The number of U.S. home sales in the United States declined in 2023, after soaring in 2021. A total of four million transactions of existing homes, including single-family, condo, and co-ops, were completed in 2023, down from 6.12 million in 2021. According to the forecast, the housing market is forecast to head for recovery in 2025, despite transaction volumes are expected to remain below the long-term average. Why have home sales declined? The housing boom during the coronavirus pandemic has demonstrated that being a homeowner is still an integral part of the American dream. Nevertheless, sentiment declined in the second half of 2022 and Americans across all generations agreed that the time was not right to buy a home. A combination of factors has led to house prices rocketing and making homeownership unaffordable for the average buyer. A survey among owners and renters found that the high home prices and unfavorable economic conditions were the two main barriers to making a home purchase. People who would like to purchase their own home need to save up a deposit, have a good credit score, and a steady and sufficient income to be approved for a mortgage. In 2022, mortgage rates experienced the most aggressive increase in history, making the total cost of homeownership substantially higher. Only 15 percent of U.S. renters could afford to become homeowners and in metros with highly competitive housing markets such as Los Angeles, CA, and Urban Honolulu, HI, this share was below five percent. Are U.S. home prices expected to fall? The median sales price of existing homes stood at 387,000 U.S. dollars in 2023 and was forecast to increase slightly until 2025. The development of the S&P/Case Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index shows that home prices experienced seven consecutive months of decline between June 2022 and January 2023, but this trend reversed in the following months. Despite mild fluctuations throughout the year, home prices in many metros are forecast to continue to grow, albeit at a much slower rate.

The average sales price of new homes in the United States experienced a slight decrease in 2024, dropping to 512,2000 U.S. dollars from the peak of 521,500 U.S. dollars in 2022. This decline came after years of substantial price increases, with the average price surpassing 400,000 U.S. dollars for the first time in 2021. The recent cooling in the housing market reflects broader economic trends and changing consumer sentiment towards homeownership. Factors influencing home prices and affordability The rapid rise in home prices over the past few years has been driven by several factors, including historically low mortgage rates and increased demand during the COVID-19 pandemic. However, the market has since slowed down, with the number of home sales declining by over two million between 2021 and 2023. This decline can be attributed to rising mortgage rates and decreased affordability. The Housing Affordability Index hit a record low of 98.1 in 2023, indicating that the median-income family could no longer afford a median-priced home. Future outlook for the housing market Despite the recent cooling, experts forecast a potential recovery in the coming years. The Freddie Mac House Price Index showed a growth of 6.5 percent in 2023, which is still above the long-term average of 4.4 percent since 1990. However, homebuyer sentiment remains low across all age groups, with people aged 45 to 64 expressing the most pessimistic outlook. The median sales price of existing homes is expected to increase slightly until 2025, suggesting that affordability challenges may persist in the near future.

Key information about House Prices Growth

• US house prices grew 5.2% YoY in Sep 2024, following an increase of 6.2% YoY in the previous quarter.
• YoY growth data is updated quarterly, available from Mar 1992 to Sep 2024, with an average growth rate of 5.5%.
• House price data reached an all-time high of 17.7% in Sep 2021 and a record low of -12.4% in Dec 2008.

The U.S. housing market continues to evolve, with the median home price forecast to reach 426,000 U.S. dollars by the second quarter of 2026. This projection comes after a period of significant growth and recent fluctuations, reflecting the complex interplay of economic factors affecting the real estate sector. The rising costs have not only impacted home prices, but also down payments, with the median down payment more than doubling since 2012. Regional variations in housing costs Home prices and down payments vary dramatically across the United States. While the national median down payment stood at approximately 26,700 U.S. dollars in early 2024, homebuyers in states like California, Massachusetts, and Hawaii faced down payments exceeding 74,000 U.S. dollars. This disparity highlights the challenges of homeownership in high-cost markets and underscores the importance of location in determining housing affordability. Market dynamics and future outlook The housing market has shown signs of cooling after years of rapid growth, with more modest price increases of 4.8 percent in 2022 and 6.5 percent in 2023. This slowdown can be attributed in part to rising mortgage rates, which have tempered demand. Despite these challenges, most states continued to see year-over-year price growth in the fourth quarter of 2023, with Rhode Island and Vermont leading the pack at over 13 percent appreciation. As the market adjusts to new economic realities, potential homebuyers and investors alike will be watching closely for signs of stabilization or renewed growth in the coming years.

