51 datasets found
  1. a

    Summer Maximum Temperature Change - Projections (12km)

    • climate-themetoffice.hub.arcgis.com
    • climatedataportal.metoffice.gov.uk
    Updated Jun 1, 2023
    + more versions
    Share
    FacebookFacebook
    TwitterTwitter
    Email
    Click to copy link
    Link copied
    Close
    Cite
    Met Office (2023). Summer Maximum Temperature Change - Projections (12km) [Dataset]. https://climate-themetoffice.hub.arcgis.com/maps/TheMetOffice::summer-maximum-temperature-change-projections-12km
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    Jun 1, 2023
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Met Office
    Area covered
    Description

    [Updated 28/01/25 to fix an issue in the ‘Lower’ values, which were not fully representing the range of uncertainty. ‘Median’ and ‘Higher’ values remain unchanged. The size of the change varies by grid cell and fixed period/global warming levels but the average difference between the 'lower' values before and after this update is 0.26°C.]What does the data show? This dataset shows the change in summer maximum air temperature for a range of global warming levels, including the recent past (2001-2020), compared to the 1981-2000 baseline period. Here, summer is defined as June-July-August. The dataset uses projections of daily maximum air temperature from UKCP18. For each year, the highest daily maximum temperature from the summer period is found. These are then averaged to give values for the 1981-2000 baseline, recent past (2001-2020) and global warming levels. The warming levels available are 1.5°C, 2.0°C, 2.5°C, 3.0°C and 4.0°C above the pre-industrial (1850-1900) period. The recent past value and global warming level values are stated as a change (in °C) relative to the 1981-2000 value. This enables users to compare summer maximum temperature trends for the different periods. In addition to the change values, values for the 1981-2000 baseline (corresponding to 0.51°C warming) and recent past (2001-2020, corresponding to 0.87°C warming) are also provided. This is summarised in the table below.PeriodDescription1981-2000 baselineAverage temperature (°C) for the period2001-2020 (recent past)Average temperature (°C) for the period2001-2020 (recent past) changeTemperature change (°C) relative to 1981-20001.5°C global warming level changeTemperature change (°C) relative to 1981-20002°C global warming level changeTemperature change (°C) relative to 1981-20002.5°C global warming level changeTemperature change (°C) relative to 1981-20003°C global warming level changeTemperature change (°C) relative to 1981-20004°C global warming level changeTemperature change (°C) relative to 1981-2000What is a global warming level?The Summer Maximum Temperature Change is calculated from the UKCP18 regional climate projections using the high emissions scenario (RCP 8.5) where greenhouse gas emissions continue to grow. Instead of considering future climate change during specific time periods (e.g. decades) for this scenario, the dataset is calculated at various levels of global warming relative to the pre-industrial (1850-1900) period. The world has already warmed by around 1.1°C (between 1850–1900 and 2011–2020), whilst this dataset allows for the exploration of greater levels of warming. The global warming levels available in this dataset are 1.5°C, 2°C, 2.5°C, 3°C and 4°C. The data at each warming level was calculated using a 21 year period. These 21 year periods are calculated by taking 10 years either side of the first year at which the global warming level is reached. This time will be different for different model ensemble members. To calculate the value for the Summer Maximum Temperature Change an average is taken across the 21 year period.We cannot provide a precise likelihood for particular emission scenarios being followed in the real world future. However, we do note that RCP8.5 corresponds to emissions considerably above those expected with current international policy agreements. The results are also expressed for several global warming levels because we do not yet know which level will be reached in the real climate as it will depend on future greenhouse emission choices and the sensitivity of the climate system, which is uncertain. Estimates based on the assumption of current international agreements on greenhouse gas emissions suggest a median warming level in the region of 2.4-2.8°C, but it could either be higher or lower than this level.What are the naming conventions and how do I explore the data?These data contain a field for each warming level and the 1981-2000 baseline. They are named 'tasmax summer change' (change in air 'temperature at surface'), the warming level or baseline, and 'upper' 'median' or 'lower' as per the description below. e.g. 'tasmax summer change 2.0 median' is the median value for summer for the 2.0°C warming level. Decimal points are included in field aliases but not in field names, e.g. 'tasmax summer change 2.0 median' is named 'tasmax_summer_change_20_median'. To understand how to explore the data, refer to the New Users ESRI Storymap. Please note, if viewing in ArcGIS Map Viewer, the map will default to ‘tasmax summer change 2.0°C median’ values.What do the 'median', 'upper', and 'lower' values mean?Climate models are numerical representations of the climate system. To capture uncertainty in projections for the future, an ensemble, or group, of climate models are run. Each ensemble member has slightly different starting conditions or model set-ups. Considering all of the model outcomes gives users a range of plausible conditions which could occur in the future.For this dataset, the model projections consist of 12 separate ensemble members. To select which ensemble members to use, the Summer Maximum Temperature Change was calculated for each ensemble member and they were then ranked in order from lowest to highest for each location.The ‘lower’ fields are the second lowest ranked ensemble member. The ‘higher’ fields are the second highest ranked ensemble member. The ‘median’ field is the central value of the ensemble.This gives a median value, and a spread of the ensemble members indicating the range of possible outcomes in the projections. This spread of outputs can be used to infer the uncertainty in the projections. The larger the difference between the lower and higher fields, the greater the uncertainty.‘Lower’, ‘median’ and ‘upper’ are also given for the baseline period as these values also come from the model that was used to produce the projections. This allows a fair comparison between the model projections and recent past. Useful linksFor further information on the UK Climate Projections (UKCP).Further information on understanding climate data within the Met Office Climate Data Portal.

  2. T

    United Kingdom Average Temperature

    • tradingeconomics.com
    • tr.tradingeconomics.com
    • +15more
    csv, excel, json, xml
    Share
    FacebookFacebook
    TwitterTwitter
    Email
    Click to copy link
    Link copied
    Close
    Cite
    TRADING ECONOMICS, United Kingdom Average Temperature [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/united-kingdom/temperature
    Explore at:
    csv, excel, json, xmlAvailable download formats
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Dec 31, 1901 - Dec 31, 2023
    Area covered
    United Kingdom
    Description

    Temperature in the United Kingdom increased to 10.14 celsius in 2023 from 10.13 celsius in 2022. This dataset includes a chart with historical data for the United Kingdom Average Temperature.

