[update 28/03/24 - This description previously stated that the the field “2001-2020 (recent past) change” was a percentage change. This field is actually the difference, in units of mm/day. The table below has been updated to reflect this.][Updated 28/01/25 to fix an issue in the ‘Lower’ values, which were not fully representing the range of uncertainty. ‘Median’ and ‘Higher’ values remain unchanged. The size of the change varies by grid cell but for the fixed periods which are expressed in mm, the average difference between the 'lower' values before and after this update is 0.04mm. For the fixed periods and global warming levels which are expressed as percentage changes, the average difference between the 'lower' values before and after this update is 4.65%.]What does the data show?

This dataset shows the change in summer precipitation rate for a range of global warming levels, including the recent past (2001-2020), compared to the 1981-2000 baseline period. Here, summer is defined as June-July-August. Note, as the values in this dataset are averaged over a season they do not represent possible extreme conditions.

The dataset uses projections of daily precipitation from UKCP18 which are averaged over the summer period to give values for the 1981-2000 baseline, the recent past (2001-2020) and global warming levels. The warming levels available are 1.5°C, 2.0°C, 2.5°C, 3.0°C and 4.0°C above the pre-industrial (1850-1900) period. The recent past value and global warming level values are stated as a percentage change (%) relative to the 1981-2000 value. This enables users to compare summer precipitation trends for the different periods. In addition to the change values, values for the 1981-2000 baseline (corresponding to 0.51°C warming) and recent past (2001-2020, corresponding to 0.87°C warming) are also provided. This is summarised in the table below.

      Period
      Description


      1981-2000 baseline
      Average value for the period (mm/day)


      2001-2020 (recent past)
      Average value for the period (mm/day)


      2001-2020 (recent past) change
      Change (mm/day) relative to 1981-2000


      1.5°C global warming level change
      Percentage change (%) relative to 1981-2000


      2°C global warming level change
      Percentage change (%) relative to 1981-2000


      2.5°C global warming level change
      Percentage change (%) relative to 1981-2000


      3°C global warming level change
      Percentage change (%) relative to 1981-2000


      4°C global warming level change
      Percentage change (%) relative to 1981-2000

What is a global warming level?

The Summer Precipitation Change is calculated from the UKCP18 regional climate projections using the high emissions scenario (RCP 8.5) where greenhouse gas emissions continue to grow. Instead of considering future climate change during specific time periods (e.g. decades) for this scenario, the dataset is calculated at various levels of global warming relative to the pre-industrial (1850-1900) period. The world has already warmed by around 1.1°C (between 1850–1900 and 2011–2020), whilst this dataset allows for the exploration of greater levels of warming.

The global warming levels available in this dataset are 1.5°C, 2°C, 2.5°C, 3°C and 4°C. The data at each warming level was calculated using a 21 year period. These 21 year periods are calculated by taking 10 years either side of the first year at which the global warming level is reached. This time will be different for different model ensemble members. To calculate the value for the Summer Precipitation Change, an average is taken across the 21 year period.

We cannot provide a precise likelihood for particular emission scenarios being followed in the real world future. However, we do note that RCP8.5 corresponds to emissions considerably above those expected with current international policy agreements. The results are also expressed for several global warming levels because we do not yet know which level will be reached in the real climate as it will depend on future greenhouse emission choices and the sensitivity of the climate system, which is uncertain. Estimates based on the assumption of current international agreements on greenhouse gas emissions suggest a median warming level in the region of 2.4-2.8°C, but it could either be higher or lower than this level.

What are the naming conventions and how do I explore the data?

These data contain a field for each warming level and the 1981-2000 baseline. They are named 'pr summer change', the warming level or baseline, and 'upper' 'median' or 'lower' as per the description below. e.g. 'pr summer change 2.0 median' is the median value for summer for the 2.0°C warming level. Decimal points are included in field aliases but not in field names, e.g. 'pr summer change 2.0 median' is named 'pr_summer_change_20_median'.

To understand how to explore the data, refer to the New Users ESRI Storymap.

Please note, if viewing in ArcGIS Map Viewer, the map will default to ‘pr summer change 2.0°C median’ values.

What do the 'median', 'upper', and 'lower' values mean?

