U.S. monthly projected recession probability 2020-2025
- statista.com
Updated Jan 3, 2025
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EmailClick to copy linkLink copiedCiteStatista (2025). U.S. monthly projected recession probability 2020-2025 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1239080/us-monthly-projected-recession-probability/Dataset updatedJan 3, 2025Time period coveredNov 2020 - Nov 2025Area coveredUnited StatesDescriptionBy November 2025, it is projected that there is a probability of 33.56 percent that the United States will fall into another economic recession. This reflects a significant decrease from the projection of the preceding month.
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United States Recession Probability
- ceicdata.com
Updated Mar 15, 2019ShareFacebookTwitterEmailClick to copy linkLink copiedCiteCEICdata.com (2019). United States Recession Probability [Dataset]. https://www.ceicdata.com/en/united-states/recession-probability/recession-probabilityDataset updatedMar 15, 2019Dataset provided byCEICdata.comLicenseAttribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
License information was derived automaticallyTime period coveredApr 1, 2018 - Mar 1, 2019Area coveredUnited StatesDescriptionUnited States Recession Probability data was reported at 14.120 % in Oct 2019. This records a decrease from the previous number of 14.505 % for Sep 2019. United States Recession Probability data is updated monthly, averaging 7.668 % from Jan 1960 (Median) to Oct 2019, with 718 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 95.405 % in Dec 1981 and a record low of 0.080 % in Sep 1983. United States Recession Probability data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Bank of New York. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.S021: Recession Probability.
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United States Recession Prob: Yield Curve: Spread
- ceicdata.com
ShareFacebookTwitterEmailClick to copy linkLink copiedCiteCEICdata.com, United States Recession Prob: Yield Curve: Spread [Dataset]. https://www.ceicdata.com/en/united-states/recession-probability/recession-prob-yield-curve-spreadDataset provided byCEICdata.comLicenseAttribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
License information was derived automaticallyTime period coveredApr 1, 2017 - Mar 1, 2018Area coveredUnited StatesDescriptionUnited States Recession Prob: Yield Curve: Spread data was reported at 0.856 % in Oct 2018. This records an increase from the previous number of 0.829 % for Sep 2018. United States Recession Prob: Yield Curve: Spread data is updated monthly, averaging 1.413 % from Jan 1959 (Median) to Oct 2018, with 718 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 4.146 % in Sep 1982 and a record low of -3.505 % in Dec 1980. United States Recession Prob: Yield Curve: Spread data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Bank of New York. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.S021: Recession Probability.
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OECD based Recession Indicators for India from the Period following the Peak...
- fred.stlouisfed.org
jsonUpdated Dec 9, 2022+ more versionsShareFacebookTwitterEmailClick to copy linkLink copiedCite(2022). OECD based Recession Indicators for India from the Period following the Peak through the Trough [Dataset]. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/INDRECjsonAvailable download formatsDataset updatedDec 9, 2022Licensehttps://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-citation-requiredhttps://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-citation-required
Area coveredIndiaDescriptionGraph and download economic data for OECD based Recession Indicators for India from the Period following the Peak through the Trough (INDREC) from May 1996 to Sep 2022 about peak, trough, recession indicators, and India.
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County fixed-effects regression estimates for the relationship between...
- plos.figshare.com
- figshare.com
xlsUpdated Jun 2, 2023ShareFacebookTwitterEmailClick to copy linkLink copiedCiteVanessa M. Oddo; Jessica C. Jones-Smith (2023). County fixed-effects regression estimates for the relationship between unemployment rate and secondary outcomes, 2008–2011. [Dataset]. http://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0233734.t004xlsAvailable download formatsUnique identifierhttps://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0233734.t004Dataset updatedJun 2, 2023Dataset provided byPLOS ONEAuthorsVanessa M. Oddo; Jessica C. Jones-SmithLicenseAttribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
License information was derived automaticallyDescriptionCounty fixed-effects regression estimates for the relationship between unemployment rate and secondary outcomes, 2008–2011.
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Description of nonbeneficiaries (non-BFP) and beneficiaries of the BFP in...
- figshare.com
- plos.figshare.com
xlsUpdated May 31, 2023ShareFacebookTwitterEmailClick to copy linkLink copiedCiteDaiane Borges Machado; Elizabeth Williamson; Julia M. Pescarini; Flavia J. O. Alves; Luís F. S. Castro-de-Araujo; Maria Yury Ichihara; Laura C. Rodrigues; Ricardo Araya; Vikram Patel; Maurício L. Barreto (2023). Description of nonbeneficiaries (non-BFP) and beneficiaries of the BFP in the original and matched cohorts from 2004 to 2015. [Dataset]. http://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1004000.t001xlsAvailable download formatsUnique identifierhttps://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1004000.t001Dataset updatedMay 31, 2023Dataset provided byPLOS MedicineAuthorsDaiane Borges Machado; Elizabeth Williamson; Julia M. Pescarini; Flavia J. O. Alves; Luís F. S. Castro-de-Araujo; Maria Yury Ichihara; Laura C. Rodrigues; Ricardo Araya; Vikram Patel; Maurício L. BarretoLicenseAttribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
License information was derived automaticallyDescriptionDescription of nonbeneficiaries (non-BFP) and beneficiaries of the BFP in the original and matched cohorts from 2004 to 2015.
