Leading Economic Index the United States increased to 99 in May of 2025 over the same month in the previous year. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United States Coincident Index - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

In September 2024, the Composite Leading Indicator (CLI) of the United States stood at ******. The CLI is an economic indicator developed by the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) to predict potential future economic fluctuations. A BCI value above 100 indicates an positive fluctuation in the upcoming business cycle. A value below 100 indicates a negative economic fluctuation in the near future.

Composite Leading Indicator in the United States increased to 100.43 points in June from 100.34 points in May of 2025. This dataset includes a chart with historical data for the United States Composite Leading Indicator.

Graph and download economic data for Composite Leading Indicators: Composite Leading Indicator (CLI) Normalized for United States (USALOLITONOSTSAM) from Jan 1955 to Jan 2024 about leading indicator and USA.

United States Leading Economic Index data was reported at 101.100 2016=100 in Feb 2025. This records a decrease from the previous number of 101.400 2016=100 for Jan 2025. United States Leading Economic Index data is updated monthly, averaging 59.950 2016=100 from Jan 1959 (Median) to Feb 2025, with 794 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 120.200 2016=100 in Dec 2021 and a record low of 22.200 2016=100 in Jan 1959. United States Leading Economic Index data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by The Conference Board. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.The Conference Board: Leading Economic Index. [COVID-19-IMPACT]

Leading Index for the United States was 1.72% in February of 2020, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, Leading Index for the United States reached a record high of 3.35 in November of 1983 and a record low of -2.65 in March of 2009. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for Leading Index for the United States - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on July of 2025.

United States Leading Economic Index: MoM data was reported at -0.300 % in Feb 2025. This records a decrease from the previous number of -0.200 % for Jan 2025. United States Leading Economic Index: MoM data is updated monthly, averaging 0.300 % from Feb 1959 (Median) to Feb 2025, with 793 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 2.200 % in Jun 2020 and a record low of -5.500 % in Apr 2020. United States Leading Economic Index: MoM data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by The Conference Board. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.The Conference Board: Leading Economic Index. [COVID-19-IMPACT]

Graph and download economic data for Leading Indicators OECD: Leading Indicators: Composite Leading Indicator: Amplitude Adjusted for United States (USALOLITOAASTSAM) from Jan 1955 to May 2025 about leading indicator and adjusted.

United States Leading Index: US data was reported at 1.718 % in Feb 2020. This records an increase from the previous number of 1.573 % for Jan 2020. United States Leading Index: US data is updated monthly, averaging 1.536 % from Jan 1982 (Median) to Feb 2020, with 458 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 3.355 % in Nov 1983 and a record low of -2.654 % in Mar 2009. United States Leading Index: US data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.S012: State Leading Index. The data predicts the six-month growth rate of the state’s coincident index. In addition to the coincident index, the models include other variables that lead the economy such as the state-level housing permits (1 to 4 units), initial unemployment insurance claims, delivery times from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) manufacturing survey, and the interest rate spread between the 10-year Treasury bond and the 3-month Treasury bill. Given the sudden, extreme impact of the COVID-19 outbreak on initial unemployment claims in recent weeks, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia researchers’ standard approach for estimating the six-month change in coincident indexes is not appropriate. Therefore, they suspended the release of the state leading indexes indefinitely.

Graph and download economic data for Composite Leading Indicators: Reference Series (GDP) Calendar and Seasonally Adjusted for United States (LORSGPORUSQ659S) from Q1 1948 to Q4 2023 about leading indicator, GDP, and USA.

Graph and download economic data for Leading Indicators OECD: Component Series: Confidence Indicator: Normalised for United States (USALOCOCINOSTSAM) from Jan 1978 to Dec 2023 about , and leading indicator.