Climate models are numerical representations of the climate system. To capture uncertainty in projections for the future, an ensemble, or group, of climate models are run. Each ensemble member has slightly different starting conditions or model set-ups. Considering all of the model outcomes gives users a range of plausible conditions which could occur in the future.

For this dataset, the model projections consist of 12 separate ensemble members. To select which ensemble members to use, the Summer Precipitation Change was calculated for each ensemble member and they were then ranked in order from lowest to highest for each location.

 The ‘lower’ fields are the second lowest ranked ensemble member. 
 The ‘higher’ fields are the second highest ranked ensemble member. 
 The ‘median’ field is the central value of the ensemble.

This gives a median value, and a spread of the ensemble members indicating the range of possible outcomes in the projections. This spread of outputs can be used to infer the uncertainty in the projections. The larger the difference between the lower and higher fields, the greater the uncertainty.

‘Lower’, ‘median’ and ‘upper’ are also given for the baseline period as these values also come from the model that was used to produce the projections. This allows a fair comparison between the model projections and recent past.

Useful links

 For further information on the UK Climate Projections (UKCP).
 Further information on understanding climate data within the Met Office Climate Data Portal.

The Global Drought Hazard Frequency and Distribution is a 2.5 minute grid based upon the International Research Institute for Climate Prediction's (IRI) Weighted Anomaly of Standardized Precipitation (WASP). Utilizing average monthly precipitation data from 1980 through 2000 at a resolution of 2.5 degrees, WASP assesses the precipitation deficit or surplus over a three month temporal window that is weighted by the magnitude of the seasonal cyclic variation in precipitation. The three months' averages are derived from the precipitation data and the median rainfall for the 21 year period is calculated for each grid cell. Grid cells where the three month running average of precipitation is less than 1 mm per day ae excluded. Drought events are identified when the magnitude of a monthly precipitation deficit is less than or equal to 50 percent of its longterm median value for three or more consecutive months. Grid cells are then divided into 10 classes having an approximately equal number of grid cells. Higher grid cell values denote higher frequencies of drought occurrences. This data set is the result of collaboration among the Columbia University Center for Hazards and Risk Research (CHRR), Columbia University International Research Institute for Climate Prediction (IRI), and Columbia University Center for International Earth Science Information Network (CIESIN).

WorldClim 2.1 provides downscaled estimates of climate variables as monthly means over the period of 1970-2000 based on interpolated station measurements. Here we provide analytical image services of precipitation for each month along with an annual mean. Each time step is accessible from a processing template.Time Extent: Monthly/Annual 1970-2000Units: mm/monthCell Size: 2.5 minutes (~5 km)Source Type: StretchedPixel Type: 16 Bit IntegerData Projection: GCS WGS84Mosaic Projection: GCS WGS84Extent: GlobalSource: WorldClim v2.1Using Processing Templates to Access TimeThere are 13 processing templates applied to this service, each providing access to the 12 monthly and 1 annual mean precipitation layers. To apply these in ArcGIS Online, select the Image Display options on the layer. Then pull down the list of variables from the Renderer options. Click Apply and Close. In ArcGIS Pro, go into the Layer Properties. Select Processing Templates from the left-hand menu. From the Processing Template pull down menu, select the version to display.What can you do with this layer?This layer may be added to maps to visualize and quickly interrogate each pixel value. The pop-up provides a graph of the time series along with the calculated annual mean value.This layer can be used in analysis. For example, the layer may be added to ArcGIS Pro and an area count of precipitation may be produced for a feature dataset using the zonal statistics tool. Statistics may be compared with the statistics from month to month to show seasonal patterns.To calculate precipitation by land area, or any other analysis, be sure to use an equal area projection, such as Albers or Equal Earth.Source Data: The datasets behind this layer were extracted from GeoTIF files produced by WorldClim at 2.5 minutes resolution. The mean of the 12 GeoTIFs was calculated (annual), and the 13 rasters were converted to Cloud Optimized GeoTIFF format and added to a mosaic dataset.Citation: Fick, S.E. and R.J. Hijmans, 2017. WorldClim 2: new 1km spatial resolution climate surfaces for global land areas. International Journal of Climatology 37 (12): 4302-4315.

