United States US: GDP: Growth: Gross Value Added: Services data was reported at 2.621 % in 2015. This records an increase from the previous number of 2.221 % for 2014. United States US: GDP: Growth: Gross Value Added: Services data is updated yearly, averaging 2.335 % from Dec 1998 (Median) to 2015, with 18 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 4.456 % in 1999 and a record low of -1.772 % in 2009. United States US: GDP: Growth: Gross Value Added: Services data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by World Bank. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.World Bank: Gross Domestic Product: Annual Growth Rate. Annual growth rate for value added in services based on constant local currency. Aggregates are based on constant 2010 U.S. dollars. Services correspond to ISIC divisions 50-99. They include value added in wholesale and retail trade (including hotels and restaurants), transport, and government, financial, professional, and personal services such as education, health care, and real estate services. Also included are imputed bank service charges, import duties, and any statistical discrepancies noted by national compilers as well as discrepancies arising from rescaling. Value added is the net output of a sector after adding up all outputs and subtracting intermediate inputs. It is calculated without making deductions for depreciation of fabricated assets or depletion and degradation of natural resources. The industrial origin of value added is determined by the International Standard Industrial Classification (ISIC), revision 3.; ; World Bank national accounts data, and OECD National Accounts data files.; Weighted Average; Note: Data for OECD countries are based on ISIC, revision 4.

Description: This dataset contains historical economic data spanning from 1871 to 2024, used in Jaouad Karfali’s research on Economic Cycle Analysis with Numerical Time Cycles. The study aims to improve economic forecasting accuracy through the 9-year cycle model, which demonstrates superior predictive capabilities compared to traditional economic indicators.

Dataset Contents: The dataset includes a comprehensive range of economic indicators used in the research, such as:

USGDP_1871-2024.csv – U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data. USCPI_cleaned.csv – U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI), cleaned and processed. USWAGE_1871-2024.csv – U.S. average wages data. EXCHANGEGLOBAL_cleaned.csv – Global exchange rates for the U.S. dollar. EXCHANGEPOUND_cleaned.csv – U.S. dollar to British pound exchange rates. INTERESTRATE_1871-2024.csv – U.S. interest rate data. UNRATE.csv – U.S. unemployment rate statistics. POPTOTUSA647NWDB.csv – U.S. total population data. Significance of the Data: This dataset serves as a foundation for a robust economic analysis of the U.S. economy over multiple decades. It was instrumental in testing the 9-year economic cycle model, which demonstrated an 85% accuracy rate in economic forecasting when compared to traditional models such as ARIMA and VAR.

Applications:

Economic Forecasting: Predicts a 1.5% decline in GDP in 2025, followed by a gradual recovery between 2026-2034. Economic Stability Analysis: Used for comparing forecasts with estimates from institutions like the IMF and World Bank. Academic and Institutional Research: Supports studies in economic cycles and long-term forecasting. Source & Further Information: For more details on the methodology and research findings, refer to the full paper published on SSRN:

https://ssrn.com/author=7429208 https://orcid.org/0009-0002-9626-7289

• Jaouad Karfali

United States - Longer Run FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Civilian Unemployment Rate, Median was 4.20% in March of 2025, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, United States - Longer Run FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Civilian Unemployment Rate, Median reached a record high of 5.00 in June of 2015 and a record low of 4.00 in March of 2021. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for United States - Longer Run FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Civilian Unemployment Rate, Median - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on July of 2025.

In 2024, the finance, real estate, insurance, rental, and leasing industry added the most value to the GDP of the United States. In that year, this industry added 6.2 trillion U.S. dollars to the national GDP. Gross Domestic Product Gross domestic product is a measure of how much a country produces in a certain amount of time. Countries with a high GDP tend to have large economies, for example, the United States. However, GDP does not take into consideration the cost of living and inflation rates, so it is not a good measure of the standard of living. GDP per capita at purchasing power parity is thought to be more reflective of living conditions within a particular country. U.S. GDP California added the largest amount of value to the real GDP of the U.S. in 2022. California was followed by Texas and New York. In California, the professional and business services industry was the most valuable to GDP in 2022. In New York, the finance, insurance, real estate, rental, and leasing industry added the most value to the state GDP. While the business sector added the highest value to the U.S. real GDP in 2021, it was the information industry that had the biggest percentage change in value added to the GDP between 2010 and 2021.

United States SB: AK: Outlook: BP: None of the Above data was reported at 53.700 % in 11 Apr 2022. This records a decrease from the previous number of 57.700 % for 04 Apr 2022. United States SB: AK: Outlook: BP: None of the Above data is updated weekly, averaging 53.700 % from Feb 2022 (Median) to 11 Apr 2022, with 9 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 61.800 % in 07 Mar 2022 and a record low of 44.800 % in 28 Mar 2022. United States SB: AK: Outlook: BP: None of the Above data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by U.S. Census Bureau. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.S053: Small Business Pulse Survey: by State: West Region: Weekly, Beg Monday (Discontinued).

