In March 2024 Bitcoin BTC reached a new all-time high with prices exceeding 73000 USD marking a milestone for the cryptocurrency market This surge was due to the approval of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds ETFs in the United States allowing investors to access Bitcoin without directly holding it This development increased Bitcoin’s credibility and brought fresh demand from institutional investors echoing previous price surges in 2021 when Tesla announced its 15 billion investment in Bitcoin and Coinbase was listed on the Nasdaq By the end of 2022 Bitcoin prices dropped sharply to 15000 USD following the collapse of cryptocurrency exchange FTX and its bankruptcy which caused a loss of confidence in the market By August 2024 Bitcoin rebounded to approximately 64178 USD but remained volatile due to inflation and interest rate hikes Unlike fiat currency like the US dollar Bitcoin’s supply is finite with 21 million coins as its maximum supply By September 2024 over 92 percent of Bitcoin had been mined Bitcoin’s value is tied to its scarcity and its mining process is regulated through halving events which cut the reward for mining every four years making it harder and more energy-intensive to mine The next halving event in 2024 will reduce the reward to 3125 BTC from its current 625 BTC The final Bitcoin is expected to be mined around 2140 The energy required to mine Bitcoin has led to criticisms about its environmental impact with estimates in 2021 suggesting that one Bitcoin transaction used as much energy as Argentina Bitcoin’s future price is difficult to predict due to the influence of large holders known as whales who own about 92 percent of all Bitcoin These whales can cause dramatic market swings by making large trades and many retail investors still dominate the market While institutional interest has grown it remains a small fraction compared to retail Bitcoin is vulnerable to external factors like regulatory changes and economic crises leading some to believe it is in a speculative bubble However others argue that Bitcoin is still in its early stages of adoption and will grow further as more institutions and governments recognize its potential as a hedge against inflation and a store of value 2024 has also seen the rise of Bitcoin Layer 2 technologies like the Lightning Network which improve scalability by enabling faster and cheaper transactions These innovations are crucial for Bitcoin’s wider adoption especially for day-to-day use and cross-border remittances At the same time central bank digital currencies CBDCs are gaining traction as several governments including China and the European Union have accelerated the development of their own state-controlled digital currencies while Bitcoin remains decentralized offering financial sovereignty for those who prefer independence from government control The rise of CBDCs is expected to increase interest in Bitcoin as a hedge against these centralized currencies Bitcoin’s journey in 2024 highlights its growing institutional acceptance alongside its inherent market volatility While the approval of Bitcoin ETFs has significantly boosted interest the market remains sensitive to events like exchange collapses and regulatory decisions With the limited supply of Bitcoin and improvements in its transaction efficiency it is expected to remain a key player in the financial world for years to come Whether Bitcoin is currently in a speculative bubble or on a sustainable path to greater adoption will ultimately be revealed over time.

Bitcoin (BTC) price again reached an all-time high in 2024, as values exceeded over 73,000 USD in March 2024. That particular price hike was connected to the approval of Bitcoin ETFs in the United States, whilst previous hikes in 2021 were due to events involving Tesla and Coinbase, respectively. Tesla's announcement in March 2021 that it had acquired 1.5 billion U.S. dollars' worth of the digital coin, for example, as well as the IPO of the U.S.' biggest crypto exchange fueled mass interest. The market was noticably different by the end of 2022, however, with Bitcoin prices reaching roughly 87,471.70 as of March 25, 2025 after another crypto exchange, FTX, filed for bankruptcy.Is the world running out of Bitcoin?Unlike fiat currency like the U.S. dollar - as the Federal Reserve can simply decide to print more banknotes - Bitcoin's supply is finite: BTC has a maximum supply embedded in its design, of which roughly 89 percent had been reached in April 2021. It is believed that Bitcoin will run out by 2040, despite more powerful mining equipment. This is because mining becomes exponentially more difficult and power-hungry every four years, a part of Bitcoin's original design. Because of this, a Bitcoin mining transaction could equal the energy consumption of a small country in 2021.Bitcoin's price outlook: a potential bubble?Cryptocurrencies have few metrices available that allow for forecasting, if only because it is rumored that only few cryptocurrency holders own a large portion of available supply. These large holders - referred to as 'whales' - are said to make up of two percent of anonymous ownership accounts, whilst owning roughly 92 percent of BTC. On top of this, most people who use cryptocurrency-related services worldwide are retail clients rather than institutional investors. This means outlooks on whether Bitcoin prices will fall or grow are difficult to measure, as movements from one large whale already having a significant impact on this market.

