Graph and download economic data for FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Range, Low (FEDTARRL) from 2025 to 2027 about projection, federal, rate, and USA.

Graph and download economic data for Longer Run FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Personal Consumption Expenditures Inflation Rate, Central Tendency, Low (PCECTPICTLLR) from 2009-02-18 to 2025-06-18 about projection, PCE, consumption expenditures, consumption, personal, inflation, rate, and USA.

Graph and download economic data for FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Personal Consumption Expenditures Inflation Rate, Range, Midpoint (PCECTPIRM) from 2025 to 2027 about projection, PCE, consumption expenditures, consumption, personal, inflation, rate, and USA.

Graph and download economic data for Longer Run FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Central Tendency, Low (FEDTARCTLLR) from 2015-06-17 to 2025-06-18 about projection, federal, rate, and USA.

Graph and download economic data for Longer Run FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Civilian Unemployment Rate, Range, Midpoint (UNRATERMLR) from 2009-02-18 to 2025-06-18 about projection, civilian, unemployment, rate, and USA.

Graph and download economic data for FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Civilian Unemployment Rate, Range, Midpoint (UNRATERM) from 2025 to 2027 about projection, civilian, unemployment, rate, and USA.

Graph and download economic data for FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Growth Rate of Real Gross Domestic Product, Range, Low (GDPC1RL) from 2025 to 2027 about projection, real, GDP, rate, and USA.

Graph and download economic data for Longer Run FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Growth Rate of Real Gross Domestic Product, Central Tendency, Midpoint (GDPC1CTMLR) from 2009-02-18 to 2025-06-18 about projection, real, GDP, rate, and USA.

This data collection was used in the book, "Committee Decisions on Monetary Policy: Evidence from Historical Records of the Federal Open Market Committee," by Henry Chappell, Rob Roy McGregor, and Todd Vermilyea, which examined the monetary policy preferences of members of the Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) and the process by which its members' preferences were translated into policy decisions. Chapter 4 Data files related to Chapter 4 of the book are contained in: Ch04WebFiles.zip. See the readme file contained within that zip file for documentation. Chapter 5 All data described in Chapter 5 is subsequently employed in Chapters 6-8. Descriptions are provided below in the sections for those chapters. Chapter 6 Data files related to Chapter 6 are contained in Chapter06_Data_for_Web.zip. See the readme file contained within that zip file for documentation. Many data files for Chapter 6 are the same as those used in Chapter 7. More details are provided below for Chapter 7. Chapter 7 Data and programs for this chapter come from the JMCB article from which the chapter is drawn. Data files related to the JMCB article are contained in: ChappellMcGregorVermilyea_Data_011503.zip. See the JMCB.pdf file contained within that zip file for documentation. Section 7.5.2 of this chapter also uses data describing the order of speaking within meetings. We have used this data more extensively in our working paper, "The Persuasive Power of the Chairman: Arthur Burns and the FOMC." Data for that paper is provided in the: WEA_BeforeAfter_Data_Archive.zip. Chapter 8 Much of the data (and methods) used in Chapter 6 are used again in Chapter 8. Relevant data and program files and documentation are provided in: Chapter08_Data_for Web.zip.

Graph and download economic data for Federal Funds Target Range - Upper Limit (DFEDTARU) from 2008-12-16 to 2025-07-31 about federal, interest rate, interest, rate, and USA.

Graph and download economic data for Longer Run FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Civilian Unemployment Rate, Range, High (UNRATERHLR) from 2009-02-18 to 2025-06-18 about projection, civilian, unemployment, rate, and USA.

Graph and download economic data for Federal Funds Target Range - Lower Limit (DFEDTARL) from 2008-12-16 to 2025-07-28 about federal, interest rate, interest, rate, and USA.