  3. Monthly average daily temperatures in the United Kingdom 2015-2024

    • statista.com
    Updated Jan 22, 2025
    Share
    FacebookFacebook
    TwitterTwitter
    Email
    Click to copy link
    Link copied
    Close
    Cite
    Statista (2025). Monthly average daily temperatures in the United Kingdom 2015-2024 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/322658/monthly-average-daily-temperatures-in-the-united-kingdom-uk/
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    Jan 22, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Time period covered
    Jan 2015 - Nov 2024
    Area covered
    United Kingdom
    Description

    The highest average temperature recorded in 2024 until November was in August, at 16.8 degrees Celsius. Since 2015, the highest average daily temperature in the UK was registered in July 2018, at 18.7 degrees Celsius. The summer of 2018 was the joint hottest since institutions began recording temperatures in 1910. One noticeable anomaly during this period was in December 2015, when the average daily temperature reached 9.5 degrees Celsius. This month also experienced the highest monthly rainfall in the UK since before 2014, with England, Wales, and Scotland suffering widespread flooding. Daily hours of sunshine Unsurprisingly, the heat wave that spread across the British Isles in 2018 was the result of particularly sunny weather. July 2018 saw an average of 8.7 daily sun hours in the United Kingdom. This was more hours of sun than was recorded in July 2024, which only saw 5.8 hours of sun. Temperatures are on the rise Since the 1960s, there has been an increase in regional temperatures across the UK. Between 1961 and 1990, temperatures in England averaged nine degrees Celsius, and from 2013 to 2022, average temperatures in the country had increased to 10.3 degrees Celsius. Due to its relatively southern location, England continues to rank as the warmest country in the UK.

  4. Summer Average Temperature Change - Projections (Local Authority) v1

    • climatedataportal.metoffice.gov.uk
    • climate-themetoffice.hub.arcgis.com
    Updated Jul 9, 2024
    + more versions
    Share
    FacebookFacebook
    TwitterTwitter
    Email
    Click to copy link
    Link copied
    Close
    Cite
    Met Office (2024). Summer Average Temperature Change - Projections (Local Authority) v1 [Dataset]. https://climatedataportal.metoffice.gov.uk/datasets/summer-average-temperature-change-projections-local-authority-v1
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    Jul 9, 2024
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Met Officehttp://www.metoffice.gov.uk/
    Area covered
    Description

    This data-set contains 3 fields for each fixed period (1981-2000, 2001-2020) and Global Warming Level (1.5°C, 2°C, 2.5°C, 3°C, 3.5°C, 4°C) combination: the median, 2nd lowest and 2nd highest among the 12 ensemble members. The fields are named accordingly; e.g. the 2nd lowest at 2.5°C is tas_summer_25_lowerTo understand the data, refer to the LACS Scientific Detail.To understand how to explore the data, see the User Guides available on the Climate Data Portal.

  5. Average daily temperatures in the United Kingdom 2001-2024

    • statista.com
    Updated Mar 27, 2025
    Share
    FacebookFacebook
    TwitterTwitter
    Email
    Click to copy link
    Link copied
    Close
    Cite
    Statista (2025). Average daily temperatures in the United Kingdom 2001-2024 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/322616/daily-average-temperatures-in-the-united-kingdom-uk/
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    Mar 27, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Area covered
    United Kingdom
    Description

    The daily average temperature in the United Kingdom (UK) has remained relatively stable since 2001, with temperatures rarely straying below 10 degrees Celsius. In 2024, the UK had an average daily temperature of 11.9 degrees Celsius. This was the highest average daily temperature recorded since the turn of the century. British summertime Britain is not known for its blisteringly hot summer months, with the average temperatures in this season varying greatly since 1990. In 1993, the average summer temperature was as low as 13.39 degrees Celsius, whilst 2018 saw a peak of 15.8 degrees Celsius. In that same year, the highest mean temperature occurred in July at 17.2 degrees Celsius. Variable weather Due to its location and the fact that it is an island, the United Kingdom experiences a diverse range of weather, sometimes in the same day. It is in an area where five air masses meet, creating a weather front. Each brings different weather conditions, such as hot, dry air from North Africa and wet and cold air from the Arctic. Temperatures across the UK tend to be warmest in England.

  6. a

    Annual Count of Extreme Summer Days - Projections (12km)

    • hub.arcgis.com
    • climatedataportal.metoffice.gov.uk
    • +1more
    Updated Feb 7, 2023
    + more versions
    Share
    FacebookFacebook
    TwitterTwitter
    Email
    Click to copy link
    Link copied
    Close
    Cite
    Met Office (2023). Annual Count of Extreme Summer Days - Projections (12km) [Dataset]. https://hub.arcgis.com/datasets/2e0ede325c4540e59e02c351a51fa051
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    Feb 7, 2023
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Met Office
    Area covered
    Description

