The benchmark interest rate in the United States was last recorded at 4.50 percent. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United States Fed Funds Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

The Average Interest Rates on U.S. Treasury Securities dataset provides average interest rates on U.S. Treasury securities on a monthly basis. Its primary purpose is to show the average interest rate on a variety of marketable and non-marketable Treasury securities. Marketable securities consist of Treasury Bills, Notes, Bonds, Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS), Floating Rate Notes (FRNs), and Federal Financing Bank (FFB) securities. Non-marketable securities consist of Domestic Series, Foreign Series, State and Local Government Series (SLGS), U.S. Savings Securities, and Government Account Series (GAS) securities. Marketable securities are negotiable and transferable and may be sold on the secondary market. Non-marketable securities are not negotiable or transferrable and are not sold on the secondary market. This is a useful dataset for investors and bond holders to compare how interest rates on Treasury securities have changed over time.

30 Year Mortgage Rate in the United States decreased to 6.67 percent in July 3 from 6.77 percent in the previous week. This dataset includes a chart with historical data for the United States 30 Year Mortgage Rate.

****Dataset Overview**** This dataset contains historical macroeconomic data, featuring key economic indicators in the United States. It includes important metrics such as the Consumer Price Index (CPI), Retail Sales, Unemployment Rate, Industrial Production, Money Supply (M2), and more. The dataset spans from 1993 to the present and includes monthly data on various economic indicators, processed to show their rate of change (either percentage or absolute difference, depending on the indicator).

provenance

The data in this dataset is sourced from the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database, hosted by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. FRED provides access to a wide range of economic data, including key macroeconomic indicators for the United States. My work involved calculating the rate of change (ROC) for each indicator and reorganizing the data into a more usable format for analysis. For more information and access to the full database, visit FRED's website.

Purpose and Use for the Kaggle Community:

This dataset is a valuable resource for data scientists, economists, and analysts interested in understanding macroeconomic trends, performing time series analysis, or building predictive models. With the rate of change included, users can quickly assess the growth or contraction in these indicators month-over-month. This dataset can be used for:

• Exploratory Data Analysis (EDA): Understanding historical economic trends. -Time Series Forecasting: Building models to predict future economic conditions. -Macroeconomic Analysis: Analyzing the relationship between various economic indicators. -Machine Learning Projects: Using the data as features to predict financial or economic outcomes. -By utilizing this dataset, users can perform in-depth analysis on the impact of macroeconomic changes, compare the historical performance of various indicators, and experiment with different time series forecasting techniques.

****Column Descriptions****

Year: The year of the observation.

Month: The month of the observation (1-12).

Industrial Production: Monthly data on the total output of US factories, mines, and utilities.

Manufacturers' New Orders: Durable Goods: Measures the value of new orders placed with manufacturers for durable goods, indicating future production activity.

Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL): A measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services.

Unemployment Rate: The percentage of the total labor force that is unemployed but actively seeking employment.

Retail Sales: The total receipts of retail stores, indicating consumer spending and economic activity.

Producer Price Index: Measures the average change over time in the selling prices received by domestic producers for their output.

Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE): A measure of the prices paid by consumers for goods and services, used in calculating inflation.

National Home Price Index: A measure of changes in residential real estate prices across the country.

All Employees, Total Nonfarm: The number of nonfarm payroll employees, an important indicator of the labor market.

Labor Force Participation Rate: The percentage of the working-age population that is either employed or actively looking for work.

Federal Funds Effective Rate: The interest rate at which depository institutions lend reserve balances to other depository institutions overnight.

Building Permits: The number of building permits issued for residential and non-residential buildings, a leading indicator of construction activity.

Money Supply (M2): The total money supply, including cash, checking deposits, and easily convertible near money.

Personal Income: The total income received by individuals from all sources, including wages, investments, and government transfers.

Trade Balance: The difference between a country's imports and exports, indicating the net trade flow.

Consumer Sentiment: The index reflecting consumer sentiment and expectations for the future economic outlook.

Consumer Confidence: A measure of how optimistic or pessimistic consumers are regarding their expected financial situation and the economy.

Notes on Interest Rates Please note that for the Federal Funds Effective Rate (FEDFUNDS), the dataset includes the absolute change in basis points (bps), not the rate of change. This means that the dataset reflects the direct change in the interest rate rather than the percentage change month-over-month. The change is represented in basis points, where 1 basis point equals 0.01%.