Price swings of Bitcoin increased substantially in November 2022, recording a 10-day volatility of more than 100 percent. Measured in a metric called volatility, the percentage shown here reflect how much the price of BTC in U.S. dollars changed historically over a preceding 7-day window. Changes can be either up or down, with a higher volatility reflecting that an asset is more risky, as price movements are less easy to predict and can swing in any direction. The volatility metric referred to here is called "realized volatility", otherwise known as as "historic volatility" and describes these price swings over a given period of time - and consequently is not looking into the future. Despite the rise of several cryptocurrencies since 2021, Bitcoin still had the highest market share ("dominance") of all cryptocurrencies in 2022.

Ethereum's price history suggests that that crypto was worth significantly less in 2022 than during late 2021, although nowhere near the lowest price recorded. Much like Bitcoin (BTC), the price of ETH went up in 2021 but for different reasons altogether: Ethereum, for instance, hit the news when a digital art piece was sold as the world's most expensive NFT for over 38,000 ETH - or 69.3 million U.S. dollars. Unlike Bitcoin - of which the price growth was fueled by the IPO of the U.S.' biggest crypto trader Coinbase - the rally on Ethereum came from technological developments that caused much excitement among traders. First, the so-called 'Berlin update' rolled out on the Ethereum network in April 2021, an update which would eventually lead to the Ethereum Merge in 2022 and reduced ETH gas prices - or reduced transaction fees. The collapse of FTX in late 2022, however, changed much for the cryptocurrency. As of March 25, 2025, Ethereum was worth 2,067.76 U.S. dollars - significantly less than the 4,400 U.S. dollars by the end of 2021.Ethereum's future and the DeFi industry Price developments on Ethereum are difficult to predict, but cannot be seen without the world of DeFi - or Decentralized Finance. This industry used technology to remove intermediaries between parties in a financial transaction. One example includes crypto wallets such as Coinbase Wallet that grew in popularity in recent years, with other examples including smart contractor Uniswap, Maker (responsible for stablecoin DAI), money lender Dharma and market protocol Compound. Ethereum's future developments are tied with this industry: Unlike Bitcoin and Ripple, Ethereum is technically not a currency but an open-source software platform for blockchain applications - with Ether being the cryptocurrency that is used inside the Ethereum network. Essentially, Ethereum facilitates DeFi - meaning that if DeFi does well, so does Ethereum.NFTs: the most well-known application of EthereumNFTs or non-fungible tokens grew nearly ten-fold between 2018 and 2020, as can be seen in the market cap of NFTs worldwide. These digital blockchain assets can essentially function as a unique code connected to a digital file, allowing to distinguish the original file from any potential copies. This application is especially prominent in crypto art, although there are other applications: gaming, sports and collectibles are other segments where NFT sales occur.

By 2025, the Bitcoin market cap had grown to over 2,000 billion USD as the cryptocurrency kept growing. Market capitalization is calculated by multiplying the total number of Bitcoins in circulation by the Bitcoin price. The Bitcoin market capitalization increased from approximately one billion U.S. dollars in 2013 to several times this amount since its surge in popularity. Dominance The Bitcoin market cap takes up a significant portion of the overall cryptocurrency market cap. This is referred to as "dominance". Within the crypto world, this so-called "dominance" ratio is one of the oldest and most investigated metrics available. It measures the coin's market cap relative to the overall crypto market — effectively showing how strong Bitcoin compared to all the other cryptocurrencies that are not BTC, called "altcoins". The Bitcoin dominance was above 50 percent. Maximum supply and scarcity Bitcoin is unusual from other cryptocurrencies in that its maximum supply is getting closer. By 2025, well over 19 million out of all 21 million possible Bitcoin had been created. Bitcoin's supply is expected to reach its maximum around the year 2140, likely making mining more energy-intensive.

Prices for BTCUSD Bitcoin US Dollar including live quotes, historical charts and news. BTCUSD Bitcoin US Dollar was last updated by Trading Economics this March 1 of 2025.

