The yield on US 10 Year Note Bond Yield rose to 4.12% on December 2, 2025, marking a 0.02 percentage points increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has remained flat, and it is 0.11 points lower than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. US 10 Year Treasury Bond Note Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on December of 2025.

The yield on US 30 Year Bond Yield rose to 4.76% on December 2, 2025, marking a 0.02 percentage points increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.06 points and is 0.35 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. United States 30 Year Bond Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on December of 2025.

This dataset contains the monthly nominal yields of 10-year US Treasury bonds, sourced from the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (FRED).

The 10-year Treasury yield is widely regarded as a benchmark for long-term interest rates in the United States. It reflects investor sentiment about economic growth, inflation expectations, and monetary policy. Analysts, economists, and investors often use this indicator to track shifts in the bond market and assess the overall economic outlook.

Why This Matters

• Economic Indicator. Serves as a proxy for long-term borrowing costs.
• Market Benchmark. Affects pricing of mortgages, corporate debt, and other financial instruments.
• Policy Insights. Closely monitored by the Federal Reserve, economists, and policymakers for clues about inflation and growth.

Potential Use Cases

• Time series analysis and forecasting of interest rates.
• Studying the relationship between bond yields, stock markets, and economic cycles.
• Macro-financial research, portfolio risk management, and policy analysis.

Although the many central banks publish the yield-to-maturity of their Treasury bonds, the monthly returns earned by investors are typically not publicly available.This data set calculates monthly returns for:United States (starting 1947)Germany (starting 1972)Japan (starting 1974)Australia (starting 1969)Norway (starting 1921)Sweden (starting 1920)

Context

GDPC1 - time series representing real GDP measured quarterly spanning from 1947 to 2018 in billions of dollars, adjusted for inflation and chained to 2012 dollars

DGS2 - time series representing 2Y treasury constant maturity rate measured daily in % spanning from 1976 to 2019

T10Y2Y - time series representing 10Y treasury yields minus 2Y treasury yields measured daily , spanning from 1976 to 2018

USREC - time series represents when the US experienced recession spanning from 1854 to 2018 measured daily. A '1' indicating that the US is in a period of recession and '0' indicating that the US is not in a period of recession

Content

Each CSV file has only two columns, the first column representing the date and the second column representing the value of the time series as indicated above. Missing values are represented by '.'

Acknowledgements

All data was downloaded from the website of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/)

Inspiration

• Recently it was reported that bond yields inverted leading some to fear economic recession in the near future. Is there truth to these fears?

• Is there any relationship between real GDP and bond yields

• Can you use bond yields to predict real GDP?

• Is there any validity to the notion that bond yield inversions are leading indicators of economic recession?

• What other datatypes besides bond yields can we use to improve predictions of real gdp?

Graph and download economic data for Interest Rates: Long-Term Government Bond Yields: 10-Year: Main (Including Benchmark) for United States (IRLTLT01USM156N) from Apr 1953 to Oct 2025 about long-term, 10-year, bonds, yield, government, interest rate, interest, rate, and USA.

The yield on India 10Y Bond Yield eased to 6.52% on December 2, 2025, marking a 0.06 percentage points decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.03 points and is 0.24 points lower than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. India 10-Year Government Bond Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on December of 2025.

The yield on Germany 10Y Bond Yield eased to 2.70% on November 21, 2025, marking a 0.02 percentage points decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.14 points and is 0.44 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. Germany 10-Year Bond Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on November of 2025.

This dataset provides a comprehensive collection of key U.S. macroeconomic indicators spanning the past 25 years (approximately 1998–2023). It includes monthly data on:

M2 Money Supply (M2SL): A broad measure of money in circulation, including cash, checking deposits, and easily convertible near money. Federal Funds Effective Rate (FEDFUNDS): The interest rate at which depository institutions trade federal funds with each other overnight. Interest Rates: Various benchmark interest rates relevant to economic analysis. 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate (GS10): Reflects market expectations for long-term interest rates and economic growth. All data are sourced from the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database and are seasonally adjusted where applicable.

This dataset is ideal for economic research, financial modeling, market forecasting, and machine learning applications where macroeconomic variables are relevant. The data is cleaned, merged, and formatted for immediate use, with date-stamped entries aligned on a monthly frequency.

Source: Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) — https://fred.stlouisfed.org/

License: CC0: Public Domain

Source is Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. Retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/"NAME OF MEASURE" Column names are "Name of Measure" from FRED's catalog.

Group 1: Yield Curve Indicators These focus on the shape of the Treasury yield curve, comparing longer-term to shorter-term rates. They are primarily used to: Signal Economic Expectations: A normal curve (longer-term rates higher) suggests expectations of growth and possibly inflation. A flattening or inverted curve (short-term rates near or above long-term) could signal a potential slowdown or recession.

