Crude Oil fell to 65.07 USD/Bbl on June 27, 2025, down 0.26% from the previous day. Over the past month, Crude Oil's price has risen 5.22%, but it is still 20.20% lower than a year ago, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. Crude Oil - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on June of 2025.

Brent fell to 67.39 USD/Bbl on June 27, 2025, down 0.50% from the previous day. Over the past month, Brent's price has risen 4.77%, but it is still 20.72% lower than a year ago, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. Brent crude oil - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on June of 2025.

We study the effects of releases from the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) within the context of fully specified models of the global oil market that explicitly allow for storage demand as well as unanticipated changes in the SPR. We show that historically SPR policy interventions, defined as sequences of exogenous SPR shocks during selected periods, have helped stabilize the price of oil. Their effect on the price of oil, however, has been modest. For example, the cumulative effect of the SPR releases after the invasion of Kuwait in 1990 was a reduction of $2 per barrel in the real price of oil after 7 months. Whereas emergency drawdowns tend to lower the real price of oil, we find that exchanges tend to raise the real price of oil in the long run. We also provide a detailed analysis of the benefits of the 2018 White House proposal to sell off half of the SPR within the next decade. We show that the expected fiscal benefits of this plan are somewhat higher than the revenue of $16.6 billion dollars projected by the White House.

The 2025 annual OPEC oil price stood at ***** U.S. dollars per barrel, as of May. This would be lower than the 2024 average, which amounted to ***** U.S. dollars. The abbreviation OPEC stands for Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and includes Algeria, Angola, Congo, Equatorial Guinea, Gabon, Iraq, Iran, Kuwait, Libya, Nigeria, Saudi Arabia, Venezuela, and the United Arab Emirates. The aim of the OPEC is to coordinate the oil policies of its member states. It was founded in 1960 in Baghdad, Iraq. The OPEC Reference Basket The OPEC crude oil price is defined by the price of the so-called OPEC (Reference) basket. This basket is an average of prices of the various petroleum blends that are produced by the OPEC members. Some of these oil blends are, for example: Saharan Blend from Algeria, Basra Light from Iraq, Arab Light from Saudi Arabia, BCF 17 from Venezuela, et cetera. By increasing and decreasing its oil production, OPEC tries to keep the price between a given maxima and minima. Benchmark crude oil The OPEC basket is one of the most important benchmarks for crude oil prices worldwide. Other significant benchmarks are UK Brent, West Texas Intermediate (WTI), and Dubai Crude (Fateh). Because there are many types and grades of oil, such benchmarks are indispensable for referencing them on the global oil market. The 2025 fall in prices was the result of weakened demand outlooks exacerbated by extensive U.S. trade tariffs.

It has long been suspected, given the salience of gasoline prices, that fluctuations in gasoline prices shift households' 1-year inflation expectations. Assessing this view empirically requires the use of dynamic structural models to quantify the cumulative effect of gasoline price shocks on household inflation expectations at each point in time. We find that, on average, gasoline price shocks account for 42% of the variation in these expectations. The cumulative increase in household inflation expectations from early 2009 to early 2013, in particular, is almost entirely explained by unexpectedly rising gasoline prices. However, there is no support for the view that the improved fit of the Phillips curve augmented by household inflation expectations during 2009 2013 is mainly explained by rising gasoline prices.

Heating Oil fell to 2.33 USD/Gal on June 27, 2025, down 1.57% from the previous day. Over the past month, Heating Oil's price has risen 11.80%, but it is still 8.06% lower than a year ago, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. Heating oil - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on June of 2025.

Correlation defined as linear relationship between two variables. Correlation coefficient (r) is used to measure correlation between two variables and its range varies between -1 to +1. There are two types of correlation namely positive and negative. r=+1 represents perfect positive correlation whereas r=-1 represents perfect negative correlation. Positive correlation tells both indicators are moving in same direction for e.g. If prices of crude oil and Natural gas are positively correlated and there is an increase in price of crude oil then price of Natural gas will also increase. On the other hand negative correlation between the same indicators, if there is increase in price of one will decrease the price of others.