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This is a submission for Challenge #24 by Desights User

Click here for Challenge Details Note: This submission is in REVIEW state and is only accessible by Challenge Reviewers. So you might get errors when you try to download this asset directly from Ocean Market.

Submission Description

The cryptocurrency is not just a new form of value store and exchange, it is a revolution of its own. Beginning with its use to provide peer-to-peer payment network (or digital money) like Bitcoin, today’s cryptocurrency, or crypto for short, have evolved way beyond its humble start. Underlying the crypto world, there lies amazing technology called Blockchain. In simple term, blockchain is a decentralized and shared digital ledger that records transactions transparently and immutably across nodes in the network. Today’s Crypto community has slowly turned into industry of its own introducing a whole spectrum of enigmatic pattern, trends, and economic framework. In this report we will explore the trend, correlations, and dynamics related to 20 selected Crypto projects to derived insights and build models that predict the future of crypto. Key Findings: Our exploratory data analysis (EDA) underlines the span and general pattern of the Google Trend and Price related data. The data being analyzed span from the earliest entry on 2014-09-17 up to the latest on 2024-04-07. Time series decomposition was performed to extract trend, seasonal cycle, and residuals that made up the Google Interest Trend data. Analysis on the time-series decomposition help us distinguish cluster (a) with projects on the rise such as Solana, SingularityNet, Fetch.ai, and Ocean Protocol; and cluster (b) containing old project such as Dogecoin, Litecoin Filecoin, Tezos that are facing stagnant/downfall trend. Based on the Google Trends’s Correlation across projects we characterize Highly correlated projects cluster with correlation of about >0.8, and up to 0.92 with Bitcoin-Ethereum-Chainlink-Litecoin-Monero as the prominent group members. By introducing additional Google Trend data to understand Crypto Narrative, we worked toward building interpretable Event/Entity driving the market sentiment to explain our decomposed Time-series data. Based on Lag Characteristics in Correlation of Google Trend and Price/Trade Volume we highlight the tendency for the correlation to accumulate at longer lag time. Using NeuralProphet Framework we build forecasting models for Google Trend and Token Price for all 20 projects investigated here. We deployed these models to predict Trend and Price for all 20 projects for the following 52 weeks (up until April 2025). The developed models performed extraordinarily well with the R^2 value for most fall between the range of 0.75-0.88, while the highest goes up to 0.919. We highlight the correlation between Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ocean, with the rest of other projects. Ocean and Bitcoin, also Ethereum and Solana are the most correlated, both with correlation value of 0.89. The Kucoin’s KCS token is the least correlated with both Ocean and Bitcoin (0.31), while with Ethereum, Filecoin have the least correlation (0.41).

Conclusion This investigative study presents a thorough data analysis and exploration of correlations, time-lag characteristics, and time-series decomposition concerning Google Trends and token prices for 20 selected crypto/blockchain projects. By decomposing the time-series data, we have identified several clusters of crypto projects that is moving up in popularity such as Fetch.ai, SingularityNet, Solana, Ocean and some others that are stuck or in downfall trend, such as Dogecoin and Litecoin. Our analysis also includes a detailed exploration of various factors that contribute to understanding the data better, such as the incorporation of event-driven trends that explain outlier spikes in the residual data from our decomposed time-series.

In addition to our in-depth analysis, we build strong mini-library of forecasting models for predicting the Google Trend as well as price for the upcoming year with R^2 score that goes as high as 0.88 for most cases. Moreover, in order to demonstrate the utility of our exploratory data analysis tools and pipeline in full we also include all the results and analysis output produced in this work.

Looking ahead, we plan to expand our developed forecasting models and the presented data into a "CryptoForecast MiniApp." This application, based on the Streamlit package, will be hosted on a decentralized cloud (Akash) and connected to the Ocean marketplace and Predictoor, enhancing accessibility and utility for users interested in real-time data for Google Trends and Crypto Token Price forecasts.

