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Context

The Turkish Lira is losing its value against U.S. Dollar constantly. As of October 22, 2021, 1 USD = 9.61 Turkish Lira (TRY). On the other hand, interest rates are quite high, especially for the Turkish Lira.

I set out to investigate if I had $100000 in 2010 and invested this money in different interest rates in both Turkish Lira (TRY) and US Dollar (USD), which investment would bring more gain in 2021.

Content

The data has been gathered from Türkiye Cumhuriyeti Merkez Bankasi (TCMB), aka the Turkish FED, website. The data shows the historical interest rates as well as USD/TRY conversion rates between July 2010 and July 2021. The original data’s all column names and relative explanations were Turkish, so the columns are renamed and the data is cleaned.

There are ten cleaned columns on the dataset: Date, 1-month TRY interest rates, 3 months TRY interest rates, 6 months TRY interest rates, 1-year TRY interest rates, 1 month USD interest rates, 3 months USD interest rates, 6 months USD interest rates, 1 year USD interest rates, USD/TRY Buying Conversion Rate, USD/TRY Selling Conversion Rate.

** USD Buying means, the customer is selling USD to the bank/ exchange office ** USD Selling means, the customer is buying USD to the bank/ exchange office

Inspiration

Would it be more beneficial if I converted my $100000 in July 2010 to Turkish Lira, which is the equivalent of 153631.36 TRY using July 2010’s rates and invested with Turkish high-interest rates or kept my money as U.S. Dollars and invested with relatively lower U.S. Dollar interest rates until July 2021? $100000 is equivalent to 861294.12 TRY in July 2021.

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