    [Updated 28/01/25 to fix an issue in the ‘Lower’ values, which were not fully representing the range of uncertainty. ‘Median’ and ‘Higher’ values remain unchanged. The size of the change varies by grid cell and fixed period/global warming levels but the average difference between the 'lower' values before and after this update is 0.0.]What does the data show? The Annual Count of Extreme Summer Days is the number of days per year where the maximum daily temperature is above 35°C. It measures how many times the threshold is exceeded (not by how much) in a year. Note, the term ‘extreme summer days’ is used to refer to the threshold and temperatures above 35°C outside the summer months also contribute to the annual count. The results should be interpreted as an approximation of the projected number of days when the threshold is exceeded as there will be many factors such as natural variability and local scale processes that the climate model is unable to represent.The Annual Count of Extreme Summer Days is calculated for two baseline (historical) periods 1981-2000 (corresponding to 0.51°C warming) and 2001-2020 (corresponding to 0.87°C warming) and for global warming levels of 1.5°C, 2.0°C, 2.5°C, 3.0°C, 4.0°C above the pre-industrial (1850-1900) period. This enables users to compare the future number of extreme summer days to previous values.What are the possible societal impacts?The Annual Count of Extreme Summer Days indicates increased health risks, transport disruption and damage to infrastructure from high temperatures. It is based on exceeding a maximum daily temperature of 35°C. Impacts include:Increased heat related illnesses, hospital admissions or death affecting not just the vulnerable. Transport disruption due to overheating of road and railway infrastructure.Other metrics such as the Annual Count of Summer Days (days above 25°C), Annual Count of Hot Summer Days (days above 30°C) and the Annual Count of Tropical Nights (where the minimum temperature does not fall below 20°C) also indicate impacts from high temperatures, however they use different temperature thresholds.What is a global warming level?The Annual Count of Extreme Summer Days is calculated from the UKCP18 regional climate projections using the high emissions scenario (RCP 8.5) where greenhouse gas emissions continue to grow. Instead of considering future climate change during specific time periods (e.g. decades) for this scenario, the dataset is calculated at various levels of global warming relative to the pre-industrial (1850-1900) period. The world has already warmed by around 1.1°C (between 1850–1900 and 2011–2020), whilst this dataset allows for the exploration of greater levels of warming. The global warming levels available in this dataset are 1.5°C, 2°C, 2.5°C, 3°C and 4°C. The data at each warming level was calculated using a 21 year period. These 21 year periods are calculated by taking 10 years either side of the first year at which the global warming level is reached. This time will be different for different model ensemble members. To calculate the value for the Annual Count of Extreme Summer Days, an average is taken across the 21 year period. Therefore, the Annual Count of Extreme Summer Days show the number of extreme summer days that could occur each year, for each given level of warming. We cannot provide a precise likelihood for particular emission scenarios being followed in the real world future. However, we do note that RCP8.5 corresponds to emissions considerably above those expected with current international policy agreements. The results are also expressed for several global warming levels because we do not yet know which level will be reached in the real climate as it will depend on future greenhouse emission choices and the sensitivity of the climate system, which is uncertain. Estimates based on the assumption of current international agreements on greenhouse gas emissions suggest a median warming level in the region of 2.4-2.8°C, but it could either be higher or lower than this level.What are the naming conventions and how do I explore the data?This data contains a field for each global warming level and two baselines. They are named ‘ESD’ (where ESD means Extreme Summer Days, the warming level or baseline, and ‘upper’ ‘median’ or ‘lower’ as per the description below. E.g. ‘Extreme Summer Days 2.5 median’ is the median value for the 2.5°C warming level. Decimal points are included in field aliases but not field names e.g. ‘Extreme Summer Days 2.5 median’ is ‘ExtremeSummerDays_25_median’. To understand how to explore the data, see this page: https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/457e7a2bc73e40b089fac0e47c63a578Please note, if viewing in ArcGIS Map Viewer, the map will default to ‘ESD 2.0°C median’ values.What do the ‘median’, ‘upper’, and ‘lower’ values mean?Climate models are numerical representations of the climate system. To capture uncertainty in projections for the future, an ensemble, or group, of climate models are run. Each ensemble member has slightly different starting conditions or model set-ups. Considering all of the model outcomes gives users a range of plausible conditions which could occur in the future. For this dataset, the model projections consist of 12 separate ensemble members. To select which ensemble members to use, the Annual Count of Extreme Summer Days was calculated for each ensemble member and they were then ranked in order from lowest to highest for each location. The ‘lower’ fields are the second lowest ranked ensemble member. The ‘upper’ fields are the second highest ranked ensemble member. The ‘median’ field is the central value of the ensemble.This gives a median value, and a spread of the ensemble members indicating the range of possible outcomes in the projections. This spread of outputs can be used to infer the uncertainty in the projections. The larger the difference between the lower and upper fields, the greater the uncertainty.‘Lower’, ‘median’ and ‘upper’ are also given for the baseline periods as these values also come from the model that was used to produce the projections. This allows a fair comparison between the model projections and recent past. Useful linksThis dataset was calculated following the methodology in the ‘Future Changes to high impact weather in the UK’ report and uses the same temperature thresholds as the 'State of the UK Climate' report.Further information on the UK Climate Projections (UKCP).Further information on understanding climate data within the Met Office Climate Data Portal.

  7. Mean annual temperature in United Kingdom (UK) 1910-2024

    • statista.com
    Updated Jan 22, 2025
    Share
    FacebookFacebook
    TwitterTwitter
    Email
    Click to copy link
    Link copied
    Close
    Cite
    Statista (2025). Mean annual temperature in United Kingdom (UK) 1910-2024 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/610124/annual-mean-temperature-in-uk/
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    Jan 22, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Area covered
    United Kingdom
    Description

    The annual mean temperature in the United Kingdom has fluctuated greatly since 1990. Temperatures during this period were at their highest in 2022, surpassing 10 degrees Celsius. In 2010, the mean annual temperature stood at 7.94 degrees, the lowest recorded during this time. Daily temperatures Average daily temperatures have remained stable since the turn of the century, rarely dropping below 10 degrees Celsius. In 2010, they dropped to a low of nine degrees Celsius. The peak average daily temperature was recorded in 2022 when it reached 11.2 degrees. This was an increase of one degree Celsius compared to the long-term mean, and the most positive deviation during the period of consideration. Highs and lows The maximum average temperature recorded across the UK since 2015 was in July 2018. This month saw a maximum temperature of 22.6 degrees Celsius. In comparison, the lowest monthly minimum temperature was in February of the same year, at just minus 0.6 degrees. This was an especially cold February, as the previous year the minimum temperature for this month was 2.6 degrees.

