Context

The Federal Reserve sets interest rates to promote conditions that achieve the mandate set by the Congress — high employment, low and stable inflation, sustainable economic growth, and moderate long-term interest rates. Interest rates set by the Fed directly influence the cost of borrowing money. Lower interest rates encourage more people to obtain a mortgage for a new home or to borrow money for an automobile or for home improvement. Lower rates encourage businesses to borrow funds to invest in expansion such as purchasing new equipment, updating plants, or hiring more workers. Higher interest rates restrain such borrowing by consumers and businesses.

Content

This dataset includes data on the economic conditions in the United States on a monthly basis since 1954. The federal funds rate is the interest rate at which depository institutions trade federal funds (balances held at Federal Reserve Banks) with each other overnight. The rate that the borrowing institution pays to the lending institution is determined between the two banks; the weighted average rate for all of these types of negotiations is called the effective federal funds rate. The effective federal funds rate is determined by the market but is influenced by the Federal Reserve through open market operations to reach the federal funds rate target. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meets eight times a year to determine the federal funds target rate; the target rate transitioned to a target range with an upper and lower limit in December 2008. The real gross domestic product is calculated as the seasonally adjusted quarterly rate of change in the gross domestic product based on chained 2009 dollars. The unemployment rate represents the number of unemployed as a seasonally adjusted percentage of the labor force. The inflation rate reflects the monthly change in the Consumer Price Index of products excluding food and energy.

Acknowledgements

The interest rate data was published by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis' economic data portal. The gross domestic product data was provided by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis; the unemployment and consumer price index data was provided by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Inspiration

How does economic growth, unemployment, and inflation impact the Federal Reserve's interest rates decisions? How has the interest rate policy changed over time? Can you predict the Federal Reserve's next decision? Will the target range set in March 2017 be increased, decreased, or remain the same?

The benchmark interest rate in the United States was last recorded at 4 percent. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United States Fed Funds Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

The interest rate set by the Federal Reserve is a crucial tool for promoting economic conditions that meet the mandate established by the United States Congress, which includes high employment, low and stable inflation, sustainable economic growth, and the moderation of long-term interest rates. The interest rates determined by the Fed directly influence the cost of credit, making financing either more accessible or more restrictive. When interest rates are low, there is a greater incentive for consumers to purchase homes through mortgages, finance automobiles, or undertake home renovations. Additionally, businesses are encouraged to invest in expanding their operations, whether by purchasing new equipment, modernizing facilities, or hiring more workers. Conversely, higher interest rates tend to curb such activity, discouraging borrowing and slowing economic expansion.

The dataset analyzed contains information on the economic conditions in the United States on a monthly basis since 1954, including the federal funds rate, which represents the percentage at which financial institutions trade reserves held at the Federal Reserve with each other in the interbank market overnight. This rate is determined by the market but is directly influenced by the Federal Reserve through open market operations to reach the established target. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meets eight times a year to determine the federal funds rate target, which has been defined within a range with upper and lower limits since December 2008.

Furthermore, real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is calculated based on the seasonally adjusted quarterly rate of change in the economy, using chained 2009 dollars as a reference. The unemployment rate represents the seasonally adjusted percentage of the labor force that is unemployed. Meanwhile, the inflation rate is determined by the monthly change in the Consumer Price Index, excluding food and energy prices for a more stable analysis of core inflation.

The interest rate data was sourced from the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis' economic data portal, while GDP information was provided by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, and unemployment and inflation data were made available by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

The analysis of this data helps to understand how economic growth, the unemployment rate, and inflation influence the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy decisions. Additionally, it allows for a study of the evolution of interest rate policies over time and raises the question of how predictable the Fed’s future decisions may be. Based on observed trends, it is possible to speculate whether the target range set in March 2017 will be maintained, lowered, or increased, considering the prevailing economic context and the challenges faced in conducting U.S. monetary policy.

The benchmark interest rate in Japan was last recorded at 0.50 percent. This dataset provides - Japan Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

The benchmark interest rate in Russia was last recorded at 16.50 percent. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - Russia Interest Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

U.S. Economic and Financial Dataset

Dataset Description

This dataset combines historical U.S. economic and financial indicators, spanning the last 50 years, to facilitate time series analysis and uncover patterns in macroeconomic trends. It is designed for exploring relationships between interest rates, inflation, economic growth, stock market performance, and industrial production.

