Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
License information was derived automatically
The US Global Change Research Program sponsors the semi-annual National Climate Assessment, which is the authoritative analysis of climate change and its potential impacts in the United States. The 4th National Climate Assessment (NCA4), issued in 2018, used high resolution, downscaled LOCA climate data for many of its national and regional analyses. The LOCA downscaling was applied to multi-model mean weighted averages, using the following 32 CMIP5 model ensemble:ACCESS1-0, ACCESS1-3, bcc-csm1-1, bcc-csm1-1-m, CanESM2, CCSM4, CESM1-BGC, CESM1-CAM5, CMCC-CM, CMCC-CMS, CNRM-CM5, CSIRO-Mk3-6-0, EC EARTH, FGOALS-g2, GFDL-CM3, GFDL-ESM2G, GFDL-ESM2M, GISS-E2-H-p1, GISS-E2-R-p1, HadGEM2-AO, HadGEM2-CC, HadGEM2-ES, inmcm4, IPSL-CM5A-LR, IPSL-CM5A-MR, MIROC5, MIROC-ESM-CHEM, MIROC-ESM, MPI-ESM-LR, MPI-ESM-MR, MRI-CGCM3, NorESM1-M.All of the LOCA variables used in NCA4 are presented here. Many are thresholded to provide 47 actionable statistics, like days with precipitation greater than 3", length of the growing season, or days above 90 degrees F. Time RangesStatistics for each variables were calculated over a 30-year period. Four different time ranges are provided:Historical: 1976-2005Early-Century: 2016-2045Mid-Century: 2036-2065Late-Century: 2070-2099Climate ScenariosClimate models use estimates of greenhouse gas concentrations to predict overall change. These difference scenarios are called the Relative Concentration Pathways. Two different RCPs are presented here: RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5. The number indicates the amount of radiative forcing(watts per meter square) associated with the greenhouse gas concentration scenario in the year 2100 (higher forcing = greater warming). It is unclear which scenario will be the most likely, but RCP 4.5 aligns with the international targets of the COP-26 agreement, while RCP 8.5 is aligns with a more "business as usual" approach. Detailed documentation and the original data from USGCRP, processed by NOAA's National Climate Assessment Technical Support Unit at the North Carolina Institute for Climate Studies, can be accessed from the NCA Atlas. Variable DefinitionsCooling Degree Days: Cooling degree days (annual cumulative number of degrees by which the daily average temperature is greater than 65°F) [degree days (degF)]Consecutive Dry Days: Annual maximum number of consecutive dry days (days with total precipitation less than 0.01 inches)Consecutive Dry Days Jan Jul Aug: Summer maximum number of consecutive dry days (days with total precipitation less than 0.01 inches in June, July, and August)Consecutive Wet Days: Annual maximum number of consecutive wet days (days with total precipitation greater than or equal to 0.01 inches)First Freeze Day: Date of the first fall freeze (annual first occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 32degF in the fall)Growing Degree Days: Growing degree days, base 50 (annual cumulative number of degrees by which the daily average temperature is greater than 50°F) [degree days (degF)]Growing Degree Days Modified: Modified growing degree days, base 50 (annual cumulative number of degrees by which the daily average temperature is greater than 50°F; before calculating the daily average temperatures, daily maximum temperatures above 86°F and daily minimum temperatures below 50°F are set to those values) [degree days (degF)]growing-season: Length of the growing (frost-free) season (the number of days between the last occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 32degF in the spring and the first occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 32degF in the fall)Growing Season 28F: Length of the growing season, 28°F threshold (the number of days between the last occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 28°F in the spring and the first occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 28°F in the fall)Growing Season 41F: Length of the growing season, 41°F threshold (the number of days between the last occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 41°F in the spring and the first occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 41°F in the fall)Heating Degree Days: Heating degree days (annual cumulative number of degrees by which the daily average temperature is less than 65°F) [degree days (degF)]Last Freeze Day: Date of the last spring freeze (annual last occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 32degF in the spring)Precip Above 99th pctl: Annual total precipitation for all days exceeding the 99th percentile, calculated with reference to 1976-2005 [inches]Precip Annual Total: Annual total precipitation [inches]Precip Days Above 99th pctl: Annual number of days with precipitation exceeding the 99th percentile, calculated with reference to 1976-2005 [inches]Precip 1in: Annual number of days with total precipitation greater than 1 inchPrecip 2in: Annual number of days with total precipitation greater than 2 inchesPrecip 3in: Annual number of days with total precipitation greater than 3 inchesPrecip 4in: Annual number of days with total precipitation greater than 4 inchesPrecip Max 1 Day: Annual highest precipitation total for a single day [inches]Precip Max 5 Day: Annual highest precipitation total over a 5-day period [inches]Daily Avg Temperature: Daily average temperature [degF]Daily Max Temperature: Daily maximum temperature [degF]Temp Max Days Above 99th pctl: Annual number of days with maximum temperature greater than the 99th percentile, calculated with reference to 1976-2005Temp Max Days Below 1st pctl: Annual number of days with maximum temperature lower than the 1st percentile, calculated with reference to 1976-2005Days Above 100F: Annual number of days with a maximum temperature greater than 100degFDays Above 105F: Annual number of days with a maximum temperature greater than 105degFDays Above 110F: Annual number of days with a maximum temperature greater than 110degFDays Above 115F: Annual number of days with a maximum temperature greater than 115degFTemp Max 1 Day: Annual single highest maximum temperature [degF]Days Above 32F: Annual number of icing days (days with a maximum temperature less than 32degF)Temp Max 5 Day: Annual highest maximum temperature averaged over a 5-day period [degF]Days Above 86F: Annual number of days with a maximum temperature greater than 86degFDays Above 90F: Annual number of days with a maximum temperature greater than 90degFDays Above 95F: Annual number of days with a maximum temperature greater than 95degFTemp Min: Daily minimum temperature [degF]Temp Min Days Above 75F: Annual number of days with a minimum temperature greater than 75degFTemp Min Days Above 80F: Annual number of days with a minimum temperature greater than 80degFTemp Min Days Above 85F: Annual number of days with a minimum temperature greater than 85degFTemp Min Days Above 90F: Annual number of days with a minimum temperature greater than 90degFTemp Min Days Above 99th pctl: Annual number of days with minimum temperature greater than the 99th percentile, calculated with reference to 1976-2005Temp Min Days Below 1st pctl: Annual number of days with minimum temperature lower than the 1st percentile, calculated with reference to 1976-2005Temp Min Days Below 28F: Annual number of days with a minimum temperature less than 28degFTemp Min Max 5 Day: Annual highest minimum temperature averaged over a 5-day period [degF]Temp Min 1 Day: Annual single lowest minimum temperature [degF]Temp Min 32F: Annual number of frost days (days with a minimum temperature less than 32degF)Temp Min 5 Day: Annual lowest minimum temperature averaged over a 5-day period [degF]For For freeze-related variables:The first fall freeze is defined as the date of the first occurrence of 32degF or lower in the nine months starting midnight August 1. Grid points with more than 10 of the 30 years not experiencing an occurrence of 32degF or lower are excluded from the analysis.No freeze occurrence, value = 999The last spring freeze is defined as the date of the last occurrence of 32degF or lower in the nine months prior to midnight August 1. Grid points with more than 10 of the 30 years not experiencing an occurrence of 32degF or lower are excluded from the analysis.No freeze occurrence, value = 999The growing season is defined as the number of days between the last occurrence of 28degF/32degF/41degF or lower in the nine months prior to midnight August 1 and the first occurrence of 28degF/32degF/41degF or lower in the nine months starting August 1. Grid points with more than 10 of the 30 years not experiencing an occurrence of 28degF/32degF/41degF or lower are excluded from the analysis.No freeze occurrence, value = 999
Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
License information was derived automatically
