Wheat fell to 497.90 USd/Bu on September 8, 2025, down 0.62% from the previous day. Over the past month, Wheat's price has fallen 3.32%, and is down 10.37% compared to the same time last year, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. Wheat - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on September of 2025.

This statistic depicts the average annual prices for U.S. wheat (HRW) from 2014 through 2026*. In 2024, the average price for U.S. wheat (HRW) stood at 269 nominal U.S. dollars per metric ton.

Basis reflects both local and global supply and demand forces. It is calculated as the difference between the local cash price and the futures price. It affects when and where many grain producers and shippers buy and sell grain. Many factors affect basis—such as local supplies, storage and transportation availability, and global demand—and they interact in complex ways. How changes in basis manifest in transportation is likewise complex and not always direct. For instance, an increase in current demand will drive cash prices up relative to future prices, and increase basis. At the same time, grain will enter the transportation system to fulfill that demand. However, grain supplies also affect basis, but will have the opposite effect on transportation. During harvest, the increase in the supply of grain pushes down cash prices relative to futures prices, and basis weakens, but the demand for transportation increases to move the supplies.

For more information on how basis is linked to transportation, see the story, "Grain Prices, Basis, and Transportation" (https://agtransport.usda.gov/stories/s/sjmk-tkh6), and links below for research on the topic.

This data has corn, soybean, and wheat basis for a variety of locations. These include origins—such as Iowa, Minnesota, Nebraska, and many others—and destinations, such as the Pacific Northwest, Louisiana Gulf, Texas Gulf, and Atlantic Coast.

This is one of three companion datasets. The other two are grain prices (https://agtransport.usda.gov/d/g92w-8cn7) and grain price spreads (https://agtransport.usda.gov/d/an4w-mnp7). These datasets are separate, because the coverage lengths differ and missing values are removed (e.g., there needs to be a cash price and a futures price to have a basis price).

The cash price comes from the grain prices dataset and the futures price comes from the appropriate futures market, which is Chicago Board of Trade (CME Group) for corn, soybeans, and soft red winter wheat; Kansas City Board of Trade (CME Group) for hard red winter wheat; and the Minneapolis Grain Exchange for hard red spring wheat.

The monthly price of wheat (hard red winter) in the United States reached an all time high in May 2022, at over *** U.S. dollars per metric ton. The unprecedented price increase began in mid-2020, due to the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic, and was later exacerbated by the Russo-Ukrainian War in March 2022. Before the war, Russia and Ukraine were among the world's five largest wheat exporters, and around one third of all international wheat imports came from these two countries. The increase of 96 dollars per ton between February and March 2022 was the single largest price hike in U.S. history, and was only the second time that prices had exceeded 400 dollars - the first time this happened was due to the financial crisis of 2008. In the five years before the Covid-19 pandemic, the price of wheat generally fluctuated between 150 and 230 dollars per ton.

Prices are a fundamental component of exchange and have long been important to the functioning of agricultural markets. Grain prices are closely related to grain transportation, where the supply and demand for grain simultaneously determines both the price of grain, as well as the demand for grain transportation.

This data has corn, soybean, and wheat prices for a variety of locations. These include origins—such as Iowa, Minnesota, Nebraska, and many others—and destinations, such as the Pacific Northwest, Louisiana Gulf, Texas Gulf, and Atlantic Coast.

The data come from three sources: USDA-AMS Market News price reports, GeoGrain, and U.S. Wheat Associates. Links are included below. GeoGrain offers granular data for purchase. The GeoGrain data here is an average of those granular prices for a given state (and the "Southeast" region, which combines Arkansas, Mississippi, and Alabama).

This is one of three companion datasets. The other two are grain basis (https://agtransport.usda.gov/d/v85y-3hep) and grain price spreads (https://agtransport.usda.gov/d/an4w-mnp7). These datasets are separate, because the coverage lengths differ and missing values are removed (e.g., there needs to be a cash price and a futures price to have a basis price).

Wheat market trends show mixed performance: winter wheat falls, spring wheat rises. Key insights on futures, USDA data, and global crop forecasts in this market update.

A "spread" can have multiple meanings, but it generally implies a difference between two comparable measures. These can be differences across space, across time, or across anything with a similar attribute. For example, in the stock market, there is a spread between the highest price a buyer is willing to pay and the lowest price a seller is willing to accept.

In this dataset, spread refers to differences in prices between two locations, an origin (e.g., Illinois, Iowa, etc.) and a destination (e.g., Louisiana Gulf, Pacific Northwest, etc.). Mathematically, it is the destination price minus the origin price.

Price spreads are closely linked to transportation. They tend to reflect the costs of moving goods from one point to another, all else constant. Fluctuations in spreads can change the flow of goods (where it may be more profitable to ship to a different location), as well as indicate changes in transportation availability (e.g., disruptions). For more information on how price spreads are linked to transportation, see the story, "Grain Prices, Basis, and Transportation" (https://agtransport.usda.gov/stories/s/sjmk-tkh6).