The average price of one Bitcoin Cash reached its all-time high in 2017, although the price since then never came close to that position. As of March 25, 2025, one Bitcoin Cash token was worth 335.67 U.S. dollars, as opposed to the nearly 2,500 USD from the peak in 2017. Bitcoin Cash - abbreviated as BCH - is a variant of the much more known Bitcoin - or BTC -, and is traded separately on online exchanges. That the two cryptocurrencies are different from each other already shows when looking at the price of a 'regular' Bitcoin: this was over 40,000 U.S. dollars during the same time frame.

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Cryptocurrency Market Size 2025-2029

The cryptocurrency market size is forecast to increase by USD 39.75 billion at a CAGR of 16.7% between 2024 and 2029.

The market continues to evolve at an unprecedented pace, driven by increasing investment in digital assets and growing acceptance by retailers as a legitimate form of currency. According to recent reports, global investment in cryptocurrencies reached an all-time high in 2020, with institutional investors leading the charge. This trend is expected to continue, as more financial institutions explore the benefits of cryptocurrencies for portfolio diversification and transaction settlement. However, the market's volatility remains a significant challenge for both investors and businesses. The value of cryptocurrencies can fluctuate dramatically in a short period, making it difficult to predict future trends and assess risk. Despite this, many companies are finding ways to capitalize on the opportunities presented by the market. For instance, some retailers have begun accepting Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies as payment, while others are exploring blockchain technology to streamline transactions and enhance security. To navigate this complex and dynamic market, companies must stay informed about the latest trends and developments. This includes keeping abreast of regulatory changes, technological advancements, and market sentiment. By doing so, they can position themselves to take advantage of emerging opportunities and mitigate potential risks. Overall, the market offers significant potential for growth and innovation, but also presents unique challenges that require careful planning and strategic foresight.

What will be the Size of the Cryptocurrency Market during the forecast period?

Request Free SampleThe market, driven by the underlying technology of blockchain, represents a decentralized currency system that has gained significant global adoption as a digital alternative to traditional fiat currencies. With a total market capitalization surpassing USD2 trillion, this dynamic market is characterized by price volatility, presenting both opportunities and risks for investors. Theft and security concerns, regulatory outlook, and energy consumption with environmental effects are among the challenges faced by this industry. Skilled developers and financial services institutions are increasingly embracing this digital revolution, leveraging blockchain technology to create innovative consumer protection solutions and ensure financial stability. Meanwhile, the rise of decentralized systems and public ledgers has given way to the proliferation of digital assets, leading to an influx of fraudulent investments. Renewable energy sources and blockchain talent are becoming essential components of the cryptocurrency ecosystem as the industry strives to address concerns related to energy consumption and environmental effects.

How is this Cryptocurrency Industry segmented?

The cryptocurrency industry research report provides comprehensive data (region-wise segment analysis), with forecasts and estimates in 'USD billion' for the period 2025-2029, as well as historical data from 2019-2023 for the following segments. TypeBitcoinEthereumOthersRippleBitcoin CashCardanoComponentHardwareSoftwareProcessMiningTransactionMiningTransactionEnd-UseTradingE-commerce and RetailPeer-to-Peer PaymentRemittanceTradingE-commerce and RetailPeer-to-Peer PaymentRemittanceGeographyNorth AmericaUSCanadaEuropeGermanyItalySwitzerlandThe NetherlandsUKAPACChinaJapanSouth AmericaBrazilMiddle East and Africa

By Type Insights

The bitcoin segment is estimated to witness significant growth during the forecast period.Bitcoin, the largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, is a decentralized digital currency valued at over USD470 billion. It operates on a peer-to-peer (P2P) system without central authorities. The top four stablecoins, Tether, USD Coin, Binance USD, and DAI, are directly pegged to the US dollar and collectively hold a significant market share. In the US, approximately 8% of the population engages in cryptocurrency trading. Bitcoin, as a digital asset, is created, stored, processed, and transferred using blockchain technology – a decentralized system. Other cryptocurrencies like Ethereum, Ripple, and Litecoin also follow this model. The market is evolving, with financial services increasingly adopting digital assets for transactions, investments, and consumer protection. Blockchain technology powers digital wallets, crypto exchanges, and smart contracts, enabling decentralized finance, token offerings, and decentralized applications. The market is subject to price volatility and theft risk, necessitating wallet security and regulatory compliance. Energy consumption and environmental effects are areas of concern, with renewable energy solutions emerging. Skilled developers are in high demand for cre

Graph and download economic data for Coinbase Bitcoin (CBBTCUSD) from 2014-12-01 to 2025-03-25 about cryptocurrency and USA.

