56 datasets found
  1. US Financial Indicators - 1974 to 2024

    • kaggle.com
    zip
    Updated Nov 25, 2024
    Share
    FacebookFacebook
    TwitterTwitter
    Email
    Click to copy link
    Link copied
    Close
    Cite
    Abhishek Bhatnagar (2024). US Financial Indicators - 1974 to 2024 [Dataset]. https://www.kaggle.com/datasets/abhishekb7/us-financial-indicators-1974-to-2024
    Explore at:
    zip(15336 bytes)Available download formats
    Dataset updated
    Nov 25, 2024
    Authors
    Abhishek Bhatnagar
    License

    https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/

    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    U.S. Economic and Financial Dataset

    Dataset Description

    This dataset combines historical U.S. economic and financial indicators, spanning the last 50 years, to facilitate time series analysis and uncover patterns in macroeconomic trends. It is designed for exploring relationships between interest rates, inflation, economic growth, stock market performance, and industrial production.

    Key Features

    • Frequency: Monthly
    • Time Period: Last 50 years from Nov-24
    • Sources:
      • Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED)
      • Yahoo Finance

    Dataset Feature Description

    1. Interest Rate (Interest_Rate):

      • The effective federal funds rate, representing the interest rate at which depository institutions trade federal funds overnight.
    2. Inflation (Inflation):

      • The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers, an indicator of inflation trends.
    3. GDP (GDP):

      • Real GDP measures the inflation-adjusted value of goods and services produced in the U.S.
    4. Unemployment Rate (Unemployment):

      • The percentage of the labor force that is unemployed and actively seeking work.
    5. Stock Market Performance (S&P500):

      • Monthly average of the adjusted close price, representing stock market trends.
    6. Industrial Production (Ind_Prod):

      • A measure of real output in the industrial sector, including manufacturing, mining, and utilities.

    Dataset Statistics

    1. Total Entries: 599
    2. Columns: 6
    3. Memory usage: 37.54 kB
    4. Data types: float64

    Feature Overview

    • Columns:
      • Interest_Rate: Monthly Federal Funds Rate (%)
      • Inflation: CPI (All Urban Consumers, Index)
      • GDP: Real GDP (Billions of Chained 2012 Dollars)
      • Unemployment: Unemployment Rate (%)
      • Ind_Prod: Industrial Production Index (2017=100)
      • S&P500: Monthly Average of S&P 500 Adjusted Close Prices

    Executive Summary

    This project explores the interconnected dynamics of key macroeconomic indicators and financial market trends over the past 50 years, leveraging data from the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) and Yahoo Finance. The dataset integrates critical variables such as the Federal Funds Rate, Inflation (CPI), Real GDP, Unemployment Rate, Industrial Production, and the S&P 500 Index, providing a holistic view of the U.S. economy and financial markets.

    The analysis focuses on uncovering relationships between these variables through time-series visualization, correlation analysis, and trend decomposition. Key findings are included in the Insights section. This project serves as a robust resource for understanding long-term economic trends, policy impacts, and market behavior. It is particularly valuable for students, researchers, policymakers, and financial analysts seeking to connect macroeconomic theory with real-world data.

    Potential Use Cases

    • Economic Analysis: Examine relationships between interest rates, inflation, GDP, and unemployment.
    • Stock Market Prediction: Study how macroeconomic indicators influence stock market trends.
    • Time Series Modeling: Perform ARIMA, VAR, or other models to forecast economic trends.
    • Cyclic Pattern Analysis: Identify how economic shocks and recoveries impact key indicators.

    Snap of Power Analysis

    imagehttps://github.com/user-attachments/assets/1b40e0ca-7d2e-4fbc-8cfd-df3f09e4fdb8">

    To ensure sufficient power, the dataset covers last 50 years of monthly data i.e., around 600 entries.

    Key Insights derived through EDA, time-series visualization, correlation analysis, and trend decomposition

    • Interest Rate and Inflation Dynamics: The interest Rate and inflation exhibit an inverse relationship, especially during periods of aggressive monetary tightening by the Federal Reserve.
    • Economic Growth and Market Performance: GDP growth and the S&P 500 Index show a positive correlation, reflecting how market performance often aligns with overall economic health.
    • Labor Market and Industrial Output: Unemployment and industrial production demonstrate a strong inverse relationship. Higher industrial output is typically associated with lower unemployment
    • Market Behavior During Economic Shocks: The S&P 500 experienced sharp declines during significant crises, such as the 2008 financial crash and the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. These events also triggered increased unemployment and contractions in GDP, highlighting the interplay between markets and the broader economy.
    • Correlation Highlights: S&P 500 and GDP have a strong positive correlation. Interest rates negatively correlate with GDP and inflation, reflecting monetary policy impacts. Unemployment is negatively correlated with industrial production but positively correlated with interest rates.

    Link to GitHub Repo

    https:/...

  2. Federal Reserve Interest Rates, 1954-Present

    • kaggle.com
    zip
    Updated Mar 16, 2017
    Share
    FacebookFacebook
    TwitterTwitter
    Email
    Click to copy link
    Link copied
    Close
    Cite
    Federal Reserve (2017). Federal Reserve Interest Rates, 1954-Present [Dataset]. https://www.kaggle.com/federalreserve/interest-rates
    Explore at:
    zip(7069 bytes)Available download formats
    Dataset updated
    Mar 16, 2017
    Dataset provided by
    Federal Reserve Systemhttp://www.federalreserve.gov/
    Authors
    Federal Reserve
    License

    https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/

    Description

    Context

    The Federal Reserve sets interest rates to promote conditions that achieve the mandate set by the Congress — high employment, low and stable inflation, sustainable economic growth, and moderate long-term interest rates. Interest rates set by the Fed directly influence the cost of borrowing money. Lower interest rates encourage more people to obtain a mortgage for a new home or to borrow money for an automobile or for home improvement. Lower rates encourage businesses to borrow funds to invest in expansion such as purchasing new equipment, updating plants, or hiring more workers. Higher interest rates restrain such borrowing by consumers and businesses.