Key Features

• Frequency: Monthly
• Time Period: Last 50 years from Nov-24
• Sources:
  • Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED)
  • Yahoo Finance

Dataset Feature Description

1. Interest Rate (Interest_Rate):

   • The effective federal funds rate, representing the interest rate at which depository institutions trade federal funds overnight.

2. Inflation (Inflation):

   • The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers, an indicator of inflation trends.

3. GDP (GDP):

   • Real GDP measures the inflation-adjusted value of goods and services produced in the U.S.

4. Unemployment Rate (Unemployment):

   • The percentage of the labor force that is unemployed and actively seeking work.

5. Stock Market Performance (S&P500):

   • Monthly average of the adjusted close price, representing stock market trends.

6. Industrial Production (Ind_Prod):

   • A measure of real output in the industrial sector, including manufacturing, mining, and utilities.

Dataset Statistics

1. Total Entries: 599
2. Columns: 6
3. Memory usage: 37.54 kB
4. Data types: float64

Feature Overview

• Columns:
  • Interest_Rate: Monthly Federal Funds Rate (%)
  • Inflation: CPI (All Urban Consumers, Index)
  • GDP: Real GDP (Billions of Chained 2012 Dollars)
  • Unemployment: Unemployment Rate (%)
  • Ind_Prod: Industrial Production Index (2017=100)
  • S&P500: Monthly Average of S&P 500 Adjusted Close Prices

Executive Summary

This project explores the interconnected dynamics of key macroeconomic indicators and financial market trends over the past 50 years, leveraging data from the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) and Yahoo Finance. The dataset integrates critical variables such as the Federal Funds Rate, Inflation (CPI), Real GDP, Unemployment Rate, Industrial Production, and the S&P 500 Index, providing a holistic view of the U.S. economy and financial markets.

The analysis focuses on uncovering relationships between these variables through time-series visualization, correlation analysis, and trend decomposition. Key findings are included in the Insights section. This project serves as a robust resource for understanding long-term economic trends, policy impacts, and market behavior. It is particularly valuable for students, researchers, policymakers, and financial analysts seeking to connect macroeconomic theory with real-world data.

Potential Use Cases

• Economic Analysis: Examine relationships between interest rates, inflation, GDP, and unemployment.
• Stock Market Prediction: Study how macroeconomic indicators influence stock market trends.
• Time Series Modeling: Perform ARIMA, VAR, or other models to forecast economic trends.
• Cyclic Pattern Analysis: Identify how economic shocks and recoveries impact key indicators.

Snap of Power Analysis

https://github.com/user-attachments/assets/1b40e0ca-7d2e-4fbc-8cfd-df3f09e4fdb8">

To ensure sufficient power, the dataset covers last 50 years of monthly data i.e., around 600 entries.

Key Insights derived through EDA, time-series visualization, correlation analysis, and trend decomposition

• Interest Rate and Inflation Dynamics: The interest Rate and inflation exhibit an inverse relationship, especially during periods of aggressive monetary tightening by the Federal Reserve.
• Economic Growth and Market Performance: GDP growth and the S&P 500 Index show a positive correlation, reflecting how market performance often aligns with overall economic health.
• Labor Market and Industrial Output: Unemployment and industrial production demonstrate a strong inverse relationship. Higher industrial output is typically associated with lower unemployment
• Market Behavior During Economic Shocks: The S&P 500 experienced sharp declines during significant crises, such as the 2008 financial crash and the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. These events also triggered increased unemployment and contractions in GDP, highlighting the interplay between markets and the broader economy.
• Correlation Highlights: S&P 500 and GDP have a strong positive correlation. Interest rates negatively correlate with GDP and inflation, reflecting monetary policy impacts. Unemployment is negatively correlated with industrial production but positively correlated with interest rates.

Link to GitHub Repo

https:/...

