Inflation Expectations in the United States decreased to 3 percent in June from 3.20 percent in May of 2025. This dataset provides - United States Consumer Inflation Expectations- actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

The inflation rate in the United States is expected to decrease to 2.1 percent by 2029. 2022 saw a year of exceptionally high inflation, reaching eight percent for the year. The data represents U.S. city averages. The base period was 1982-84. In economics, the inflation rate is a measurement of inflation, the rate of increase of a price index (in this case: consumer price index). It is the percentage rate of change in prices level over time. The rate of decrease in the purchasing power of money is approximately equal. According to the forecast, prices will increase by 2.9 percent in 2024. The annual inflation rate for previous years can be found here and the consumer price index for all urban consumers here. The monthly inflation rate for the United States can also be accessed here. Inflation in the U.S.Inflation is a term used to describe a general rise in the price of goods and services in an economy over a given period of time. Inflation in the United States is calculated using the consumer price index (CPI). The consumer price index is a measure of change in the price level of a preselected market basket of consumer goods and services purchased by households. This forecast of U.S. inflation was prepared by the International Monetary Fund. They project that inflation will stay higher than average throughout 2023, followed by a decrease to around roughly two percent annual rise in the general level of prices until 2028. Considering the annual inflation rate in the United States in 2021, a two percent inflation rate is a very moderate projection. The 2022 spike in inflation in the United States and worldwide is due to a variety of factors that have put constraints on various aspects of the economy. These factors include COVID-19 pandemic spending and supply-chain constraints, disruptions due to the war in Ukraine, and pandemic related changes in the labor force. Although the moderate inflation of prices between two and three percent is considered normal in a modern economy, countries’ central banks try to prevent severe inflation and deflation to keep the growth of prices to a minimum. Severe inflation is considered dangerous to a country’s economy because it can rapidly diminish the population’s purchasing power and thus damage the GDP .

We report average expected inflation rates over the next one through 30 years. Our estimates of expected inflation rates are calculated using a Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland model that combines financial data and survey-based measures. Released monthly.

Graph and download economic data for 10-Year Expected Inflation (EXPINF10YR) from Jan 1982 to Jun 2025 about projection, 10-year, inflation, and USA.

Michigan Inflation Expectations in the United States decreased to 5 percent in June from 6.60 percent in May of 2025. This dataset includes a chart with historical data for the United States Michigan Inflation Expectations.

The Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland provides daily “nowcasts” of inflation for two popular price indexes, the price index for personal consumption expenditures (PCE) and the Consumer Price Index (CPI). These nowcasts give a sense of where inflation is today. Released each business day.

Le aspettative di inflazione a 5 anni del Michigan negli Stati Uniti sono diminuite al 4 percento a giugno rispetto al 4,20 percento di maggio 2025. Questa pagina include un grafico con dati storici sulle aspettative di inflazione a 5 anni per il Michigan negli Stati Uniti.

Graph and download economic data for 3-Year Expected Inflation (EXPINF3YR) from Jan 1982 to Jun 2025 about 3-year, projection, inflation, and USA.

The Consumer Price Index in the United States increased 0.10 percent in May of 2025 over the previous month. This dataset provides - United States Inflation Rate MoM - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

United States FRB Cleveland Forecast: Inflation Nowcast: Core Consumer Price Index (CPI): YoY data was reported at 2.123 % in Dec 2018. This records a decrease from the previous number of 2.199 % for Nov 2018. United States FRB Cleveland Forecast: Inflation Nowcast: Core Consumer Price Index (CPI): YoY data is updated monthly, averaging 1.861 % from Aug 2013 (Median) to Dec 2018, with 65 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 2.322 % in Aug 2018 and a record low of 1.583 % in Jan 2015. United States FRB Cleveland Forecast: Inflation Nowcast: Core Consumer Price Index (CPI): YoY data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.I003: Consumer Price Index: Urban: Forecast: Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.

Graph and download economic data for 5-Year Expected Inflation (EXPINF5YR) from Jan 1982 to Jun 2025 about projection, 5-year, inflation, and USA.