Real interest rates refer to the nominal interest rate adjusted for inflation, and are an important economic indicator that can have significant impacts on investment, savings, and overall economic growth. Real interest rates can affect the demand for goods and services, investment decisions, and borrowing costs, among other things.

The real interest rates per country dataset provides a comprehensive overview of the real interest rates of each country. The dataset includes information on the real interest rates, covering all countries in the world. It is compiled from various sources, including national central banks, international financial institutions such as the International Monetary Fund (IMF), and other relevant data sources.

The real interest rates per country dataset can be used by researchers, policymakers, and investors to gain insight into the economic conditions of different countries and to compare the relative levels of real interest rates across the world. It can also be used to monitor changes in real interest rates over time and to evaluate the effectiveness of monetary policies and strategies.

Overall, the real interest rates per country dataset is an important resource for understanding the economic conditions of different countries and for developing policies and strategies that promote sustainable economic growth and stability.

The benchmark interest rate in Japan was last recorded at 0.50 percent. This dataset provides - Japan Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

Source: From lending institutions and local authorities The loan payments dataset stops in 2007. The figures on fixed interest rate mortgages relate to mortgages which provide that the rate of interest may not be changed, or may only be changed at intervals of not less than one year. The most current data is published on these sheets. Previously published data may be subject to revision. Any change from the originally published data will be highlighted by a comment on the cell in question. These comments will be maintained for at least a year after the date of the value change.

Source: From lending institutions and local authorities The loan payments dataset stops in 2007. The figures on fixed interest rate mortgages relate to mortgages which provide that the rate of interest may not be changed, or may only be changed at intervals of not less than one year. The most current data is published on these sheets. Previously published data may be subject to revision. Any change from the originally published data will be highlighted by a comment on the cell in question. These comments will be maintained for at least a year after the date of the value change.

Interest rates to be paid on debentures issued with respect to a loan or mortgage insured by the Federal Housing Commissioner under the provisions of the National Housing Act (the Act). The Department will continue to publish semi-annually the debenture interest rate for the next six-month period in the Federal Register. Concurrently with the publication in the Federal Register, the Department will update the list of debenture interest rates.

Fixed 30-year mortgage rates in the United States averaged 6.79 percent in the week ending June 27 of 2025. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United States MBA 30-Yr Mortgage Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

The benchmark interest rate in Brazil was last recorded at 15 percent. This dataset provides - Brazil Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

This is a dataset of General Obligation, Dormitory Authority of the State of New York, and the New York City Municipal Water Finance Authority Interest Rate Exchange Agreements. This data set provides information on interest rate exchange agreements. Note: Mark-to-Market Values are calculated by a third-party swap adviser.

Iran IR: Lending Interest Rate data was reported at 18.000 % pa in 2016. This records an increase from the previous number of 14.210 % pa for 2015. Iran IR: Lending Interest Rate data is updated yearly, averaging 12.000 % pa from Dec 2004 (Median) to 2016, with 13 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 18.000 % pa in 2016 and a record low of 11.000 % pa in 2013. Iran IR: Lending Interest Rate data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by World Bank. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Iran – Table IR.World Bank.WDI: Interest Rates. Lending rate is the bank rate that usually meets the short- and medium-term financing needs of the private sector. This rate is normally differentiated according to creditworthiness of borrowers and objectives of financing. The terms and conditions attached to these rates differ by country, however, limiting their comparability.; ; International Monetary Fund, International Financial Statistics and data files.; ;

We apply a discrete choice approach to model the empirical behaviour of the Federal Reserve in changing the federal funds target rate, the benchmark of short-term market interest rates in the US. Our methods allow the explanatory variables to be nonstationary as well as stationary. This feature is particularly useful in the present application as many economic fundamentals that are monitored by the Fed and are believed to affect decisions to adjust interest rate targets display some nonstationarity over time. The chosen model successfully predicts the majority of the target rate changes during the time period considered (1994-2001) and helps to explain strings of similar intervention decisions by the Fed. Based on the model-implied optimal interest rate, our findings suggest that there is a lag in the Fed's reaction to economic shocks during this period.

Graph and download economic data for Interest Rates, Discount Rate for United States (INTDSRUSM193N) from Jan 1950 to Aug 2021 about discount, interest rate, interest, rate, and USA.