The benchmark interest rate in Sweden was last recorded at 1.75 percent. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - Sweden Interest Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

United States US: Lending Interest Rate data was reported at 3.512 % pa in 2016. This records an increase from the previous number of 3.260 % pa for 2015. United States US: Lending Interest Rate data is updated yearly, averaging 6.922 % pa from Dec 1960 (Median) to 2016, with 57 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 18.870 % pa in 1981 and a record low of 3.250 % pa in 2014. United States US: Lending Interest Rate data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by World Bank. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.World Bank.WDI: Interest Rates. Lending rate is the bank rate that usually meets the short- and medium-term financing needs of the private sector. This rate is normally differentiated according to creditworthiness of borrowers and objectives of financing. The terms and conditions attached to these rates differ by country, however, limiting their comparability.; ; International Monetary Fund, International Financial Statistics and data files.; ;

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The raw data that is used in this dataset is the basic OHLC time series dataset for a gold market of the last 20 years collected and verified from different exchanges. This dataset contains over 8677 daily candle prices (rows) and in order to make it wealthy, extra datasets were merged with it to provide more details to each data frame. The sub-datasets contain historical economic information such as interest rates, inflation rates, and others that are highly related and affecting the gold market movement.

Raw dataset:

Time Range: 1988-08-01 to 2023-11-10 Number of data entries: 4050 Number of features: 4 (open, high, low, close OHLC daily candle price)

What are done to prepare this dataset : 1. Starting Exploratory Data Analysis (EDA) for all the raw datasets. 2. Find and fill in missing days. 3. Merge all the datasets into one master dataset based on the time index. 4. Verify the merge process. 5. Check and remove Duplicates. 6. Check and fill in missing values. 7. Including the basic technical indicators and price moving averages. 8. Outliers Inspection and treatment by different methods. 9. Adding targets. 10. Feature Analysis to identify the importance of each feature. 11. Final check.

After data preparation and feature engineering:

Time Range: 1999-12-30 to 2023-10-01

Number of data entries: 8677

Number of featuers: 28

Features list: open, high, low, close (OHLC daily candle price) dxy_open, dxy_close, dxy_high, dxy_low, fred_fedfunds, usintr, usiryy (Ecnomic inducators) RSI, MACD, MACD_signal, MACD_hist, ADX, CCI (Technical indicators) ROC SMA_10, SMA_20, EMA_10, EMA_20, SMA_50, EMA_50, SMA_100, SMA_200, EMA_100, EMA_200 (Moving avrages)

Targets List: next_1_day_price next_3_day_price next_7_day_price next_30_day_price next_1_day_Price_Change next_3_day_Price_Change next_7_day_Price_Change next_30_day_Price_Change next_30_day_Price_Change next_1_day_price_direction( Up, Same ,Down) next_3_day_price_direction( Up, Same ,Down) next_7_day_price_direction( Up, Same ,Down) next_30_day_price_direction( Up, Same ,Down)

Abbreviations of Features: dxy = US Dollar Index fred_fedfunds= Effective Federal Funds Rate usintr= US Interest Rate usiryy= US Inflation Rate YOY RSI= Relative Strength Index MACD= Moving Average Convergence Divergence ADX= Avrerage Directional Index CCI=Commodity Channel Index ROC= Rate of Change SMA= Simple Moving Average EMA= Exponential Moving Average

Financial Access and Usage

Global Comparative Ratios Across 189 Jurisdictions

By International Monetary Fund [source]

About this dataset

This dataset provides an unprecedented opportunity to explore global financial access and usage trends from 2004-2016 from 189 of the world's reporting jurisdictions—which cover over 99 percent of the total adult population. With 152 time series and 47 indicator ratios, this Financial Access Survey gives insight into ways that access to and usage of financial services differ by households vs small/medium enterprises, life vs non-life insurance, deposits & microfinance institutions as well as credit unions & financial cooperatives. Utilizing this data, we can gain a better understanding of how policies or shifts in the global economy may influence or relate to access or utilization of services in certain regions while having comparable cross-economy comparisons. The IMF Monetary and Financial Statistics Manual Compilation Guide is utilized for all methodologies used in accumulating these datasets, while all data is available “as-is” with no guarantee provided either express or implied. Are you looking for ways to implement insightful macroeconomic analyses? Download FAS 2004–2016 now!