[update 28/03/24 - This description previously stated that the the field “2001-2020 (recent past) change” was a percentage change. This field is actually the difference, in units of mm/day. The table below has been updated to reflect this.][Updated 28/01/25 to fix an issue in the ‘Lower’ values, which were not fully representing the range of uncertainty. ‘Median’ and ‘Higher’ values remain unchanged. The size of the change varies by grid cell but for the fixed periods which are expressed in mm, the average difference between the 'lower' values before and after this update is 0.04mm. For the fixed periods and global warming levels which are expressed as percentage changes, the average difference between the 'lower' values before and after this update is 3.2%.]What does the data show?

This dataset shows the change in winter precipitation rate for a range of global warming levels, including the recent past (2001-2020), compared to the 1981-2000 baseline period. Here, winter is defined as December-January-February. Note, as the values in this dataset are averaged over a season they do not represent possible extreme conditions.

The dataset uses projections of daily precipitation from UKCP18 which are averaged over the winter period to give values for the 1981-2000 baseline, the recent past (2001-2020) and global warming levels. The warming levels available are 1.5°C, 2.0°C, 2.5°C, 3.0°C and 4.0°C above the pre-industrial (1850-1900) period. The recent past value and global warming level values are stated as a percentage change (%) relative to the 1981-2000 value. This enables users to compare winter precipitation trends for the different periods. In addition to the change values, values for the 1981-2000 baseline (corresponding to 0.51°C warming) and recent past (2001-2020, corresponding to 0.87°C warming) are also provided. This is summarised in the table below.

      Period
      Description


      1981-2000 baseline
      Average value for the period (mm/day)


      2001-2020 (recent past)
      Average value for the period (mm/day)


      2001-2020 (recent past) change
      Change (mm/day) relative to 1981-2000


      1.5°C global warming level change
      Percentage change (%) relative to 1981-2000


      2°C global warming level change
      Percentage change (%) relative to 1981-2000


      2.5°C global warming level change
      Percentage change (%) relative to 1981-2000


      3°C global warming level change
      Percentage change (%) relative to 1981-2000


      4°C global warming level change
      Percentage change (%) relative to 1981-2000

What is a global warming level?

The Winter Precipitation Change is calculated from the UKCP18 regional climate projections using the high emissions scenario (RCP 8.5) where greenhouse gas emissions continue to grow. Instead of considering future climate change during specific time periods (e.g. decades) for this scenario, the dataset is calculated at various levels of global warming relative to the pre-industrial (1850-1900) period. The world has already warmed by around 1.1°C (between 1850–1900 and 2011–2020), whilst this dataset allows for the exploration of greater levels of warming.

The global warming levels available in this dataset are 1.5°C, 2°C, 2.5°C, 3°C and 4°C. The data at each warming level was calculated using a 21 year period. These 21 year periods are calculated by taking 10 years either side of the first year at which the global warming level is reached. This time will be different for different model ensemble members. To calculate the value for the Winter Precipitation Change, an average is taken across the 21 year period.

We cannot provide a precise likelihood for particular emission scenarios being followed in the real world future. However, we do note that RCP8.5 corresponds to emissions considerably above those expected with current international policy agreements. The results are also expressed for several global warming levels because we do not yet know which level will be reached in the real climate as it will depend on future greenhouse emission choices and the sensitivity of the climate system, which is uncertain. Estimates based on the assumption of current international agreements on greenhouse gas emissions suggest a median warming level in the region of 2.4-2.8°C, but it could either be higher or lower than this level.

What are the naming conventions and how do I explore the data?

These data contain a field for each warming level and the 1981-2000 baseline. They are named 'pr winter change', the warming level or baseline, and 'upper' 'median' or 'lower' as per the description below. e.g. 'pr winter change 2.0 median' is the median value for summer for the 2.0°C warming level. Decimal points are included in field aliases but not in field names, e.g. 'pr winter change 2.0 median' is named 'pr_winter_change_20_median'.

To understand how to explore the data, refer to the New Users ESRI Storymap.

Please note, if viewing in ArcGIS Map Viewer, the map will default to ‘pr winter change 2.0°C median’ values.

What do the 'median', 'upper', and 'lower' values mean?

Climate models are numerical representations of the climate system. To capture uncertainty in projections for the future, an ensemble, or group, of climate models are run. Each ensemble member has slightly different starting conditions or model set-ups. Considering all of the model outcomes gives users a range of plausible conditions which could occur in the future.