The US Global Change Research Program sponsors the semi-annual National Climate Assessment, which is the authoritative analysis of climate change and its potential impacts in the United States. The 4th National Climate Assessment (NCA4), issued in 2018, used high resolution, downscaled LOCA climate data for many of its national and regional analyses. The LOCA downscaling was applied to multi-model mean weighted averages, using the following 32 CMIP5 model ensemble:ACCESS1-0, ACCESS1-3, bcc-csm1-1, bcc-csm1-1-m, CanESM2, CCSM4, CESM1-BGC, CESM1-CAM5, CMCC-CM, CMCC-CMS, CNRM-CM5, CSIRO-Mk3-6-0, EC EARTH, FGOALS-g2, GFDL-CM3, GFDL-ESM2G, GFDL-ESM2M, GISS-E2-H-p1, GISS-E2-R-p1, HadGEM2-AO, HadGEM2-CC, HadGEM2-ES, inmcm4, IPSL-CM5A-LR, IPSL-CM5A-MR, MIROC5, MIROC-ESM-CHEM, MIROC-ESM, MPI-ESM-LR, MPI-ESM-MR, MRI-CGCM3, NorESM1-M.All of the LOCA variables used in NCA4 are presented here. Many are thresholded to provide 47 actionable statistics, like days with precipitation greater than 3", length of the growing season, or days above 90 degrees F. Time RangesStatistics for each variables were calculated over a 30-year period. Four different time ranges are provided:Historical: 1976-2005Early-Century: 2016-2045Mid-Century: 2036-2065Late-Century: 2070-2099Climate ScenariosClimate models use estimates of greenhouse gas concentrations to predict overall change. These difference scenarios are called the Relative Concentration Pathways. Two different RCPs are presented here: RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5. The number indicates the amount of radiative forcing(watts per meter square) associated with the greenhouse gas concentration scenario in the year 2100 (higher forcing = greater warming). It is unclear which scenario will be the most likely, but RCP 4.5 aligns with the international targets of the COP-26 agreement, while RCP 8.5 is aligns with a more "business as usual" approach. Detailed documentation and the original data from USGCRP, processed by NOAA's National Climate Assessment Technical Support Unit at the North Carolina Institute for Climate Studies, can be accessed from the LOCA-Viewer. Variable DefinitionsCooling Degree Days: Cooling degree days (annual cumulative number of degrees by which the daily average temperature is greater than 65°F) [degree days (degF)]Consecutive Dry Days: Annual maximum number of consecutive dry days (days with total precipitation less than 0.01 inches)Consecutive Dry Days Jan Jul Aug: Summer maximum number of consecutive dry days (days with total precipitation less than 0.01 inches in June, July, and August)Consecutive Wet Days: Annual maximum number of consecutive wet days (days with total precipitation greater than or equal to 0.01 inches)First Freeze Day: Date of the first fall freeze (annual first occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 32degF in the fall)Growing Degree Days: Growing degree days, base 50 (annual cumulative number of degrees by which the daily average temperature is greater than 50°F) [degree days (degF)]Growing Degree Days Modified: Modified growing degree days, base 50 (annual cumulative number of degrees by which the daily average temperature is greater than 50°F; before calculating the daily average temperatures, daily maximum temperatures above 86°F and daily minimum temperatures below 50°F are set to those values) [degree days (degF)]growing-season: Length of the growing (frost-free) season (the number of days between the last occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 32degF in the spring and the first occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 32degF in the fall)Growing Season 28F: Length of the growing season, 28°F threshold (the number of days between the last occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 28°F in the spring and the first occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 28°F in the fall)Growing Season 41F: Length of the growing season, 41°F threshold (the number of days between the last occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 41°F in the spring and the first occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 41°F in the fall)Heating Degree Days: Heating degree days (annual cumulative number of degrees by which the daily average temperature is less than 65°F) [degree days (degF)]Last Freeze Day: Date of the last spring freeze (annual last occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 32degF in the spring)Precip Above 99th pctl: Annual total precipitation for all days exceeding the 99th percentile, calculated with reference to 1976-2005 [inches]Precip Annual Total: Annual total precipitation [inches]Precip Days Above 99th pctl: Annual number of days with precipitation exceeding the 99th percentile, calculated with reference to 1976-2005 [inches]Precip 1in: Annual number of days with total precipitation greater than 1 inchPrecip 2in: Annual number of days with total precipitation greater than 2 inchesPrecip 3in: Annual number of days with total precipitation greater than 3 inchesPrecip 4in: Annual number of days with total precipitation greater than 4 inchesPrecip Max 1 Day: Annual highest precipitation total for a single day [inches]Precip Max 5 Day: Annual highest precipitation total over a 5-day period [inches]Daily Avg Temperature: Daily average temperature [degF]Daily Max Temperature: Daily maximum temperature [degF]Temp Max Days Above 99th pctl: Annual number of days with maximum temperature greater than the 99th percentile, calculated with reference to 1976-2005Temp Max Days Below 1st pctl: Annual number of days with maximum temperature lower than the 1st percentile, calculated with reference to 1976-2005Days Above 100F: Annual number of days with a maximum temperature greater than 100degFDays Above 105F: Annual number of days with a maximum temperature greater than 105degFDays Above 110F: Annual number of days with a maximum temperature greater than 110degFDays Above 115F: Annual number of days with a maximum temperature greater than 115degFTemp Max 1 Day: Annual single highest maximum temperature [degF]Days Above 32F: Annual number of icing days (days with a maximum temperature less than 32degF)Temp Max 5 Day: Annual highest maximum temperature averaged over a 5-day period [degF]Days Above 86F: Annual number of days with a maximum temperature greater than 86degFDays Above 90F: Annual number of days with a maximum temperature greater than 90degFDays Above 95F: Annual number of days with a maximum temperature greater than 95degFTemp Min: Daily minimum temperature [degF]Temp Min Days Above 75F: Annual number of days with a minimum temperature greater than 75degFTemp Min Days Above 80F: Annual number of days with a minimum temperature greater than 80degFTemp Min Days Above 85F: Annual number of days with a minimum temperature greater than 85degFTemp Min Days Above 90F: Annual number of days with a minimum temperature greater than 90degFTemp Min Days Above 99th pctl: Annual number of days with minimum temperature greater than the 99th percentile, calculated with reference to 1976-2005Temp Min Days Below 1st pctl: Annual number of days with minimum temperature lower than the 1st percentile, calculated with reference to 1976-2005Temp Min Days Below 28F: Annual number of days with a minimum temperature less than 28degFTemp Min Max 5 Day: Annual highest minimum temperature averaged over a 5-day period [degF]Temp Min 1 Day: Annual single lowest minimum temperature [degF]Temp Min 32F: Annual number of frost days (days with a minimum temperature less than 32degF)Temp Min 5 Day: Annual lowest minimum temperature averaged over a 5-day period [degF]For For freeze-related variables:The first fall freeze is defined as the date of the first occurrence of 32degF or lower in the nine months starting midnight August 1. Grid points with more than 10 of the 30 years not experiencing an occurrence of 32degF or lower are excluded from the analysis.No freeze occurrence, value = 999The last spring freeze is defined as the date of the last occurrence of 32degF or lower in the nine months prior to midnight August 1. Grid points with more than 10 of the 30 years not experiencing an occurrence of 32degF or lower are excluded from the analysis.No freeze occurrence, value = 999The growing season is defined as the number of days between the last occurrence of 28degF/32degF/41degF or lower in the nine months prior to midnight August 1 and the first occurrence of 28degF/32degF/41degF or lower in the nine months starting August 1. Grid points with more than 10 of the 30 years not experiencing an occurrence of 28degF/32degF/41degF or lower are excluded from the analysis.No freeze occurrence, value = 999
Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
License information was derived automatically
The US Global Change Research Program sponsors the semi-annual National Climate Assessment, which is the authoritative analysis of climate change and its potential impacts in the United States. The 4th National Climate Assessment (NCA4), issued in 2018, used high resolution, downscaled LOCA climate data for many of its national and regional analyses. The LOCA downscaling was applied to multi-model mean weighted averages, using the following 32 CMIP5 model ensemble:ACCESS1-0, ACCESS1-3, bcc-csm1-1, bcc-csm1-1-m, CanESM2, CCSM4, CESM1-BGC, CESM1-CAM5, CMCC-CM, CMCC-CMS, CNRM-CM5, CSIRO-Mk3-6-0, EC EARTH, FGOALS-g2, GFDL-CM3, GFDL-ESM2G, GFDL-ESM2M, GISS-E2-H-p1, GISS-E2-R-p1, HadGEM2-AO, HadGEM2-CC, HadGEM2-ES, inmcm4, IPSL-CM5A-LR, IPSL-CM5A-MR, MIROC5, MIROC-ESM-CHEM, MIROC-ESM, MPI-ESM-LR, MPI-ESM-MR, MRI-CGCM3, NorESM1-M.All of the LOCA variables used in NCA4 are presented here. Many are thresholded to provide 47 actionable statistics, like days with precipitation greater than 3", length of the growing season, or days above 90 degrees F. Time RangesStatistics for each variables were calculated over a 30-year period. Four different time ranges are provided:Historical: 1976-2005Early-Century: 2016-2045Mid-Century: 2036-2065Late-Century: 2070-2099Climate ScenariosClimate models use estimates of greenhouse gas concentrations to predict overall change. These difference scenarios are called the Relative Concentration Pathways. Two different RCPs are presented here: RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5. The number indicates the amount of radiative forcing(watts per meter square) associated with the greenhouse gas concentration scenario in the year 2100 (higher forcing = greater warming). It is unclear which scenario will be the most likely, but RCP 4.5 aligns with the international targets of the COP-26 agreement, while RCP 8.5 is aligns with a more "business as usual" approach. Detailed documentation and the original data from USGCRP, processed by NOAA's National Climate Assessment Technical Support Unit at the North Carolina Institute for Climate Studies, can be