Suicide IRR for BFP participation in the matched and original cohorts from...
- plos.figshare.com
xlsUpdated Jun 3, 2023+ more versionsShareFacebookTwitterEmailClick to copy linkLink copiedCiteDaiane Borges Machado; Elizabeth Williamson; Julia M. Pescarini; Flavia J. O. Alves; Luís F. S. Castro-de-Araujo; Maria Yury Ichihara; Laura C. Rodrigues; Ricardo Araya; Vikram Patel; Maurício L. Barreto (2023). Suicide IRR for BFP participation in the matched and original cohorts from 2004–2015. [Dataset]. http://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1004000.t003xlsAvailable download formatsUnique identifierhttps://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1004000.t003Dataset updatedJun 3, 2023AuthorsDaiane Borges Machado; Elizabeth Williamson; Julia M. Pescarini; Flavia J. O. Alves; Luís F. S. Castro-de-Araujo; Maria Yury Ichihara; Laura C. Rodrigues; Ricardo Araya; Vikram Patel; Maurício L. BarretoLicenseAttribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
License information was derived automaticallyDescriptionSuicide IRR for BFP participation in the matched and original cohorts from 2004–2015.
Incidence of suicide rate for BFP participation, overall, by sex and age...
- plos.figshare.com
xlsUpdated May 31, 2023ShareFacebookTwitterEmailClick to copy linkLink copiedCiteDaiane Borges Machado; Elizabeth Williamson; Julia M. Pescarini; Flavia J. O. Alves; Luís F. S. Castro-de-Araujo; Maria Yury Ichihara; Laura C. Rodrigues; Ricardo Araya; Vikram Patel; Maurício L. Barreto (2023). Incidence of suicide rate for BFP participation, overall, by sex and age group, in the original and matched cohorts from 2004–2015. [Dataset]. http://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1004000.t002xlsAvailable download formatsUnique identifierhttps://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1004000.t002Dataset updatedMay 31, 2023AuthorsDaiane Borges Machado; Elizabeth Williamson; Julia M. Pescarini; Flavia J. O. Alves; Luís F. S. Castro-de-Araujo; Maria Yury Ichihara; Laura C. Rodrigues; Ricardo Araya; Vikram Patel; Maurício L. BarretoLicenseAttribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
License information was derived automaticallyDescriptionIncidence of suicide rate for BFP participation, overall, by sex and age group, in the original and matched cohorts from 2004–2015.
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ATT of suicide for BFP participation in the original cohort from 2004–2015.
- plos.figshare.com
xlsUpdated May 31, 2023ShareFacebookTwitterEmailClick to copy linkLink copiedCiteDaiane Borges Machado; Elizabeth Williamson; Julia M. Pescarini; Flavia J. O. Alves; Luís F. S. Castro-de-Araujo; Maria Yury Ichihara; Laura C. Rodrigues; Ricardo Araya; Vikram Patel; Maurício L. Barreto (2023). ATT of suicide for BFP participation in the original cohort from 2004–2015. [Dataset]. http://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1004000.t005xlsAvailable download formatsUnique identifierhttps://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1004000.t005Dataset updatedMay 31, 2023Dataset provided byPLOS MedicineAuthorsDaiane Borges Machado; Elizabeth Williamson; Julia M. Pescarini; Flavia J. O. Alves; Luís F. S. Castro-de-Araujo; Maria Yury Ichihara; Laura C. Rodrigues; Ricardo Araya; Vikram Patel; Maurício L. BarretoLicenseAttribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
License information was derived automaticallyDescriptionATT of suicide for BFP participation in the original cohort from 2004–2015.
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Results from the Cox’s regression model: HRs of the association between...
- plos.figshare.com
- figshare.com
xlsUpdated Jun 4, 2023+ more versionsShareFacebookTwitterEmailClick to copy linkLink copiedCiteLaura Cacciani; Anna Maria Bargagli; Giulia Cesaroni; Francesco Forastiere; Nera Agabiti; Marina Davoli (2023). Results from the Cox’s regression model: HRs of the association between education and cause specific mortality of residents in Rome, stratified by age group at inclusion and adjusted for birthplace. [Dataset]. http://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0137576.t004xlsAvailable download formatsUnique identifierhttps://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0137576.t004Dataset updatedJun 4, 2023Dataset provided byPLOS ONEAuthorsLaura Cacciani; Anna Maria Bargagli; Giulia Cesaroni; Francesco Forastiere; Nera Agabiti; Marina DavoliLicenseAttribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
License information was derived automaticallyArea coveredRomeDescriptionEstimate based on 36 cases.¶ Estimate based on 71 cases.Females, 2001–2012.
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FacebookTwitterEmailBy November 2025, it is projected that there is a probability of 33.56 percent that the United States will fall into another economic recession. This reflects a significant decrease from the projection of the preceding month.