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📊 Market Coverage & Data Types: ◦ Real-time and historical data since 2010 (for chosen assets) ◦ Full order book depth (L2/L3) ◦ Trade-by-trade data ◦ OHLCV across multiple timeframes ◦ Market indexes (VWAP, PRIMKT) ◦ Exchange rates with fiat pairs ◦ Spot, futures, options, and perpetual contracts ◦ Coverage of 90%+ global trading volume (including Bitcoin Price Data)

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Context:

This dataset is an extra updating dataset for the G-Research Crypto Forecasting competition.

Introduction

This is a daily updated dataset, automaticlly collecting market data for G-Research crypto forecasting competition. The data is of the 1-minute resolution, collected for all competition assets and both retrieval and uploading are fully automated. see discussion topic.

The Data

For every asset in the competition, the following fields from Binance's official API endpoint for historical candlestick data are collected, saved, and processed.

1. **timestamp** - A timestamp for the minute covered by the row.
2. **Asset_ID** - An ID code for the cryptoasset.
3. **Count** - The number of trades that took place this minute.
4. **Open** - The USD price at the beginning of the minute.
5. **High** - The highest USD price during the minute.
6. **Low** - The lowest USD price during the minute.
7. **Close** - The USD price at the end of the minute.
8. **Volume** - The number of cryptoasset u units traded during the minute.
9. **VWAP** - The volume-weighted average price for the minute.
10. **Target** - 15 minute residualized returns. See the 'Prediction and Evaluation section of this notebook for details of how the target is calculated.
11. **Weight** - Weight, defined by the competition hosts [here](https://www.kaggle.com/cstein06/tutorial-to-the-g-research-crypto-competition)
12. **Asset_Name** - Human readable Asset name.

Indexing

The dataframe is indexed by timestamp and sorted from oldest to newest. The first row starts at the first timestamp available on the exchange, which is July 2017 for the longest-running pairs.

Usage Example

The following is a collection of simple starter notebooks for Kaggle's Crypto Comp showing PurgedTimeSeries in use with the collected dataset. Purged TimesSeries is explained here. There are many configuration variables below to allow you to experiment. Use either GPU or TPU. You can control which years are loaded, which neural networks are used, and whether to use feature engineering. You can experiment with different data preprocessing, model architecture, loss, optimizers, and learning rate schedules. The extra datasets contain the full history of the assets in the same format as the competition, so you can input that into your model too.

Baseline Example Notebooks:

• Neural Network Starter
• LightGBM Starter
• Catboost Starter
• XGBoost Starter
• TabNet Starter
• Reinforcement Learning (PPO) Starter

These notebooks follow the ideas presented in my "Initial Thoughts" here. Some code sections have been reused from Chris' great (great) notebook series on SIIM ISIC melanoma detection competition here

Loose-ends:

This is a work in progress and will be updated constantly throughout the competition. At the moment, there are some known issues that still needed to be addressed:

• VWAP: - At the moment VWAP calculation formula is still unclear. Currently the dataset uses an approximation calculated from the Open, High, Low, Close, Volume candlesticks. [Waiting for competition hosts input]
• Target Labeling: There exist some mismatches to the original target provided by the hosts at some time intervals. On all the others - it is the same. The labeling code can be seen here. [Waiting for competition hosts] input]
• Filtering: No filtration of 0 volume data is taken place.

Example Visualisations

Opening price with an added indicator (MA50): https://www.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/kaggle-user-content/o/inbox%2F2234678%2Fb8664e6f26dc84e9a40d5a3d915c9640%2Fdownload.png?generation=1582053879538546&alt=media" alt="">

Volume and number of trades: https://www.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/kaggle-user-content/o/inbox%2F2234678%2Fcd04ed586b08c1576a7b67d163ad9889%2Fdownload-1.png?generation=1582053899082078&alt=media" alt="">

License

This data is being collected automatically from the crypto exchange Binance.

It is estimated that the cumulative market cap of cryptocurrencies increased in early 2023 after the downfall in November 2022 due to FTX. That value declined in the summer of 2023, however, as international uncertainty grew over a potential recession. Bitcoin's market cap made up the majority of the overall market capitalization.