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For more datasets, click here.

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How to use the dataset

The Financial Access Survey provides global supply-side data on access to and usage of financial services by households and firms for 189 reporting jurisdictions, covering 99 percent of the world’s adult population. With a robust selection of time series in this dataset, users can make meaningful insights into trends over time or across countries concerning various indicators related to access and usage of financial services. To help users navigate this large dataset, the following guide explains how to use the data most effectively.

Understanding The Dataset Columns

The columns in the dataset provide information about each indicator such as country name, indicator name, code for that indicator, its attribute (i.e., rate/ratio), when data is available for that particular indicator. Once you have identified an interesting measure/indicator whether it be credit union density or life insurance penetration rate measure in a given country during a certain year period then you can look up those numbers from the rows provided in this dataset .

Understanding The Different Years Available & Comparing Numbers Over Time

It is useful for users to compare different indicators over time by looking at specific years within this dataset which will allow us to see if rates are increasing or decreasing worldwide patterns across these trends among different countries based on these various measures listed provided in this survey such as mortgage lending rate or ratio GDP per capita etc that have been collected . We can therefore make use of our knowledge off economic changes that have occurred over time within certain parts of world , no matter if they are longer term economic effects due increases certain capabilities within a geographical area or shorter term changes due taxation laws by governments etc driving some people either towards using or away from using certain kinds financial products .

#### Comparing Between Countries

This datasets allows us direct comparisons between different countries with regards how many people are currently making use particular types off finances services , we certainly be able analyse current international relationships between services providers as well customers where ever concerned about particular attributes mentioned above whether being deposit interest rates small business credits terms tenders so forth . Knowing more about related dynamics helps build better user experiences with providers who understand needs risks impacts generating larger customer bases globally which often beneficial both parties involved exchange relationship so not forget always keep cross border motif whenever eye process from afar !

Research Ideas

• Comparing the access to and usage of financial services in different countries to better inform research policy decisions.
• Analyzing trends in financial access and usage by jurisdiction over time, to identify areas needing improvement in order to promote financial inclusion and stability.
• Cross-referencing FAS data with macroeconomic indicators such as GDP information to measure the potential impact of changes in level of access on economic growth or other metrics specific to a country or region of interest

Acknowledgements

If you use this dataset in yo...

The benchmark interest rate in Switzerland was last recorded at 0 percent. This dataset provides - Switzerland Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

Interest is charged if payment is not received by the due date. Remember: if the due date falls on a weekend or holiday, your payment is due the next working day.

The Ministry of Finance also applies interest to amounts the ministry owes to individuals and corporations.

Tax interest is compounded daily and interest rates are reset every 3 months.

Note: Provincial land tax interest rates are not reset every three months. Provincial land tax interest rates are summarized on the "https://www.ontario.ca/document/provincial-land-tax">provincial land tax webpage.

Note: Interest rates do not apply to the Estate Administration Tax Act, 1998.

Current interest rates (October 1, 2025 to December 31, 2025):

• 8% on taxes you owe to the ministry
• 2% on taxes you overpaid
• 5% on taxes or refunds you are eligible for as a result of a successful appeal or objection
• 6% on late International Fuel Tax Agreement payments
• 6% on International Fuel Tax Agreement refunds the ministry has not paid you within 90 days

You can download the dataset to view the historical tax interest rates.

Non-Resident Speculation Tax (NRST)

(1) Interest on tax you overpaid begins to accrue 40 business days after a complete NRST rebate or refund application is received by the Ministry of Finance to the date the rebate or refund is paid.

(2) On refunds you are eligible for as a result of a successful appeal or objection of a NRST refund/rebate disallowance, the interest rate is the same rate as though you had overpaid and will begin to accrue 40 business days after a complete NRST rebate or refund application is received by the Ministry of Finance to the date the rebate or refund is paid. Refunds as a result of a successful appeal or objection of NRST that was paid pursuant to a Notice of Assessment, interest will accrue at the higher appeals/objection rate, beginning to accrue from the date of payment to the date the rebate or refund is paid.