United States Coincident Economic Index data was reported at 114.700 2016=100 in Feb 2025. This records an increase from the previous number of 114.400 2016=100 for Jan 2025. United States Coincident Economic Index data is updated monthly, averaging 62.500 2016=100 from Jan 1959 (Median) to Feb 2025, with 794 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 114.700 2016=100 in Feb 2025 and a record low of 23.800 2016=100 in Jan 1959. United States Coincident Economic Index data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by The Conference Board. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.The Conference Board: Leading Economic Index. [COVID-19-IMPACT]

United States Lagging Economic Index: Diffusion Index: 1 Month data was reported at 21.400 NA in Mar 2025. This records a decrease from the previous number of 57.100 NA for Feb 2025. United States Lagging Economic Index: Diffusion Index: 1 Month data is updated monthly, averaging 57.100 NA from Feb 1959 (Median) to Mar 2025, with 794 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 100.000 NA in Jul 1999 and a record low of 0.000 NA in Sep 2024. United States Lagging Economic Index: Diffusion Index: 1 Month data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by The Conference Board. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.The Conference Board: Leading Economic Index. [COVID-19-IMPACT]

United States Leading Economic Index: Diffusion Index: 6 Months data was reported at 70.000 NA in Dec 2024. This records an increase from the previous number of 60.000 NA for Nov 2024. United States Leading Economic Index: Diffusion Index: 6 Months data is updated monthly, averaging 70.000 NA from Apr 1959 (Median) to Dec 2024, with 789 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 100.000 NA in Apr 2018 and a record low of 0.000 NA in Nov 2007. United States Leading Economic Index: Diffusion Index: 6 Months data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by The Conference Board. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.The Conference Board: Leading Economic Index. [COVID-19-IMPACT]

OECD Data Filters: REF_AREA: USA MEASURE: RS UNIT_MEASURE: IX ACTIVITY: _Z ADJUSTMENT: Y TRANSFORMATION: IX TIME_HORIZ: _Z METHODOLOGY: N FREQ: Q

All OECD data should be cited as follows: OECD (year), (dataset name), (data source) DOI or https://data-explorer.oecd.org/ (https://data-explorer.oecd.org/). (accessed on (date)).

U.S. Leading Indicators: 70 years of historical data from 1955 to 2025.

Graph and download economic data for Composite Index of Twelve Leading Indicators, Reverse Trend Adjusted for United States (M16075USM358SNBR) from Jan 1948 to Oct 1968 about composite, adjusted, indexes, and USA.

United States Lagging Economic Index data was reported at 119.100 2016=100 in Mar 2025. This records a decrease from the previous number of 119.200 2016=100 for Feb 2025. United States Lagging Economic Index data is updated monthly, averaging 58.700 2016=100 from Jan 1959 (Median) to Mar 2025, with 795 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 119.400 2016=100 in Apr 2024 and a record low of 25.000 2016=100 in Jan 1959. United States Lagging Economic Index data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by The Conference Board. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.The Conference Board: Leading Economic Index. [COVID-19-IMPACT]

United States Leading Economic Index: Diffusion Index: 1 Month data was reported at 45.000 NA in Feb 2025. This stayed constant from the previous number of 45.000 NA for Jan 2025. United States Leading Economic Index: Diffusion Index: 1 Month data is updated monthly, averaging 60.000 NA from Feb 1959 (Median) to Feb 2025, with 793 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 100.000 NA in Jun 2018 and a record low of 0.000 NA in Apr 1980. United States Leading Economic Index: Diffusion Index: 1 Month data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by The Conference Board. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.The Conference Board: Leading Economic Index. [COVID-19-IMPACT]

We propose an optimal filter to transform the Conference Board Composite Leading Index (CLI) into recession probabilities in the US economy. We also analyse the CLI's accuracy at anticipating US output growth. We compare the predictive performance of linear, VAR extensions of smooth transition regression and switching regimes, probit, non-parametric models and conclude that a combination of the switching regimes and non-parametric forecasts is the best strategy at predicting both the NBER business cycle schedule and GDP growth. This confirms the usefulness of CLI, even in a real-time analysis.