What is market cap?

Market capitalization is a financial measure typically used for publicly traded firms, computed by multiplying the share price by the number of outstanding shares. However, cryptocurrency analysts calculate it as the price of the virtual currencies times the number of coins in the market. This gives cryptocurrency investors an idea of the overall market size, and watching the evolution of the measure tells how much money is flowing in or out of each cryptocurrency.

Cryptocurrency as an investment

The price of Bitcoin has been erratic, and most other cryptocurrencies follow its larger price swings. This volatility attracts investors who hope to buy when the price is low and sell at its peak, turning a profit. However, this does little for price stability. As such, few firms accept payment in cryptocurrencies.

CoinAPI delivers enterprise-grade data infrastructure specifically designed for quantitative trading, providing real-time and historical data feeds from over 350+ exchanges through unified, scalable APIs.

Our platform serves sophisticated quant trading operations with microsecond-precision data delivery, enabling everything from statistical arbitrage to long-term systematic strategies through comprehensive market coverage.

✅ Availability - over 800 cryptocurrencies.

➡️ Why choose us?

📊 Market Coverage & Data Types: ◦ Real-time and historical data since 2010 (for chosen assets) ◦ Full order book depth (L2/L3) ◦ Trade-by-trade data ◦ OHLCV across multiple timeframes ◦ Market indexes (VWAP, PRIMKT) ◦ Exchange rates with fiat pairs ◦ Spot, futures, options, and perpetual contracts ◦ Coverage of 90%+ global trading volume

🔧 Technical Excellence: ◦ 99% uptime guarantee ◦ Multiple delivery methods: REST, WebSocket, FIX, S3 ◦ Standardized data format across exchanges ◦ Ultra-low latency data streaming ◦ Detailed documentation ◦ Custom integration assistance

CoinAPI serves hundreds of institutions worldwide, from trading firms and hedge funds to research organizations and technology providers. Our commitment to data quality and technical excellence makes us the trusted choice for the cryptocurrency market's data needs.

The Report Includes Global Bitcoin Industry and the Market is Segmented by Service (Exchanges, Remittance Services, Payment & Wallet), End-User Vertical (BFSI, E-Commerce, Media & Entertainment, Hospitality), and Geography (North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, Latin America, Middle East & Africa). The Report Offers the Market Size and Forecasts in USD for all the Above Segments.

Context:

This dataset is an extra updating dataset for the G-Research Crypto Forecasting competition.

Introduction

This is a daily updated dataset, automaticlly collecting market data for G-Research crypto forecasting competition. The data is of the 1-minute resolution, collected for all competition assets and both retrieval and uploading are fully automated. see discussion topic.

The Data

For every asset in the competition, the following fields from Binance's official API endpoint for historical candlestick data are collected, saved, and processed.

1. **timestamp** - A timestamp for the minute covered by the row.
2. **Asset_ID** - An ID code for the cryptoasset.
3. **Count** - The number of trades that took place this minute.
4. **Open** - The USD price at the beginning of the minute.
5. **High** - The highest USD price during the minute.
6. **Low** - The lowest USD price during the minute.
7. **Close** - The USD price at the end of the minute.
8. **Volume** - The number of cryptoasset u units traded during the minute.
9. **VWAP** - The volume-weighted average price for the minute.
10. **Target** - 15 minute residualized returns. See the 'Prediction and Evaluation section of this notebook for details of how the target is calculated.
11. **Weight** - Weight, defined by the competition hosts [here](https://www.kaggle.com/cstein06/tutorial-to-the-g-research-crypto-competition)
12. **Asset_Name** - Human readable Asset name.

Indexing

The dataframe is indexed by timestamp and sorted from oldest to newest. The first row starts at the first timestamp available on the exchange, which is July 2017 for the longest-running pairs.

Usage Example

The following is a collection of simple starter notebooks for Kaggle's Crypto Comp showing PurgedTimeSeries in use with the collected dataset. Purged TimesSeries is explained here. There are many configuration variables below to allow you to experiment. Use either GPU or TPU. You can control which years are loaded, which neural networks are used, and whether to use feature engineering. You can experiment with different data preprocessing, model architecture, loss, optimizers, and learning rate schedules. The extra datasets contain the full history of the assets in the same format as the competition, so you can input that into your model too.