SCE: Distribution of 3 Year Ahead Expected Inflation Rate: 1% to 2% data was reported at 6.039 % in Apr 2025. This records a decrease from the previous number of 7.658 % for Mar 2025. SCE: Distribution of 3 Year Ahead Expected Inflation Rate: 1% to 2% data is updated monthly, averaging 12.424 % from Jun 2013 (Median) to Apr 2025, with 143 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 18.684 % in Aug 2019 and a record low of 5.037 % in Feb 2022. SCE: Distribution of 3 Year Ahead Expected Inflation Rate: 1% to 2% data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Bank of New York. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.H078: Survey of Consumer Expectations: Inflation.

Graph and download economic data for 25-Year Expected Inflation (EXPINF25YR) from Jan 1982 to Jun 2025 about projection, inflation, and USA.

Cost of food in the United States increased 2.90 percent in May of 2025 over the same month in the previous year. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United States Food Inflation - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

FRBOP Forecast: Core CPI Inflation: sa: Mean: Plus 1 Qtr data was reported at 2.226 % in Mar 2019. This records a decrease from the previous number of 2.327 % for Dec 2018. FRBOP Forecast: Core CPI Inflation: sa: Mean: Plus 1 Qtr data is updated quarterly, averaging 1.951 % from Mar 2007 (Median) to Mar 2019, with 49 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 2.365 % in Jun 2018 and a record low of 1.127 % in Mar 2009. FRBOP Forecast: Core CPI Inflation: sa: Mean: Plus 1 Qtr data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.I008: Consumer Price Index: Urban: sa: Forecast: Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.

Graph and download economic data for 5-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate (T5YIE) from 2003-01-02 to 2025-07-11 about spread, interest rate, interest, 5-year, inflation, rate, and USA.

United States CSI: Expected Inflation: Next Yr: Up by 1-2% data was reported at 29.000 % in May 2018. This stayed constant from the previous number of 29.000 % for Apr 2018. United States CSI: Expected Inflation: Next Yr: Up by 1-2% data is updated monthly, averaging 18.000 % from Jan 1978 (Median) to May 2018, with 485 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 34.000 % in Oct 2016 and a record low of 1.000 % in May 1980. United States CSI: Expected Inflation: Next Yr: Up by 1-2% data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by University of Michigan. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.H030: Consumer Sentiment Index: Unemployment, Interest Rates, Prices and Government Expectations. The questions were: 'During the next 12 months, do you think that prices in general will go up, or go down, or stay where they are now?' and 'By what percent do you expect prices to go up, on the average, during the next 12 months?'

Core Inflation Index data was reported at 1.290 Index, 2017 in Dec 2026. This records an increase from the previous number of 1.284 Index, 2017 for Sep 2026. Core Inflation Index data is updated quarterly, averaging 0.662 Index, 2017 from Mar 1960 (Median) to Dec 2026, with 268 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 1.290 Index, 2017 in Dec 2026 and a record low of 0.158 Index, 2017 in Mar 1960. Core Inflation Index data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.OECD.EO: Consumer and Wholesale Price Index: Forecast: OECD Member: Quarterly. PCORE - Core inflation indexOECD group, all items non-food non-energy. See exceptions at the country serie metadataIndex, national reference year; Price index for Personal consumption expenditure less food less energy

Graph and download economic data for FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Personal Consumption Expenditures less Food and Energy Inflation Rate, Central Tendency, High (JCXFECTH) from 2025 to 2027 about core, projection, PCE, consumption expenditures, consumption, personal, inflation, rate, and USA.

This data package includes the underlying data to replicate the calculations, charts, and tables presented in The case for a cautiously optimistic outlook for US inflation, PIIE Policy Brief 22-3.

If you use the data, please cite as: Reifschneider, David, and David Wilcox (2022). The case for a cautiously optimistic outlook for US inflation, PIIE Policy Brief 22-3. Peterson Institute for International Economics.