We identify Treasury supply shocks using auction data, interpreting changes in futures prices around announcements as shocks to expected supply. We isolate the component of futures price variations pertaining to U.S. Treasury announcements between 1998 and 2020. We study how supply affects financial markets through local projections, using shocks as instruments. We show that increases in Treasury supply cause an upward shift of the yield curve fueled partly by a higher term premium. Stock prices decline, volatility climbs and corporate bond yields increase. The risk premium rises, the equity premium falls, inflation expectations soar and the liquidity premium decreases.

Bond Fund Sales Market Outlook

The bond fund sales market size was valued at approximately USD 10 trillion in 2023 and is projected to reach around USD 15 trillion by 2032, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.5%. This growth is primarily driven by increasing investor demand for stable and diversified income streams amidst global economic uncertainties. The market size expansion is fostered by factors such as an aging global population seeking more conservative investment options, heightened volatility in equity markets, and favorable regulatory changes supporting bond fund investments.

One of the primary growth factors for the bond fund sales market is the demographic shift towards an aging population, particularly in developed regions such as North America and Europe. As more individuals approach retirement age, there is a heightened need for investment products that offer steady income with reduced risk exposure. Bond funds, known for their relatively stable returns and lower volatility compared to equity funds, serve as an attractive option for this demographic. Additionally, the increasing life expectancy rates globally are pushing retirees to seek long-term investment solutions that can provide consistent income streams over extended periods.

Another significant growth driver is the evolving regulatory landscape that favors bond investments. Governments and financial regulatory bodies in various regions are implementing rules and guidelines that promote transparency and investor protection in the bond markets. These regulatory changes increase investor confidence and make bond funds more appealing to both retail and institutional investors. Furthermore, the introduction of green bonds and other socially responsible investment (SRI) products within the bond fund market is drawing interest from a growing segment of environmentally and socially conscious investors.

Technological advancements and the proliferation of digital investment platforms are also contributing to the growth of the bond fund sales market. Online platforms and robo-advisors are making it easier for retail investors to access and manage bond fund investments with lower fees and greater convenience. These platforms provide investors with tools and resources to make informed investment decisions, thereby increasing the participation rate of individual investors in the bond market. This digital transformation is democratizing access to bond funds and expanding the market's reach across various investor segments.

Regionally, the bond fund sales market exhibits diverse growth patterns. North America and Europe are expected to maintain their dominance due to their mature financial markets and high levels of investor awareness and engagement. However, the Asia-Pacific region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR during the forecast period, driven by rapid economic growth, rising disposable incomes, and increasing investor sophistication. Latin America and the Middle East & Africa regions are also witnessing growing interest in bond funds, albeit at a slower pace, as these markets gradually develop and integrate into the global financial system.

Fund Type Analysis

Government bond funds are a cornerstone of the bond fund market, offering investors a relatively low-risk investment option backed by government securities. These funds have been traditionally appealing to risk-averse investors, including retirees and conservative institutional investors. The demand for government bond funds is amplified during periods of economic uncertainty, as they are perceived as safe havens. The increasing issuance of government bonds to finance fiscal stimulus and infrastructure projects globally is also contributing to the growth of this segment. Moreover, central banks' policies, such as quantitative easing, have increased the liquidity and attractiveness of these bonds.

Corporate bond funds represent a significant portion of the bond fund market, providing higher yields compared to government bonds, albeit with increased risk. These funds invest in bonds issued by corporations to finance their operations and expansions. The corporate bond market is highly dynamic, with companies frequently entering and exiting the market based on their financing needs and credit ratings. The growth of this segment is supported by strong corporate earnings and favorable economic conditions that enhance companies' ability to service their debt. Additionally, the trend towards globalization and cross-border investments is expanding the market for corporate bond funds.

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Fixed Income Assets Management Market Size 2025-2029

The fixed income assets management market size is forecast to increase by USD 9.16 tr at a CAGR of 6.3% between 2024 and 2029.

The market is experiencing significant growth, driven by increasing investor interest in fixed income securities as a hedge against market volatility. A key trend in this market is the expansion of bond Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs), which offer investors liquidity, diversification, and cost savings. However, this market is not without risks. Transactions in fixed income assets involve complexities such as credit risk, interest rate risk, and liquidity risk, which require sophisticated risk management strategies. As global investors seek to capitalize on market opportunities and navigate these challenges effectively, they must stay informed of regulatory changes, market trends, and technological advancements. Companies that can provide innovative solutions for managing fixed income risks and optimizing returns will be well-positioned to succeed in this dynamic market.

What will be the Size of the Fixed Income Assets Management Market during the forecast period?

Request Free SampleThe fixed income assets market in the United States continues to be an essential component of investment portfolios for various official institutions and individual investors. With an expansive market size and growth, fixed income securities encompass various debt instruments, including corporate bonds and government treasuries. Interest rate fluctuations significantly impact this market, influencing investment decisions and affecting the returns from interest payments on these securities. Fixed income Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) and index managers have gained popularity due to their cost-effective and diversified investment options. However, the credit market volatility and associated default risk pose challenges for investors. In pursuit of financial goals, investors often choose fixed income funds over equities for their stable dividend income and tax savings benefits. Market risk and investors' risk tolerance are crucial factors in managing fixed income assets. Economic uncertainty and interest rate fluctuations necessitate active management by asset managers, hedge funds, and mutual funds. The fund maturity and investors' financial goals influence the choice between various fixed income securities, such as treasuries and loans. Despite the challenges, the market's direction remains positive, driven by the continuous demand for income-generating investments.

How is this Fixed Income Assets Management Industry segmented?

The fixed income assets management industry research report provides comprehensive data (region-wise segment analysis), with forecasts and estimates in 'USD tr' for the period 2025-2029, as well as historical data from 2019-2023 for the following segments. TypeCoreAlternativeEnd-userEnterprisesIndividualsGeographyNorth AmericaUSCanadaEuropeFranceGermanyItalyUKAPACChinaIndiaJapanSouth KoreaSouth AmericaMiddle East and Africa

By Type Insights

The core segment is estimated to witness significant growth during the forecast period.The fixed income asset management market encompasses a diverse range of investment vehicles, including index investing, pension funds, official institutions, mutual funds, investment advisory services, and hedge funds. This asset class caters to income holders with varying risk tolerances, offering securities such as municipal bonds, government bonds, and high yield bonds through asset management firms. Institutional investors, insurance companies, and corporations also play significant roles in this sector. Fixed income securities, including Treasuries, municipal bonds, corporate bonds, and debt securities, provide regular interest payments and can offer tax savings, making them attractive for investors with financial goals. However, liquidity issues and credit market volatility can pose challenges. The Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions and economic uncertainty also impact the fixed income market. Asset management firms employ various strategies, such as the core fixed income (CFI) strategy, which invests in a mix of investment-grade fixed-income securities. CFI strategies aim to deliver consistent performance by carefully managing portfolios, considering issuer creditworthiness, maturity, and jurisdiction. Fixed income funds, including government bonds and corporate bonds, offer lower market risk compared to equities. Investors can choose from various investment vehicles, including mutual funds, ETFs, and index funds managed by active managers or index managers. Fixed income ETFs, in particular, provide investors with the benefits of ETFs, such as liquidity and transparency, while offering exposure to the fixed income market. Despite market risks and liquidity issues, the fixed income asset management market continues to be