United States Texas Manufacturing Outlook: Future Prices Received for Finished Goo data was reported at 28.100 % in Jun 2018. This records an increase from the previous number of 27.000 % for May 2018. United States Texas Manufacturing Outlook: Future Prices Received for Finished Goo data is updated monthly, averaging 20.900 % from Jun 2004 (Median) to Jun 2018, with 169 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 57.800 % in Jul 2008 and a record low of -24.000 % in Feb 2009. United States Texas Manufacturing Outlook: Future Prices Received for Finished Goo data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.S014: Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey.

United States US: GDP: USD: Gross National Income data was reported at 19,607.598 USD bn in 2017. This records an increase from the previous number of 18,968.714 USD bn for 2016. United States US: GDP: USD: Gross National Income data is updated yearly, averaging 5,447.032 USD bn from Dec 1960 (Median) to 2017, with 58 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 19,607.598 USD bn in 2017 and a record low of 546.400 USD bn in 1960. United States US: GDP: USD: Gross National Income data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by World Bank. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.World Bank: Gross Domestic Product: Nominal. GNI (formerly GNP) is the sum of value added by all resident producers plus any product taxes (less subsidies) not included in the valuation of output plus net receipts of primary income (compensation of employees and property income) from abroad. Data are in current U.S. dollars.; ; World Bank national accounts data, and OECD National Accounts data files.; Gap-filled total;

Water provides society with economic benefits that increasingly involve tradeoffs, making accounting for water quality, quantity, and their corresponding economic productivity more relevant in our interconnected world. In the past, physical and economic data about water have been fragmented, but integration is becoming more widely adopted internationally through application of the System of Environmental-Economic Accounts for Water (SEEA-Water), which enables the tracking of linkages between water and the economy over time and across scales. In this paper, we present the first national and subnational SEEA-Water accounts for the United States. We compile accounts for: (1) physical supply and use of water, (2) water productivity, (3) water quality, and (4) water emissions. These cover state and national levels for roughly the years 2000 to 2015. The results illustrate broad aggregate trends as well as subnational or industry-level phenomena. Specifically, the accounts show that total U.S. water use declined by 22% from 2000 to 2015, continuing a national trend seen since 1980. Total water use fell in 44 states, though groundwater use increased in 21 states. Nationally, a larger percent of water use comes from groundwater than at any time since 1950. Reductions in water use, combined with economic growth, lead to increases in water productivity for the entire national economy (65%), mining (99%), and agriculture (68%), though substantial variation occurred among states. Surface-water quality trends for the years 2002 to 2012 were most evident at regional levels, and differ by water-quality constituent and region. Chloride, nitrate, and total dissolved solids levels in groundwater had more consistent and widespread water-quality declines nationally. This work provides a baseline of recent historical water resource trends and their value in the U.S., as well as roadmap for the completion of future accounts for water, a critical ecosystem service. Our work also aids in the interpretation of ecosystem accounts in the context of long-term trends in U.S. water resources.

United States SB: OH: Outlook: FN: None of the Above data was reported at 30.000 % in 11 Apr 2022. This records a decrease from the previous number of 32.200 % for 04 Apr 2022. United States SB: OH: Outlook: FN: None of the Above data is updated weekly, averaging 30.250 % from Nov 2021 (Median) to 11 Apr 2022, with 18 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 36.300 % in 29 Nov 2021 and a record low of 26.800 % in 06 Dec 2021. United States SB: OH: Outlook: FN: None of the Above data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by U.S. Census Bureau. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.S047: Small Business Pulse Survey: by State: Midwest Region: Weekly, Beg Monday (Discontinued).

United States TSOS: Wages & Benefits: Number Change data was reported at 59.800 % in Apr 2020. This records a decrease from the previous number of 71.800 % for Mar 2020. United States TSOS: Wages & Benefits: Number Change data is updated monthly, averaging 79.000 % from Jan 2007 (Median) to Apr 2020, with 160 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 89.100 % in Nov 2010 and a record low of 59.800 % in Apr 2020. United States TSOS: Wages & Benefits: Number Change data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.S017: Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey.

Graph and download economic data for Noncyclical Rate of Unemployment (NROU) from Q1 1949 to Q4 2035 about NAIRU, long-term, projection, unemployment, rate, and USA.

United States SB: RI: Outlook: Business Practices (BP): Adopted/Exp Use of Tech data was reported at 12.700 % in 11 Apr 2022. This records a decrease from the previous number of 13.700 % for 04 Apr 2022. United States SB: RI: Outlook: Business Practices (BP): Adopted/Exp Use of Tech data is updated weekly, averaging 15.500 % from Feb 2022 (Median) to 11 Apr 2022, with 7 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 17.700 % in 28 Feb 2022 and a record low of 12.700 % in 11 Apr 2022. United States SB: RI: Outlook: Business Practices (BP): Adopted/Exp Use of Tech data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by U.S. Census Bureau. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.S049: Small Business Pulse Survey: by State: Northeast Region: Weekly, Beg Monday (Discontinued).