accessed from the NCA Atlas. Variable DefinitionsCooling Degree Days: Cooling degree days (annual cumulative number of degrees by which the daily average temperature is greater than 65°F) [degree days (degF)]Consecutive Dry Days: Annual maximum number of consecutive dry days (days with total precipitation less than 0.01 inches)Consecutive Dry Days Jan Jul Aug: Summer maximum number of consecutive dry days (days with total precipitation less than 0.01 inches in June, July, and August)Consecutive Wet Days: Annual maximum number of consecutive wet days (days with total precipitation greater than or equal to 0.01 inches)First Freeze Day: Date of the first fall freeze (annual first occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 32degF in the fall)Growing Degree Days: Growing degree days, base 50 (annual cumulative number of degrees by which the daily average temperature is greater than 50°F) [degree days (degF)]Growing Degree Days Modified: Modified growing degree days, base 50 (annual cumulative number of degrees by which the daily average temperature is greater than 50°F; before calculating the daily average temperatures, daily maximum temperatures above 86°F and daily minimum temperatures below 50°F are set to those values) [degree days (degF)]growing-season: Length of the growing (frost-free) season (the number of days between the last occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 32degF in the spring and the first occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 32degF in the fall)Growing Season 28F: Length of the growing season, 28°F threshold (the number of days between the last occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 28°F in the spring and the first occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 28°F in the fall)Growing Season 41F: Length of the growing season, 41°F threshold (the number of days between the last occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 41°F in the spring and the first occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 41°F in the fall)Heating Degree Days: Heating degree days (annual cumulative number of degrees by which the daily average temperature is less than 65°F) [degree days (degF)]Last Freeze Day: Date of the last spring freeze (annual last occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 32degF in the spring)Precip Above 99th pctl: Annual total precipitation for all days exceeding the 99th percentile, calculated with reference to 1976-2005 [inches]Precip Annual Total: Annual total precipitation [inches]Precip Days Above 99th pctl: Annual number of days with precipitation exceeding the 99th percentile, calculated with reference to 1976-2005 [inches]Precip 1in: Annual number of days with total precipitation greater than 1 inchPrecip 2in: Annual number of days with total precipitation greater than 2 inchesPrecip 3in: Annual number of days with total precipitation greater than 3 inchesPrecip 4in: Annual number of days with total precipitation greater than 4 inchesPrecip Max 1 Day: Annual highest precipitation total for a single day [inches]Precip Max 5 Day: Annual highest precipitation total over a 5-day period [inches]Daily Avg Temperature: Daily average temperature [degF]Daily Max Temperature: Daily maximum temperature [degF]Temp Max Days Above 99th pctl: Annual number of days with maximum temperature greater than the 99th percentile, calculated with reference to 1976-2005Temp Max Days Below 1st pctl: Annual number of days with maximum temperature lower than the 1st percentile, calculated with reference to 1976-2005Days Above 100F: Annual number of days with a maximum temperature greater than 100degFDays Above 105F: Annual number of days with a maximum temperature greater than 105degFDays Above 110F: Annual number of days with a maximum temperature greater than 110degFDays Above 115F: Annual number of days with a maximum temperature greater than 115degFTemp Max 1 Day: Annual single highest maximum temperature [degF]Days Above 32F: Annual number of icing days (days with a maximum temperature less than 32degF)Temp Max 5 Day: Annual highest maximum temperature averaged over a 5-day period [degF]Days Above 86F: Annual number of days with a maximum temperature greater than 86degFDays Above 90F: Annual number of days with a maximum temperature greater than 90degFDays Above 95F: Annual number of days with a maximum temperature greater than 95degFTemp Min: Daily minimum temperature [degF]Temp Min Days Above 75F: Annual number of days with a minimum temperature greater than 75degFTemp Min Days Above 80F: Annual number of days with a minimum temperature greater than 80degFTemp Min Days Above 85F: Annual number of days with a minimum temperature greater than 85degFTemp Min Days Above 90F: Annual number of days with a minimum temperature greater than 90degFTemp Min Days Above 99th pctl: Annual number of days with minimum temperature greater than the 99th percentile, calculated with reference to 1976-2005Temp Min Days Below 1st pctl: Annual number of days with minimum temperature lower than the 1st percentile, calculated with reference to 1976-2005Temp Min Days Below 28F: Annual number of days with a minimum temperature less than 28degFTemp Min Max 5 Day: Annual highest minimum temperature averaged over a 5-day period [degF]Temp Min 1 Day: Annual single lowest minimum temperature [degF]Temp Min 32F: Annual number of frost days (days with a minimum temperature less than 32degF)Temp Min 5 Day: Annual lowest minimum temperature averaged over a 5-day period [degF]For For freeze-related variables:The first fall freeze is defined as the date of the first occurrence of 32degF or lower in the nine months starting midnight August 1. Grid points with more than 10 of the 30 years not experiencing an occurrence of 32degF or lower are excluded from the analysis.No freeze occurrence, value = 999The last spring freeze is defined as the date of the last occurrence of 32degF or lower in the nine months prior to midnight August 1. Grid points with more than 10 of the 30 years not experiencing an occurrence of 32degF or lower are excluded from the analysis.No freeze occurrence, value = 999The growing season is defined as the number of days between the last occurrence of 28degF/32degF/41degF or lower in the nine months prior to midnight August 1 and the first occurrence of 28degF/32degF/41degF or lower in the nine months starting August 1. Grid points with more than 10 of the 30 years not experiencing an occurrence of 28degF/32degF/41degF or lower are excluded from the analysis.No freeze occurrence, value = 999
Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
License information was derived automatically
The US Global Change Research Program sponsors the semi-annual National Climate Assessment, which is the authoritative analysis of climate change and its potential impacts in the United States. The 4th National Climate Assessment (NCA4), issued in 2018, used high resolution, downscaled LOCA climate data for many of its national and regional analyses. The LOCA downscaling was applied to multi-model mean weighted averages, using the following 32 CMIP5 model ensemble:ACCESS1-0, ACCESS1-3, bcc-csm1-1, bcc-csm1-1-m, CanESM2, CCSM4, CESM1-BGC, CESM1-CAM5, CMCC-CM, CMCC-CMS, CNRM-CM5, CSIRO-Mk3-6-0, EC EARTH, FGOALS-g2, GFDL-CM3, GFDL-ESM2G, GFDL-ESM2M, GISS-E2-H-p1, GISS-E2-R-p1, HadGEM2-AO, HadGEM2-CC, HadGEM2-ES, inmcm4, IPSL-CM5A-LR, IPSL-CM5A-MR, MIROC5, MIROC-ESM-CHEM, MIROC-ESM, MPI-ESM-LR, MPI-ESM-MR, MRI-CGCM3, NorESM1-M.All of the LOCA variables used in NCA4 are presented here. Many are thresholded to provide 47 actionable statistics, like days with precipitation greater than 3", length of the growing season, or days above 90 degrees F. Time RangesStatistics for each variables were calculated over a 30-year period. Four different time ranges are provided:Historical: 1976-2005Early-Century: 2016-2045Mid-Century: 2036-2065Late-Century: 2070-2099Climate ScenariosClimate models use estimates of greenhouse gas concentrations to predict overall change. These difference scenarios are called the Relative Concentration Pathways. Two different RCPs are presented here: RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5. The number indicates the amount of radiative forcing(watts per meter square) associated with the greenhouse gas concentration scenario in the year 2100 (higher forcing = greater warming). It is unclear which scenario will be the most likely, but RCP 4.5 aligns with the international targets of the COP-26 agreement, while RCP 8.5 is aligns with a more "business as usual" approach. Detailed documentation and the original data from USGCRP, processed by NOAA's National Climate Assessment Technical Support Unit at the North Carolina Institute for Climate Studies, can be accessed from the NCA Atlas. Variable DefinitionsCooling Degree Days: Cooling degree days (annual cumulative number of degrees by which the daily average temperature is greater than 65°F) [degree days (degF)]Consecutive Dry Days: Annual maximum number of consecutive dry days (days with total precipitation less than 0.01 inches)Consecutive Dry Days Jan Jul Aug: Summer maximum number of consecutive dry days (days with total precipitation less than 0.01 inches in June, July, and August)Consecutive Wet Days: Annual maximum number of consecutive wet days (days with total precipitation greater than or equal to 0.01 inches)First Freeze Day: Date of the first fall freeze (annual first occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 32degF in the fall)Growing Degree Days: Growing degree days, base 50 (annual cumulative number of degrees by which the daily average temperature is greater than 50°F) [degree days (degF)]Growing Degree Days Modified: Modified growing degree days, base 50 (annual cumulative number of degrees by which the daily average temperature is greater than 50°F; before calculating