  8. w

    London’s Urban Heat Island - During A Warm Summer

    • data.wu.ac.at
    html, pdf
    Updated Mar 15, 2018
    + more versions
    Share
    FacebookFacebook
    TwitterTwitter
    Email
    Click to copy link
    Link copied
    Close
    Cite
    Greater London Authority (GLA) (2018). London’s Urban Heat Island - During A Warm Summer [Dataset]. https://data.wu.ac.at/odso/data_gov_uk/NmQ0ZjYxMDQtMGY1Yy00YWU5LWE1NmUtZjVlMTA3MDRkZDQ2
    Explore at:
    html, pdfAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Mar 15, 2018
    Dataset provided by
    Greater London Authority (GLA)
    License

    Open Government Licence 3.0http://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open-government-licence/version/3/
    License information was derived automatically

    Area covered
    London
    Description

    For an urban heat island map during an average summer see this dataset. A heatwave refers to a prolonged period of unusually hot weather. While there is no standard definition of a heatwave in England, the Met Office uses the World Meteorological Organization definition of a heatwave, which is "when the daily maximum temperature of more than five consecutive days exceeds the average maximum temperature by 5°C, the normal period being 1961-1990". They are common in the northern and southern hemisphere during summer have historically been associated with health problems and an increase in mortality. The urban heat island (UHI) is the phenomenon where temperatures are relatively higher in cities compared to surrounding rural areas due to, for example, the urban surfaces and anthropogenic heat sources. This urban heat island map was produced using LondUM, a specific set-up of the Met Office Unified Model version 6.1 for London. It uses the Met Office Reading Surface Exchange Scheme (MORUSES), as well as urban morphology data derived from Virtual London. The model was run from May until September 2006 and December 2006. This map shows average surface temperatures over the summer period of 2006 at a 1km by 1km resolution. To find out more about LondUM, see the University of Reading’s website. The hourly outputs from LondUM have been aggregated and mapped by Jonathon Taylor, UCL Institute for Environmental Design and Engineering. Variables include: WSAVGMAX= the average of the maximum daily temperatures across the summer period (May 26th-August 31st) WSAVG=the average temperature across the summer period WSAVGMIN = the average minimum daily temperature across the summer period HWAVGMAX= the average of the maximum daily temperatures across the 2006 heatwave (July 16th-19th) HWAVG=the average temperature across the across the 2006 heatwave HWAVGMIN = the average minimum daily temperature across 2006 heatwave period The maps are also available as one combined PDF. The gif below maps the temperatures across London during the four-day period of 16-19th July, which was considered a heatwave. If you make use of the LondUM data, please use the following citation to acknowledge the data and reference the publication below for model description: LondUM (2011). Model data generated by Sylvia I. Bohnenstengel (), Department of Meteorology, University of Reading and data retrieved from http://www.met.reading.ac.uk/~sws07sib/home/LondUM.html. () Now at Metoffice@Reading, Email: sylvia.bohnenstengel@metoffice.gov.uk Bohnenstengel SI, Evans S, Clark P and Belcher SeE (2011) Simulations of the London Urban Heat island. Quarterly journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 137(659). pp. 1625-1640. ISSN 1477-870X doi 10.1002/qj.855. LondUM data (2013).

  9. Annual Count of Extreme Summer Days - Projections (Local Authority) v1

    • climate-themetoffice.hub.arcgis.com
    • climatedataportal.metoffice.gov.uk
    Updated Jul 9, 2024
    Share
    FacebookFacebook
    TwitterTwitter
    Email
    Click to copy link
    Link copied
    Close
    Cite
    Met Office (2024). Annual Count of Extreme Summer Days - Projections (Local Authority) v1 [Dataset]. https://climate-themetoffice.hub.arcgis.com/datasets/annual-count-of-extreme-summer-days-projections-local-authority-v1
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    Jul 9, 2024
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Met Officehttp://www.metoffice.gov.uk/
    Area covered
    Description

    Very high daytime temperatures with health impacts affecting not just the vulnerable: heat related illnesses, hospital admissions or death. Further transport disruption – e.g. track buckling on railways, road melt. One Extreme Summer Day is one day in which the threshold is passed in a year.This data-set contains 3 fields for each fixed period (1981-2000, 2001-2020) and Global Warming Level (1.5°C, 2°C, 2.5°C, 3°C, 3.5°C, 4°C) combination: the median, 2nd lowest and 2nd highest among the 12 ensemble members. The fields are named accordingly; e.g. the 2nd lowest at 2.5°C is ESD_25_lowerTo understand the data, refer to the LACS Scientific Detail.To understand how to explore the data, see the User Guides available on the Climate Data Portal.

  10. Energy Trends: UK weather

    • gov.uk
    Updated May 29, 2025
    Share
    FacebookFacebook
    TwitterTwitter
    Email
    Click to copy link
    Link copied
    Close
    Cite
    Department for Energy Security and Net Zero (2025). Energy Trends: UK weather [Dataset]. https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/energy-trends-section-7-weather
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    May 29, 2025
    Dataset provided by
    GOV.UKhttp://gov.uk/
    Authors
    Department for Energy Security and Net Zero
    Area covered
    United Kingdom
    Description

    These statistics show quarterly and monthly weather trends for:

    • temperatures
    • heating degree days
    • wind speed
    • sun hours
    • rainfall

    They provide contextual information for consumption patterns in energy, referenced in the Energy Trends chapters for each energy type.

    Trends in wind speeds, sun hours and rainfall provide contextual information for trends in renewable electricity generation.

    All these tables are published monthly, on the last Thursday of each month. The data is 1 month in arrears.

    ​Contact us​

    If you have questions about this content, please email: energy.stats@energysecurity.gov.uk.

  11. W

    UKCP09: Gridded Datasets of Annual values of Summer (May-October) coldwave...

    • cloud.csiss.gmu.edu
    • data.wu.ac.at
    zip
    Updated Dec 24, 2019
    + more versions
    Share
    FacebookFacebook
    TwitterTwitter
    Email
    Click to copy link
    Link copied
    Close
    Cite
    United Kingdom (2019). UKCP09: Gridded Datasets of Annual values of Summer (May-October) coldwave duration (days) [Dataset]. https://cloud.csiss.gmu.edu/uddi/dataset/ukcp09-gridded-annual-datasets-of-summer-may-oct-coldwave-duration-days
    Explore at:
    zipAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Dec 24, 2019
    Dataset provided by
    United Kingdom
    Description

    UKCP09: Gridded datasets of annual values. The day-by-day sum of the mean number of degrees by which the air temperature is more than a value of 22 °C Sum of days with daily minimum temperature more than 3 °C below 1961–90 daily normal for ≥5 consecutive days (May–October).

    The datasets have been created with financial support from the Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (Defra) and they are being promoted by the UK Climate Impacts Programme (UKCIP) as part of the UK Climate Projections (UKCP09). http://ukclimateprojections.defra.gov.uk/content/view/12/689/.