For this dataset, the model projections consist of 12 separate ensemble members. To select which ensemble members to use, the Summer Precipitation Change was calculated for each ensemble member and they were then ranked in order from lowest to highest for each location.

 The ‘lower’ fields are the second lowest ranked ensemble member. 
 The ‘higher’ fields are the second highest ranked ensemble member. 
 The ‘median’ field is the central value of the ensemble.

This gives a median value, and a spread of the ensemble members indicating the range of possible outcomes in the projections. This spread of outputs can be used to infer the uncertainty in the projections. The larger the difference between the lower and higher fields, the greater the uncertainty.

‘Lower’, ‘median’ and ‘upper’ are also given for the baseline period as these values also come from the model that was used to produce the projections. This allows a fair comparison between the model projections and recent past.

Useful links

 For further information on the UK Climate Projections (UKCP).
 Further information on understanding climate data within the Met Office Climate Data Portal.

The Global Drought Hazard Frequency and Distribution is a 2.5 minute grid based upon the International Research Institute for Climate Prediction's (IRI) Weighted Anomaly of Standardized Precipitation (WASP). Utilizing average monthly precipitation data from 1980 through 2000 at a resolution of 2.5 degrees, WASP assesses the precipitation deficit or surplus over a three month temporal window that is weighted by the magnitude of the seasonal cyclic variation in precipitation. The three months' averages are derived from the precipitation data and the median rainfall for the 21 year period is calculated for each grid cell. Grid cells where the three month running average of precipitation is less than 1 mm per day ae excluded. Drought events are identified when the magnitude of a monthly precipitation deficit is less than or equal to 50 percent of its longterm median value for three or more consecutive months. Grid cells are then divided into 10 classes having an approximately equal number of grid cells. Higher grid cell values denote higher frequencies of drought occurrences. This data set is the result of collaboration among the Columbia University Center for Hazards and Risk Research (CHRR), Columbia University International Research Institute for Climate Prediction (IRI), and Columbia University Center for International Earth Science Information Network (CIESIN).

Gridded climatic datasets with fine spatial resolution can potentially be used to depict the climatic characteristics across the complex topography of China. In this study we collected records of monthly temperature at 1153 stations and precipitation at 1202 stations in China and neighboring countries to construct a monthly climate dataset in China with a 0.025° resolution (~2.5 km). The dataset, named LZU0025, was designed by Lanzhou University and used a partial thin plate smoothing method embedded in the ANUSPLIN software. The accuracy of LZU0025 was evaluated based on three aspects: (1) Diagnostic statistics from the surface fitting model during 1951–2011. The results indicate a low mean square root of generalized cross validation (RTGCV) for the monthly air temperature surface (1.06 °C) and monthly precipitation surface (1.97 mm1/2). (2) Error statistics of comparisons between interpolated monthly LZU0025 with the withholding of climatic data from 265 stations during 1951–2011. The results show that the predicted values closely tracked the real true values with values of mean absolute error (MAE) of 0.59 °C and 70.5 mm, and standard deviation of the mean error (STD) of 1.27 °C and 122.6 mm. In addition, the monthly STDs exhibited a consistent pattern of variation with RTGCV. (3) Comparison with other datasets. This was done in two ways. The first was via comparison of standard deviation, mean and time trend derived from all datasets to a reference dataset released by the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), using Taylor diagrams. The second was to compare LZU0025 with the station dataset in the Tibetan Plateau. Taylor diagrams show that the standard deviation, mean and time trend derived from LZU had a higher correlation with that produced by the CMA, and the centered normalized root-mean-square difference for this index derived from LZU and CMA was lower. LZU0025 had high correlation with the Coordinated Energy and Water Cycle Observation Project (CEOP) - Asian Monsoon Project, (CAMP) Tibet surface meteorology station dataset for air temperature, despite a non-significant correlation for precipitation at a few stations. Based on this comprehensive analysis, we conclude that LZU0025 is a reliable dataset. LZU0025, which has a fine resolution, can be used to identify a greater number of climate types, such as tundra and subpolar continental, along the Himalayan Mountain. We anticipate that LZU0025 can be used for the monitoring of regional climate change and precision agriculture modulation under global climate change.