the daily average temperatures, daily maximum temperatures above 86°F and daily minimum temperatures below 50°F are set to those values) [degree days (degF)]growing-season: Length of the growing (frost-free) season (the number of days between the last occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 32degF in the spring and the first occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 32degF in the fall)Growing Season 28F: Length of the growing season, 28°F threshold (the number of days between the last occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 28°F in the spring and the first occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 28°F in the fall)Growing Season 41F: Length of the growing season, 41°F threshold (the number of days between the last occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 41°F in the spring and the first occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 41°F in the fall)Heating Degree Days: Heating degree days (annual cumulative number of degrees by which the daily average temperature is less than 65°F) [degree days (degF)]Last Freeze Day: Date of the last spring freeze (annual last occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 32degF in the spring)Precip Above 99th pctl: Annual total precipitation for all days exceeding the 99th percentile, calculated with reference to 1976-2005 [inches]Precip Annual Total: Annual total precipitation [inches]Precip Days Above 99th pctl: Annual number of days with precipitation exceeding the 99th percentile, calculated with reference to 1976-2005 [inches]Precip 1in: Annual number of days with total precipitation greater than 1 inchPrecip 2in: Annual number of days with total precipitation greater than 2 inchesPrecip 3in: Annual number of days with total precipitation greater than 3 inchesPrecip 4in: Annual number of days with total precipitation greater than 4 inchesPrecip Max 1 Day: Annual highest precipitation total for a single day [inches]Precip Max 5 Day: Annual highest precipitation total over a 5-day period [inches]Daily Avg Temperature: Daily average temperature [degF]Daily Max Temperature: Daily maximum temperature [degF]Temp Max Days Above 99th pctl: Annual number of days with maximum temperature greater than the 99th percentile, calculated with reference to 1976-2005Temp Max Days Below 1st pctl: Annual number of days with maximum temperature lower than the 1st percentile, calculated with reference to 1976-2005Days Above 100F: Annual number of days with a maximum temperature greater than 100degFDays Above 105F: Annual number of days with a maximum temperature greater than 105degFDays Above 110F: Annual number of days with a maximum temperature greater than 110degFDays Above 115F: Annual number of days with a maximum temperature greater than 115degFTemp Max 1 Day: Annual single highest maximum temperature [degF]Days Above 32F: Annual number of icing days (days with a maximum temperature less than 32degF)Temp Max 5 Day: Annual highest maximum temperature averaged over a 5-day period [degF]Days Above 86F: Annual number of days with a maximum temperature greater than 86degFDays Above 90F: Annual number of days with a maximum temperature greater than 90degFDays Above 95F: Annual number of days with a maximum temperature greater than 95degFTemp Min: Daily minimum temperature [degF]Temp Min Days Above 75F: Annual number of days with a minimum temperature greater than 75degFTemp Min Days Above 80F: Annual number of days with a minimum temperature greater than 80degFTemp Min Days Above 85F: Annual number of days with a minimum temperature greater than 85degFTemp Min Days Above 90F: Annual number of days with a minimum temperature greater than 90degFTemp Min Days Above 99th pctl: Annual number of days with minimum temperature greater than the 99th percentile, calculated with reference to 1976-2005Temp Min Days Below 1st pctl: Annual number of days with minimum temperature lower than the 1st percentile, calculated with reference to 1976-2005Temp Min Days Below 28F: Annual number of days with a minimum temperature less than 28degFTemp Min Max 5 Day: Annual highest minimum temperature averaged over a 5-day period [degF]Temp Min 1 Day: Annual single lowest minimum temperature [degF]Temp Min 32F: Annual number of frost days (days with a minimum temperature less than 32degF)Temp Min 5 Day: Annual lowest minimum temperature averaged over a 5-day period [degF]For For freeze-related variables:The first fall freeze is defined as the date of the first occurrence of 32degF or lower in the nine months starting midnight August 1. Grid points with more than 10 of the 30 years not experiencing an occurrence of 32degF or lower are excluded from the analysis.No freeze occurrence, value = 999The last spring freeze is defined as the date of the last occurrence of 32degF or lower in the nine months prior to midnight August 1. Grid points with more than 10 of the 30 years not experiencing an occurrence of 32degF or lower are excluded from the analysis.No freeze occurrence, value = 999The growing season is defined as the number of days between the last occurrence of 28degF/32degF/41degF or lower in the nine months prior to midnight August 1 and the first occurrence of 28degF/32degF/41degF or lower in the nine months starting August 1. Grid points with more than 10 of the 30 years not experiencing an occurrence of 28degF/32degF/41degF or lower are excluded from the analysis.No freeze occurrence, value = 999
Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
License information was derived automatically
The US Global Change Research Program sponsors the semi-annual National Climate Assessment, which is the authoritative analysis of climate change and its potential impacts in the United States. The 4th National Climate Assessment (NCA4), issued in 2018, used high resolution, downscaled LOCA climate data for many of its national and regional analyses. The LOCA downscaling was applied to multi-model mean weighted averages, using the following 32 CMIP5 model ensemble:ACCESS1-0, ACCESS1-3, bcc-csm1-1, bcc-csm1-1-m, CanESM2, CCSM4, CESM1-BGC, CESM1-CAM5, CMCC-CM, CMCC-CMS, CNRM-CM5, CSIRO-Mk3-6-0, EC EARTH, FGOALS-g2, GFDL-CM3, GFDL-ESM2G, GFDL-ESM2M, GISS-E2-H-p1, GISS-E2-R-p1, HadGEM2-AO, HadGEM2-CC, HadGEM2-ES, inmcm4, IPSL-CM5A-LR, IPSL-CM5A-MR, MIROC5, MIROC-ESM-CHEM, MIROC-ESM, MPI-ESM-LR, MPI-ESM-MR, MRI-CGCM3, NorESM1-M.All of the LOCA variables used in NCA4 are presented here. Many are thresholded to provide 47 actionable statistics, like days with precipitation greater than 3", length of the growing season, or days above 90 degrees F. Time RangesStatistics for each variables were calculated over a 30-year period. Four different time ranges are provided:Historical: 1976-2005Early-Century: 2016-2045Mid-Century: 2036-2065Late-Century: 2070-2099Climate ScenariosClimate models use estimates of greenhouse gas concentrations to predict overall change. These difference scenarios are called the Relative Concentration Pathways. Two different RCPs are presented here: RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5. The number indicates the amount of radiative forcing(watts per meter square) associated with the greenhouse gas concentration scenario in the year 2100 (higher forcing = greater warming). It is unclear which scenario will be the most likely, but RCP 4.5 aligns with the international targets of the COP-26 agreement, while RCP 8.5 is aligns with a more "business as usual" approach. Detailed documentation and the original data from USGCRP, processed by NOAA's National Climate Assessment Technical Support Unit at the North Carolina Institute for Climate Studies, can be accessed from the NCA Atlas. Variable DefinitionsCooling Degree Days: Cooling degree days (annual cumulative number of degrees by which the daily average temperature is greater than 65°F) [degree days (degF)]Consecutive Dry Days: Annual maximum number of consecutive dry days (days with total precipitation less than 0.01 inches)Consecutive Dry Days Jan Jul Aug: Summer maximum number of consecutive dry days (days with total precipitation less than 0.01 inches in June, July, and August)Consecutive Wet Days: Annual maximum number of consecutive wet days (days with total precipitation greater than or equal to 0.01 inches)First Freeze Day: Date of the first fall freeze (annual first occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 32degF in the fall)Growing Degree Days: Growing degree days, base 50 (annual cumulative number of degrees by which the daily average temperature is greater than 50°F) [degree days (degF)]Growing Degree Days Modified: Modified growing degree days, base 50 (annual cumulative number of degrees by which the daily average temperature is greater than 50°F; before calculating the daily average temperatures, daily maximum temperatures above 86°F and daily minimum temperatures below 50°F are set to those values) [degree days (degF)]growing-season: Length of the growing (frost-free) season (the number of days between the last occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 32degF in the spring and the first occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 32degF in the fall)Growing Season 28F: Length of the growing season, 28°F threshold (the number of days between the last occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 28°F in the spring and the first occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 28°F in the fall)Growing Season 41F: Length of the growing season, 41°F threshold (the number of days between the last occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 41°F in the spring and the first occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 41°F in the fall)Heating Degree Days: Heating degree days (annual cumulative number of degrees by which the daily average temperature is less than 65°F) [degree days (degF)]Last Freeze Day: Date of the last spring freeze (annual last occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 32degF in the spring)Precip Above 99th pctl: Annual total precipitation for all days exceeding the 99th percentile, calculated with reference to 1976-2005 [inches]Precip Annual Total: Annual total precipitation [inches]Precip Days Above 99th pctl: Annual number of days with precipitation exceeding the 99th percentile, calculated with reference to 1976-2005 [inches]Precip 1in: Annual number of days with total precipitation greater than 1 inchPrecip 2in: Annual number of days with total precipitation greater than 2 inchesPrecip 3in: Annual number of days with total precipitation greater than 3 inchesPrecip 4in: Annual number of days with total precipitation greater than 4 inchesPrecip Max 1 Day: Annual highest precipitation total for a single day [inches]Precip Max 5 Day: Annual highest precipitation total over a 5-day period [inches]Daily Avg Temperature: Daily average temperature [degF]Daily Max Temperature: Daily maximum temperature [degF]Temp Max Days Above 99th pctl: Annual number of days with maximum temperature greater than the 99th percentile, calculated with reference to 1976-2005Temp Max Days Below 1st pctl: Annual number of days with maximum temperature lower than the 1st percentile, calculated with reference to 1976-2005Days Above 100F: Annual number of days with a maximum temperature greater than 100degFDays Above 105F: Annual number of days with a maximum temperature greater than 105degFDays Above 110F: Annual number of days with a maximum temperature greater than 110degFDays Above 115F: Annual number of days with a maximum temperature greater than 115degFTemp Max 1 Day: Annual single highest maximum temperature [degF]Days Above 32F: Annual number of icing days (days with a maximum temperature less than 32degF)Temp Max 5 Day: Annual highest maximum temperature averaged over a 5-day period [degF]Days Above 86F: Annual number of days with a maximum temperature greater than 86degFDays Above 90F: Annual number of days with a maximum temperature greater than 90degFDays Above 95F: Annual number of days with a maximum temperature greater than 95degFTemp Min: Daily minimum temperature [degF]Temp Min Days Above 75F: Annual number of days with a minimum temperature greater than 75degFTemp Min Days Above 80F: Annual number of days with a minimum temperature greater than 80degFTemp Min Days Above 85F: Annual number of days with a minimum temperature greater than 85degFTemp Min Days Above 90F: Annual number of days with a minimum temperature greater than 90degFTemp Min Days Above 99th pctl: Annual number of days with minimum temperature greater than the 99th percentile, calculated with reference to 1976-2005Temp Min Days Below 1st pctl: Annual number of days with minimum temperature lower than the 1st percentile, calculated with reference to 1976-2005Temp Min Days Below 28F: Annual number of days with a minimum temperature less than 28degFTemp Min Max 5 Day: Annual highest minimum temperature averaged over a 5-day period [degF]Temp Min 1 Day: Annual single lowest minimum temperature [degF]Temp Min 32F: Annual number of frost days (days with a minimum temperature less than 32degF)Temp Min 5 Day: Annual lowest minimum temperature averaged over a 5-day period [degF]For For freeze-related variables:The first fall freeze is defined as the date of the first occurrence of 32degF or lower in the nine months starting midnight August 1. Grid points with more than 10 of the 30 years not experiencing an occurrence of 32degF or lower are excluded from the analysis.No freeze occurrence, value = 999The last spring freeze is defined as the date of the last occurrence of 32degF or lower in the nine months prior to midnight August 1. Grid points with more than 10 of the 30 years not experiencing an occurrence of 32degF or lower are excluded from the analysis.No freeze occurrence, value = 999The growing season is defined as the number of days between the last occurrence of 28degF/32degF/41degF or lower in the nine months prior to midnight August 1 and the first occurrence of 28degF/32degF/41degF or lower in the nine months starting August 1. Grid points with more than 10 of the 30 years not experiencing an occurrence of 28degF/32degF/41degF or lower are excluded from the analysis.No freeze occurrence, value = 999
Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
License information was derived automatically
The US Global Change Research Program sponsors the semi-annual National Climate Assessment, which is the authoritative analysis of climate change and its potential impacts in the United States. The 4th National Climate Assessment (NCA4), issued in 2018, used high resolution, downscaled LOCA climate data for many of its national and regional analyses. The LOCA downscaling was applied to multi-model mean weighted averages, using the following 32 CMIP5 model ensemble:ACCESS1-0, ACCESS1-3, bcc-csm1-1, bcc-csm1-1-m, CanESM2, CCSM4, CESM1-BGC, CESM1-CAM5, CMCC-CM, CMCC-CMS, CNRM-CM5, CSIRO-Mk3-6-0, EC EARTH, FGOALS-g2, GFDL-CM3, GFDL-ESM2G, GFDL-ESM2M, GISS-E2-H-p1, GISS-E2-R-p1, HadGEM2-AO, HadGEM2-CC, HadGEM2-ES, inmcm4, IPSL-CM5A-LR, IPSL-CM5A-MR, MIROC5, MIROC-ESM-CHEM, MIROC-ESM, MPI-ESM-LR, MPI-ESM-MR, MRI-CGCM3, NorESM1-M.All of the LOCA variables used in NCA4 are presented here. Many are thresholded to provide 47 actionable statistics, like days with precipitation greater than 3", length of the growing season, or days above 90 degrees F. Time RangesStatistics for each variables were calculated over a 30-year period. Four different time ranges are provided:Historical: 1976-2005Early-Century: 2016-2045Mid-Century: 2036-2065Late-Century: 2070-2099Climate ScenariosClimate models use estimates of greenhouse gas concentrations to predict overall change. These difference scenarios are called the Relative Concentration Pathways. Two different RCPs are presented here: RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5. The number indicates the amount of radiative forcing(watts per meter square) associated with the greenhouse gas concentration scenario in the year 2100 (higher forcing = greater warming). It is unclear which scenario will be the most likely, but RCP 4.5 aligns with the international targets of the COP-26 agreement, while RCP 8.5 is aligns with a more "business as usual" approach. Detailed documentation and the original data from USGCRP, processed by NOAA's National Climate Assessment Technical Support Unit at the North Carolina Institute for Climate Studies, can be accessed from the NCA Atlas. Variable DefinitionsCooling Degree Days: Cooling degree days (annual cumulative number of degrees by which the daily average temperature is greater than 65°F) [degree days (degF)]Consecutive Dry Days: Annual maximum number of consecutive dry days (days with total precipitation less than 0.01 inches)Consecutive Dry Days Jan Jul Aug: Summer maximum number of consecutive dry days (days with total precipitation less than 0.01 inches in June, July, and August)Consecutive Wet Days: Annual maximum number of consecutive wet days (days with total precipitation greater than or equal to 0.01 inches)First Freeze Day: Date of the first fall freeze (annual first occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 32degF in the fall)Growing Degree Days: Growing degree days, base 50 (annual cumulative number of degrees by which the daily average temperature is greater than 50°F) [degree days (degF)]Growing Degree Days Modified: Modified growing degree days, base 50 (annual cumulative number of degrees by which the daily average temperature is greater than 50°F; before calculating the daily average temperatures, daily maximum temperatures above 86°F and daily minimum temperatures below 50°F are set to those values) [degree days (degF)]growing-season: Length of the growing (frost-free) season (the number of days between the last occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 32degF in the spring and the first occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 32degF in the fall)Growing Season 28F: Length of the growing season, 28°F threshold (the number of days between the last occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 28°F in the spring and the first occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 28°F in the fall)Growing Season 41F: Length of the growing season, 41°F threshold (the number of days between the last occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 41°F in the spring and the first occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 41°F in the fall)Heating Degree Days: Heating degree days (annual cumulative number of degrees by which the daily average temperature is less than 65°F) [degree days (degF)]Last Freeze Day: Date of the last spring freeze (annual last occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 32degF in the spring)Precip Above 99th pctl: Annual total precipitation for all days exceeding the 99th percentile, calculated with reference to 1976-2005 [inches]Precip Annual Total: Annual total precipitation [inches]Precip Days Above 99th pctl: Annual number of days with precipitation exceeding the 99th percentile, calculated with reference to 1976-2005 [inches]Precip 1in: Annual number of days with total precipitation greater than 1 inchPrecip 2in: Annual number of days with total precipitation greater than 2 inchesPrecip 3in: Annual number of days with total precipitation greater than 3 inchesPrecip 4in: Annual number of days with total precipitation greater than 4 inchesPrecip Max 1 Day: Annual highest precipitation total for a single day [inches]Precip Max 5 Day: Annual highest precipitation total over a 5-day period [inches]Daily Avg Temperature: Daily average temperature [degF]Daily Max Temperature: Daily maximum temperature [degF]Temp Max Days Above 99th pctl: Annual number of days with maximum temperature greater than the 99th percentile, calculated with reference to 1976-2005Temp Max Days Below 1st pctl: Annual number of days with maximum temperature lower than the 1st percentile, calculated with reference to 1976-2005Days Above 100F: Annual number of days with a maximum temperature greater than 100degFDays Above 105F: Annual number of days with a maximum temperature greater than 105degFDays Above 110F: Annual number of days with a maximum temperature greater than 110degFDays Above 115F: Annual number of days with a maximum temperature greater than 115degFTemp Max 1 Day: Annual single highest maximum temperature [degF]Days Above 32F: Annual number of icing days (days with a maximum temperature less than 32degF)Temp Max 5 Day: Annual highest maximum temperature averaged over a 5-day period [degF]Days Above 86F: Annual number of days with a maximum temperature greater than 86degFDays Above 90F: Annual number of days with a maximum temperature greater than 90degFDays Above 95F: Annual number of days with a maximum temperature greater than 95degFTemp Min: Daily minimum temperature [degF]Temp Min Days Above 75F: Annual number of days with a minimum temperature greater than 75degFTemp Min Days Above 80F: Annual number of days with a minimum temperature greater than 80degFTemp Min Days Above 85F: Annual number of days with a minimum temperature greater than 85degFTemp Min Days Above 90F: Annual number of days with a minimum temperature greater than 90degFTemp Min Days Above 99th pctl: Annual number of days with minimum temperature greater than the 99th percentile, calculated with reference to 1976-2005Temp Min Days Below 1st pctl: Annual number of days with minimum temperature lower than the 1st percentile, calculated with reference to 1976-2005Temp Min Days Below 28F: Annual number of days with a minimum temperature less than 28degFTemp Min Max 5 Day: Annual highest minimum temperature averaged over a 5-day period [degF]Temp Min 1 Day: Annual single lowest minimum temperature [degF]Temp Min 32F: Annual number of frost days (days with a minimum temperature less than 32degF)Temp Min 5 Day: Annual lowest minimum temperature averaged over a 5-day period [degF]For For freeze-related variables:The first fall freeze is defined as the date of the first occurrence of 32degF or lower in the nine months starting midnight August 1. Grid points with more than 10 of the 30 years not experiencing an occurrence of 32degF or lower are excluded from the analysis.No freeze occurrence, value = 999The last spring freeze is defined as the date of the last occurrence of 32degF or lower in the nine months prior to midnight August 1. Grid points with more than 10 of the 30 years not experiencing an occurrence of 32degF or lower are excluded from the analysis.No freeze occurrence, value = 999The growing season is defined as the number of days between the last occurrence of 28degF/32degF/41degF or lower in the nine months prior to midnight August 1 and the first occurrence of 28degF/32degF/41degF or lower in the nine months starting August 1. Grid points with more than 10 of the 30 years not experiencing an occurrence of 28degF/32degF/41degF or lower are excluded from the analysis.No freeze occurrence, value = 999
Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
License information was derived automatically
The US Global Change Research Program sponsors the semi-annual National Climate Assessment, which is the authoritative analysis of climate change and its potential impacts in the United States. The 4th National Climate Assessment (NCA4), issued in 2018, used high resolution, downscaled LOCA climate data for many of its national and regional analyses. The LOCA downscaling was applied to multi-model mean weighted averages, using the following 32 CMIP5 model ensemble:ACCESS1-0, ACCESS1-3, bcc-csm1-1, bcc-csm1-1-m, CanESM2, CCSM4, CESM1-BGC, CESM1-CAM5, CMCC-CM, CMCC-CMS, CNRM-CM5, CSIRO-Mk3-6-0, EC EARTH, FGOALS-g2, GFDL-CM3, GFDL-ESM2G, GFDL-ESM2M, GISS-E2-H-p1, GISS-E2-R-p1, HadGEM2-AO, HadGEM2-CC, HadGEM2-ES, inmcm4, IPSL-CM5A-LR, IPSL-CM5A-MR, MIROC5, MIROC-ESM-CHEM, MIROC-ESM, MPI-ESM-LR, MPI-ESM-MR, MRI-CGCM3, NorESM1-M.All of the LOCA variables used in NCA4 are presented here. Many are thresholded to provide 47 actionable statistics, like days with precipitation greater than 3", length of the growing season, or days above 90 degrees F. Time RangesStatistics for each variables were calculated over a 30-year period. Four different time ranges are provided:Historical: 1976-2005Early-Century: 2016-2045Mid-Century: 2036-2065Late-Century: 2070-2099Climate ScenariosClimate models use estimates of greenhouse gas concentrations to predict overall change. These difference scenarios are called the Relative Concentration Pathways. Two different RCPs are presented here: RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5. The number indicates the amount of radiative forcing(watts per meter square) associated with the greenhouse gas concentration scenario in the year 2100 (higher forcing = greater warming). It is unclear which scenario will be the most likely, but RCP 4.5 aligns with the international targets of the COP-26 agreement, while RCP 8.5 is aligns with a more "business as usual" approach. Detailed documentation and the original data from USGCRP, processed by NOAA's National Climate Assessment Technical Support Unit at the North Carolina Institute for Climate Studies, can be accessed from the NCA Atlas. Variable DefinitionsCooling Degree Days: Cooling degree days (annual cumulative number of degrees by which the daily average temperature is greater than 65°F) [degree days (degF)]Consecutive Dry Days: Annual maximum number of consecutive dry days (days with total precipitation less than 0.01 inches)Consecutive Dry Days Jan Jul Aug: Summer maximum number of consecutive dry days (days with total precipitation less than 0.01 inches in June, July, and August)Consecutive Wet Days: Annual maximum number of consecutive wet days (days with total precipitation greater than or equal to 0.01 inches)First Freeze Day: Date of the first fall freeze (annual first occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 32degF in the fall)Growing Degree Days: Growing degree days, base 50 (annual cumulative number of degrees by which the daily average temperature is greater than 50°F) [degree days (degF)]Growing Degree Days Modified: Modified growing degree days, base 50 (annual cumulative number of degrees by which the daily average temperature is greater than 50°F; before calculating the daily average temperatures, daily maximum temperatures above 86°F and daily minimum temperatures below 50°F are set to those values) [degree days (degF)]growing-season: Length of the growing (frost-free) season (the number of days between the last occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 32degF in the spring and the first occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 32degF in the fall)Growing Season 28F: Length of the growing season, 28°F threshold (the number of days between the last occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 28°F in the spring and the first occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 28°F in the fall)Growing Season 41F: Length of the growing season, 41°F threshold (the number of days between the last occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 41°F in the spring and the first occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 41°F in the fall)Heating Degree Days: Heating degree days (annual cumulative number of degrees by which the daily average temperature is less than 65°F) [degree days (degF)]Last Freeze Day: Date of the last spring freeze (annual last occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 32degF in the spring)Precip Above 99th pctl: Annual total precipitation for all days exceeding the 99th percentile, calculated with reference to 1976-2005 [inches]Precip Annual Total: Annual total precipitation [inches]Precip Days Above 99th pctl: Annual number of days with precipitation exceeding the 99th percentile, calculated with reference to 1976-2005 [inches]Precip 1in: Annual number of days with total precipitation greater than 1 inchPrecip 2in: Annual number of days with total precipitation greater than 2 inchesPrecip 3in: Annual number of days with total precipitation greater than 3 inchesPrecip 4in: Annual number of days with total precipitation greater than 4 inchesPrecip Max 1 Day: Annual highest precipitation total for a single day [inches]Precip Max 5 Day: Annual highest precipitation total over a 5-day period [inches]Daily Avg Temperature: Daily average temperature [degF]Daily Max Temperature: Daily maximum temperature [degF]Temp Max Days Above 99th pctl: Annual number of days with maximum temperature greater than the 99th percentile, calculated with reference to 1976-2005Temp Max Days Below 1st pctl: Annual number of days with maximum temperature lower than the 1st percentile, calculated with reference to 1976-2005Days Above 100F: Annual number of days with a maximum temperature greater than 100degFDays Above 105F: Annual number of days with a maximum temperature greater than 105degFDays Above 110F: Annual number of days with a maximum temperature greater than 110degFDays Above 115F: Annual number of days with a maximum temperature greater than 115degFTemp Max 1 Day: Annual single highest maximum temperature [degF]Days Above 32F: Annual number of icing days (days with a maximum temperature less than 32degF)Temp Max 5 Day: Annual highest maximum temperature averaged over a 5-day period [degF]Days Above 86F: Annual number of days with a maximum temperature greater than 86degFDays Above 90F: Annual number of days with a maximum temperature greater than 90degFDays Above 95F: Annual number of days with a maximum temperature greater than 95degFTemp