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The US Home Loan Market Report is Segmented by Loan Purpose (Purchase, Home Improvement/Renovation, Others), Provider (Banks, Housing Finance Companies, Others), Interest Rates (Fixed Interest Rates, Floating Interest Rates), and Loan Tenure (Less Than or Equal To 10 Years, 11 – 20 Years, and Longer Than 20 Years). The Market Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Value (USD).
Despite a short period of decrease after the burst of the U.S. housing bubble and the global financial crisis, the total amount of mortgage debt in the United States has been on the rise in recent years. In 2024, the mortgage debt amounted to 20.83 trillion U.S. dollars, up from 13.5 trillion U.S. dollars a decade ago. Which factors impact the amount of mortgage debt? One of the most important factors responsible for the growth of mortgage debt is the number of home sales: The more home transactions, the more mortgages are sold, adding to the volume of debt outstanding. Additionally, as house prices increase, so does the gross lending and debt outstanding. On the other hand, high numbers of housing unit foreclosures and mortgage debt restructuring and short-sales can reduce mortgage debt. Which property type has the largest share of the mortgage market? The total mortgage debt includes different property types, such as one-to-four family residential, multifamily residential, commercial, and farm, but the overwhelming share of debt can be attributed to mortgage debt one-to-four family residences.
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The US Home Mortgage Market Size Was Worth USD 180.91 Billion in 2023 and Is Expected To Reach USD 501.67 Billion by 2032, CAGR of 12.00%.
In 2024, United Wholesale Mortgage was the company with the largest market share based on the value of mortgage originations for home purchase. The company was responsible for *** percent of the home purchase market in that year, slightly higher than the market share of the second lender in the ranking, PennyMac Financial. The aggregate market share of the top five lenders totaled approximately **** percent. The mortgage market has suffered a decline in new business since 2021, mostly attributed to refinancing loans plummeting due to the higher mortgage interest rates. Nevertheless, the market is forecast to pick up in 2026, as interest rates decline.
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The US residential real estate market, a cornerstone of the American economy, is projected to experience steady growth over the next decade. While the provided CAGR of 2.04% is a modest figure, it reflects a market maturing after a period of significant expansion. This sustained growth is driven by several key factors. Firstly, population growth and urbanization continue to fuel demand for housing, particularly in densely populated areas and emerging suburban markets. Secondly, low interest rates (historically, though this can fluctuate) have made mortgages more accessible, stimulating buyer activity. Thirdly, a robust construction sector, though facing challenges in material costs and labor shortages, is gradually increasing the housing supply, mitigating some of the upward pressure on prices. However, challenges remain. Rising inflation and potential interest rate hikes pose a risk to affordability, potentially dampening demand. Furthermore, the ongoing evolution of remote work is reshaping residential preferences, with a shift toward larger homes in suburban or exurban locations. This trend impacts the relative demand for various property types, potentially increasing the appeal of landed houses and villas compared to apartments and condominiums in certain regions. The segmentation of the market into apartments/condominiums and landed houses/villas provides crucial insights into consumer preferences and investment strategies. High-density urban areas will continue to see strong demand for apartments and condos, while suburban and rural areas are likely to experience a greater increase in landed property sales. Major players like Simon Property Group, Mill Creek Residential, and others are strategically adapting to these trends, focusing on both development and management across various property types and geographic locations. Analyzing regional data within the US (e.g., comparing growth in the Northeast versus the Southwest) will highlight market nuances and potential investment opportunities. While the global data provided is valuable for understanding broader market forces, focusing the analysis on the US market allows for a more granular understanding of the specific drivers, trends, and challenges within this significant segment of the real estate sector. The forecast period (2025-2033) suggests continued, albeit measured, expansion. Recent developments include: May 2022: Resource REIT Inc. completed the sale of all of its outstanding shares of common stock to Blackstone Real Estate Income Trust Inc. for USD 14.75 per share in an all-cash deal valued at USD 3.7 billion, including the assumption of the REIT's debt., February 2022: The largest owner of commercial real estate in the world and private equity company Blackstone is growing its portfolio of residential rentals and commercial properties in the United States. The company revealed that it would shell out about USD 6 billion to buy Preferred Apartment Communities, an Atlanta-based real estate investment trust that owns 44 multifamily communities and roughly 12,000 homes in the Southeast, mostly in Atlanta, Nashville, Charlotte, North Carolina, and the Florida cities of Jacksonville, Orlando, and Tampa.. Key drivers for this market are: Investment Plan Towards Urban Rail Development. Potential restraints include: Italy’s Fragmented Approach to Tenders. Notable trends are: Existing Home Sales Witnessing Strong Growth.
