The benchmark interest rate in the United States was last recorded at 4.50 percent. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United States Fed Funds Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

The U.S. federal funds rate peaked in 2023 at its highest level since the 2007-08 financial crisis, reaching 5.33 percent by December 2023. A significant shift in monetary policy occurred in the second half of 2024, with the Federal Reserve implementing regular rate cuts. By December 2024, the rate had declined to 4.48 percent. What is a central bank rate? The federal funds rate determines the cost of overnight borrowing between banks, allowing them to maintain necessary cash reserves and ensure financial system liquidity. When this rate rises, banks become more inclined to hold rather than lend money, reducing the money supply. While this decreased lending slows economic activity, it helps control inflation by limiting the circulation of money in the economy. Historic perspective The federal funds rate historically follows cyclical patterns, falling during recessions and gradually rising during economic recoveries. Some central banks, notably the European Central Bank, went beyond traditional monetary policy by implementing both aggressive asset purchases and negative interest rates.

Dataset Description

This dataset contains the actual and predicted federal funds target rate for the United States from 1990 to 2023. The federal funds target rate is the interest rate at which depository institutions lend their excess reserves to each other overnight. It is set by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) and is a key tool used by the Federal Reserve to influence the economy.

The dataset includes the following five columns:

Release Date: The date on which the data was released by the Federal Reserve. Time: The time of day at which the data was released. Actual: The actual federal funds target rate. Predicted: The predicted federal funds target rate. Forecast: The forecast federal funds target rate.

Data Usage

This dataset can be used for a variety of purposes, including: - Analyzing trends in the federal funds target rate over time. - Forecasting the future path of the federal funds target rate. - Assessing the effectiveness of monetary policy. - Data Quality

The data for this dataset is of high quality. The Federal Reserve is a reputable source of data and the data is updated regularly.

Data Limitations

The data for this dataset is limited to the United States. Additionally, the data does not include information on the factors that influenced the Federal Open Market Committee's decision to set the federal funds target rate.

The benchmark interest rate in Japan was last recorded at 0.50 percent. This dataset provides - Japan Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

The U.S. federal funds effective rate underwent a dramatic reduction in early 2020 in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. The rate plummeted from 1.58 percent in February 2020 to 0.65 percent in March, and further decreased to 0.05 percent in April. This sharp reduction, accompanied by the Federal Reserve's quantitative easing program, was implemented to stabilize the economy during the global health crisis. After maintaining historically low rates for nearly two years, the Federal Reserve began a series of rate hikes in early 2022, with the rate moving from 0.33 percent in April 2022 to 5.33 percent in August 2023. The rate remained unchanged for over a year, before the Federal Reserve initiated its first rate cut in nearly three years in September 2024, bringing the rate to 5.13 percent. By December 2024, the rate was cut to 4.48 percent, signaling a shift in monetary policy in the second half of 2024. In January 2025, the Federal Reserve implemented another cut, setting the rate at 4.33 percent, which remained unchanged throughout the following months. What is the federal funds effective rate? The U.S. federal funds effective rate determines the interest rate paid by depository institutions, such as banks and credit unions, that lend reserve balances to other depository institutions overnight. Changing the effective rate in times of crisis is a common way to stimulate the economy, as it has a significant impact on the whole economy, such as economic growth, employment, and inflation. Central bank policy rates The adjustment of interest rates in response to the COVID-19 pandemic was a coordinated global effort. In early 2020, central banks worldwide implemented aggressive monetary easing policies to combat the economic crisis. The U.S. Federal Reserve's dramatic reduction of its federal funds rate - from 1.58 percent in February 2020 to 0.05 percent by April - mirrored similar actions taken by central banks globally. While these low rates remained in place throughout 2021, mounting inflationary pressures led to a synchronized tightening cycle beginning in 2022, with central banks pushing rates to multi-year highs. By mid-2024, as inflation moderated across major economies, central banks began implementing their first rate cuts in several years, with the U.S. Federal Reserve, Bank of England, and European Central Bank all easing monetary policy.

View data of the Effective Federal Funds Rate, or the interest rate depository institutions charge each other for overnight loans of funds.

The benchmark interest rate in Russia was last recorded at 20 percent. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - Russia Interest Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

Graph and download economic data for FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Median (FEDTARMD) from 2025 to 2027 about projection, federal, median, rate, and USA.

United States Interest Rate Swaps: Mth Avg: 2 Year data was reported at 3.054 % pa in Oct 2018. This records an increase from the previous number of 2.939 % pa for Sep 2018. United States Interest Rate Swaps: Mth Avg: 2 Year data is updated monthly, averaging 1.806 % pa from Jul 2000 (Median) to Oct 2018, with 220 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 7.119 % pa in Jul 2000 and a record low of 0.374 % pa in Apr 2013. United States Interest Rate Swaps: Mth Avg: 2 Year data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Board. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.M014: Interest Rate: Swaps Rates.

The benchmark interest rate in China was last recorded at 3 percent. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - China Interest Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

United States Interest Rate Swaps: Mth Avg: 1 Year data was reported at 2.917 % pa in Nov 2018. This records an increase from the previous number of 2.850 % pa for Oct 2018. United States Interest Rate Swaps: Mth Avg: 1 Year data is updated monthly, averaging 1.409 % pa from Jul 2000 (Median) to Nov 2018, with 221 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 7.056 % pa in Jul 2000 and a record low of 0.260 % pa in May 2014. United States Interest Rate Swaps: Mth Avg: 1 Year data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Board. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.M014: Interest Rate: Swaps Rates.

