U.S. monthly projected recession probability 2021-2026
- statista.com
Updated Jun 24, 2025
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EmailClick to copy linkLink copiedCiteStatista (2025). U.S. monthly projected recession probability 2021-2026 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1239080/us-monthly-projected-recession-probability/Dataset updatedJun 24, 2025Time period coveredApr 2021 - Apr 2026Area coveredUnited StatesDescriptionBy April 2026, it is projected that there is a probability of ***** percent that the United States will fall into another economic recession. This reflects a significant decrease from the projection of the preceding month.
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NBER based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Period...
- fred.stlouisfed.org
jsonUpdated Jul 1, 2025+ more versionsShareFacebookTwitterEmailClick to copy linkLink copiedCite(2025). NBER based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Period following the Peak through the Trough [Dataset]. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/USRECjsonAvailable download formatsDataset updatedJul 1, 2025Licensehttps://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-citation-requiredhttps://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-citation-required
Area coveredUnited StatesDescriptionGraph and download economic data for NBER based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Period following the Peak through the Trough (USREC) from Dec 1854 to Jun 2025 about peak, trough, recession indicators, and USA.
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FacebookTwitterEmailBy April 2026, it is projected that there is a probability of ***** percent that the United States will fall into another economic recession. This reflects a significant decrease from the projection of the preceding month.