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Residential Mortgage Market is expected to reach a CAGR of 11.3% By 2031: DataM Intelligence
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With the digitalization trend picking pace across the world, the global e-Mortgage market is set to gain from this phenomenon and jump from a value of US$ 12.1 billion in 2024 to US$ 62.1 billion by 2034, expanding at a CAGR (compound annual growth rate) of 17.8% over the next ten years.
Report Attributes | Details |
---|---|
e-Mortgage Market Size (2024E) | US$ 12.1 Billion |
Forecasted Market Value (2034F) | US$ 62.1 Billion |
Global Market Growth Rate (2024 to 2034) | 17.8% CAGR |
Japan Market Growth Rate (2024 to 2034) | 19.2% CAGR |
East Asia Market Share (2034F) | 26% |
Market Share of Residential Sector (2034F) | 62% |
Key Companies Profiled |
|
Country-wise Insights
Attribute | United States |
---|---|
Market Value (2024E) | US$ 1.8 Billion |
Growth Rate (2024 to 2034) | 17.5% CAGR |
Projected Value (2034F) | US$ 8.9 Billion |
Attribute | China |
---|---|
Market Value (2024E) | US$ 1.4 Billion |
Growth Rate (2024 to 2034) | 18.7% CAGR |
Projected Value (2034F) | US$ 7.7 Billion |
Category-wise Insights
Attribute | Residential |
---|---|
Segment Value (2024E) | US$ 7.8 Billion |
Growth Rate (2024 to 2034) | 17.2% CAGR |
Projected Value (2034F) | US$ 38.5 Billion |
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The USA home loan market is experiencing robust growth, projected to maintain a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 18% from 2025 to 2033. While the exact market size for 2025 is not provided, considering a typical large market size and the substantial growth rate, a reasonable estimate would place the market value at approximately $2 trillion in 2025. This significant expansion is driven by several key factors, including a rising population, increasing urbanization, favorable government policies promoting homeownership, and historically low-interest rates (though this last factor is less significant in recent years). The market is witnessing a shift towards digital platforms and online mortgage applications, streamlining the process for borrowers and increasing competition amongst lenders. However, challenges remain, such as fluctuating interest rates, potential economic downturns impacting affordability, and stringent lending regulations designed to protect borrowers. The competitive landscape is dominated by major players like Rocket Mortgage, LoanDepot, Wells Fargo, and Bank of America, along with regional and independent mortgage lenders. These companies are constantly innovating to cater to evolving customer preferences, offering personalized services, and leveraging data analytics for improved risk assessment. The market segmentation is likely diverse, encompassing various loan types (e.g., fixed-rate, adjustable-rate, FHA, VA loans), loan amounts, and borrower demographics. Future growth will depend on macroeconomic factors, including inflation, employment rates, and overall consumer confidence. Continued technological advancements and regulatory changes will significantly influence the market trajectory throughout the forecast period. Key drivers for this market are: Increase in digitization in mortgage lending market, Increase in innovations in software designs to speed up the mortgage-application process. Potential restraints include: Increase in digitization in mortgage lending market, Increase in innovations in software designs to speed up the mortgage-application process. Notable trends are: Growth in Nonbank Lenders is Expected to Drive the Market.
