Graph and download economic data for Equity Market Volatility Tracker: Macroeconomic News and Outlook: Interest Rates (EMVMACROINTEREST) from Jan 1985 to May 2025 about volatility, uncertainty, equity, interest rate, interest, rate, and USA.

United States - Equity Market Volatility Tracker: Macroeconomic News and Outlook: Interest Rates was 13.82791 Index in April of 2025, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, United States - Equity Market Volatility Tracker: Macroeconomic News and Outlook: Interest Rates reached a record high of 23.32740 in October of 1987 and a record low of 1.74079 in May of 2017. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for United States - Equity Market Volatility Tracker: Macroeconomic News and Outlook: Interest Rates - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on May of 2025.

We explore several explicit and alternating-direction implicit (ADI) finite difference methods for pricing compound options with early exercise opportunities. Stock prices, stock price volatilities, and interest rates are assumed to follow correlated stochastic processes.

This paper estimates a model in which persistent fluctuations in expected consumption growth, expected inflation, and their time-varying volatility determine asset price variation. The model features Epstein-Zin recursive preferences, which determine the market price of macro risk factors. Analysis of the US nominal term structure data from 1953 to 2006 shows that agents dislike high uncertainty and demand compensation for volatility risks. Also, the time variation of the term premium is driven by the compensation for inflation volatility risk, which is distinct from consumption volatility risk. The central role of inflation volatility risk in explaining the time-varying term premium is consistent with other empirical evidence including survey data. In contrast, the existing long-run risks literature emphasizes consumption volatility risk and ignores inflation-specific time-varying volatility. The estimation results of this paper suggest that inflation-specific volatility risk is essential for fitting the time series of the US nominal term structure data.

Following the BoE’s interest rate cut, explore the immediate impact on the UK economy and how finance professionals and businesses can navigate the prospect of future reductions.

We use a Bayesian vector autoregression with stochastic volatility to forecast government bond yields. We form the conjugate prior from a no-arbitrage affine term structure model. The model improves on the accuracy of point and density forecasts from a no-change random walk and an affine term structure model with stochastic volatility. Our proposed approach may succeed by relaxing the no-arbitrage affine term structure model's requirements that yields obey a factor structure and that the factors follow a Markov process. In the term structure model, its cross-equation no-arbitrage restrictions on the factor loadings appear to play a marginal role in forecasting gains.

Replication data for: "The Volatility of Long-Term Bond Returns: Persistent Interest Rate Shocks and Time-Varying Risk Premiums"

Aside from two outliers the majority of Vanguard's fixed-income securities were projected to have an average 10-year annualized volatility rate of under six percent. Fixed income is used to refer to any investment in which a borrower/issuer is required to pay interest to the lender on the amount given. Due to the stable nature of fixed-income products in comparison to other securities such as equities the level of volatility is comparably low.

Regression results of default risk on interest rate.

Brazil's inflation rate and central bank interest rate have experienced significant fluctuations from 2018 to 2025, reflecting broader global economic trends. The country's inflation peaked at ***** percent in April 2020, followed by a gradual decline and subsequent rise, while the central bank adjusted its Selic rate in response to these economic dynamics. This pattern of volatility and monetary policy adjustments mirrors similar experiences in other major economies during the same period. Global context of inflation and interest rates Brazil's economic indicators align with the global trend of rising inflation and subsequent central bank responses observed in many countries. Like Brazil, other major economies such as the United States, United Kingdom, and European Union implemented aggressive rate hikes throughout 2022-2023 to combat inflationary pressures. However, a coordinated shift began in mid-2024, with many central banks initiating rate cuts. This global trend is reflected in Brazil's monetary policy decisions, as the country began reducing its Selic rate in August 2023 after maintaining it at ***** percent for several months. Comparison with other economies While Brazil's inflation rate reached **** percent in April 2025, other major economies exhibited varying levels of inflationary pressure. For instance, China reported a deflationary rate of **** percent, while Russia maintained a high inflation rate of **** percent during the same period. The United Kingdom, which experienced similar volatility in its inflation rate, saw it peak at *** percent in October 2022 before moderating to *** percent by September 2024. These comparisons highlight the diverse economic conditions and policy responses across different countries, with Brazil's experience falling somewhere in the middle of this spectrum.