This is one of three companion datasets. The other two are grain prices (https://agtransport.usda.gov/d/g92w-8cn7) and grain basis (https://agtransport.usda.gov/d/v85y-3hep). These datasets are separate, because the coverage lengths differ and missing values are removed (e.g., there needs to be a cash price and a futures price to have a basis price, and there needs to be both an origin and a destination to have a price spread).

The origin and destination prices come from the grain prices dataset.

This data product contains statistics on wheat-including the five classes of wheat: hard red winter, hard red spring, soft red winter, white, and durum-and rye. Includes data published in the monthly Wheat Outlook and previously annual Wheat Yearbook. Data are monthly, quarterly, and/or annual depending upon the data series. Most data are on a marketing year basis, but some are calendar year.This record was taken from the USDA Enterprise Data Inventory that feeds into the https://data.gov catalog. Data for this record includes the following resources: Web page with links to Excel files For complete information, please visit https://data.gov.

Wheat prices show slight recovery after USDA revises output estimates. Learn about market trends, global carryout changes, and latest wheat futures updates.

This data product provides three Excel file spreadsheet models that use futures prices to forecast the U.S. season-average price received and the implied CCP for three major field crops (corn, soybeans, and wheat).

Using Futures Prices to Forecast the Season-Average Price and Counter-Cyclical Payment Rate for Corn, Soybeans, and Wheat

Farmers and policymakers are interested in the level of counter-cyclical payments (CCPs) provided by the 2008 Farm Act to producers of selected commodities. CCPs are based on the season-average price received by farmers. (For more information on CCPs, see the ERS 2008 Farm Bill Side-By-Side, Title I: Commodity Programs.)

This data product provides three Excel spreadsheet models that use futures prices to forecast the U.S. season-average price received and the implied CCP for three major field crops (corn, soybeans, and wheat). Users can view the model forecasts or create their own forecast by inserting different values for futures prices, basis values, or marketing weights. Example computations and data are provided on the Documentation page.

Spreadsheet Models

For each of the three major U.S. field crops, the Excel spreadsheet model computes a forecast for:

1. the national-level season-average price received by farmers and
2. the implied counter-cyclical payment rate.

Note: the model forecasts are not official USDA forecasts. See USDA's World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates for official USDA season-average price forecasts. See USDA's Farm Service Agency information for official USDA CCP rates.This record was taken from the USDA Enterprise Data Inventory that feeds into the https://data.gov catalog. Data for this record includes the following resources: Webpage with links to Excel files For complete information, please visit https://data.gov.

Graph and download economic data for Global price of Wheat (PWHEAMTUSDM) from Jan 1990 to Jun 2025 about wheat, World, and price.

Table 2: Market Update: U.S. Origins to Export Position Price Spreads ($/bushel)

This statistic shows the ten U.S. states with the highest average price for a bushel of wheat in 2020. According to the report, Arizona had an average price of 6.55 U.S. dollars per bushel of wheat that year.

View monthly updates and historical trends for US Wheat Price Received. from United States. Source: US Department of Agriculture. Track economic data with…

The decline in revenue for industry farmers during the current period has primarily been driven by high global stocks and fierce international competition, compounded by climate volatility and challenging trade dynamics. High stocks of wheat and coarse grains are pressuring prices downward despite record domestic food use and demand for animal feed. Intense export competition from regions like the EU, Russia and Canada exacerbates this issue, making it difficult for US producers to maintain profit. Compounding the problem are climate and weather volatility, with increased instances of droughts and heat waves reducing yields and hindering production. Trade headwinds, including retaliatory tariffs and a strong US dollar, are also constraining exports, diminishing the competitiveness of US grain globally. Overall, industry revenue has dropped at a CAGR of 1.2% since 2020 to reach an expected $13.2 billion after a decrease of 6.3% in 2025. In addition to these external pressures, input costs remain a significant challenge for industry farmers. The persistently strong prices for fertilizers, pesticides and seeds, alongside increased agricultural wages and labor shortages, have elevated production expenses, straining profit as grain prices drop. Smaller and mid-sized farms are particularly affected, facing negative returns and low cash receipts. Some operations may be forced into consolidation if they are unable to absorb high costs. While some input prices, such as fuel and agrochemicals, have eased from huge spikes earlier in the current period, overall expenses continue to surpass commodity prices, eroding financial stability and forcing many producers to seek USDA program assistance to mitigate these challenges. Looking ahead, the wheat, barley, sorghum, oats and rye farming sector is expected to gradually recover as global stocks stabilize and demand grows, expanding at a CAGR of 0.9% to reach $13.8 billion in 2030. Easing supply chain disruptions and stabilizing input costs are expected to support this recovery. Future weakening of the US dollar stands to improve export competitiveness, offering some optimism for US producers. However, the recovery will vary across segments, with those benefiting from strong domestic demand or value-added products rebounding more quickly than those reliant on bulk exports.