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The US mortgage lending market, a cornerstone of the American economy, is experiencing robust growth, projected to maintain a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) exceeding 5% from 2025 to 2033. This expansion is fueled by several key factors. Firstly, a consistently increasing population and household formations drive demand for housing, consequently boosting mortgage loan originations. Secondly, historically low interest rates in recent years have stimulated borrowing, making homeownership more accessible. Furthermore, government initiatives aimed at supporting homeownership, along with increasing disposable incomes in certain segments of the population, contribute to the market's positive trajectory. The market is segmented by loan type (fixed-rate mortgages and home equity lines of credit), service providers (commercial banks, financial institutions, credit unions, and other lenders), and application mode (online and offline). Competition is intense among major players like Bank of America, Chase Bank, and US Bank, with smaller institutions and credit unions vying for market share. While the overall trend is positive, potential headwinds include fluctuations in interest rates, economic downturns impacting consumer confidence, and stringent regulatory environments which can impact lending practices. The geographical distribution of the US mortgage lending market reflects regional economic variations. While the United States dominates North America's market share, growth potential exists across various international markets. European and Asian markets, though characterized by distinct regulatory landscapes and consumer behaviors, present opportunities for expansion. The market's future trajectory will depend on several interconnected factors, including macroeconomic conditions, demographic shifts, and technological advancements influencing the mortgage lending process. The continued adoption of digital technologies is expected to streamline lending processes and expand access, impacting the future of the market significantly. Strategic partnerships and acquisitions are also anticipated, further consolidating the market landscape and driving innovation. Recent developments include: August 2023: Spring EQ, a provider of home equity financing solutions, has entered into a definitive agreement to be acquired by an affiliate of Cerberus Capital Management, L.P., a global leader in alternative investing. The main aim of the partnership is to support Spring EQ's mission to deliver offerings and expand its leadership in the home equity financing market., June 2023: VIU by HUB, a digital insurance brokerage platform subsidiary of Hub International Limited, has entered into a new partnership with Unison, a home equity-sharing company. The collaboration will allow homeowners to compare insurance coverage quotes from various carriers and receive expert advice throughout the process.. Key drivers for this market are: Home Renovation Trends are Driving the Market. Potential restraints include: Home Renovation Trends are Driving the Market. Notable trends are: Home Equity Lending Market is Being Stimulated By Rising Home Prices.
Mortgage originations in the United States plummeted in 2021 and 2022, after soaring to an all-time high in the previous two years. In the fourth quarter of 2024, the value of new mortgage originations amounted to 494 billion U.S. dollars, about 200 billion U.S. dollars higher than the dip in the first quarter of 2023. These fluctuations were mostly because of the development of mortgage interest rates and mortgage lending for home refinance: While interest rates were at a record low in 2020, many homebuyers used the opportunity to refinance their loan. After rates increased, refinancing declined dramatically. How have home sales developed? Over the past decade, the annual number of homes sold in the U.S. ranged between 4.7 million and 6.9 million, with the number of sales of existing homes far outweighing that of newly built homes sold. Housing transactions have generally declined since 2021 because of the less favorable credit conditions and worsening housing affordability. Cash purchases on the rise Although buying in cash is largely uncommon in the U.S., the number of houses bought with cash has increased since 2009. For those who can afford it, a cash purchase provides a number of benefits. Most importantly, cash buyers save from mortgage payments. Additionally, the closing time on these transactions time faster, which gives a competitive advantage in markets with a lot of competition.
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The Reverse Mortgage Market is projected to reach USD 1.91 billion by 2033, exhibiting a CAGR of 5.9% during the forecast period. The growing number of senior citizens, increasing healthcare costs, and rising home values are the major drivers propelling market growth. The availability of various types of reverse mortgages, such as Home Equity Conversion Mortgages (HECMs), Single-purpose Reverse Mortgages, and Proprietary Reverse Mortgages, allows seniors to access their home equity without having to make monthly mortgage payments. Additionally, the application of reverse mortgages in different scenarios, including debt repayment, healthcare-related expenses, renovations, income supplements, and living expenses, further contributes to market growth. North America dominates the Reverse Mortgage Market, with the US accounting for a significant share. Favorable government policies, a large elderly population, and rising home values in the region support market growth. Europe and Asia Pacific are also expected to witness steady growth during the forecast period due to increasing life expectancy and government initiatives to assist senior citizens. Key players in the market include American Advisors Group, Finance of America Reverse, Reverse Mortgage Funding, Liberty Home Equity Solutions, One Reverse Mortgage, and Mutual of Omaha Mortgage. Strategic collaborations, product innovations, and expanded distribution networks are key strategies adopted by these companies to gain a competitive edge in the market. Recent developments include: In April 2024, Portfolio+ Inc., a Canadian provider of financial technologies, expanded its lending solutions portfolio by introducing a new reverse mortgage product. This innovative offering empowers lenders to provide their clients aged 55 and older with a valuable retirement planning tool, allowing them to access tax-free equity in their homes. This strategic move strengthens Portfolio+'s position as a comprehensive provider of financial services systems and technologies. .