United States SB: MI: Outlook: FN: Permanently Close Business data was reported at 3.200 % in 11 Apr 2022. This records an increase from the previous number of 2.400 % for 28 Mar 2022. United States SB: MI: Outlook: FN: Permanently Close Business data is updated weekly, averaging 3.150 % from Nov 2021 (Median) to 11 Apr 2022, with 14 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 3.800 % in 14 Mar 2022 and a record low of 2.200 % in 27 Dec 2021. United States SB: MI: Outlook: FN: Permanently Close Business data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by U.S. Census Bureau. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.S047: Small Business Pulse Survey: by State: Midwest Region: Weekly, Beg Monday (Discontinued).

United States Texas Manufacturing Outlook: Future Wages and Benefits data was reported at 50.000 % in Jun 2018. This records an increase from the previous number of 48.000 % for May 2018. United States Texas Manufacturing Outlook: Future Wages and Benefits data is updated monthly, averaging 39.100 % from Jun 2004 (Median) to Jun 2018, with 169 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 58.100 % in Jan 2018 and a record low of 2.000 % in Mar 2009. United States Texas Manufacturing Outlook: Future Wages and Benefits data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.S014: Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey.

United States SB: MA: Outlook: BP: Change Business Strategies data was reported at 15.900 % in 11 Apr 2022. This records an increase from the previous number of 14.500 % for 04 Apr 2022. United States SB: MA: Outlook: BP: Change Business Strategies data is updated weekly, averaging 17.100 % from Feb 2022 (Median) to 11 Apr 2022, with 9 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 21.600 % in 14 Mar 2022 and a record low of 14.500 % in 04 Apr 2022. United States SB: MA: Outlook: BP: Change Business Strategies data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by U.S. Census Bureau. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.S049: Small Business Pulse Survey: by State: Northeast Region: Weekly, Beg Monday (Discontinued).

United States Coal: Losses & Unaccounted data was reported at 1,208.797 Short Ton th in Aug 2018. This records an increase from the previous number of -1,762.329 Short Ton th for Jul 2018. United States Coal: Losses & Unaccounted data is updated monthly, averaging 301.188 Short Ton th from Jan 1973 (Median) to Aug 2018, with 548 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 7,744.962 Short Ton th in Jan 2012 and a record low of -11,415.066 Short Ton th in Jan 1973. United States Coal: Losses & Unaccounted data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Energy Information Administration. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.RB003: Coal Overview.

United States TSOS: Company Outlook: Number Change data was reported at 18.500 % in Apr 2020. This records an increase from the previous number of 17.200 % for Mar 2020. United States TSOS: Company Outlook: Number Change data is updated monthly, averaging 67.350 % from Jan 2007 (Median) to Apr 2020, with 160 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 80.300 % in Feb 2019 and a record low of 17.200 % in Mar 2020. United States TSOS: Company Outlook: Number Change data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.S017: Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey.

United States SB: NC: Outlook: FN: Increase Marketing/Sales data was reported at 23.800 % in 11 Apr 2022. This records a decrease from the previous number of 28.200 % for 04 Apr 2022. United States SB: NC: Outlook: FN: Increase Marketing/Sales data is updated weekly, averaging 25.250 % from Nov 2021 (Median) to 11 Apr 2022, with 18 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 28.600 % in 10 Jan 2022 and a record low of 21.600 % in 15 Nov 2021. United States SB: NC: Outlook: FN: Increase Marketing/Sales data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by U.S. Census Bureau. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.S051: Small Business Pulse Survey: by State: South Region: Weekly, Beg Monday (Discontinued).

United States TMOS: Future Capital Expenditures: Increase data was reported at 19.600 % in Apr 2020. This records an increase from the previous number of 18.800 % for Mar 2020. United States TMOS: Future Capital Expenditures: Increase data is updated monthly, averaging 29.700 % from Jun 2004 (Median) to Apr 2020, with 191 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 56.900 % in Oct 2004 and a record low of 7.300 % in May 2009. United States TMOS: Future Capital Expenditures: Increase data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.S016: Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey.

United States MBOS Diffusion Index: Nxt 6 Mths: Number of Employees: Number Change data was reported at 44.400 % in Apr 2020. This records a decrease from the previous number of 59.600 % for Mar 2020. United States MBOS Diffusion Index: Nxt 6 Mths: Number of Employees: Number Change data is updated monthly, averaging 55.000 % from May 1968 (Median) to Apr 2020, with 624 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 82.600 % in Nov 1973 and a record low of 35.300 % in Mar 2017. United States MBOS Diffusion Index: Nxt 6 Mths: Number of Employees: Number Change data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.S011: Third District Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey. [COVID-19-IMPACT]