United States Interest Rate Swaps: Mth Avg: 30 Year data was reported at 3.241 % pa in Oct 2018. This records an increase from the previous number of 3.082 % pa for Sep 2018. United States Interest Rate Swaps: Mth Avg: 30 Year data is updated monthly, averaging 4.268 % pa from Jul 2000 (Median) to Oct 2018, with 220 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 7.199 % pa in Jul 2000 and a record low of 1.751 % pa in Aug 2016. United States Interest Rate Swaps: Mth Avg: 30 Year data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Board. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.M014: Interest Rate: Swaps Rates.

The benchmark interest rate in Australia was last recorded at 3.85 percent. This dataset provides - Australia Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

Analysis of ‘USA Key Economic Indicators’ provided by Analyst-2 (analyst-2.ai), based on source dataset retrieved from https://www.kaggle.com/calven22/usa-key-macroeconomic-indicators on 28 January 2022.

--- Dataset description provided by original source is as follows ---

Context

Domino’s Pizza, like many other restaurant chains, is getting pinched by higher food costs. The company’s chief executive, Richard Allison, anticipates “unprecedented increases” in the company’s food costs, which could jump by 8-10%. He said that is three to four times what the pizza chain would normally expect in a year.

This leads to the paramount issue of inflation which affects every aspects of the economy, from consumer spending, business investment and employment rates to government programs, tax policies, and interest rates. The recent release of consumer inflation data showed prices rose at the fastest pace since 1982. Inflation forecasting is key in the conduct of monetary policy and can be used in many other ways such as preserving asset values. This dataset is a consolidated macroeconomic official statistics from 1981 to 2021, containing data available in month and quarterly format.

Content

The Core Consumer Price Index (ccpi) measures the changes in the price of goods and services, excluding food and energy due to their volatility. It measures price change from the perspective of the consumer. It is a often used to measure changes in purchasing trends and inflation.

Do note there are some null values in the dataset.

Acknowledgements

All data belongs to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis official release, and are retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.

Inspiration

What are some noticeable patterns or seasonality of the economy? What are the current trends of the economy? Which indicators has an effect on Core CPI or vice-versa based on predictive power or influence?

Quarterly data and monthly data can be merged with forward-fill or interpolation methods.

What is the forecast of Core CPI in 2022?

--- Original source retains full ownership of the source dataset ---

United States Interest Rate Swaps: Mth Avg: 3 Year data was reported at 3.075 % pa in Nov 2018. This records a decrease from the previous number of 3.112 % pa for Oct 2018. United States Interest Rate Swaps: Mth Avg: 3 Year data is updated monthly, averaging 2.227 % pa from Jul 2000 (Median) to Nov 2018, with 221 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 7.136 % pa in Jul 2000 and a record low of 0.460 % pa in Nov 2012. United States Interest Rate Swaps: Mth Avg: 3 Year data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Board. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.M014: Interest Rate: Swaps Rates.

The benchmark interest rate in the United Kingdom was last recorded at 4.25 percent. This dataset provides - United Kingdom Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

Graph and download economic data for Interest Rates, Discount Rate for United States (INTDSRUSM193N) from Jan 1950 to Aug 2021 about discount, interest rate, interest, rate, and USA.

United States Interest Rate Swaps: Mth Avg: 5 Year data was reported at 3.085 % pa in Nov 2018. This records a decrease from the previous number of 3.135 % pa for Oct 2018. United States Interest Rate Swaps: Mth Avg: 5 Year data is updated monthly, averaging 2.826 % pa from Jul 2000 (Median) to Nov 2018, with 221 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 7.167 % pa in Jul 2000 and a record low of 0.785 % pa in Nov 2012. United States Interest Rate Swaps: Mth Avg: 5 Year data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Board. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.M014: Interest Rate: Swaps Rates.

United States Interest Rate Swaps: Mth Avg: 7 Year data was reported at 3.114 % pa in Nov 2018. This records a decrease from the previous number of 3.160 % pa for Oct 2018. United States Interest Rate Swaps: Mth Avg: 7 Year data is updated monthly, averaging 3.150 % pa from Jul 2000 (Median) to Nov 2018, with 221 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 7.199 % pa in Jul 2000 and a record low of 1.190 % pa in Nov 2012. United States Interest Rate Swaps: Mth Avg: 7 Year data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Board. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.M014: Interest Rate: Swaps Rates.

United States FB: AS: Incl IBF: Memo: RT: Floating Interest Rates data was reported at 236.947 USD bn in Dec 2019. This records an increase from the previous number of 231.494 USD bn for Sep 2019. United States FB: AS: Incl IBF: Memo: RT: Floating Interest Rates data is updated quarterly, averaging 223.933 USD bn from Mar 2013 (Median) to Dec 2019, with 28 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 245.981 USD bn in Mar 2016 and a record low of 152.566 USD bn in Mar 2013. United States FB: AS: Incl IBF: Memo: RT: Floating Interest Rates data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Board. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.KB043: Balance Sheet: Foreign Banks: All States.