    To view this data you will have to register on the Met Office website, here: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climatechange/science/monitoring/ukcp09/gds_form.html.

  12. Adverse Weather Scenarios for Future Electricity Systems

    • catalogue.ceda.ac.uk
    • data-search.nerc.ac.uk
    Updated Mar 9, 2022
    Share
    FacebookFacebook
    TwitterTwitter
    Email
    Click to copy link
    Link copied
    Close
    Cite
    Laura Dawkins; Isabel Rushby; Megan Pearce; Emily Wallace; Tom Butcher (2022). Adverse Weather Scenarios for Future Electricity Systems [Dataset]. https://catalogue.ceda.ac.uk/uuid/7beeed0bc7fa41feb10be22ee9d10f00
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    Mar 9, 2022
    Dataset provided by
    Centre for Environmental Data Analysishttp://www.ceda.ac.uk/
    Authors
    Laura Dawkins; Isabel Rushby; Megan Pearce; Emily Wallace; Tom Butcher
    License

    Open Government Licence 3.0http://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open-government-licence/version/3/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Jan 1, 1960 - Dec 31, 2097
    Area covered
    Variables measured
    time, latitude, longitude, grid_latitude, grid_longitude
    Description

    This dataset contains gridded meteorological data associated with challenging periods of weather for highly-renewable UK and European electricity systems of the future collected during the Adverse Weather Scenarios for Future Electricity Systems project. This project is a collaboration between the Met Office, the National Infrastructure Commission and the Climate Change Committee. More details about the project can be found in the associated documentation.

    Two categories of challenging weather conditions; long duration adverse events and short duration wind ramping events, are provided.

    Long duration events

    The long duration event component of the dataset provides daily time series at 60 x 60 km spatial resolution, covering a European domain, for surface temperature, 100 m wind speed and net surface solar radiation data, representative of a selection of adverse weather scenarios. Each adverse weather scenario is contained within a time slice of data. For summer-time events, one calendar year (January - December) of data is provided, with the summer-time event occurring in the summer of that year. For winter-time events, two calendar years of data are provided, with the winter-time event occurring in the winter (October-March) intersecting the two calendar years. In all cases, the start date, duration and severity of the adverse weather event, contained within the time slice of data, are given in the NetCDF global ttributes.

    Three types of long-duration adverse weather scenarios are represented: winter-time wind-drought-peak-demand events, summer-time wind-drought-peak-demand events, and summer-time surplus generation events. These are provided at various extreme levels (1 in 2, 5, 10, 20 ,50 and 100-year events); and for a range of current and nominal future climate change warming levels (1.2 [current day, early 2020s], 1.5, 2, 3, and 4 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial level), representative of events impacting either just the UK, or Europe as a whole.

    The data provided are derived from the Met Office decadal prediction system hindcast (https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/approach/modelling-systems/unified-model/climate-models/depresys), according to the climate change impacts identified from UKCP18 (https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/approach/collaboration/ukcp/index).

    Short duration events The short duration event component of the dataset provides hourly time series at 4 x 4 km spatial resolution, covering a UK and surrounding offshore area domain, for 100 m wind speed, representative of a selection of wind generation ramping events. Each adverse weather scenario is contained within a time slice of data with up to one week before and one week after the day on which the event occurs (up to 15 days in total) provided. For the majority of events provided, the full 15 days are available, however for a small number of events which occur less than one week from the beginning or end of the underlying data used to derive this dataset, this is not possibly to supply, and these events are listed below. The start date and time along with the direction and magnitude of the ramp (change in wind capacity factor) contained within the time slice of data, are given in the NetCDF global attributes.

    The short duration wind generation ramping events are representative of events impacting five separate regions of Great Britain and surrounding offshore areas, as defined in the accompanying documentation. These regions are Scotland, the East England, West England and Wales offshore North and offshore South. The events are defined by changes in wind capacity factors occurring over different length time windows (1-hour, 3-hour, 6-hour, 12-hour and 24-hour windows). These are provided at various extreme levels (1 in 2, 5, 10, 20 ,50 and 100-year events) for the 1.2 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial level (I.e. representative of early 2020s climate) and through the analysis outlined in the accompanying documentation are though to also be representative of the 2, 3, and 4 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial level nominal future climate change warming levels.

    The data provided are derived from the UKCP18 local projections (https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/approach/collaboration/ukcp/index).

    The methods developed for characterising and representing these adverse weather scenarios, and the approach used to compile the final dataset are presented in the accompanying documentation.

    Use of this data is subject to the terms of the Open Government Licence (http://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open-government-licence/version/3/). The following acknowledgment must be given when using the data: © Crown Copyright 2021, Met Office, funded by the National Infrastructure Commission.

  13. Monthly average temperature in the United States 2020-2024

    • statista.com
    • ai-chatbox.pro
    Updated Feb 2, 2025
    + more versions
    Share
    FacebookFacebook
    TwitterTwitter
    Email
    Click to copy link
    Link copied
    Close
    Cite
    Statista (2025). Monthly average temperature in the United States 2020-2024 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/513628/monthly-average-temperature-in-the-us-fahrenheit/
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    Feb 2, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Time period covered
    Jan 2020 - Dec 2024
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    The average temperature in December 2024 was 38.25 degrees Fahrenheit in the United States, the fourth-largest country in the world. The country has extremely diverse climates across its expansive landmass. Temperatures in the United States On the continental U.S., the southern regions face warm to extremely hot temperatures all year round, the Pacific Northwest tends to deal with rainy weather, the Mid-Atlantic sees all four seasons, and New England experiences the coldest winters in the country. The North American country has experienced an increase in the daily minimum temperatures since 1970. Consequently, the average annual temperature in the United States has seen a spike in recent years. Climate Change The entire world has seen changes in its average temperature as a result of climate change. Climate change occurs due to increased levels of greenhouse gases which act to trap heat in the atmosphere, preventing it from leaving the Earth. Greenhouse gases are emitted from various sectors but most prominently from burning fossil fuels. Climate change has significantly affected the average temperature across countries worldwide. In the United States, an increasing number of people have stated that they have personally experienced the effects of climate change. Not only are there environmental consequences due to climate change, but also economic ones. In 2022, for instance, extreme temperatures in the United States caused over 5.5 million U.S. dollars in economic damage. These economic ramifications occur for several reasons, which include higher temperatures, changes in regional precipitation, and rising sea levels.