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US Mortgage/Loan Brokers Market Analysis The US mortgage/loan brokers market is substantial, valued at USD XX million in 2025 with a projected CAGR of 5.00% during 2025-2033. This growth is attributed to factors such as rising demand for home ownership, increasing home values, and low interest rates. The market is segmented by component (products, services), enterprise (large, small, medium-sized), application (home loans, commercial loans, etc.), end-user (business, individuals), and region. Prominent players include Quicken Loans, Wells Fargo, and Caliber Home Loans. Market Drivers and Trends The growth of the US mortgage/loan brokers market is driven by several factors, including the increasing demand for residential and commercial construction, government incentives for home ownership, and the availability of various loan options. Additionally, technological advancements, such as online loan applications and mobile banking, are simplifying the loan application process. However, rising interest rates and stricter lending regulations pose potential challenges to the market's growth. Nonetheless, the growing need for mortgages and the increasing complexity of loan processes are expected to drive the market's expansion in the coming years. Recent developments include: November 2022: A digital home equity line of credit was introduced by loanDepot, one of the country's biggest non-bank retail mortgage lenders, against the backdrop of inflation and rising consumer debt., October 2022: Pennymac Financial Services launched POWER+, its next generation broker technology platform. Brokers will now have more speed and control over the mortgage process to deliver an exceptional experience to their customers and referral partners.. Notable trends are: Adoption of the New Technologies Driving the Market.
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Graph and download economic data for All Sectors; One-to-Four-Family Residential Mortgages; Asset, Level (ASHMA) from Q4 1945 to Q1 2025 about mortgage, sector, assets, housing, and USA.
Residential Real Estate Market Size 2025-2029
The residential real estate market size is forecast to increase by USD 485.2 billion at a CAGR of 4.5% between 2024 and 2029.
The market is experiencing significant growth, fueled by increasing marketing initiatives that attract potential buyers and tenants. This trend is driven by the rising demand for housing solutions that cater to the evolving needs of consumers, particularly in urban areas. However, the market's growth trajectory is not without challenges. Regulatory uncertainty looms large, with changing policies and regulations posing a significant threat to market stability. Notably, innovative smart home technologies, such as voice-activated assistants and energy-efficient appliances, are gaining traction, offering enhanced convenience and sustainability for homeowners.
As such, companies seeking to capitalize on the opportunities presented by the growing the market must navigate these challenges with agility and foresight. The residential construction industry's expansion is driven by urbanization and the rising standard of living in emerging economies, including India, China, Thailand, Malaysia, and Indonesia. By staying abreast of regulatory changes and implementing innovative marketing strategies, they can effectively meet the evolving needs of consumers and maintain a competitive edge. These regulatory shifts can impact everything from property prices to financing options, making it crucial for market players to stay informed and adapt quickly.
What will be the Size of the Residential Real Estate Market during the forecast period?
Explore in-depth regional segment analysis with market size data - historical 2019-2023 and forecasts 2025-2029 - in the full report.
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In the dynamic housing market analysis, small flats continue to be a popular choice for both investors and first-time homebuyers, driven by affordability and urban growth. International investment in housing projects, including apartments and condominiums, remains strong, offering attractive investment returns. Real estate syndication and property management software facilitate efficient property ownership and management. Real estate loans, property insurance, and urban planning are essential components of the housing market, ensuring the development of affordable housing and addressing the needs of the middle class and upper middle class. Property disputes, property tax assessments, and real estate litigation are ongoing challenges, requiring careful attention from stakeholders.
Property search engines streamline the process of finding the perfect property, from studio apartments to luxury homes. Real estate auctions, land banking, and nano apartments are innovative solutions in the market, while property flipping and short sales provide opportunities for savvy investors. Urban growth and community development are key trends, with a focus on sustainable, planned cities and the integration of technology, such as real estate blockchain, into the industry. Developers secure building permits, review inspection reports, and manage escrow accounts during real estate transactions. Key services include contract negotiation, dispute resolution, and tailored investment strategies for portfolio management. Financial aspects cover tax implications, estate planning, retirement planning, taxdeferred exchanges, capital gains, tax deductions, and maintaining positive cash flow for sustained returns.
How is this Residential Real Estate Industry segmented?
The residential real estate industry research report provides comprehensive data (region-wise segment analysis), with forecasts and estimates in 'USD billion' for the period 2025-2029, as well as historical data from 2019-2023 for the following segments.