Crude Oil Price: Indonesia data was reported at 61.320 USD/Barrel in Jul 2019. This records an increase from the previous number of 60.990 USD/Barrel for Jun 2019. Crude Oil Price: Indonesia data is updated monthly, averaging 42.500 USD/Barrel from Dec 1991 (Median) to Jul 2019, with 332 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 134.960 USD/Barrel in Jul 2008 and a record low of 9.990 USD/Barrel in Dec 1998. Crude Oil Price: Indonesia data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Directorate General of Oil and Gas. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Indonesia – Table ID.PC001: Retail Price: By Major Commodities.

Context

Abstract of associated article: This paper contributes to the debate on the role of oil prices in predicting stock returns. The novelty of the paper is that it considers monthly time-series historical data that span over 150years (1859:10–2013:12) and applies a predictive regression model that accommodates three salient features of the data, namely, a persistent and endogenous oil price, and model heteroscedasticity. Three key findings are unraveled: first, oil price predicts US stock returns. Second, in-sample evidence is corroborated by out-sample evidence of predictability. Third, both positive and negative oil price changes are important predictors of US stock returns, with negative changes relatively more important. Our results are robust to the use of different estimators and choice of in-sample periods.

Acknowledgements

Narayan, Paresh K. (2016), “Data for: Has oil price predicted stock returns for over a century? ”, Mendeley Data, V1, doi: 10.17632/7s446mxhyv.1

License - CC by NC 3.0

Interactive daily chart of Brent (Europe) crude oil prices over the last ten years. Values shown are daily closing prices.

Palm Oil traded flat at 4,012 MYR/T on June 27, 2025. Over the past month, Palm Oil's price has risen 2.90%, and is up 2.45% compared to the same time last year, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. Palm Oil - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on June of 2025.

The Average Home Heating Oil Prices dataset provides New York residents and businesses with objective information on average residential retail heating fuel oil pricing in New York State and by region beginning September 8, 1997. Pricing data is obtained via surveys conducted by NYSERDA staff on a weekly basis during heating season (September to March) and bi-weekly during the rest of the year. All prices are listed in dollars per gallon. The Average Home Heating Oil Prices dataset, Average Residential Retail Kerosene Prices dataset, and Average Residential Retail Propane Prices dataset are collectively referred to as the Heating Fuel Prices dataset. For current and historical residential retail price data, regional comparisons, and fuel type comparisons, please visit the Home Heating Oil Prices Dashboard: https://www.nyserda.ny.gov/Researchers-and-Policymakers/Energy-Prices/Home-Heating-Oil/Average-Home-Heating-Oil-Prices The New York State Energy Research and Development Authority (NYSERDA) offers objective information and analysis, innovative programs, technical expertise, and support to help New Yorkers increase energy efficiency, save money, use renewable energy, accelerate economic growth, and reduce reliance on fossil fuels. To learn more about NYSERDA’s programs, visit nyserda.ny.gov or follow us on X, Facebook, YouTube, or Instagram.

Crude Oil Price: Tiaka data was reported at 57.950 USD/Barrel in Jul 2019. This records an increase from the previous number of 57.850 USD/Barrel for Jun 2019. Crude Oil Price: Tiaka data is updated monthly, averaging 68.180 USD/Barrel from Jan 2008 (Median) to Jul 2019, with 139 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 122.920 USD/Barrel in Mar 2012 and a record low of 21.870 USD/Barrel in Jan 2016. Crude Oil Price: Tiaka data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Directorate General of Oil and Gas. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Indonesia – Table ID.RBH003: Crude Oil Price.

Brent Crude Oil Price: EA: Forward: 1 Month data was reported at 72.079 EUR/Barrel in Mar 2025. This records an increase from the previous number of 69.734 EUR/Barrel for Dec 2024. Brent Crude Oil Price: EA: Forward: 1 Month data is updated quarterly, averaging 34.532 EUR/Barrel from Sep 1985 (Median) to Mar 2025, with 159 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 103.376 EUR/Barrel in Jun 2022 and a record low of 9.999 EUR/Barrel in Dec 1998. Brent Crude Oil Price: EA: Forward: 1 Month data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by European Central Bank. The data is categorized under Global Database’s European Union – Table EU.P005: European Central Bank: Crude Oil Price. [COVID-19-IMPACT]

Despite their widespread use as predictors of the spot price of oil, oil futures prices tend to be less accurate in the mean-squared prediction error sense than no-change forecasts. This result is driven by the variability of the futures price about the spot price, as captured by the oil futures spread. This variability can be explained by the marginal convenience yield of oil inventories. Using a two-country, multi-period general equilibrium model of the spot and futures markets for crude oil we show that increased uncertainty about future oil supply shortfalls under plausible assumptions causes the spread to decline. Increased uncertainty also causes precautionary demand for oil to increase, resulting in an immediate increase in the real spot price. Thus the negative of the oil futures spread may be viewed as an indicator of fluctuations in the price of crude oil driven by precautionary demand. An empirical analysis of this indicator provides evidence of how shifts in the uncertainty about future oil supply shortfalls affect the real spot price of crude oil.