Min: Daily minimum temperature [degF]Temp Min Days Above 75F: Annual number of days with a minimum temperature greater than 75degFTemp Min Days Above 80F: Annual number of days with a minimum temperature greater than 80degFTemp Min Days Above 85F: Annual number of days with a minimum temperature greater than 85degFTemp Min Days Above 90F: Annual number of days with a minimum temperature greater than 90degFTemp Min Days Above 99th pctl: Annual number of days with minimum temperature greater than the 99th percentile, calculated with reference to 1976-2005Temp Min Days Below 1st pctl: Annual number of days with minimum temperature lower than the 1st percentile, calculated with reference to 1976-2005Temp Min Days Below 28F: Annual number of days with a minimum temperature less than 28degFTemp Min Max 5 Day: Annual highest minimum temperature averaged over a 5-day period [degF]Temp Min 1 Day: Annual single lowest minimum temperature [degF]Temp Min 32F: Annual number of frost days (days with a minimum temperature less than 32degF)Temp Min 5 Day: Annual lowest minimum temperature averaged over a 5-day period [degF]For For freeze-related variables:The first fall freeze is defined as the date of the first occurrence of 32degF or lower in the nine months starting midnight August 1. Grid points with more than 10 of the 30 years not experiencing an occurrence of 32degF or lower are excluded from the analysis.No freeze occurrence, value = 999The last spring freeze is defined as the date of the last occurrence of 32degF or lower in the nine months prior to midnight August 1. Grid points with more than 10 of the 30 years not experiencing an occurrence of 32degF or lower are excluded from the analysis.No freeze occurrence, value = 999The growing season is defined as the number of days between the last occurrence of 28degF/32degF/41degF or lower in the nine months prior to midnight August 1 and the first occurrence of 28degF/32degF/41degF or lower in the nine months starting August 1. Grid points with more than 10 of the 30 years not experiencing an occurrence of 28degF/32degF/41degF or lower are excluded from the analysis.No freeze occurrence, value = 999
Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
License information was derived automatically
The US Global Change Research Program sponsors the semi-annual National Climate Assessment, which is the authoritative analysis of climate change and its potential impacts in the United States. The 4th National Climate Assessment (NCA4), issued in 2018, used high resolution, downscaled LOCA climate data for many of its national and regional analyses. The LOCA downscaling was applied to multi-model mean weighted averages, using the following 32 CMIP5 model ensemble:ACCESS1-0, ACCESS1-3, bcc-csm1-1, bcc-csm1-1-m, CanESM2, CCSM4, CESM1-BGC, CESM1-CAM5, CMCC-CM, CMCC-CMS, CNRM-CM5, CSIRO-Mk3-6-0, EC EARTH, FGOALS-g2, GFDL-CM3, GFDL-ESM2G, GFDL-ESM2M, GISS-E2-H-p1, GISS-E2-R-p1, HadGEM2-AO, HadGEM2-CC, HadGEM2-ES, inmcm4, IPSL-CM5A-LR, IPSL-CM5A-MR, MIROC5, MIROC-ESM-CHEM, MIROC-ESM, MPI-ESM-LR, MPI-ESM-MR, MRI-CGCM3, NorESM1-M.All of the LOCA variables used in NCA4 are presented here. Many are thresholded to provide 47 actionable statistics, like days with precipitation greater than 3", length of the growing season, or days above 90 degrees F. Time RangesStatistics for each variables were calculated over a 30-year period. Four different time ranges are provided:Historical: 1976-2005Early-Century: 2016-2045Mid-Century: 2036-2065Late-Century: 2070-2099Climate ScenariosClimate models use estimates of greenhouse gas concentrations to predict overall change. These difference scenarios are called the Relative Concentration Pathways. Two different RCPs are presented here: RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5. The number indicates the amount of radiative forcing(watts per meter square) associated with the greenhouse gas concentration scenario in the year 2100 (higher forcing = greater warming). It is unclear which scenario will be the most likely, but RCP 4.5 aligns with the international targets of the COP-26 agreement, while RCP 8.5 is aligns with a more "business as usual" approach. Detailed documentation and the original data from USGCRP, processed by NOAA's National Climate Assessment Technical Support Unit at the North Carolina Institute for Climate Studies, can be accessed from the NCA Atlas. Variable DefinitionsCooling Degree Days: Cooling degree days (annual cumulative number of degrees by which the daily average temperature is greater than 65°F) [degree days (degF)]Consecutive Dry Days: Annual maximum number of consecutive dry days (days with total precipitation less than 0.01 inches)Consecutive Dry Days Jan Jul Aug: Summer maximum number of consecutive dry days (days with total precipitation less than 0.01 inches in June, July, and August)Consecutive Wet Days: Annual maximum number of consecutive wet days (days with total precipitation greater than or equal to 0.01 inches)First Freeze Day: Date of the first fall freeze (annual first occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 32degF in the fall)Growing Degree Days: Growing degree days, base 50 (annual cumulative number of degrees by which the daily average temperature is greater than 50°F) [degree days (degF)]Growing Degree Days Modified: Modified growing degree days, base 50 (annual cumulative number of degrees by which the daily average temperature is greater than 50°F; before calculating the daily average temperatures, daily maximum temperatures above 86°F and daily minimum temperatures below 50°F are set to those values) [degree days (degF)]growing-season: Length of the growing (frost-free) season (the number of days between the last occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 32degF in the spring and the first occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 32degF in the fall)Growing Season 28F: Length of the growing season, 28°F threshold (the number of days between the last occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 28°F in the spring and the first occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 28°F in the fall)Growing Season 41F: Length of the growing season, 41°F threshold (the number of days between the last occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 41°F in the spring and the first occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 41°F in the fall)Heating Degree Days: Heating degree days (annual cumulative number of degrees by which the daily average temperature is less than 65°F) [degree days (degF)]Last Freeze Day: Date of the last spring freeze (annual last occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 32degF in the spring)Precip Above 99th pctl: Annual total precipitation for all days exceeding the 99th percentile, calculated with reference to 1976-2005 [inches]Precip Annual Total: Annual total precipitation [inches]Precip Days Above 99th pctl: Annual number of days with precipitation exceeding the 99th percentile, calculated with reference to 1976-2005 [inches]Precip 1in: Annual number of days with total precipitation greater than 1 inchPrecip 2in: Annual number of days with total precipitation greater than 2 inchesPrecip 3in: Annual number of days with total precipitation greater than 3 inchesPrecip 4in: Annual number of days with total precipitation greater than 4 inchesPrecip Max 1 Day: Annual highest precipitation total for a single day [inches]Precip Max 5 Day: Annual highest precipitation total over a 5-day period [inches]Daily Avg Temperature: Daily average temperature [degF]Daily Max Temperature: Daily maximum temperature [degF]Temp Max Days Above 99th pctl: Annual number of days with maximum temperature greater than the 99th percentile, calculated with reference to 1976-2005Temp Max Days Below 1st pctl: Annual number of days with maximum temperature lower than the 1st percentile, calculated with reference to 1976-2005Days Above 100F: Annual number of days with a maximum temperature greater than 100degFDays Above 105F: Annual number of days with a maximum temperature greater than 105degFDays Above 110F: Annual number of days with a maximum temperature greater than 110degFDays Above 115F: Annual number of days with a maximum temperature greater than 115degFTemp Max 1 Day: Annual single highest maximum temperature [degF]Days Above 32F: Annual number of icing days (days with a maximum temperature less than 32degF)Temp Max 5 Day: Annual highest maximum temperature averaged over a 5-day period [degF]Days Above 86F: Annual number of days with a maximum temperature greater than 86degFDays Above 90F: Annual number of days with a maximum temperature greater than 90degFDays Above 95F: Annual number of days with a maximum temperature greater than 95degFTemp Min: Daily minimum temperature [degF]Temp Min Days Above 75F: Annual number of days with a minimum temperature greater than 75degFTemp Min Days Above 80F: Annual number of days with a minimum temperature greater than 80degFTemp Min Days Above 85F: Annual number of days with a minimum temperature greater than 85degFTemp Min Days Above 90F: Annual number of days with a minimum temperature greater than 90degFTemp Min Days Above 99th pctl: Annual number of days with minimum temperature greater than the 99th percentile, calculated with reference to 1976-2005Temp Min Days Below 1st pctl: Annual number of days with minimum temperature lower than the 1st percentile, calculated with reference to 1976-2005Temp Min Days Below 28F: Annual number of days with a minimum temperature less than 28degFTemp Min Max 5 Day: Annual highest minimum temperature averaged over a 5-day period [degF]Temp Min 1 Day: Annual single lowest minimum temperature [degF]Temp Min 32F: Annual number of frost days (days with a minimum temperature less than 32degF)Temp Min 5 Day: Annual lowest minimum temperature averaged over a 5-day period [degF]For For freeze-related variables:The first fall freeze is defined as the date of the first occurrence of 32degF or lower in the nine months starting midnight August 1. Grid points with more than 10 of the 30 years not experiencing an occurrence of 32degF or lower are excluded from the analysis.No freeze occurrence, value = 999The last spring freeze is defined as the date of the last occurrence of 32degF or lower in the nine months prior to midnight August 1. Grid points with more than 10 of the 30 years not experiencing an occurrence of 32degF or lower are excluded from the analysis.No freeze occurrence, value = 999The growing season is defined as the number of days between the last occurrence of 28degF/32degF/41degF or lower in the nine months prior to midnight August 1 and the first occurrence of 28degF/32degF/41degF or lower in the nine months starting August 1. Grid points with more than 10 of the 30 years not experiencing an occurrence of 28degF/32degF/41degF or lower are excluded from the analysis.No freeze occurrence, value = 999