Analysis of ‘Annual Market Information Indices’ provided by Analyst-2 (analyst-2.ai), based on source dataset retrieved from http://data.europa.eu/88u/dataset/https-data-usmart-io-org-ae1d5c14-c392-4c3f-9705-537427eeb413-dataset-viewdiscovery-datasetguid-c410c7a0-14c3-442b-b75f-4c230ec59406 on 13 January 2022.

--- Dataset description provided by original source is as follows ---

House price index is based on average new house price value at loan approval stage and therefore has not been adjusted for changes in the mix of houses and apartments sold. Interest rates is based on building societies mortgage loans, published by Central Statistics Office up to 2007.
From 2008 interest rates is average rate of all 'mortgage lenders' reporting to the Central Bank.
From 2014 it is based on the floating rate for new customers as published by the Central Bank (Retail interest rates - Table B2.1). The reason for the drop between 2013 and 2014 is due to the difference in methodology - the 2014 data is the weighted average rate on new loan agreements. Further information can be found here:
http://www.centralbank.ie/polstats/stats/cmab/Documents/Retail_Interest_Rate_Statistics_Explanatory_Notes.pdf
Earnings is based on the average weekly earnings of adult workers in manufacturing industries, published by the Central Statistics Office. This series has been updated since 1996 using a new methodology and therefore it is not directly comparable with those for earlier years. House Construction Cost Index is based on the 1st day of the third month of each quarter.
Consumer Price index is based on the Consumer Price Index, published by the Central Statistics Office.
The most current data is published on these sheets. Previously published data may be subject to revision. Any change from the originally published data will be highlighted by a comment on the cell in question. These comments will be maintained for at least a year after the date of the value change.

--- Original source retains full ownership of the source dataset ---

The benchmark interest rate In the Euro Area was last recorded at 2.15 percent. This dataset provides - Euro Area Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

Content

More details about each file are in the individual file descriptions.

Context

This is a dataset from the U.S. Census Bureau hosted by the Federal Reserve Economic Database (FRED). FRED has a data platform found here and they update their information according the amount of data that is brought in. Explore the U.S. Census Bureau using Kaggle and all of the data sources available through the U.S. Census Bureau organization page!

• Update Frequency: This dataset is updated daily.

Acknowledgements

This dataset is maintained using FRED's API and Kaggle's API.

Cover photo by Tyrel Johnson on Unsplash
Unsplash Images are distributed under a unique Unsplash License.

The FHFA methodology to construct a historically-based shock for a given interest rate is to measure the absolute change at each term point on the corresponding yield curve over a six-month horizon, and then impose that absolute change on the current measure of that yield curve. However, because the current rate environment may differ significantly from the historical rate environment, imposing the historical shock on the current rate can result in a shock scenario that is implausible. Implausible shock scenarios include any that contain negative values for interest rates, and those where the resulting spread between any two different interest rates is inconsistent with the historically observed spread. To ensure that the resulting shock scenarios are plausible, FHFA uses a technique known as parsimonious factorization to represent each yield curve as a five-factor equation, and then applies measures of the shock made in parameter space to the current yield curve parameters to determine the shocked yield curve. This approach facilitates a straightforward means to impose constraints on generating the shock scenario that ensure its plausibility.

House price index is based on average new house price value at loan approval stage and therefore has not been adjusted for changes in the mix of houses and apartments sold. Interest rates is based on building societies mortgage loans, published by Central Statistics Office up to 2007.
From 2008 interest rates is average rate of all 'mortgage lenders' reporting to the Central Bank.
From 2014 it is based on the floating rate for new customers as published by the Central Bank (Retail interest rates - Table B2.1). The reason for the drop between 2013 and 2014 is due to the difference in methodology - the 2014 data is the weighted average rate on new loan agreements. Further information can be found here:
http://www.centralbank.ie/polstats/stats/cmab/Documents/Retail_Interest_Rate_Statistics_Explanatory_Notes.pdf
Earnings is based on the average weekly earnings of adult workers in manufacturing industries, published by the Central Statistics Office. This series has been updated since 1996 using a new methodology and therefore it is not directly comparable with those for earlier years. House Construction Cost Index is based on the 1st day of the third month of each quarter.
Consumer Price index is based on the Consumer Price Index, published by the Central Statistics Office.
The most current data is published on these sheets. Previously published data may be subject to revision. Any change from the originally published data will be highlighted by a comment on the cell in question. These comments will be maintained for at least a year after the date of the value change.