The monthly air temperature in 1153 stations and precipitation in 1202 stations in China and neighboring countries were collected to construct a monthly climate dataset in China on 0.025 ° resolution (approximately 2.5 km) named LZU0025 dataset designed by Lanzhou University (LZU), using a partial thin plate smoothing method embedded in the ANUSPLIN software. The accuracy of the LZU0025 was evaluated from analyzing three aspects: 1) Diagnostic statistics from surface fitting model in the period of 1951-2011, and results show low mean square root of generalized cross validation (RTGCV) for monthly air temperature surface (1.1 °C) and monthly precipitation surface (2 mm1/2) which interpolated the square root of itself. This indicate exact surface fitting models. 2) Error statistics based on 265 withheld stations data in the period of 1951-2011, and results show that predicted values closely tracked true values with mean absolute error (MAE) of 0.6 °C and 4 mm and standard deviation of mean error (STD) of 1.3 °C and 5 mm, and monthly STDs presented consistent change with RTGCV varying. 3) Comparisons to other datasets through two ways, one was to compare three indices namely the standard deviation, mean and time trend derived from all datasets to referenced dataset released by the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) in the Taylor diagrams, the other was to compare LZU0025 to the Camp Tibet dataset on mountainous remote area. Taylor diagrams displayed the standard deviation derived from LZU had higher correlation with that induced from CMA (Pearson correlation R=0.76 for air temperature case and R=0.96 for precipitation case). The standard deviation for this index derived from LZU was more close to that induced from CMA, and the centered normalized root-mean-square difference for this index derived from LZU and CMA was lower. The same superior performance of LZU were found in comparing indices of the mean and time trend derived from LZU and those induced from other datasets. LZU0025 had high correlation with the Camp dataset for air temperature despite of insignificant correlation for precipitation in few stations. Based on above comprehensive analyses, LZU0025 was concluded as the reliable dataset.

WorldClim 2.1 provides downscaled estimates of climate and bioclimate variables as monthly means over the period of 1970-2000 based on interpolated station measurements. Each of the 19 bioclimate variables are provided in this layer and can be accessed from the Multidimensional Filter. Detailed descriptions of each bioclimate variable and how they're calculated are described in this publication from the USGS. This layer can be used to compare future estimates of bioclimate variables based on CMIP6 climate models, also provided by WorldClim. Time Extent: Annual 1970-2000Units: mm, deg C, %Cell Size: 2.5 minutes (~5 km)Source Type: StretchedPixel Type: 16 Bit IntegerData Projection: GCS WGS84Mosaic Projection: GCS WGS84Extent: GlobalSource: WorldClim v2.1VariablesBIO1 Annual Mean Temperature 10 Degrees Celsius BIO2 Mean Diurnal Range (Mean of monthly (max temp - min temp))BIO3 Isothermality (BIO2/BIO7) BIO4 Temperature Seasonality (Standard Deviation)BIO5 Max Temperature of Warmest Month BIO6 Min Temperature of Coldest Month BIO7 Temperature Annual Range (BIO5-BIO6) BIO8 Mean Temperature of Wettest Quarter BIO9 Mean Temperature of Driest Quarter BIO10 Mean Temperature of Warmest Quarter BIO11 Mean Temperature of Coldest Quarter BIO12 Annual Precipitation BIO13 Precipitation of Wettest Month BIO14 Precipitation of Driest Month BIO15 Precipitation Seasonality (Coefficient of Variation) BIO16 Precipitation of Wettest Quarter BIO17 Precipitation of Driest Quarter BIO18 Precipitation of Warmest Quarter BIO19 Precipitation of Coldest Quarter What can you do with this layer?This layer may be added to maps to visualize and quickly interrogate each pixel value. This layer can be used in analysis. For example, the layer may be added to ArcGIS Pro and an area count of precipitation may be produced for a feature dataset using the zonal statistics tool. To calculate precipitation by land area, or any other analysis, be sure to use an equal area projection, such as Albers or Equal Earth.Citation: Fick, S.E. and R.J. Hijmans, 2017. WorldClim 2: new 1km spatial resolution climate surfaces for global land areas. International Journal of Climatology 37 (12): 4302-4315.

