Home affordability has worsened substantially in Canada since 2021. In the first quarter of 2025, the monthly single-family mortgage payment amounted to approximately 61.7 percent of a household's income, on average. In 2021, when affordability had improved slightly, the average mortgage payment constituted 46.5 percent of a household's income.
The house price to income ratio in Canada peaked in the second quarter of 2022, followed by a decline until the second quarter of 2025. The ratio measures the development of housing affordability and is calculated by dividing nominal house price by nominal disposable income per head, with 2015 set as a base year when the index amounted to 100. Canada's index score in the second quarter of 2025 amounted to *****, which means that house price growth has outpaced income growth by almost **** percent since 2015. Canadian home prices continue to grow House prices in Canada have steadily increased over the past decade, despite a very mild decline in 2023. This trend is forecast to continue until 2026, albeit at a lower rate than in the period between 2019 and 2022. In British Columbia, which has consistently been the most expensive province for housing, the average house price is expected to reach nearly *** million Canadian dollars in 2026. The rising homeownership costs have also affected rents. In 2024, the average two-bedroom apartment rent in Vancouver exceeded ***** Canadian dollars. Canadian incomes on the rise Incomes in Canada have steadily risen since 2000 and show no signs of slowing down in the near future. This should improve housing affordability, as long as home price growth slows down.
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Home affordability has worsened substantially in Canada since 2021. In the first quarter of 2025, the monthly single-family mortgage payment amounted to approximately 61.7 percent of a household's income, on average. In 2021, when affordability had improved slightly, the average mortgage payment constituted 46.5 percent of a household's income.