Mode Of Booking
Sales
Rental or lease
Type
Apartments and condominiums
Landed houses and villas
Location
Urban
Suburban
Rural
End-user
Mid-range housing
Affordable housing
Luxury housing
Geography
North America
US
Canada
Mexico
Europe
France
Germany
UK
APAC
Australia
Japan
South Korea
South America
Brazil
Rest of World (ROW)
By Mode Of Booking Insights
The sales segment is estimated to witness significant growth during the forecast period. The sales segment dominates the global residential real estate market and will continue to dominate during the forecast period. The sales segment includes the sale of any property that is majorly used for residential purposes, such as single-family homes, condos, cooperatives, duplexes, townhouses, and multifamily residences. With the growing population and urbanization, the demand for homes is also increasing, which is the major factor driving the growth of the sales segment. Moreover, real estate firms work with developers to sel
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The North America mortgage/loan brokers market is poised for steady growth, with a market size of XX million and a CAGR of 5.00% during the forecast period of 2025-2033. The market is driven by rising homeownership rates, increasing mortgage interest rates, and growing demand for refinancing. Additionally, the emergence of fintech companies offering innovative mortgage products and services is further propelling market growth. Key market trends include the increasing use of technology to improve the mortgage process, the growing popularity of jumbo loans, and the rising demand for reverse mortgages. However, the market is also subject to certain restraints, such as regulatory changes and economic downturns. Major players in the market include Penny Mac, Home Point, Caliber Home Loans, and Fairway Independent Corporation. The United States is the largest market for mortgage/loan brokers in North America, followed by Canada. Recent developments include: In November 2022, To expand the use of eNotes across 250 locations in 49 states, Primary Residential Mortgage Inc. (PRMI) employed the eVault and digital closing platform from Snapdocs., In August 2022, Due to the slowdown in home sales caused by rising interest rates, the two biggest mortgage lenders in the US are increasing pressure on their smaller rivals by providing discounts and other incentives. The two biggest mortgage originators in the US, Rocket Mortgage and United Wholesale Mortgage, respectively, are pursuing aggressive strategies at a time when many lenders are leaving the market or going out of business.. Notable trends are: Increase in Digitization in Lending and Blockchain Technology is driving the market.
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Online mortgage brokers have experienced significant growth in popularity in the last five years, offering innovative tools, products and services to help borrowers find the right mortgage for their needs and make informed financial decisions. They have adapted to changing market conditions with more flexible underwriting criteria, streamlined refinancing processes and customized services. Online mortgage brokers are expected to grow in popularity and offerings as they expand their services to more markets and demographics. Revenue is set to increase at a CAGR of 8.1% through the end of 2024 to $897.7 million, including an estimated 2.1% growth in 2024 alone, when profit will drop to an estimated 14.8%. Consumers are increasingly turning to online mortgage brokers for residential mortgages, refinancing and home equity lines of credit loans. These online brokers offer more innovative tools, such as refinancing calculators and more streamlined processes, such as digital document upload and e-signature capabilities. In the next five years, the online mortgage broker industry is expected to continue to grow and expand its offerings to meet the changing needs of borrowers. Revenue is forecast to grow at a CAGR of 1.5% through the end of 2020 to total $966.9 million. We can expect to see a continued focus on offering customized services and tools. With the adoption of new technologies, we can also expect to see more automation of the mortgage application process, making it faster and easier for borrowers to get the financing they need. Innovation in products and services, such as more specialized loan products and improved digital experiences for borrowers, will sustain growth.
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The United States Mortgage/Loans Broker Market Is Segmented By Component (Products And Services) And By Enterprise Size (Large, Small, And Medium-Sized). By Application (Home Loans, Commercial And Industrial Loans, Vehicle Loans, Loans To Governments, And Others), And By End-User (Businesses And Individuals). The Report Offers Market Size And Forecasts For The Us Mortgage/Loans Market In Value (USD) For All The Above Segments.
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Mortgage Originations in the United States decreased to 425.63 Billion USD in the first quarter of 2025 from 465.35 Billion USD in the fourth quarter of 2024. This dataset includes a chart with historical data for the United States Mortgage Originations.
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U.S. Housing Market size is estimated to be valued at USD 52.14 Tn in 2025 and is expected to expand at a CAGR of 4.9%, reaching USD 72.88 Tn by 2032.
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Graph and download economic data for Delinquency Rate on Single-Family Residential Mortgages, Booked in Domestic Offices, All Commercial Banks (DRSFRMACBS) from Q1 1991 to Q1 2025 about domestic offices, delinquencies, 1-unit structures, mortgage, family, residential, commercial, domestic, banks, depository institutions, rate, and USA.
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The US Home Loan Market Report is Segmented by Loan Purpose (Purchase, Home Improvement/Renovation, Others), Provider (Banks, Housing Finance Companies, Others), Interest Rates (Fixed Interest Rates, Floating Interest Rates), and Loan Tenure (Less Than or Equal To 10 Years, 11 – 20 Years, and Longer Than 20 Years). The Market Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Value (USD).