United States US: Risk Premium on Lending: Lending Rate Minus Treasury Bill Rate data was reported at 3.186 % pa in 2016. This records a decrease from the previous number of 3.201 % pa for 2015. United States US: Risk Premium on Lending: Lending Rate Minus Treasury Bill Rate data is updated yearly, averaging 2.868 % pa from Dec 1960 (Median) to 2016, with 57 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 4.793 % pa in 1981 and a record low of 0.587 % pa in 1965. United States US: Risk Premium on Lending: Lending Rate Minus Treasury Bill Rate data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by World Bank. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.World Bank.WDI: Interest Rates. Risk premium on lending is the interest rate charged by banks on loans to private sector customers minus the 'risk free' treasury bill interest rate at which short-term government securities are issued or traded in the market. In some countries this spread may be negative, indicating that the market considers its best corporate clients to be lower risk than the government. The terms and conditions attached to lending rates differ by country, however, limiting their comparability.; ; International Monetary Fund, International Financial Statistics database.; ;

Trinidad and Tobago TT: Risk Premium on Lending: Lending Rate Minus Treasury Bill Rate data was reported at 7.672 % pa in 2017. This records a decrease from the previous number of 7.844 % pa for 2016. Trinidad and Tobago TT: Risk Premium on Lending: Lending Rate Minus Treasury Bill Rate data is updated yearly, averaging 6.759 % pa from Dec 1983 (Median) to 2017, with 35 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 9.357 % pa in 1984 and a record low of 4.240 % pa in 2005. Trinidad and Tobago TT: Risk Premium on Lending: Lending Rate Minus Treasury Bill Rate data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by World Bank. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Trinidad and Tobago – Table TT.World Bank.WDI: Interest Rates. Risk premium on lending is the interest rate charged by banks on loans to private sector customers minus the 'risk free' treasury bill interest rate at which short-term government securities are issued or traded in the market. In some countries this spread may be negative, indicating that the market considers its best corporate clients to be lower risk than the government. The terms and conditions attached to lending rates differ by country, however, limiting their comparability.; ; International Monetary Fund, International Financial Statistics database.; ;

UK Mortgage Rates

Mortgage products in the united kingdom

By Jeff [source]

About this dataset

This dataset contains information on thousands of mortgage products available in the UK, including the interest rate, APR, revert rate, fees, and initial rate period. This data can be used to compare different mortgage products and find the best deal for your needs

More Datasets

For more datasets, click here.

Featured Notebooks

• 🚨 Your notebook can be here! 🚨!

How to use the dataset

This dataset contains information on thousands of mortgage products available in the UK, including the interest rate, APR, revert rate, fees, and initial rate period.

To use this dataset, simply download it and then import it into your favorite spreadsheet program. You can then use the data to compare mortgage rates across different products and banks.

This dataset can be used to help you: - Compare mortgage rates from different banks - Find the best mortgage product for your needs - Understand how fees and other charges affect the overall cost of a mortgage

Research Ideas

• Analysing the different mortgage products available on the market
• Benchmarking against other products in order to get a competitive rate
• Finding products that have low fees and revert rates

Acknowledgements

If you use this dataset in your research, please credit the original authors. Data Source

License

See the dataset description for more information.

Columns

File: UK_Mortgage_Rate.csv | Column name | Description | |:----------------------------|:----------------------------------------------------------------| | SKU | The product's SKU. (String) | | BANK_NAME | The name of the bank that offers the mortgage product. (String) | | MTG_PRODUCT_SUBTITLE | The subtitle of the mortgage product. (String) | | MTG_PRODUCT_TYPE_RAW | The raw product type of the mortgage product. (String) | | MTG_PRODUCT_YEARS | The number of years of the mortgage product. (Integer) | | MTG_INITIAL_RATE_PCT | The initial rate percentage of the mortgage product. (Float) | | MTG_APR_PCT | The APR percentage of the mortgage product. (Float) | | MTG_REVERT_RATE | The revert rate of the mortgage product. (Float) | | MTG_FEES_TOTAL | The total fees of the mortgage product. (Float) | | MTG_INITIAL_RATE_MONTHS | The initial rate months of the mortgage product. (Integer) | | SCAN_DATE | The date that the mortgage product was scanned. (Date) |

Acknowledgements

If you use this dataset in your research, please credit the original authors. If you use this dataset in your research, please credit Jeff.