The run-up in oil prices since 2004 coincided with growing investment in commodity markets and increased price co-movement among different commodities. We assess whether speculation in the oil market played a role in driving this salient empirical pattern. We identify oil shocks from a large dataset using a dynamic factor model. This method is motivated by the fact that a small-scale vector autoregression is not informationally sufficient to identify the shocks. The main results are as follows. (i) While global demand shocks account for the largest share of oil price fluctuations, speculative shocks are the second most important driver. (ii) The increase in oil prices over the last decade is mainly driven by the strength of global demand. However, speculation played a significant role in the oil price increase between 2004 and 2008 and its subsequent collapse. (iii) The co-movement between oil prices and the prices of other commodities is mainly explained by global demand shocks. Our results support the view that the recent oil price increase is mainly driven by the strength of global demand but that the financialization process of commodity markets also played a role.

Sri Lanka Petroleum Price: Average: Crude Oil: USD data was reported at 57.790 USD/Barrel in 2017. This records an increase from the previous number of 46.300 USD/Barrel for 2016. Sri Lanka Petroleum Price: Average: Crude Oil: USD data is updated yearly, averaging 37.480 USD/Barrel from Dec 1991 (Median) to 2017, with 27 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 114.000 USD/Barrel in 2012 and a record low of 13.470 USD/Barrel in 1998. Sri Lanka Petroleum Price: Average: Crude Oil: USD data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Central Bank of Sri Lanka. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Sri Lanka – Table LK.P008: Petroleum Price.

This dataset provides the benchmark crude oil prices for the imported natural gas cost of CPC Corporation, Taiwan, allowing the public to understand the trend of oil price changes.

High Frequency Indicator: The dataset contains year- and month-wise historically compiled data from the year 2000-01 to till date on International Free On Board (FOB) price of crude oil (indian basket)

Notes: 1. The FOB (Free On Board) price is the price of goods at the frontier of the exporting country or price of a service provided to a non-resident. It includes the values of the goods or services at the basic price, the transport and distribution services up to the frontier, the taxes minus the subsidies 2. The composition of Indian Basket of Crude oil represents Average of Oman & Dubai for sour grades and Brent (Dated) for sweet grade. The ratio of crude oil for this purpose is taken based on actual sour and sweet grade crude oil processed in the country in the previous financial year
3. Crude oil with high amount of sulphur is termed as sour and with less sulphur is called the sweet grade

As of May 2025, the average annual price of Brent crude oil stood at 72 U.S. dollars per barrel. This is some eight U.S. dollars lower than the 2024 average. Brent is the world's leading price benchmark for Atlantic basin crude oils. Crude oil is one of the most closely observed commodity prices as it influences costs across all stages of the production process and consequently alters the price of consumer goods as well. What determines crude oil benchmarks? In the past decade, crude oil prices have been especially volatile. Their inherent inelasticity regarding short-term changes in demand and supply means that oil prices are erratic by nature. However, since the 2009 financial crisis, many commercial developments have greatly contributed to price volatility; such as economic growth by BRIC countries like China and India, and the advent of hydraulic fracturing and horizontal drilling in the U.S. The outbreak of the coronavirus pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are examples of geopolitical events dictating prices. Light crude oils - Brent and WTI Brent Crude is considered a classification of sweet light crude oil and acts as a benchmark price for oil around the world. It is considered a sweet light crude oil due to its low sulfur content and a low density and may be easily refined into gasoline. This oil originates in the North Sea and comprises several different oil blends, including Brent Blend and Ekofisk crude. Often, this crude oil is refined in Northwest Europe. Another sweet light oil often referenced alongside UK Brent is West Texas Intermediate (WTI). WTI oil prices amounted to 76.55 U.S. dollars per barrel in 2024.