This service is available to all ArcGIS Online users with organizational accounts. For more information on this service, including the terms of use, visit us online at https://goto.arcgisonline.com/earthobs3/Mean_Precipitation_WorldClimWorldClim 2.1 provides downscaled estimates of climate variables as monthly means over the period of 1970-2000 based on interpolated station measurements. Here we provide analytical image services of precipitation for each month along with an annual mean. Each time step is accessible from a processing template.Time Extent: Monthly/Annual 1970-2000Units: mm/monthCell Size: 2.5 minutes (~5 km)Source Type: StretchedPixel Type: 16 Bit IntegerData Projection: GCS WGS84Mosaic Projection: GCS WGS84Extent: GlobalSource: WorldClim v2.1Using Processing Templates to Access TimeThere are 13 processing templates applied to this service, each providing access to the 12 monthly and 1 annual mean precipitation layers. To apply these in ArcGIS Online, select the Image Display options on the layer. Then pull down the list of variables from the Renderer options. Click Apply and Close. In ArcGIS Pro, go into the Layer Properties. Select Processing Templates from the left-hand menu. From the Processing Template pull down menu, select the version to display.What can you do with this layer?This layer may be added to maps to visualize and quickly interrogate each pixel value. The pop-up provides a graph of the time series along with the calculated annual mean value.This layer can be used in analysis. For example, the layer may be added to ArcGIS Pro and an area count of precipitation may be produced for a feature dataset using the zonal statistics tool. Statistics may be compared with the statistics from month to month to show seasonal patterns.To calculate precipitation by land area, or any other analysis, be sure to use an equal area projection, such as Albers or Equal Earth.Source Data: The datasets behind this layer were extracted from GeoTIF files produced by WorldClim at 2.5 minutes resolution. The mean of the 12 GeoTIFs was calculated (annual), and the 13 rasters were converted to Cloud Optimized GeoTIFF format and added to a mosaic dataset.Citation: Fick, S.E. and R.J. Hijmans, 2017. WorldClim 2: new 1km spatial resolution climate surfaces for global land areas. International Journal of Climatology 37 (12): 4302-4315.

Beta Notice: This item is currently in beta and is intended for early access, testing, and feedback. It is not recommended for production use, as functionality and content are subject to change without notice.WorldClim 2.1 provides downscaled estimates of climate and bioclimate variables as monthly means over the period of 1970-2000 based on interpolated station measurements. Each of the 19 bioclimate variables are provided in this layer and can be accessed from the Multidimensional Filter. Detailed descriptions of each bioclimate variable and how they're calculated are described in this publication from the USGS. This layer can be used to compare future estimates of bioclimate variables based on CMIP6 climate models, also provided by WorldClim. Time Extent: Annual 1970-2000Units: mm, deg C, %Cell Size: 2.5 minutes (~5 km)Source Type: StretchedPixel Type: 16 Bit IntegerData Projection: GCS WGS84Mosaic Projection: GCS WGS84Extent: GlobalSource: WorldClim v2.1VariablesBIO1 Annual Mean Temperature 10 Degrees Celsius BIO2 Mean Diurnal Range (Mean of monthly (max temp - min temp))BIO3 Isothermality (BIO2/BIO7) BIO4 Temperature Seasonality (Standard Deviation)BIO5 Max Temperature of Warmest Month BIO6 Min Temperature of Coldest Month BIO7 Temperature Annual Range (BIO5-BIO6) BIO8 Mean Temperature of Wettest Quarter BIO9 Mean Temperature of Driest Quarter BIO10 Mean Temperature of Warmest Quarter BIO11 Mean Temperature of Coldest Quarter BIO12 Annual Precipitation BIO13 Precipitation of Wettest Month BIO14 Precipitation of Driest Month BIO15 Precipitation Seasonality (Coefficient of Variation) BIO16 Precipitation of Wettest Quarter BIO17 Precipitation of Driest Quarter BIO18 Precipitation of Warmest Quarter BIO19 Precipitation of Coldest Quarter What can you do with this layer? This layer may be added to maps to visualize and quickly interrogate each pixel value. This layer can be used in analysis. For example, the layer may be added to ArcGIS Pro and an area count of precipitation may be produced for a feature dataset using the zonal statistics tool. To calculate precipitation by land area, or any other analysis, be sure to use an equal area projection, such as Albers or Equal Earth. Citation: Fick, S.E. and R.J. Hijmans, 2017. WorldClim 2: new 1km spatial resolution climate surfaces for global land areas. International Journal of Climatology 37 (12): 4302-4315.