Jun2012=100 in Apr 2025. This stayed constant from the previous number of 128.985 Jun2012=100 for Mar 2025. United States PPI: Svcs: SC: NC: CF: PS: MM: Medicaid data is updated monthly, averaging 109.500 Jun2012=100 from Jun 2012 (Median) to Apr 2025, with 155 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 128.985 Jun2012=100 in Apr 2025 and a record low of 99.200 Jun2012=100 in Aug 2013. United States PPI: Svcs: SC: NC: CF: PS: MM: Medicaid data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.I: Producer Price Index: by Industry: Services: Selected Health Care Industries.

United States PPI: Svcs: TA: PS: Others: Cruise & Tour Booking (CT) data was reported at 108.561 Jun2002=100 in Apr 2025. This records a decrease from the previous number of 109.191 Jun2002=100 for Mar 2025. United States PPI: Svcs: TA: PS: Others: Cruise & Tour Booking (CT) data is updated monthly, averaging 101.810 Jun2002=100 from Jun 2002 (Median) to Apr 2025, with 275 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 138.100 Jun2002=100 in Jun 2019 and a record low of 64.500 Jun2002=100 in Jul 2020. United States PPI: Svcs: TA: PS: Others: Cruise & Tour Booking (CT) data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.I: Producer Price Index: by Industry: Services: Professional and Technical.

United States PPI: sa: Final: Services: Trade: Government Purchased (GP) data was reported at 120.900 Nov2009=100 in Jun 2018. This records a decrease from the previous number of 121.100 Nov2009=100 for May 2018. United States PPI: sa: Final: Services: Trade: Government Purchased (GP) data is updated monthly, averaging 109.250 Nov2009=100 from Nov 2009 (Median) to Jun 2018, with 104 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 121.100 Nov2009=100 in May 2018 and a record low of 99.300 Nov2009=100 in Jul 2010. United States PPI: sa: Final: Services: Trade: Government Purchased (GP) data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Bureau of Labor Statistics. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.I020: Producer Price Index: FD-ID System: Final Demand: Seasonally Adjusted.