30 Year Mortgage Rate in the United States decreased to 6.23 percent in November 26 from 6.26 percent in the previous week. This dataset includes a chart with historical data for the United States 30 Year Mortgage Rate.

Description

This data set represents thousands of loans made through the Lending Club platform, which is a platform that allows individuals to lend to other individuals. Of course, not all loans are created equal. Someone who is a essentially a sure bet to pay back a loan will have an easier time getting a loan with a low interest rate than someone who appears to be riskier. And for people who are very risky? They may not even get a loan offer, or they may not have accepted the loan offer due to a high interest rate. It is important to keep that last part in mind, since this data set only represents loans actually made, i.e. do not mistake this data for loan applications!

Format

A data frame with 10,000 observations on the following 55 variables.

emp_title

Job title.

emp_length

Number of years in the job, rounded down. If longer than 10 years, then this is represented by the value 10.

state

Two-letter state code.

homeownership

The ownership status of the applicant's residence.

annual_income

Annual income.

verified_income

Type of verification of the applicant's income.

debt_to_income

Debt-to-income ratio.

annual_income_joint

If this is a joint application, then the annual income of the two parties applying.

verification_income_joint

Type of verification of the joint income.

debt_to_income_joint

Debt-to-income ratio for the two parties.

delinq_2y

Delinquencies on lines of credit in the last 2 years.

months_since_last_delinq

Months since the last delinquency.

earliest_credit_line

Year of the applicant's earliest line of credit

inquiries_last_12m

Inquiries into the applicant's credit during the last 12 months.

total_credit_lines

Total number of credit lines in this applicant's credit history.

open_credit_lines

Number of currently open lines of credit.

total_credit_limit

Total available credit, e.g. if only credit cards, then the total of all the credit limits. This excludes a mortgage.

total_credit_utilized

Total credit balance, excluding a mortgage.

num_collections_last_12m

Number of collections in the last 12 months. This excludes medical collections.

num_historical_failed_to_pay

The number of derogatory public records, which roughly means the number of times the applicant failed to pay.

months_since_90d_late

Months since the last time the applicant was 90 days late on a payment.

current_accounts_delinq

Number of accounts where the applicant is currently delinquent.

total_collection_amount_ever

The total amount that the applicant has had against them in collections.

current_installment_accounts

Number of installment accounts, which are (roughly) accounts with a fixed payment amount and period. A typical example might be a 36-month car loan.

accounts_opened_24m

Number of new lines of credit opened in the last 24 months.

months_since_last_credit_inquiry

Number of months since the last credit inquiry on this applicant.

num_satisfactory_accounts

Number of satisfactory accounts.

num_accounts_120d_past_due

Number of current accounts that are 120 days past due.

num_accounts_30d_past_due

Number of current accounts that are 30 days past due.

num_active_debit_accounts

Number of currently active bank cards.

total_debit_limit

Total of all bank card limits.

num_total_cc_accounts

Total number of credit card accounts in the applicant's history.

num_open_cc_accounts

Total number of currently open credit card accounts.

num_cc_carrying_balance

Number of credit cards that are carrying a balance.

num_mort_accounts

Number of mortgage accounts.

account_never_delinq_percent

Percent of all lines of credit where the applicant was never delinquent.

tax_liens

a numeric vector

public_record_bankrupt

Number of bankruptcies listed in the public record for this applicant.

loan_purpose

The category for the purpose of the loan.

application_type

The type of application: either individual or joint.

loan_amount

The amount of the loan the applicant received.

term

The number of months of the loan the applicant received.

interest_rate

Interest rate of the loan the applicant received.

installment

Monthly payment for the loan the applicant received.

grade

Grade associated with the loan.

sub_grade

Detailed grade associated with the loan.

issue_month

Month the loan was issued.

loan_status

Status of the loan.

initial_listing_status

Initial listing status of the loan. (I think this has to do with whether the lender provided the entire loan or if the loan is across multiple lenders.)

disbursement_method

Dispersement method of the loan.

balance

Current...