Analysis of steady wheat prices, market trends, and updated crop forecasts for key regions.

The data shows grain prices at select inland origin points and export destination ports and the price spread between them. More specifically, this dataset compares interior prices of corn in Illinois and Nebraska with the Gulf; Iowa and Gulf soybean prices; Kansas and Gulf hard red winter wheat; and North Dakota and Portland hard red spring wheat.

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Wheat Market Size 2025-2029

The wheat market size is forecast to increase by USD 87.6 billion at a CAGR of 4.6% between 2024 and 2029.

The market is experiencing significant shifts driven by several key trends and challenges. The growing vegan population represents a notable trend, as an increasing number of consumers adopt plant-based diets, leading to a higher demand for wheat-based food products and supplements. Simultaneously, the expansion of retail stores offering organic wheat-based supplements caters to the health-conscious consumer segment, further fueling market growth. The market plays a significant role in the global food industry, with its production and consumption influencing various sectors such as food manufacturing, food retail, and food service. However, the market faces challenges due to climate change and unpredictable weather patterns. Extreme weather conditions, such as droughts and heavy rainfall, can negatively impact wheat production, leading to supply chain disruptions and price volatility.
These challenges necessitate strategic planning and adaptability from market players to ensure a consistent supply of high-quality wheat products and maintain competitiveness. Companies seeking to capitalize on market opportunities and navigate challenges effectively must focus on innovation, sustainability, and risk management strategies. Durum wheat, a key component in pasta and craft beer production, is also gaining attention, and will subsequently help with market expansion in the coming years. 

What will be the Size of the Wheat Market during the forecast period?

Explore in-depth regional segment analysis with market size data - historical 2019-2023 and forecasts 2025-2029 - in the full report.
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The market encompasses various aspects, including gluten-free wheat, grain drying, and farming practices. Farmers employ precision agriculture to optimize wheat production, while grain drying ensures optimal moisture levels before storage in silos. Flour fortification enhances nutritional value, and flour milling technology, such as roller mills and stone mills, transforms wheat into various products like pasta and bread. Grain transportation and handling are crucial components, with grain elevators facilitating efficient movement. Grain inspection ensures grain quality, and certification guarantees adherence to industry standards. Wheat-based products, including bakery items, require careful flour blending and gluten content control. Wheat industry trends lean towards organic and non-GMO production, sustainability, and innovation in flour milling technology. The market is expected to witness notable expansion due to its increasing use in various industries, including food and animal feed.
Grain cleaning and grain storage are essential for maintaining grain quality and mitigating wheat price volatility. Pastry making and bread making continue to be significant applications, with the bakery industry driving demand for high-quality wheat and flour. Flour milling technology advances, such as grain inspection and grain handling systems, contribute to improved grain quality control. The market outlook remains positive, with ongoing research and development in wheat farming practices and wheat substitutes.

How is this Wheat Industry segmented?

The wheat industry research report provides comprehensive data (region-wise segment analysis), with forecasts and estimates in 'USD billion' for the period 2025-2029, as well as historical data from 2019-2023 for the following segments.

Application

  Human
  Feed


Type

  Hard red winter
  Hard red spring
  Soft red winter
  Others


Distribution Channel

  Direct sales (B2B)
  Retail stores
  Online platforms


Geography

  North America

    US


  Europe

    France
    Germany
    Russia
    UK


  APAC

    China
    India
    Indonesia
    Pakistan
    South Korea


  Rest of World (ROW)

By Application Insights

The human segment is estimated to witness significant growth during the forecast period. Wheat, a significant global staple food, is renowned for its high carbohydrate content, primarily in the form of starch. Beyond its carbohydrate value, wheat offers essential nutrients, including protein, vitamins, soluble fiber, and phytochemicals. Consequently, wheat-based foods are popular worldwide, catering to both human consumption and industrial applications. These include refined wheat flour, pasta, noodles, beverages like wheat beer and malted milk, and various other processed goods. Wheat farming involves the use of fertilizers, herbicides, and water for optimal growth. Diseases and pests pose challenges to production, necessitating ongoing research and innovation. Winter and spring wheat varieties are cultivated, with spring wheat being more commonly used for food products due to its higher protein content.

Wheat proce

This statistic shows wheat production costs in the United States in 2022, by type of cost, measured in U.S. dollars per planted acre. In that year, wheat fertilizer cost about ** U.S. dollars per planted acre.

Note: Updates to this data product are discontinued. This data set provides farmgate and wholesale prices for select organic and conventional fruits and vegetables, wholesale prices for organic and conventional poultry (broilers) and eggs, as well as f.o.b. and spot prices for organic grain and feedstuffs. Prices are based on those reported by USDA Agricultural Marketing Service Market News, Organic Food Business News, and USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service.