Between January 2018 and March 2025, the United Kingdom's consumer price inflation rate showed notable volatility. The rate hit its lowest point at *** percent in August 2020 and peaked at *** percent in October 2022. By September 2024, inflation had moderated to *** percent, but the following months saw inflation increase again. The Bank of England's interest rate policy closely tracked these inflationary trends. Rates remained low at -* percent until April 2020, when they were reduced to *** percent in response to economic challenges. A series of rate increases followed, reaching a peak of **** percent from August 2023 to July 2024. The central bank then initiated rate cuts in August and November 2024, lowering the rate to **** percent, signaling a potential shift in monetary policy. In February 2025, the Bank of England implemented another rate cut, setting the bank rate at *** percent. Global context of inflation and interest rates The UK's experience reflects a broader international trend of rising inflation and subsequent central bank responses. From January 2022 to July 2024, advanced and emerging economies alike increased their policy rates to counter inflationary pressures. However, a shift began in late 2024, with many countries, including the UK, starting to lower rates. This change suggests a potential new phase in the global economic cycle and monetary policy approach. Comparison with other major economies The UK's monetary policy decisions align closely with those of other major economies. The United States, for instance, saw its federal funds rate peak at **** percent in August 2023, mirroring the UK's rate trajectory. Similarly, central bank rates in the EU all increased drastically between 2022 and 2024. These synchronized movements reflect the global nature of inflationary pressures and the coordinated efforts of central banks to maintain economic stability. As with the UK, both the U.S. and EU began considering rate cuts in late 2024, signaling a potential shift in the global economic landscape.

This analysis presents a rigorous exploration of financial data, incorporating a diverse range of statistical features. By providing a robust foundation, it facilitates advanced research and innovative modeling techniques within the field of finance.

CBOE Volatility Index Options & Futures Prediction

Financial data:

• Historical daily stock prices (open, high, low, close, volume)

• Fundamental data (e.g., market capitalization, price to earnings P/E ratio, dividend yield, earnings per share EPS, price to earnings growth, debt-to-equity ratio, price-to-book ratio, current ratio, free cash flow, projected earnings growth, return on equity, dividend payout ratio, price to sales ratio, credit rating)

• Technical indicators (e.g., moving averages, RSI, MACD, average directional index, aroon oscillator, stochastic oscillator, on-balance volume, accumulation/distribution A/D line, parabolic SAR indicator, bollinger bands indicators, fibonacci, williams percent range, commodity channel index)

Machine learning features:

• Feature engineering based on financial data and technical indicators

• Sentiment analysis data from social media and news articles

• Macroeconomic data (e.g., GDP, unemployment rate, interest rates, consumer spending, building permits, consumer confidence, inflation, producer price index, money supply, home sales, retail sales, bond yields)

Potential Applications:

• Stock price prediction

• Portfolio optimization

• Algorithmic trading

• Market sentiment analysis

• Risk management

Use Cases:

• Researchers investigating the effectiveness of machine learning in stock market prediction

• Analysts developing quantitative trading Buy/Sell strategies

• Individuals interested in building their own stock market prediction models

• Students learning about machine learning and financial applications

Additional Notes:

• The dataset may include different levels of granularity (e.g., daily, hourly)

• Data cleaning and preprocessing are essential before model training

• Regular updates are recommended to maintain the accuracy and relevance of the data

While higher interest rates increase the cost of credit financing for businesses, this study finds that the direct impact of this traditional credit transmission mechanism on corporate bankruptcy risk is limited. Instead, our research reveals that changes in corporate behavior induced by rising debt financing costs are the root cause of bankruptcy risk. In the short term, an increase in interest rates drives businesses to substitute supply chain financing for credit financing in pursuit of profit maximization. This mismatch of short-term debt and long-term investments undermines the sustainability of the supply chain, ultimately reducing financial security—sacrificing safety for profitability. In the long term, higher interest rates exacerbate the overcapacity problem in industries, increasing the unsustainability of the production and sales balance. Using data from China’s construction industry, this study empirically tests these findings and, based on the main conclusions, provides policy suggestions regarding the long- and short-term effects of monetary policy on the sustainable development of China’s construction industry: (1) focus on short-term interest rate risks and be vigilant against commercial credit bubbles; (2) long-term monetary policy should prioritize industrial structure optimization.

Graph and download economic data for CBOE Volatility Index: VIX (VIXCLS) from 1990-01-02 to 2025-06-05 about VIX, volatility, stock market, and USA.

According to Cognitive Market Research, the global Certificate of Deposit market size will be USD XX million in 2024. It will expand at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8.00% from 2024 to 2031.

North America held the major market share for more than 40% of the global revenue with a market size of USD XX million in 2024 and will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.2% from 2024 to 2031.
Europe accounted for a market share of over 30% of the global revenue with a market size of USD XX million.
Asia Pacific held a market share of around 23% of the global revenue with a market size of USD XX million in 2024 and will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10.0% from 2024 to 2031.
Latin America had a market share of more than 5% of the global revenue with a market size of USD XX million in 2024 and will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.4% from 2024 to 2031.
Middle East and Africa had a market share of around 2% of the global revenue and was estimated at a market size of USD XX million in 2024 and will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.7% from 2024 to 2031.
The Less than 1 year held the highest Certificate of Deposit market revenue share in 2024.