Graph and download economic data for Median Sales Price of Houses Sold for the United States (MSPUS) from Q1 1963 to Q4 2024 about sales, median, housing, and USA.

The number of home sales in the United States peaked in 2021 at almost seven million after steadily rising since 2018. Nevertheless, the market contracted in the following year, with transaction volumes falling to 4.8 million. Home sales remained muted in 2024, with a mild increase expected in 2025 and 2026. A major factor driving this trend is the unprecedented increase in mortgage interest rates due to high inflation. How have U.S. home prices developed over time? The average sales price of new homes has also been rising since 2011. Buyer confidence seems to have recovered after the property crash, which has increased demand for homes and also the prices sellers are demanding for homes. At the same time, the affordability of U.S. homes has decreased. Both the number of existing and newly built homes sold has declined since the housing market boom during the coronavirus pandemic. Challenges in housing supply The number of housing units in the U.S. rose steadily between 1975 and 2005 but has remained fairly stable since then. Construction increased notably in the 1990s and early 2000s, with the number of construction starts steadily rising, before plummeting amid the infamous housing market crash. Housing starts slowly started to pick up in 2011, mirroring the economic recovery. In 2022, the supply of newly built homes plummeted again, as supply chain challenges following the COVID-19 pandemic and tariffs on essential construction materials such as steel and lumber led to prices soaring.

House Price Index YoY in the United States remained unchanged at 4.80 percent in January. This dataset includes a chart with historical data for the United States FHFA House Price Index YoY.

The U.S. mortgage market has declined notably since 2020 and 2021, mostly due to the effect of higher borrowing costs on refinance mortgages. The value of refinancing mortgage originations, amounted to 86 billion U.S. dollars in the first quarter of 2024, down from a peak of 851 billion U.S. dollars in the fourth quarter of 2020. The value of mortgage loans for the purchase of a property recorded milder fluctuations, with a value of 291 billion U.S. dollars in the first quarter of 2024, and a market peak of 477 billion U.S. dollars in the first quarter of 2022. According to the forecast, mortgage lending is expected to slightly increase until the end of 2025. The cost of mortgage borrowing in the U.S. Mortgage interest rates in the U.S. rose dramatically in 2022 and continued to increase in 2023. In 2020, a homebuyer could lock in a 30-year fixed interest rate of under three percent, whereas in 2023, the average rate for the same mortgage type exceeded seven percent. That has led to a decline in homebuyer sentiment, and an increasing share of the population pessimistic about buying a home in the current market. The effect of a slower housing market on property prices and rents According to the S&P/Case Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index, housing prices experienced a slight correction in early 2023, as property transactions declined. Nevertheless, the index continued to grow in the following months. On the other hand, residential rents have increased steadily since 2000.

Graph and download economic data for Real Residential Property Prices for United States (QUSR628BIS) from Q1 1970 to Q3 2024 about residential, HPI, housing, real, price index, indexes, price, and USA.

Single Family Home Prices in the United States increased to 398400 USD in February from 393400 USD in January of 2025. This dataset provides - United States Existing Single Family Home Prices- actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

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Residential Real Estate Market Size 2024-2028

The residential real estate market size is forecast to increase by USD 482.1 billion at a CAGR of 4.6% between 2023 and 2028.

The market is experiencing significant growth, driven by increasing demand from a growing population and urbanization trends. This demand is further fueled by marketing initiatives from real estate developers and agents, who are leveraging digital platforms and creative campaigns to attract buyers. However, regulatory uncertainty poses a challenge to market growth, with varying regulations and policies in different regions impacting investment decisions. For companies seeking to capitalize on market opportunities, it is essential to stay informed of regulatory changes and adapt strategies accordingly. Additionally, collaboration with local experts and partnerships with regulatory bodies can help navigate complex regulatory landscapes and ensure compliance. Overall, the market presents significant opportunities for growth, but requires a strategic approach to address regulatory challenges and effectively target demand. Companies that can navigate these challenges and adapt to local market conditions will be well-positioned to succeed in this dynamic market.

What will be the Size of the Residential Real Estate Market during the forecast period?