  14. e

    UKCP09: 5km gridded data - Annual Average - Summer (May-October) coldwave...

    • data.europa.eu
    • data.wu.ac.at
    plain text
    Updated Oct 11, 2021
    + more versions
    Share
    FacebookFacebook
    TwitterTwitter
    Email
    Click to copy link
    Link copied
    Close
    Cite
    Met Office (2021). UKCP09: 5km gridded data - Annual Average - Summer (May-October) coldwave duration [Dataset]. https://data.europa.eu/data/datasets/ukcp09-5km-gridded-data-annual-average-summer-may-oct-coldwave-duration
    Explore at:
    plain textAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Oct 11, 2021
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Met Office
    Description

    UKCP09: 5 km gridded data - Annual averages for the summer coldwave duration. The data set contains 12 files (one for each month for the 1961-1990 average period). The individual grids are named according to the following convention: variablename_mmm_Average_Actual.txt where mmm is the month name (e.g. Jan).

    The datasets have been created with financial support from the Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (Defra) and they are being promoted by the UK Climate Impacts Programme (UKCIP) as part of the UK Climate Projections (UKCP09). http://ukclimateprojections.defra.gov.uk/content/view/12/689/.

    To view this data you will have to register on the Met Office website, here: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/climate/climate-monitoring/UKCP09/register

  15. n

    ESA Land Surface Temperature Climate Change Initiative (LST_cci): Monthly...

    • data-search.nerc.ac.uk
    • catalogue.ceda.ac.uk
    Updated Sep 20, 2023
    + more versions
    Share
    FacebookFacebook
    TwitterTwitter
    Email
    Click to copy link
    Link copied
    Close
    Cite
    (2023). ESA Land Surface Temperature Climate Change Initiative (LST_cci): Monthly Multisensor Infra-Red (IR) Low Earth Orbit (LEO) land surface temperature (LST) time series level 3 supercollated (L3S) global product (1995-2020), version 2.00 [Dataset]. https://data-search.nerc.ac.uk/geonetwork/srv/search?keyword=infra-red
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    Sep 20, 2023
    Description

    This dataset contains monthly-averaged land surface temperatures (LSTs) and their uncertainty estimates from multiple Infra-Red (IR) instruments on Low Earth Orbiting (LEO) sun-synchronous (a.k.a. polar orbiting) satellites. Satellite land surface temperatures are skin temperatures, which means, for example, the temperature of the ground surface in bare soil areas, the temperature of the canopy over forests, and a mix of the soil and leaf temperature over sparse vegetation. The skin temperature is an important variable when considering surface fluxes of, for instance, heat and water. Daytime and night-time temperatures are provided in separate files corresponding to 10:30 and 22:30 local solar time. Per pixel uncertainty estimates are given in two forms, first, an estimate of the total uncertainty for the pixel and second, a breakdown of the uncertainty into components by correlation length. Also provided in the files, on a per pixel basis, are the observation time, the satellite viewing and solar geometry angles, a quality flag, and land cover class. The dataset is comprised of LSTs from a series of instruments with a common heritage: the Along-Track Scanning Radiometer 2 (ATSR-2), the Advanced Along-Track Scanning Radiometer (AATSR) and the Sea and Land Surface Temperature Radiometer on Sentinel 3A (SLSTRA); and data from the Moderate Imaging Spectroradiometer on Earth Observation System - Terra (MODIS Terra) to fill the gap between AATSR and SLSTR. So, the instruments contributing to the time series are: ATSR-2 from August 1995 to July 2002; AATSR from August 2002 to March 2012; MODIS Terra from April 2012 to July 2016; and SLSTRA from August 2016 to December 2020. Inter-instrument biases are accounted for by cross-calibration with the Infrared Atmospheric Sounding Interferometer (IASI) instruments on Meteorological Operational (METOP) satellites. For consistency, a common algorithm is used for LST retrieval for all instruments. Furthermore, an adjustment is made to the LSTs to account for the half-hour difference between satellite equator crossing times. For consistency through the time series, coverage is restricted to the narrowest instrument swath width. The dataset coverage is near global over the land surface. During the period covered by ATSR-2, small regions were not covered due to downlinking constraints (most noticeably a track extending southwards across central Asia through India – further details can be found on the ATSR project webpages at http://www.atsr.rl.ac.uk/dataproducts/availability/coverage/atsr-2/index.shtml). LSTs are provided on a global equal angle grid at a resolution of 0.01° longitude and 0.01° latitude. Full Earth coverage is achieved in 3 days so the daily files have gaps where the surface is not covered by the satellite swath on that day. Furthermore, LSTs are not produced where clouds are present since under these circumstances the IR radiometer observes the cloud top which is usually much colder than the surface. Dataset coverage starts on 1st August 1995 and ends on 31st December 2020. There are two gaps of several months in the dataset: no data were acquired from ATSR-2 between 23 December 1995 and 30 June 1996 due to a scan mirror anomaly; and the ERS-2 gyro failed in January 2001, data quality was less good between 17th Jan 2001 and 5th July 2001 and are not used in this dataset. Also, there is a twelve day gap in the dataset due to Envisat mission extension orbital manoeuvres from 21st October 2010 to 1st November 2010. There are minor interruptions (1-10 days) during satellite/instrument maintenance periods or instrument anomalies. The dataset was produced by the University of Leicester (UoL) and LSTs were retrieved using the (UoL) LST retrieval algorithm and data were processed in the UoL processing chain. The dataset was produced as part of the ESA Land Surface Temperature Climate Change Initiative which strives to improve satellite datasets to Global Climate Observing System (GCOS) standards.

  16. g

    UKCP09: 5km gridded data - Annual Average - Summer (May-October) heatwave...