Baseline Example Notebooks:

• Neural Network Starter
• LightGBM Starter
• Catboost Starter
• XGBoost Starter
• TabNet Starter
• Reinforcement Learning (PPO) Starter

These notebooks follow the ideas presented in my "Initial Thoughts" here. Some code sections have been reused from Chris' great (great) notebook series on SIIM ISIC melanoma detection competition here

Loose-ends:

This is a work in progress and will be updated constantly throughout the competition. At the moment, there are some known issues that still needed to be addressed:

• VWAP: - At the moment VWAP calculation formula is still unclear. Currently the dataset uses an approximation calculated from the Open, High, Low, Close, Volume candlesticks. [Waiting for competition hosts input]
• Target Labeling: There exist some mismatches to the original target provided by the hosts at some time intervals. On all the others - it is the same. The labeling code can be seen here. [Waiting for competition hosts] input]
• Filtering: No filtration of 0 volume data is taken place.

Example Visualisations

Opening price with an added indicator (MA50): https://www.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/kaggle-user-content/o/inbox%2F2234678%2Fb8664e6f26dc84e9a40d5a3d915c9640%2Fdownload.png?generation=1582053879538546&alt=media" alt="">

Volume and number of trades: https://www.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/kaggle-user-content/o/inbox%2F2234678%2Fcd04ed586b08c1576a7b67d163ad9889%2Fdownload-1.png?generation=1582053899082078&alt=media" alt="">

License

This data is being collected automatically from the crypto exchange Binance.

Bitcoin's circulating supply has grown steadily since its inception in 2009, reaching over 19 million coins by early 2025. This gradual increase reflects the cryptocurrency's design, which put a limit of 21 million on the total number of bitcoins that can ever exist. This impacts the Bitcoin price somewhat, as its scarcity can lead to volatility on the market. Maximum supply and scarcity Bitcoin is unusual from other cryptocurrencies in that its maximum supply is getting closer. By 2025, more than 90 percent of all possible Bitcoin had been created. That said, Bitcoin's circulating supply is expected to reach its maximum around the year 2140. Meanwhile, mining becomes exponentially more difficult and energy-intensive. Institutional investors In 2025, countries like the United States openly started discussion the possibility of buying bitcoins to hold in reserve. By the time of writing, it was unclear whether this would happen. Nevertheless, institutional investors displayed more interest in the cryptocurrency than before. Certain companies owned several thousands of Bitcoin tokens in 2025, for example. This and the limited number of Bitcoin may further fuel price volatility.

CoinAPI provides institutional-grade cryptocurrency market data, delivering real-time and historical information from 350+ global exchanges through a unified API infrastructure. Our comprehensive coverage includes Bitcoin price data, Ethereum metrics, and detailed market information for over 800 digital assets across both centralized (CEX) and decentralized exchanges (DEX).

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Banks, trading companies, and market researchers rely on our Bitcoin, Ethereum, and altcoin feeds for their trading strategies and market analysis. Whether you need detailed market depth information, historical price data, or real-time trading signals, we provide the solid foundation you need to participate confidently in the crypto markets.

Why work with us?

Market Coverage & Data Types: - Real-time and historical data since 2010 (for chosen assets) - Full order book depth (L2/L3) - Trade-by-trade data - OHLCV across multiple timeframes - Market indexes (VWAP, PRIMKT) - Exchange rates with fiat pairs - Spot, futures, options, and perpetual contracts - Coverage of 90%+ global trading volume

Technical Excellence: - 99,9% uptime guarantee - Multiple delivery methods: REST, WebSocket, FIX, S3 - Standardized data format across exchanges - Ultra-low latency data streaming - Detailed documentation - Custom integration assistance

CoinAPI helps hundreds of businesses worldwide - from trading desks and investment funds to research teams and tech companies. We've earned their trust through reliable data and strong technical performance. When companies need dependable cryptocurrency market information, they come to us because we consistently deliver what they need.

The cryptocurrency market size is predicted to reach $3.33 billion in 2024 to $11.07 billion by 2035, growing at a CAGR of 11.54% from 2024 to 2035.