Market Dynamics of Certificate of Deposit Market

Key Drivers for Certificate of Deposit Market

Growing Demand for Early Retirement Planning to Increase the Demand Globally

The growing demand for early retirement planning is driving the Certificate of Deposit (CD) market as individuals increasingly seek secure and reliable investment options to ensure financial stability in their retirement years. CDs offer a low-risk investment with guaranteed returns, making them an attractive choice for conservative investors looking to preserve capital and generate predictable income. With an aging population and heightened awareness of the need for financial planning, more people are prioritizing investments that provide safety and stability. CDs, with their fixed interest rates and protection against market volatility, align well with the goals of early retirees who prioritize preserving their savings while earning a steady return. This trend fuels the growth of the CD market as part of comprehensive retirement strategies.

Growing Demand of Enhanced CD products to Propel Market Growth

The growing demand for enhanced Certificate of Deposit (CD) products is driving the market due to their ability to offer higher returns and additional features compared to traditional CDs. Enhanced CDs, such as those with variable interest rates, callable options, or market-linked returns, attract investors seeking better yields while still enjoying the security and low risk associated with CDs. These innovative products appeal to a broader range of investors, including those looking for diversified income streams and higher growth potential. Additionally, the customization and flexibility of enhanced CDs cater to the evolving preferences of investors, who are increasingly sophisticated and seeking tailored financial solutions. This trend boosts the attractiveness and market adoption of CDs, expanding their role in investment portfolios.

Restraint Factor for the Certificate of Deposit Market

Low Interest Rates to Limit the Sales

Low interest rates restrain the Certificate of Deposit (CD) market by reducing the attractiveness of these financial instruments to investors seeking higher returns. When interest rates are low, the yields on CDs decrease, making them less appealing compared to other investment options such as stocks, bonds, or mutual funds, which may offer higher potential returns. This diminished appeal leads to reduced demand for CDs among both retail and institutional investors. Additionally, low interest rates can prompt banks and financial institutions to offer fewer incentives or promotional rates for CDs, further dampening market growth. The overall impact is a slowdown in the market's expansion, as investors seek alternative investments that promise better returns in a low-interest-rate environment.

Impact of Covid-19 on the Certificate of Deposit Market

The COVID-19 pandemic had a mixed impact on the Certificate of Deposit (CD) market. On one hand, economic uncertainty and market volatility drove many investors towards safer, more stable investment options like CDs. This increased demand for secure, low-risk instruments as people sought to protect their capital. On the ot...

Investment Trust Market Outlook

The global investment trust market size was valued at approximately USD 2.5 trillion in 2023 and is projected to reach around USD 4.1 trillion by 2032, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.5% during the forecast period. The growth of this market is driven by several factors including increasing investor preference for diversified portfolios and the growing availability of various types of investment trusts to meet different investment goals. These factors are expected to propel the market significantly over the coming years.

Expanding middle-class populations and increasing disposable incomes in emerging economies are also contributing significantly to the growth of the investment trust market. With more individuals seeking avenues for better returns on their investments, investment trusts offer an attractive proposition due to their diversified nature and professional management. Additionally, the growing awareness about the benefits of investing in such diversified instruments, as opposed to individual stocks or bonds, is a crucial growth factor.

Technological advancements and digitalization have made it easier for investors to access investment trusts. Online platforms have simplified the process of investing, enabling real-time tracking and management of investment portfolios. This ease of access has broadened the market's appeal, attracting a younger, tech-savvy investor base. The integration of artificial intelligence and machine learning in these platforms further enhances their capabilities, making investment decisions more data-driven and informed.

The rising trend of sustainable and responsible investing is another significant driver for the investment trust market. Many investors are now seeking to align their portfolios with their personal values, focusing on environmental, social, and governance (ESG) criteria. Investment trusts that prioritize ESG factors are seeing increased demand, as investors look to not only generate financial returns but also contribute positively to society and the environment.

Regionally, North America and Europe dominate the investment trust market, primarily due to their well-established financial sectors and higher levels of investor sophistication. However, the Asia Pacific region is expected to witness the highest growth rate during the forecast period. The increasing economic development and growing middle-class population in countries like China and India are major contributors to this growth. As more individuals in these regions become financially literate, the demand for diverse investment options like investment trusts is expected to rise steadily.

Type Analysis

Equity investment trusts, fixed-income investment trusts, hybrid investment trusts, and other specialized types form the various segments of the investment trust market. Equity investment trusts, which primarily invest in stocks, remain the most popular due to their potential for high returns. These trusts appeal to investors looking for growth opportunities, particularly in sectors showing robust performance. The volatility of stock markets, however, poses a risk, making it essential for these trusts to maintain a well-diversified portfolio to mitigate potential losses.