    • gimi9.com
    + more versions
    Share
    FacebookFacebook
    TwitterTwitter
    Email
    Click to copy link
    Link copied
    Close
    Cite
    UKCP09: 5km gridded data - Annual Average - Summer (May-October) heatwave duration | gimi9.com [Dataset]. https://gimi9.com/dataset/uk_ukcp09-5km-gridded-data-annual-average-summer-may-oct-heatwave-duration
    Explore at:
    License

    CC0 1.0 Universal Public Domain Dedicationhttps://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Description

    UKCP09: 5 km gridded data - Annual averages for the summer heatwave duration. The data set contains 12 files (one for each month for the 1961-1990 average period). The individual grids are named according to the following convention: variablename_mmm_Average_Actual.txt where mmm is the month name (e.g. Jan). The datasets have been created with financial support from the Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (Defra) and they are being promoted by the UK Climate Impacts Programme (UKCIP) as part of the UK Climate Projections (UKCP09). http://ukclimateprojections.defra.gov.uk/content/view/12/689/. To view this data you will have to register on the Met Office website, here: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/climate/climate-monitoring/UKCP09/register

  17. w

    UKCP09: Gridded Datasets of Annual values of Growing season length (days)

    • data.wu.ac.at
    • data.europa.eu
    zip
    Updated Feb 10, 2016
    Share
    FacebookFacebook
    TwitterTwitter
    Email
    Click to copy link
    Link copied
    Close
    Cite
    Met Office (2016). UKCP09: Gridded Datasets of Annual values of Growing season length (days) [Dataset]. https://data.wu.ac.at/odso/data_gov_uk/MTUxN2FjNjUtMTkyMS00YzFmLTllN2ItYjg3YWU0ZTE0NmQw
    Explore at:
    zipAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Feb 10, 2016
    Dataset provided by
    Met Office
    Description

    UKCP09: Gridded datasets of annual values. The day-by-day sum of the mean number of degrees by which the air temperature is more than a value of 22 °C Period bounded by daily mean temperature >5 °C for >5 consecutive days and daily mean temperature <5 °C for >5 consecutive days (after 1 July).

    The datasets have been created with financial support from the Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (Defra) and they are being promoted by the UK Climate Impacts Programme (UKCIP) as part of the UK Climate Projections (UKCP09). http://ukclimateprojections.defra.gov.uk/content/view/12/689/.

    To view this data you will have to register on the Met Office website, here: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climatechange/science/monitoring/ukcp09/gds_form.html.

  18. U

    Dataset for Future probabilistic hot summer years for overheating risk...

    • researchdata.bath.ac.uk
    zip
    Updated 2016
    Share
    FacebookFacebook
    TwitterTwitter
    Email
    Click to copy link
    Link copied
    Close
    Cite
    Chunde Liu (2016). Dataset for Future probabilistic hot summer years for overheating risk assessments [Dataset]. http://doi.org/10.15125/BATH-00190
    Explore at:
    zipAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    2016
    Dataset provided by
    University of Bath
    Authors
    Chunde Liu
    Time period covered
    Jan 1, 2040 - Dec 31, 2069
    Dataset funded by
    Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council
    Description

    Future hot summer years to be used for assessing risk of overheating and heat stress under a changing climate. They were created in two alternative ways: one is based on Weighted Cooling Degree Hours, the other is based on Physiologically Equivalent Temperature.

  19. T

    TEMPERATURE by Country in EUROPE

    • tradingeconomics.com
    csv, excel, json, xml
    Updated Jun 9, 2025
    + more versions
    Share
    FacebookFacebook
    TwitterTwitter
    Email
    Click to copy link
    Link copied
    Close
    Cite
    TRADING ECONOMICS (2025). TEMPERATURE by Country in EUROPE [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/country-list/temperature?continent=europe
    Explore at:
    csv, xml, json, excelAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Jun 9, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    2025
    Area covered
    Europe
    Description

    This dataset provides values for TEMPERATURE reported in several countries. The data includes current values, previous releases, historical highs and record lows, release frequency, reported unit and currency.

  20. ESA Land Surface Temperature Climate Change Initiative (LST_cci): Monthly...

    • catalogue.ceda.ac.uk
    • data-search.nerc.ac.uk
    Updated Jun 27, 2022
    + more versions
    Share
    FacebookFacebook
    TwitterTwitter
    Email
    Click to copy link
    Link copied
    Close
    Cite
    Darren Ghent; Karen Veal; Mike Perry (2022). ESA Land Surface Temperature Climate Change Initiative (LST_cci): Monthly land surface temperature from MODIS (Moderate resolution Infra-red Spectroradiometer) on Aqua, level 3 collated (L3C) global product (2002-2018), version 3.00 [Dataset]. https://catalogue.ceda.ac.uk/uuid/fe98aa1c666d42b9a2a0d19a72bb8a36
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    Jun 27, 2022
    Dataset provided by
    Centre for Environmental Data Analysishttp://www.ceda.ac.uk/
    Authors
    Darren Ghent; Karen Veal; Mike Perry
    License

    https://artefacts.ceda.ac.uk/licences/specific_licences/esacci_lst_terms_and_conditions.pdfhttps://artefacts.ceda.ac.uk/licences/specific_licences/esacci_lst_terms_and_conditions.pdf

    Time period covered
    Jul 4, 2002 - Dec 31, 2018
    Area covered
    Earth
    Variables measured
    time, latitude, longitude, land cover class, solar zenith angle, solar azimuth angle, latitude_coordinates, longitude_coordinates, reference time of file, satellite zenith angle, and 11 more
    Description

    This dataset contains monthly-averaged land surface temperatures (LSTs) and their uncertainty estimates from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) on Earth Observing System – Aqua (Aqua). Satellite land surface temperatures are skin temperatures which means, for example, the temperature of the ground surface in bare soil areas, the temperature of the canopy over forests, and a mix of the soil and leaf temperature over sparse vegetation. The skin temperature is an important variable when considering surface fluxes of, for instance, heat and water.

    Daytime and night-time temperatures are provided in separate files corresponding to the daytime and night-time Aqua equator crossing times which are 13:30 and 01:30 local solar time. Per pixel uncertainty estimates are given in two forms, first, an estimate of the total uncertainty for the pixel and second, a breakdown of the uncertainty into components by correlation length. Also provided in the files, on a per pixel basis, are the observation time, the satellite viewing and solar geometry angles, a quality flag, and land cover class.