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Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
License information was derived automatically
The US Global Change Research Program sponsors the semi-annual National Climate Assessment, which is the authoritative analysis of climate change and its potential impacts in the United States. The 4th National Climate Assessment (NCA4), issued in 2018, used high resolution, downscaled LOCA climate data for many of its national and regional analyses. The LOCA downscaling was applied to multi-model mean weighted averages, using the following 32 CMIP5 model ensemble:ACCESS1-0, ACCESS1-3, bcc-csm1-1, bcc-csm1-1-m, CanESM2, CCSM4, CESM1-BGC, CESM1-CAM5, CMCC-CM, CMCC-CMS, CNRM-CM5, CSIRO-Mk3-6-0, EC EARTH, FGOALS-g2, GFDL-CM3, GFDL-ESM2G, GFDL-ESM2M, GISS-E2-H-p1, GISS-E2-R-p1, HadGEM2-AO, HadGEM2-CC, HadGEM2-ES, inmcm4, IPSL-CM5A-LR, IPSL-CM5A-MR, MIROC5, MIROC-ESM-CHEM, MIROC-ESM, MPI-ESM-LR, MPI-ESM-MR, MRI-CGCM3, NorESM1-M.All of the LOCA variables used in NCA4 are presented here. Many are thresholded to provide 47 actionable statistics, like days with precipitation greater than 3", length of the growing season, or days above 90 degrees F. Time RangesStatistics for each variables were calculated over a 30-year period. Four different time ranges are provided:Historical: 1976-2005Early-Century: 2016-2045Mid-Century: 2036-2065Late-Century: 2070-2099Climate ScenariosClimate models use estimates of greenhouse gas concentrations to predict overall change. These difference scenarios are called the Relative Concentration Pathways. Two different RCPs are presented here: RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5. The number indicates the amount of radiative forcing(watts per meter square) associated with the greenhouse gas concentration scenario in the year 2100 (higher forcing = greater warming). It is unclear which scenario will be the most likely, but RCP 4.5 aligns with the international targets of the COP-26 agreement, while RCP 8.5 is aligns with a more "business as usual" approach. Detailed documentation and the original data from USGCRP, processed by NOAA's National Climate Assessment Technical Support Unit at the North Carolina Institute for Climate Studies, can be accessed from the NCA Atlas. Variable DefinitionsCooling Degree Days: Cooling degree days (annual cumulative number of degrees by which the daily average temperature is greater than 65°F) [degree days (degF)]Consecutive Dry Days: Annual maximum number of consecutive dry days (days with total precipitation less than 0.01 inches)Consecutive Dry Days Jan Jul Aug: Summer maximum number of consecutive dry days (days with total precipitation less than 0.01 inches in June, July, and August)Consecutive Wet Days: Annual maximum number of consecutive wet days (days with total precipitation greater than or equal to 0.01 inches)First Freeze Day: Date of the first fall freeze (annual first occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 32degF in the fall)Growing Degree Days: Growing degree days, base 50 (annual cumulative number of degrees by which the daily average temperature is greater than 50°F) [degree days (degF)]Growing Degree Days Modified: Modified growing degree days, base 50 (annual cumulative number of degrees by which the daily average temperature is greater than 50°F; before calculating the daily average temperatures, daily maximum temperatures above 86°F and daily minimum temperatures below 50°F are set to those values) [degree days (degF)]growing-season: Length of the growing (frost-free) season (the number of days between the last occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 32degF in the spring and the first occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 32degF in the fall)Growing Season 28F: Length of the growing season, 28°F threshold (the number of days between the last occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 28°F in the spring and the first occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 28°F in the fall)Growing Season 41F: Length of the growing season, 41°F threshold (the number of days between the last occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 41°F in the spring and the first occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 41°F in the fall)Heating Degree Days: Heating degree days (annual cumulative number of degrees by which the daily average temperature is less than 65°F) [degree days (degF)]Last Freeze Day: Date of the last spring freeze (annual last occurrence of a minimum temperature at or below 32degF in the spring)Precip Above 99th pctl: Annual total precipitation for all days exceeding the 99th percentile, calculated with reference to 1976-2005 [inches]Precip Annual Total: Annual total precipitation [inches]Precip Days Above 99th pctl: Annual number of days with precipitation exceeding the 99th percentile, calculated with reference to 1976-2005 [inches]Precip 1in: Annual number of days with total precipitation greater than 1 inchPrecip 2in: Annual number of days with total precipitation greater than 2 inchesPrecip 3in: Annual number of days with total precipitation greater than 3 inchesPrecip 4in: Annual number of days with total precipitation greater than 4 inchesPrecip Max 1 Day: Annual highest precipitation total for a single day [inches]Precip Max 5 Day: Annual highest precipitation total over a 5-day period [inches]Daily Avg Temperature: Daily average temperature [degF]Daily Max Temperature: Daily maximum temperature [degF]Temp Max Days Above 99th pctl: Annual number of days with maximum temperature greater than the 99th percentile, calculated with reference to 1976-2005Temp Max Days Below 1st pctl: Annual number of days with maximum temperature lower than the 1st percentile, calculated with reference to 1976-2005Days Above 100F: Annual number of days with a maximum temperature greater than 100degFDays Above 105F: Annual number of days with a maximum temperature greater than 105degFDays Above 110F: Annual number of days with a maximum temperature greater than 110degFDays Above 115F: Annual number of days with a maximum temperature greater than 115degFTemp Max 1 Day: Annual single highest maximum temperature [degF]Days Above 32F: Annual number of icing days (days with a maximum temperature less than 32degF)Temp Max 5 Day: Annual highest maximum temperature averaged over a 5-day period [degF]Days Above 86F: Annual number of days with a maximum temperature greater than 86degFDays Above 90F: Annual number of days with a maximum temperature greater than 90degFDays Above 95F: Annual number of days with a maximum temperature greater than 95degFTemp Min: Daily minimum temperature [degF]Temp Min Days Above 75F: Annual number of days with a minimum temperature greater than 75degFTemp Min Days Above 80F: Annual number of days with a minimum temperature greater than 80degFTemp Min Days Above 85F: Annual number of days with a minimum temperature greater than 85degFTemp Min Days Above 90F: Annual number of days with a minimum temperature greater than 90degFTemp Min Days Above 99th pctl: Annual number of days with minimum temperature greater than the 99th percentile, calculated with reference to 1976-2005Temp Min Days Below 1st pctl: Annual number of days with minimum temperature lower than the 1st percentile, calculated with reference to 1976-2005Temp Min Days Below 28F: Annual number of days with a minimum temperature less than 28degFTemp Min Max 5 Day: Annual highest minimum temperature averaged over a 5-day period [degF]Temp Min 1 Day: Annual single lowest minimum temperature [degF]Temp Min 32F: Annual number of frost days (days with a minimum temperature less than 32degF)Temp Min 5 Day: Annual lowest minimum temperature averaged over a 5-day period [degF]For For freeze-related variables:The first fall freeze is defined as the date of the first occurrence of 32degF or lower in the nine months starting midnight August 1. Grid points with more than 10 of the 30 years not experiencing an occurrence of 32degF or lower are excluded from the analysis.No freeze occurrence, value = 999The last spring freeze is defined as the date of the last occurrence of 32degF or lower in the nine months prior to midnight August 1. Grid points with more than 10 of the 30 years not experiencing an occurrence of 32degF or lower are excluded from the analysis.No freeze occurrence, value = 999The growing season is defined as the number of days between the last occurrence of 28degF/32degF/41degF or lower in the nine months prior to midnight August 1 and the first occurrence of 28degF/32degF/41degF or lower in the nine months starting August 1. Grid points with more than 10 of the 30 years not experiencing an occurrence of 28degF/32degF/41degF or lower are excluded from the analysis.No freeze occurrence, value = 999