Fixed-income investment trusts focus on bonds and other debt instruments, offering a more stable and predictable income stream, which is particularly attractive to conservative investors or those nearing retirement. These trusts typically have lower risk compared to equity trusts, but also potentially lower returns. With interest rates playing a critical role in their performance, the recent trends of fluctuating interest rates have made these trusts more appealing as they adapt to the changing economic landscape.

Hybrid investment trusts combine both equity and fixed-income investments, providing a balanced approach that appeals to a broader range of investors. These trusts aim to achieve a mix of income generation and capital appreciation, making them suitable for investors with moderate risk tolerance. The flexibility offered by hybrid trusts allows them to adjust their asset allocation based on market conditions, enhancing their appeal in uncertain economic climates.

Other types of investment trusts include those specializing in real estate, commodities, and niche sectors like technology or healthcare. These specialized trusts cater to investors looking to focus on specific sectors that they believe will outperform the broader market. While they offer t

Between January 2018 and March 2025, Germany's inflation rate experienced significant volatility. Initially fluctuating between 0.3 and 3.1 percent, the rate escalated dramatically, reaching a peak of 10.4 percent in October 2022. By September 2024, the inflation rate had moderated to 1.6 percent. However, inflation began rising again towards the end of 2024, standing at 2.6 percent in December. Early 2025 saw inflation decrease to 2.2 percent. The European Central Bank (ECB) responded to these inflationary pressures with a series of interest rate adjustments. After maintaining historically low rates, the ECB initiated its first rate hike since March 2016 in July 2022, raising the rate to 0.5 percent. The interest rate continued to increase, stabilizing at 4.5 percent from September 2023 to June 2024. In a notable shift, June 2024 marked the first rate cut during this period. It was followed by a series of rate cuts until the end of the year, with the last cut in 2024 setting the rate at 3.15 percent. Two further cuts were implemented in early 2025, setting the rate at 2.65 percent in March 2025.

The benchmark interest rate in South Korea was last recorded at 2.50 percent. This dataset provides - South Korea Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

This analysis presents a rigorous exploration of financial data, incorporating a diverse range of statistical features. By providing a robust foundation, it facilitates advanced research and innovative modeling techniques within the field of finance.

Nickel's Volatility May Impact TR/CC CRB Nickel index Forecast

Financial data:

• Historical daily stock prices (open, high, low, close, volume)

• Fundamental data (e.g., market capitalization, price to earnings P/E ratio, dividend yield, earnings per share EPS, price to earnings growth, debt-to-equity ratio, price-to-book ratio, current ratio, free cash flow, projected earnings growth, return on equity, dividend payout ratio, price to sales ratio, credit rating)

• Technical indicators (e.g., moving averages, RSI, MACD, average directional index, aroon oscillator, stochastic oscillator, on-balance volume, accumulation/distribution A/D line, parabolic SAR indicator, bollinger bands indicators, fibonacci, williams percent range, commodity channel index)

Machine learning features:

• Feature engineering based on financial data and technical indicators

• Sentiment analysis data from social media and news articles

• Macroeconomic data (e.g., GDP, unemployment rate, interest rates, consumer spending, building permits, consumer confidence, inflation, producer price index, money supply, home sales, retail sales, bond yields)

Potential Applications:

• Stock price prediction

• Portfolio optimization

• Algorithmic trading

• Market sentiment analysis

• Risk management

Use Cases:

• Researchers investigating the effectiveness of machine learning in stock market prediction

• Analysts developing quantitative trading Buy/Sell strategies

• Individuals interested in building their own stock market prediction models

• Students learning about machine learning and financial applications

Additional Notes:

• The dataset may include different levels of granularity (e.g., daily, hourly)

• Data cleaning and preprocessing are essential before model training

• Regular updates are recommended to maintain the accuracy and relevance of the data

Certificate of Deposit Market size was valued at USD 7.2 Billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 10.8 Billion by 2031, growing at a CAGR of 5% from 2024 to 2031.Certificate of Deposit Market: Definition/ OverviewA Certificate of Deposit (CD) is a fixed-income financial instrument given by banks and credit unions in which a person commits to deposit a specific amount of money for a set length of time in exchange for a guaranteed fixed interest rate. CDs are often seen as low-risk investments, providing investors with regular returns while shielding their wealth from market volatility. Certificates of Deposit are used as a secure savings option for those wishing to conserve their cash while receiving interest, making them especially appealing during times of economic turmoil. Furthermore, financial organizations use CDs to stabilize their financing sources, allowing them to lend or invest the pooled money more effectively, thus promoting broader economic activity.