FOMC Meeting Policy Statements Dataset (Year 2000+, updated monthly)

  Overview

This dataset contains the policy statements released by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) following each of its meetings from year 2000 onwords. The FOMC, a component of the U.S. Federal Reserve System, determines monetary policy in the United States. The statements provide insights into the committee’s policy decisions, economic outlook, and forward guidance.

  Background on Policy… See the full description on the dataset page: https://huggingface.co/datasets/Coding-Fish/fomc-statements.

For many years prior to the global financial crisis, the Federal Open Market Committee set a target for the federal funds rate and achieved that target through small purchases and sales of securities in the open market. In the aftermath of the financial crisis, with a superabundant level of reserve balances in the banking system having been created as a result of the Federal Reserve's large-scale asset purchase programs, this approach to implementing monetary policy will no longer work. This paper provides a primer on the Fed's implementation of monetary policy. We use the standard textbook model to illustrate why the approach used by the Federal Reserve before the financial crisis to keep the federal funds rate near the Federal Open Market Committee's target will not work in current circumstances, and explain the approach that the Committee intends to use instead when it decides to begin raising short-term interest rates.

In January 2000, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) instituted the practice of issuing a "balance of risks" statement along with their policy decision immediately following each FOMC meeting. The authors evaluate the use of the balance-of-risks statement and the market's interpretation of it. They find that the balance-of-risks statement is one of the factors that market participants use to determine the likelihood that the FOMC will adjust its target for the federal funds rate at their next meeting. Moreover, they find that, on some occasions, the FOMC behaved in such a way as to encourage the use of the balance-of-risks statement for this purpose. The clarifying statements that sometimes accompany these balance-of-risks statements, as well as general remarks made by the Chairman and other FOMC members, often provide additional useful information.

This dataset contains cross-sections of the last observed option quote for each strike of 17 underlyings 30 minutes before and after the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announcement at 13:00 Chicago time (CT) on 18 March 2015. It is extracted from the confidential bulk CBOE OPRA data provided by the Options Price Reporting Authority (OPRA) and is employed to estimate the high-frequency risk-neutral density (RND) of the selected underlyings and examine the intraday changes in these RNDs following the FOMC announcement. This dataset underlies the empirical application on RND extraction of Andersen et al. (Journal of Financial Econometrics, 19(1), 128-177, 2021).

Dataset Description

This dataset contains the actual and predicted federal funds target rate for the United States from 1990 to 2023. The federal funds target rate is the interest rate at which depository institutions lend their excess reserves to each other overnight. It is set by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) and is a key tool used by the Federal Reserve to influence the economy.

The dataset includes the following five columns:

Release Date: The date on which the data was released by the Federal Reserve. Time: The time of day at which the data was released. Actual: The actual federal funds target rate. Predicted: The predicted federal funds target rate. Forecast: The forecast federal funds target rate.

Data Usage

This dataset can be used for a variety of purposes, including: - Analyzing trends in the federal funds target rate over time. - Forecasting the future path of the federal funds target rate. - Assessing the effectiveness of monetary policy. - Data Quality

The data for this dataset is of high quality. The Federal Reserve is a reputable source of data and the data is updated regularly.

Data Limitations

The data for this dataset is limited to the United States. Additionally, the data does not include information on the factors that influenced the Federal Open Market Committee's decision to set the federal funds target rate.

KAV 3839 First signed Last signed Entry into force (supplemented by last signed) stamped 94-124 C06534158 cover memo

The benchmark interest rate in the United States was last recorded at 4.50 percent. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United States Fed Funds Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

The Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey on Bank Lending Practices (SLOOS) surveys up to 80 large domestic banks and 24 U.S. branches and agencies of foreign banks. The Federal Reserve generally conducts the survey quarterly, timing it so that results are available for the January/February, April/May, August, and October/November meetings of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). The Federal Reserve occasionally conducts one or two additional surveys during the year. Questions cover changes in the standards and terms of the banks' lending and the state of business and household demand for loans. The survey often includes questions on other topics of current interest. The survey results are released on Mondays after the FOMC meeting.