    The dataset coverage is global over the land surface. LSTs are provided on a global equal angle grid at a resolution of 0.01° longitude and 0.01° latitude. MODIS achieves full Earth coverage nearly twice per day so the daily files have small gaps primarily close to the equator where the surface is not covered by the satellite swath on that day. Furthermore, LSTs are not produced where clouds are present since under these circumstances the IR radiometer observes the cloud top which is usually much colder than the surface.

    Dataset coverage starts on 4th July 2002 and ends on 31st December 2018. There are minor interruptions (1-2 days) during satellite/instrument maintenance periods.

    The dataset was produced by the University of Leicester (UoL) and LSTs were retrieved using a generalised split window retrieval algorithm and data were processed in the UoL processing chain.

    The dataset was produced as part of the ESA Land Surface Temperature Climate Change Initiative which strives to improve satellite datasets to Global Climate Observing System (GCOS) standards.

Share
FacebookFacebook
TwitterTwitter
Email
Click to copy link
Link copied
Close
Cite
Met Office (2023). Summer Maximum Temperature Change - Projections (12km) [Dataset]. https://climate-themetoffice.hub.arcgis.com/maps/TheMetOffice::summer-maximum-temperature-change-projections-12km

Summer Maximum Temperature Change - Projections (12km)

Explore at:
Dataset updated
Jun 1, 2023
Dataset authored and provided by
Met Office
Area covered
Description

[Updated 28/01/25 to fix an issue in the ‘Lower’ values, which were not fully representing the range of uncertainty. ‘Median’ and ‘Higher’ values remain unchanged. The size of the change varies by grid cell and fixed period/global warming levels but the average difference between the 'lower' values before and after this update is 0.26°C.]What does the data show? This dataset shows the change in summer maximum air temperature for a range of global warming levels, including the recent past (2001-2020), compared to the 1981-2000 baseline period. Here, summer is defined as June-July-August. The dataset uses projections of daily maximum air temperature from UKCP18. For each year, the highest daily maximum temperature from the summer period is found. These are then averaged to give values for the 1981-2000 baseline, recent past (2001-2020) and global warming levels. The warming levels available are 1.5°C, 2.0°C, 2.5°C, 3.0°C and 4.0°C above the pre-industrial (1850-1900) period. The recent past value and global warming level values are stated as a change (in °C) relative to the 1981-2000 value. This enables users to compare summer maximum temperature trends for the different periods. In addition to the change values, values for the 1981-2000 baseline (corresponding to 0.51°C warming) and recent past (2001-2020, corresponding to 0.87°C warming) are also provided. This is summarised in the table below.PeriodDescription1981-2000 baselineAverage temperature (°C) for the period2001-2020 (recent past)Average temperature (°C) for the period2001-2020 (recent past) changeTemperature change (°C) relative to 1981-20001.5°C global warming level changeTemperature change (°C) relative to 1981-20002°C global warming level changeTemperature change (°C) relative to 1981-20002.5°C global warming level changeTemperature change (°C) relative to 1981-20003°C global warming level changeTemperature change (°C) relative to 1981-20004°C global warming level changeTemperature change (°C) relative to 1981-2000What is a global warming level?The Summer Maximum Temperature Change is calculated from the UKCP18 regional climate projections using the high emissions scenario (RCP 8.5) where greenhouse gas emissions continue to grow. Instead of considering future climate change during specific time periods (e.g. decades) for this scenario, the dataset is calculated at various levels of global warming relative to the pre-industrial (1850-1900) period. The world has already warmed by around 1.1°C (between 1850–1900 and 2011–2020), whilst this dataset allows for the exploration of greater levels of warming. The global warming levels available in this dataset are 1.5°C, 2°C, 2.5°C, 3°C and 4°C. The data at each warming level was calculated using a 21 year period. These 21 year periods are calculated by taking 10 years either side of the first year at which the global warming level is reached. This time will be different for different model ensemble members. To calculate the value for the Summer Maximum Temperature Change an average is taken across the 21 year period.We cannot provide a precise likelihood for particular emission scenarios being followed in the real world future. However, we do note that RCP8.5 corresponds to emissions considerably above those expected with current international policy agreements. The results are also expressed for several global warming levels because we do not yet know which level will be reached in the real climate as it will depend on future greenhouse emission choices and the sensitivity of the climate system, which is uncertain. Estimates based on the assumption of current international agreements on greenhouse gas emissions suggest a median warming level in the region of 2.4-2.8°C, but it could either be higher or lower than this level.What are the naming conventions and how do I explore the data?These data contain a field for each warming level and the 1981-2000 baseline. They are named 'tasmax summer change' (change in air 'temperature at surface'), the warming level or baseline, and 'upper' 'median' or 'lower' as per the description below. e.g. 'tasmax summer change 2.0 median' is the median value for summer for the 2.0°C warming level. Decimal points are included in field aliases but not in field names, e.g. 'tasmax summer change 2.0 median' is named 'tasmax_summer_change_20_median'. To understand how to explore the data, refer to the New Users ESRI Storymap. Please note, if viewing in ArcGIS Map Viewer, the map will default to ‘tasmax summer change 2.0°C median’ values.What do the 'median', 'upper', and 'lower' values mean?Climate models are numerical representations of the climate system. To capture uncertainty in projections for the future, an ensemble, or group, of climate models are run. Each ensemble member has slightly different starting conditions or model set-ups. Considering all of the model outcomes gives users a range of plausible conditions which could occur in the future.For this dataset, the model projections consist of 12 separate ensemble members. To select which ensemble members to use, the Summer Maximum Temperature Change was calculated for each ensemble member and they were then ranked in order from lowest to highest for each location.The ‘lower’ fields are the second lowest ranked ensemble member. The ‘higher’ fields are the second highest ranked ensemble member. The ‘median’ field is the central value of the ensemble.This gives a median value, and a spread of the ensemble members indicating the range of possible outcomes in the projections. This spread of outputs can be used to infer the uncertainty in the projections. The larger the difference between the lower and higher fields, the greater the uncertainty.‘Lower’, ‘median’ and ‘upper’ are also given for the baseline period as these values also come from the model that was used to produce the projections. This allows a fair comparison between the model projections and recent past. Useful linksFor further information on the UK Climate Projections (UKCP).Further information on understanding climate data within the Met Office Climate Data Portal.

Search
Clear search
Close search
Google apps
Main menu