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Graph and download economic data for Noncyclical Rate of Unemployment (NROU) from Q1 1949 to Q4 2035 about NAIRU, long-term, projection, unemployment, rate, and USA.
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United States CBO Projection: Natural Rate of Unemployment data was reported at 4.553 NA in Dec 2028. This records a decrease from the previous number of 4.554 NA for Sep 2028. United States CBO Projection: Natural Rate of Unemployment data is updated quarterly, averaging 4.800 NA from Sep 2002 (Median) to Dec 2028, with 106 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 6.000 NA in Dec 2012 and a record low of 4.553 NA in Dec 2028. United States CBO Projection: Natural Rate of Unemployment data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Congressional Budget Office. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.G019: Current Population Survey: Unemployment Rate: Projection: Congressional Budget Office.
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United States - Natural Rate of Unemployment (Short-Term) (DISCONTINUED) was 4.27% in October of 2031, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, United States - Natural Rate of Unemployment (Short-Term) (DISCONTINUED) reached a record high of 6.24 in April of 1978 and a record low of 4.27 in October of 2031. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for United States - Natural Rate of Unemployment (Short-Term) (DISCONTINUED) - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on September of 2025.
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Graph and download economic data for Natural Rate of Unemployment (Short-Term) (DISCONTINUED) (NROUST) from Q1 1949 to Q4 2031 about NAIRU, short-term, projection, unemployment, rate, and USA.
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United States - Noncyclical Rate of Unemployment was 4.11% in October of 2035, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, United States - Noncyclical Rate of Unemployment reached a record high of 6.24 in April of 1978 and a record low of 4.11 in October of 2035. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for United States - Noncyclical Rate of Unemployment - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on September of 2025.
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United States FRBOP Forecast: Ann Natural Rate of Unemployment: sa: Mean data was reported at 4.410 % in 2017. This records a decrease from the previous number of 4.841 % for 2016. United States FRBOP Forecast: Ann Natural Rate of Unemployment: sa: Mean data is updated yearly, averaging 5.013 % from Dec 1996 (Median) to 2017, with 22 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 5.927 % in 2012 and a record low of 4.410 % in 2017. United States FRBOP Forecast: Ann Natural Rate of Unemployment: sa: Mean data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.G022: Current Population Survey: Unemployment Rate: Seasonally Adjusted: Forecast: Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
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Unemployment Rate in China increased to 5.20 percent in July from 5 percent in June of 2025. This dataset provides - China Unemployment Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.
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Unemployment Rate in Japan decreased to 2.30 percent in July from 2.50 percent in June of 2025. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - Japan Unemployment Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.
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United States Unemployment Rate: Natural Resources, Construction & Maintenance data was reported at 4.800 % in Jun 2018. This records an increase from the previous number of 4.600 % for May 2018. United States Unemployment Rate: Natural Resources, Construction & Maintenance data is updated monthly, averaging 7.500 % from Jan 2000 (Median) to Jun 2018, with 222 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 20.800 % in Feb 2010 and a record low of 4.000 % in Jul 2000. United States Unemployment Rate: Natural Resources, Construction & Maintenance data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Bureau of Labor Statistics. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.G018: Current Population Survey: Unemployment Rate.
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Graph and download economic data for Unemployment Rate - Natural Resources, Construction, and Maintenance Occupations (LNU04032222) from Jan 2000 to Aug 2025 about natural resources, occupation, 16 years +, construction, household survey, unemployment, rate, and USA.
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Abstract (en): Estimates of the natural rate of unemployment are important in many macroeconomic models used by economists and policy advisors. This paper shows how such estimates might benefit from closer attention to regional developments. Regional business cycles do not move in lock-step, and greater dispersion among regions can affect estimates of the natural rate of unemployment. There is microeconomic evidence that employers are more reluctant to cut wages than they are to raise them. Accordingly, the relationship between wage inflation and vacancies is convex: An increase in vacancies raises wage inflation at an increasing rate. The authors' empirical results are consistent with this and indicate that if all else had remained constant, the reduction in the dispersion of regional unemployment rates between 1982 and 2000 would have meant a two-percentage-point drop in the natural rate of aggregate unemployment. Files submitted are data file 0401hwd.xls and the program file 0401hwp.txt. These data are part of ICPSR's Publication-Related Archive and are distributed exactly as they arrived from the data depositor. ICPSR has not checked or processed this material. Users should consult the investigator(s) if further information is desired.
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Unemployment Rate in Canada increased to 7.10 percent in August from 6.90 percent in July of 2025. This dataset provides - Canada Unemployment Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.
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Graph and download economic data for Unemployment Rate - Native Born (LNU04073413) from Jan 2007 to Jul 2025 about native born, 16 years +, household survey, unemployment, rate, and USA.
Unemployment rate, participation rate, and employment rate by educational attainment, gender and age group, annual.
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Unemployment Rate in Denmark remained unchanged at 2.60 percent in July. This dataset provides - Denmark Unemployment Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.
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Unemployment Rate in France remained unchanged at 7.50 percent in the second quarter of 2025 from 7.50 percent in the first quarter of 2025. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - France Unemployment Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.
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Unemployment Rate in Argentina increased to 7.90 percent in the first quarter of 2025 from 6.40 percent in the fourth quarter of 2024. This dataset provides - Argentina Unemployment Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.
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Graph and download economic data for Unemployment Rate in FRB-Philadelphia District (DISCONTINUED) (D3URN) from Jan 1990 to Nov 2015 about FRB PHI District, unemployment, rate, and USA.
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Unemployment Rate in Russia remained unchanged at 2.20 percent in July. This dataset provides - Russia Unemployment Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.
The unemployment rate of the United Kingdom was 4.7 percent in June 2025, unchanged from the previous month. Before the arrival of the COVID-19 pandemic, the UK had relatively low levels of unemployment, comparable with the mid-1970s. Between January 2000 and the most recent month, unemployment was highest in November 2011, when the unemployment rate hit 8.5 percent.
Will unemployment continue to rise in 2025?
Although low by historic standards, there has been a noticeable uptick in the UK's unemployment rate, with other labor market indicators also pointing to further loosening. In December 2024, the number of job vacancies in the UK fell to its lowest level since May 2021, while payrolled employment declined by 47,000 compared with November. Whether this is a continuation of a broader cooling of the labor market since 2022 or a reaction to more recent economic developments, such as upcoming tax rises for employers, remains to be seen. Forecasts made in late 2024 suggest that the unemployment rate will remain relatively stable in 2025, averaging out at 4.1 percent and falling again to four percent in 2026.
Demographics of the unemployed
As of the third quarter of 2024, the unemployment rate for men was slightly higher than that of women, at 4.4 percent, compared to 4.1 percent. During the financial crisis at the end of the 2000s, the unemployment rate for women peaked at a quarterly rate of 7.7 percent, whereas for men, the rate was 9.1 percent. Unemployment is also heavily associated with age, and young people in general are far more vulnerable to unemployment than older age groups. In late 2011, for example, the unemployment rate for those aged between 16 and 24 reached 22.3 percent, compared with 8.2 percent for people aged 25 to 34, while older age groups had even lower peaks during this time.
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Graph and download economic data for Noncyclical Rate of Unemployment (NROU) from Q1 1949 to Q4 2035 about NAIRU, long-term, projection, unemployment, rate, and USA.