A traditional way of thinking about the exchange rate regime and capital account openness has been framed in terms of the 'impossible trinity' or 'trilemma', according to which policymakers can only have two of three possible outcomes: open capital markets, monetary independence and pegged exchange rates. The present paper is a natural extension of Escude (A DSGE Model for a SOE with Systematic Interest and Foreign Exchange Policies in Which Policymakers Exploit the Risk Premium for Stabilization Purposes, 2013), which focuses on interest rate and exchange rate policies, since it introduces the third vertex of the 'trinity' in the form of taxes on private foreign debt. These affect the risk-adjusted uncovered interest parity equation and hence influence the SOE's international financial flows. A useful way to illustrate the range of policy alternatives is to associate them with the faces of an isosceles triangle. Each of three possible government intervention policies taken individually (in the domestic currency bond market, in the foreign currency market, and in the foreign currency bonds market) corresponds to one of the vertices of the triangle, each of the three possible pairs of intervention policies corresponds to one of the three edges of the triangle, and the three simultaneous intervention policies taken jointly correspond to the triangle's interior. This paper shows that this interior, or 'pos sible trinity' is quite generally not only possible but optimal, since the central bank obtains a lower loss when it implements a policy with all three interventions.

🏦 Synthetic Loan Approval Dataset

A Realistic, High-Quality Dataset for Credit Risk Modelling

🎯 Why This Dataset?

Most loan datasets on Kaggle have unrealistic patterns where:

1. ❌ Credit scores don't matter
2. ❌ Approval logic is backwards
3. ❌ Models learn nonsense patterns

Unlike most loan datasets available online, this one is built on real banking criteria from US and Canadian financial institutions. Drawing from 3 years of hands-on finance industry experience, the dataset incorporates realistic correlations and business logic that reflect how actual lending decisions are made. This makes it perfect for data scientists looking to build portfolio projects that showcase not just coding ability, but genuine understanding of credit risk modelling.

📊 Dataset Overview

🔑 Key Features

Identifier:

-Customer ID (unique identifier for each application)

Demographics:

-Age, Occupation Status, Years Employed

Financial Profile:

-Annual Income, Credit Score, Credit History Length -Savings/Assets, Current Debt

Credit Behaviour:

-Defaults on File, Delinquencies, Derogatory Marks

Loan Request:

-Product Type, Loan Intent, Loan Amount, Interest Rate

Calculated Ratios:

-Debt-to-Income, Loan-to-Income, Payment-to-Income

💡 What Makes This Dataset Special?

1️⃣ Real-World Approval Logic The dataset implements actual banking criteria: - DTI ratio > 50% = automatic rejection - Defaults on file = instant reject - Credit score bands match real lending thresholds - Employment verification for loans ≥$20K

2️⃣ Realistic Correlations - Higher income → Better credit scores - Older applicants → Longer credit history - Students → Lower income, special treatment for small loans - Loan intent affects approval (Education best, Debt Consolidation worst)

3️⃣ Product-Specific Rules - Credit Cards: More lenient, higher limits - Personal Loans: Standard criteria, up to $100K - Line of Credit: Capped at $50K, manual review for high amounts

4️⃣ Edge Cases Included - Young applicants (age 18) building first credit - Students with thin credit files - Self-employed with variable income - High debt-to-income ratios - Multiple delinquencies

🎓 Perfect For - Machine Learning Practice: Binary classification with real patterns - Credit Risk Modelling: Learn actual lending criteria - Portfolio Projects: Build impressive, explainable models - Feature Engineering: Rich dataset with meaningful relationships - Business Analytics: Understand financial decision-making

📈 Quick Stats

Approval Rates by Product - Credit Card: 60.4% more lenient) - Personal Loan: 46.9 (standard) - Line of Credit: 52.6% (moderate)

Loan Intent (Best → Worst Approval Odds) 1. Education (63% approved) 2. Personal (58% approved) 3. Medical/Home (52% approved) 4. Business (48% approved) 5. Debt Consolidation (40% approved)

Credit Score Distribution - Mean: 644 - Range: 300-850 - Realistic bell curve around 600-700

Income Distribution - Mean: $50,063 - Median: $41,608 - Range: $15K - $250K

🎯 Expected Model Performance

With proper feature engineering and tuning: - Accuracy: 75-85% - ROC-AUC: 0.80-0.90 - F1-Score: 0.75-0.85

Important: Feature importance should show: 1. Credit Score (most important) 2. Debt-to-Income Ratio 3. Delinquencies 4. Loan Amount 5. Income

If your model shows different patterns, something's wrong!

