An index that can be used to gauge broad financial conditions and assess how these conditions are related to future economic growth. The index is broadly consistent with how the FRB/US model generally relates key financial variables to economic activity. The index aggregates changes in seven financial variables: the federal funds rate, the 10-year Treasury yield, the 30-year fixed mortgage rate, the triple-B corporate bond yield, the Dow Jones total stock market index, the Zillow house price index, and the nominal broad dollar index using weights implied by the FRB/US model and other models in use at the Federal Reserve Board. These models relate households' spending and businesses' investment decisions to changes in short- and long-term interest rates, house and equity prices, and the exchange value of the dollar, among other factors. These financial variables are weighted using impulse response coefficients (dynamic multipliers) that quantify the cumulative effects of unanticipated permanent changes in each financial variable on real gross domestic product (GDP) growth over the subsequent year. The resulting index is named Financial Conditions Impulse on Growth (FCI-G). One appealing feature of the FCI-G is that its movements can be used to measure whether financial conditions have tightened or loosened, to summarize how changes in financial conditions are associated with real GDP growth over the following year, or both.

United States Underlying Inflation Gauge: Full Data Set Measure data was reported at 2.874 % in Sep 2023. This records a decrease from the previous number of 3.032 % for Aug 2023. United States Underlying Inflation Gauge: Full Data Set Measure data is updated monthly, averaging 2.162 % from Jan 1995 (Median) to Sep 2023, with 345 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 6.318 % in Jun 2022 and a record low of -0.648 % in Sep 2009. United States Underlying Inflation Gauge: Full Data Set Measure data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Bank of New York. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.I: Underlying Inflation Gauge (Discontinued).

The Index of Common Inflation Expectations (CIE) pulls together a variety of measures that look at the inflation expectations of economic agents. Data dimensions include the type of economic agent, the horizon of the expectation, the source of data (survey versus market-based measures), and the associated inflation concept. CIE is constructed using 21 inflation expectation indicators derived from households, firms, professional forecasters, and financial market participants. Both 'short horizon' (forecasts for the year ahead) and 'long horizon' (forecasts for a period over the next 5-10 years) inflation expectations are included. The quarterly index began in September 2020 and includes data from 1999 to present.

Chicago Fed National Activity Index in the United States increased to -0.12 points in August from -0.28 points in July of 2025. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United States Chicago Fed National Activity Index - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

View data of PCE, an index that measures monthly changes in the price of consumer goods and services as a means of analyzing inflation.

Content

The STLFSI measures the degree of financial stress in the markets and is constructed from 18 weekly data series: seven interest rate series, six yield spreads and five other indicators. Each of these variables captures some aspect of financial stress. Accordingly, as the level of financial stress in the economy changes, the data series are likely to move together.

How to Interpret the Index: The average value of the index, which begins in late 1993, is designed to be zero. Thus, zero is viewed as representing normal financial market conditions. Values below zero suggest below-average financial market stress, while values above zero suggest above-average financial market stress.

More information: For additional information on the STLFSI and its construction, see "Measuring Financial Market Stress" (https://files.stlouisfed.org/research/publications/es/10/ES1002.pdf) and the related appendix (https://files.stlouisfed.org/files/htdocs/publications/net/NETJan2010Appendix.pdf).

See this list (https://www.stlouisfed.org/news-releases/st-louis-fed-financial-stress-index/stlfsi-key) of the components that are used to construct the STLFSI.

As of 07/15/2010 the Vanguard Financial Exchange-Traded Fund series has been replaced with the S&P 500 Financials Index. This change was made to facilitate a more timely and automated updating of the FSI. Switching from the Vanguard series to the S&P series produced no meaningful change in the index.

Copyright, 2016, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.

Context

This is a dataset from the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis hosted by the Federal Reserve Economic Database (FRED). FRED has a data platform found here and they update their information according to the frequency that the data updates. Explore the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis using Kaggle and all of the data sources available through the St. Louis Fed organization page!

• Update Frequency: This dataset is updated daily.

• Observation Start: 1993-12-31

• Observation End : 2019-11-29

Acknowledgements

This dataset is maintained using FRED's API and Kaggle's API.

Cover photo by Laura Lefurgey-Smith on Unsplash
Unsplash Images are distributed under a unique Unsplash License.

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