Group 2: Monetary Policy and Market Expectations These spreads look at the difference between Treasury yields and the Federal Funds Rate, the primary tool of monetary policy. They indicate: Market vs. Fed Outlook: Widening spreads could suggest the market expects faster rate hikes or higher long-term inflation than the Fed is signaling. Narrowing spreads could mean the opposite. Risk-Taking: When these spreads widen, it can be a sign of investors moving from safe Treasuries to riskier assets in search of yield.

Group 3: Credit Risk and Market Sentiment These spreads focus on corporate bond yields relative to Treasuries, highlighting the added compensation investors require for holding riskier corporate debt. They signal: Credit Conditions: Widening spreads suggest deteriorating credit conditions or lower risk tolerance among investors. Narrowing spreads suggest the opposite. Economic Confidence: Investors often demand higher premiums for corporate bonds during economic uncertainty, widening these spreads.

Group 4: Breakeven Inflation Rates The breakeven inflation rate represents a measure of expected inflation derived from 30-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Securities (BC_30YEAR) and 30-Year Treasury Inflation-Indexed Constant Maturity Securities (TC_30YEAR). The latest value implies what market participants expect inflation to be in the next 30 years, on average.

The yield on US 3 Year Note Bond Yield eased to 3.52% on December 3, 2025, marking a 0.02 percentage points decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.08 points and is 0.58 points lower than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. United States 3 Year Note Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on December of 2025.

Please refer to: https://data.imf.org/en/news/accessing%20international%20financial%20statistics

Graph and download economic data for Interest Rates: Long-Term Government Bond Yields: 10-Year: Main (Including Benchmark) for Germany (IRLTLT01DEM156N) from May 1956 to Oct 2025 about long-term, Germany, 10-year, bonds, yield, government, interest rate, interest, and rate.

This dataset captures multi-market financial indicators that can be used to study financial crises, market stress, and economic stability. It integrates simulated data from stock, bond, and foreign exchange (forex) markets, along with volatility metrics and a binary crisis label.

The dataset provides a comprehensive view of cross-market behavior and is suitable for tasks such as crisis detection, financial risk analysis, and market interdependence studies.

Key Features Time Series Coverage:

Daily data over ~1,000 days for multiple countries

Stock Market Indicators:

Stock_Index → Simulated stock market index values

Stock_Return → Daily percentage change in stock index

Stock_Volatility → 5-day rolling standard deviation of stock returns

Bond Market Indicators:

Bond_Yield → Simulated 10-year government bond yield

Bond_Yield_Spread → Difference between long-term and short-term yields

Bond_Volatility → Simulated volatility in bond yields

Forex Market Indicators:

FX_Rate → Simulated currency exchange rate

FX_Return → Daily percentage change in exchange rate

FX_Volatility → 5-day rolling standard deviation of forex returns

Global Market Stress Indicator:

VIX → Simulated volatility index representing market stress

Target Variable:

Crisis_Label → Binary flag indicating market condition (0 = Normal, 1 = Crisis)

File Information Format: CSV

Rows: ~3,000 (1,000 days × 3 countries)

Columns: 13 (including target label)

Use Cases:

Financial crisis detection

Market stress and contagion analysis

Cross-market economic studies

ABSTRACT The conventional view on the U.S. economy is that economic growth above “potential” is bad for bonds since it spells inflation. The purpose of this note is to show that following the Volker deflation (l980-82), the policy regime changed, and greater economic stability obtained.

The yield on Japan 10Y Bond Yield eased to 1.86% on December 2, 2025, marking a 0.02 percentage points decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.20 points and is 0.78 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. Japan 10 Year Government Bond Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on December of 2025.

Feunou, Bruno, and Fontaine, Jean-Sébastien, (2023) “Secular Economic Changes and Bond Yields.” Review of Economics and Statistics 105:2, 408–424.

Greece Government Bond Yield: Average: Annual: 10 Years data was reported at 5.980 % pa in 2017. This records a decrease from the previous number of 8.360 % pa for 2016. Greece Government Bond Yield: Average: Annual: 10 Years data is updated yearly, averaging 5.980 % pa from Dec 1999 (Median) to 2017, with 19 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 22.500 % pa in 2012 and a record low of 3.590 % pa in 2005. Greece Government Bond Yield: Average: Annual: 10 Years data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Bank of Greece. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Greece – Table GR.M006: Government Bonds Yield: Average.

The yield on US 2 Year Note Bond Yield eased to 3.54% on December 2, 2025, marking a 0.01 percentage points decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.08 points and is 0.65 points lower than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. US 2 Year Treasury Bond Note Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on December of 2025.

Greece Government Bond Yield: Average: 3 Years data was reported at 2.690 % pa in Dec 2017. This records a decrease from the previous number of 2.980 % pa for Nov 2017. Greece Government Bond Yield: Average: 3 Years data is updated monthly, averaging 4.355 % pa from Mar 1999 (Median) to Dec 2017, with 198 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 77.650 % pa in Feb 2012 and a record low of 2.080 % pa in Jul 2014. Greece Government Bond Yield: Average: 3 Years data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Bank of Greece. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Greece – Table GR.M006: Government Bonds Yield: Average.