Request Free SampleThe market continues to exhibit activity, driven by strong economic fundamentals and population growth. In nominal terms, the market size reached an all-time high in the latest fiscal year, with discerning buyers demonstrating continued interest in spacious accommodations. However, macroeconomic headwinds, such as rising interest rates and inflation, pose challenges for some potential homebuyers. Economic factors, including GDP per capita and purchasing power, remain essential support for the housing market. Despite these conditions, property launches in the luxury residential sector have shown resilience, catering to the demand for high-end living spaces. Residential construction remains a critical component of the market, with new housing units being added to meet the growing demand for homes. Overall, the market is expected to remain a significant contributor to the economy, offering opportunities for both investors and homebuyers.

How is this Residential Real Estate Industry segmented?

The residential real estate industry research report provides comprehensive data (region-wise segment analysis), with forecasts and estimates in 'USD billion' for the period 2024-2028, as well as historical data from 2018-2022 for the following segments. Mode Of BookingSalesRental/LeaseTypeApartments and condominiumsLanded houses and villasGeographyAPACChinaJapanNorth AmericaUSEuropeGermanyUKSouth AmericaMiddle East and Africa

By Mode Of Booking Insights

The sales segment is estimated to witness significant growth during the forecast period.

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The Sales segment was valued at USD 896.60 billion in 2018 and showed a gradual increase during the forecast period.

Regional Analysis

APAC is estimated to contribute 54% to the growth of the global market during the forecast period.Technavio’s analysts have elaborately explained the regional trends and drivers that shape the market during the forecast period.

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The market in the Asia Pacific (APAC) region held the largest market share in 2023 and is anticipated to continue leading the market growth during the forecast period. Key drivers of this expansion include population growth and increasing purchasing power, leading to a in demand for spacious accommodations. Rapid urbanization and economic fundamentals, such as GDP per capita, have fueled the construction of new housing units, particularly in countries like India and China. Furthermore, domestic demand and foreign homebuyers have contributed to the unsold inventory overhang, creating investment opportunities in underconstruction properties. Despite these positive indicators, challenges persist, including affordability concerns and critical input costs. In the context of the US housing market, the residential real estate sector offers investment opportunities through traditional options, such as home ownership and rental cash flow, as well as low-risk methods, like investment portfolios. Key economic factors, such as interest rates and supply metrics, impact residential property prices, which may vary in real and nominal terms. The market is also influenced by changing consumer preferences, regulatory reforms, and technological transformation, including home automation and cutting-edge strategies.

Market Dynamics

Our researchers analyzed the data with 2023 as the base year, along with the key drivers, trends, and challenges. A holi

The CoStar Commercial Repeat-Sales Index (CCRSI) for multifamily real estate in the United States started to decline in the second half of 2022, after more than a decade of steady growth. The index measures the development of sales prices of multifamily properties, with 2000 chosen as a base year. An index value of 200 means that sales prices have doubled since 2000. In March 2024, the value-weighed index, which is more representative of the high-value deals in core markets, hit 325 index points, down from a market peak of 416 in June 2022. The equal-weighed index is more influenced by the lower-priced deals that comprise the higher share of transactions. It stood at 438 index points in March 2024, down from a market peak of 503 in June 2022.

Existing Home Sales in the United States increased to 4260 Thousand in February from 4090 Thousand in January of 2025. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United States Existing Home Sales - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

New Home Sales in the United States increased to 676 Thousand units in February from 664 Thousand units in January of 2025. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United States New Home Sales - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

Housing Index in the United States increased to 436.50 points in January from 435.80 points in December of 2024. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United States House Price Index MoM Change - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

Graph and download economic data for Housing Inventory: Median Days on Market in the United States (MEDDAYONMARUS) from Jul 2016 to Feb 2025 about median and USA.

Total Housing Inventory in the United States increased to 1240 Thousands in February from 1180 Thousands in January of 2025. This dataset includes a chart with historical data for the United States Total Housing Inventory.

Housing Starts in the United States increased to 1501 Thousand units in February from 1350 Thousand units in January of 2025. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United States Housing Starts - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

The CoStar Commercial Repeat-Sales Index (CCRSI) for multifamily real estate in the United States started to slow in 2022, after more than a decade of steady growth. The index measures the development of sales prices of multifamily properties, with 2000 chosen as a base year. An index value of 200 means that sales prices have doubled since 2000. In March 2024, the index was the highest in the Northeast region, measuring 519 index points. Meanwhile, the value-weighed index, which favors high-value transactions in core markets, was significantly lower.

Graph and download economic data for All-Transactions House Price Index for the United States (USSTHPI) from Q1 1975 to Q4 2024 about appraisers, HPI, housing, price index, indexes, price, and USA.