🏆 Use Cases & Projects

Beginner - Binary classification with XGBoost/Random Forest - EDA and visualization practice - Feature importance analysis

Intermediate - Custom threshold optimization (profit maximization) - Cost-sensitive learning (false positive vs false negative) - Ensemble methods and stacking

Advanced - Explainable AI (SHAP, LIME) - Fairness analysis across demographics - Production-ready API with FastAPI/Flask - Streamlit deployment with business rules

⚠️ Important Notes

This is SYNTHETIC Data - Generated based on real banking criteria - No real customer data was used - Safe for public sharing and portfolio use

Limitations - Simplified approval logic (real banks use 100+ factors) - No temporal component (no time series) - Single country/currency assumed (USD) - No external factors (economy, market conditions)

Educational Purpose This dataset is designed for: - Learning credit risk modeling - Portfolio projects - ML practice - Understanding lending criteria

NOT for: - Actual lending decisions - Financial advice - Production use without validation

🤝 Contributing

Found an issue? Have suggestions? - Open an issue on GitHub - Suggest i...

Lending Rate: per Month: Pre-Fixed: Individuals: Mortgages with Market Rates: BIORC CFI data was reported at 0.000 % per Month in 03 Jul 2019. This stayed constant from the previous number of 0.000 % per Month for 02 Jul 2019. Lending Rate: per Month: Pre-Fixed: Individuals: Mortgages with Market Rates: BIORC CFI data is updated daily, averaging 0.000 % per Month from Jan 2012 (Median) to 03 Jul 2019, with 1817 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 0.000 % per Month in 03 Jul 2019 and a record low of 0.000 % per Month in 03 Jul 2019. Lending Rate: per Month: Pre-Fixed: Individuals: Mortgages with Market Rates: BIORC CFI data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Central Bank of Brazil. The data is categorized under Brazil Premium Database’s Interest and Foreign Exchange Rates – Table BR.MB011: Lending Rate: per Month: by Banks: Pre-Fixed: Individuals: Mortgages with Market Rates. Lending Rate: Daily: Interest rates disclosed represent the total cost of the transaction to the client, also including taxes and operating. These rates correspond to the average fees in the period indicated in the tables. There are presented only institutions that had granted during the period determined. In general, institutions practicing different rates within the same type of credit. Thus, the rate charged to a customer may differ from the average. Several factors such as the time and volume of the transaction, as well as the guarantees offered, explain the differences between interest rates. Certain institutions grant allowance of the use of the term overdraft. However, this is not considered in the calculation of rates of this type. It should be noted that the overdraft is a modality that has high interest rates. Thus, its use should be restricted to short periods. If the customer needs resources for a longer period, should find ways to offer lower rates. The Brazilian Central Bank publishes these data with a delay about 20 days with relation to the reference period, thus allowing sufficient time for all Financial Institutions to deliver the relevant information. Interest rates presented in this set of tables correspond to averages weighted by the values of transactions conducted in the five working days specified in each table. These rates represent the average effective cost of loans to customers, consisting of the interest rates actually charged by financial institutions in their lending operations, increased tax burdens and operational incidents on the operations. The interest rates shown are the average of the rates charged in the various operations performed by financial institutions, in each modality. In one discipline, interest rates may differ between customers of the same financial institution. Interest rates vary according to several factors, such as the value and quality of collateral provided in the operation, the proportion of down payment operation, the history and the registration status of each client, the term of the transaction, among others . Institutions with “zero” did not operate on modalities for those periods or did not provide information to the Central Bank of Brazil. The Central Bank of Brazil assumes no responsibility for delay, error or other deficiency of information provided for purposes of calculating average rates presented in this