    Content

    This dataset includes data on the economic conditions in the United States on a monthly basis since 1954. The federal funds rate is the interest rate at which depository institutions trade federal funds (balances held at Federal Reserve Banks) with each other overnight. The rate that the borrowing institution pays to the lending institution is determined between the two banks; the weighted average rate for all of these types of negotiations is called the effective federal funds rate. The effective federal funds rate is determined by the market but is influenced by the Federal Reserve through open market operations to reach the federal funds rate target. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meets eight times a year to determine the federal funds target rate; the target rate transitioned to a target range with an upper and lower limit in December 2008. The real gross domestic product is calculated as the seasonally adjusted quarterly rate of change in the gross domestic product based on chained 2009 dollars. The unemployment rate represents the number of unemployed as a seasonally adjusted percentage of the labor force. The inflation rate reflects the monthly change in the Consumer Price Index of products excluding food and energy.

    Acknowledgements

    The interest rate data was published by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis' economic data portal. The gross domestic product data was provided by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis; the unemployment and consumer price index data was provided by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics.

    Inspiration

    How does economic growth, unemployment, and inflation impact the Federal Reserve's interest rates decisions? How has the interest rate policy changed over time? Can you predict the Federal Reserve's next decision? Will the target range set in March 2017 be increased, decreased, or remain the same?

  3. Federal Reserve

    • kaggle.com
    zip
    Updated Mar 28, 2025
    Share
    FacebookFacebook
    TwitterTwitter
    Email
    Click to copy link
    Link copied
    Close
    Cite
    willian oliveira (2025). Federal Reserve [Dataset]. https://www.kaggle.com/datasets/willianoliveiragibin/federal-reserve
    Explore at:
    zip(4672 bytes)Available download formats
    Dataset updated
    Mar 28, 2025
    Authors
    willian oliveira
    License

    https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/

    Description

    The interest rate set by the Federal Reserve is a crucial tool for promoting economic conditions that meet the mandate established by the United States Congress, which includes high employment, low and stable inflation, sustainable economic growth, and the moderation of long-term interest rates. The interest rates determined by the Fed directly influence the cost of credit, making financing either more accessible or more restrictive. When interest rates are low, there is a greater incentive for consumers to purchase homes through mortgages, finance automobiles, or undertake home renovations. Additionally, businesses are encouraged to invest in expanding their operations, whether by purchasing new equipment, modernizing facilities, or hiring more workers. Conversely, higher interest rates tend to curb such activity, discouraging borrowing and slowing economic expansion.

    The dataset analyzed contains information on the economic conditions in the United States on a monthly basis since 1954, including the federal funds rate, which represents the percentage at which financial institutions trade reserves held at the Federal Reserve with each other in the interbank market overnight. This rate is determined by the market but is directly influenced by the Federal Reserve through open market operations to reach the established target. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meets eight times a year to determine the federal funds rate target, which has been defined within a range with upper and lower limits since December 2008.

    Furthermore, real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is calculated based on the seasonally adjusted quarterly rate of change in the economy, using chained 2009 dollars as a reference. The unemployment rate represents the seasonally adjusted percentage of the labor force that is unemployed. Meanwhile, the inflation rate is determined by the monthly change in the Consumer Price Index, excluding food and energy prices for a more stable analysis of core inflation.

    The interest rate data was sourced from the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis' economic data portal, while GDP information was provided by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, and unemployment and inflation data were made available by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

    The analysis of this data helps to understand how economic growth, the unemployment rate, and inflation influence the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy decisions. Additionally, it allows for a study of the evolution of interest rate policies over time and raises the question of how predictable the Fed’s future decisions may be. Based on observed trends, it is possible to speculate whether the target range set in March 2017 will be maintained, lowered, or increased, considering the prevailing economic context and the challenges faced in conducting U.S. monetary policy.

  4. Survey of Consumer Finances

    • federalreserve.gov
    Updated Oct 18, 2023
    + more versions
    Share
    FacebookFacebook
    TwitterTwitter
    Email
    Click to copy link
    Link copied
    Close
    Cite
    Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve Board (2023). Survey of Consumer Finances [Dataset]. http://doi.org/10.17016/8799
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    Oct 18, 2023
    Dataset provided by
    Federal Reserve Board of Governors
    Federal Reserve Systemhttp://www.federalreserve.gov/
    Authors
    Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve Board
    Time period covered
    1962 - 2023
    Description

    The Survey of Consumer Finances (SCF) is normally a triennial cross-sectional survey of U.S. families. The survey data include information on families' balance sheets, pensions, income, and demographic characteristics.

  5. U.S. Fed Funds Target Rate

    • kaggle.com
    zip
    Updated Nov 16, 2023
    Share
    FacebookFacebook
    TwitterTwitter
    Email
    Click to copy link
    Link copied
    Close
    Cite
    Aniket Patil (2023). U.S. Fed Funds Target Rate [Dataset]. https://www.kaggle.com/datasets/aniketkolte04/u-s-fed-funds-target-rate
    Explore at:
    zip(1580 bytes)Available download formats
    Dataset updated
    Nov 16, 2023
    Authors
    Aniket Patil
    License

    MIT Licensehttps://opensource.org/licenses/MIT
    License information was derived automatically

    Description

    Dataset Description

    This dataset contains the actual and predicted federal funds target rate for the United States from 1990 to 2023. The federal funds target rate is the interest rate at which depository institutions lend their excess reserves to each other overnight. It is set by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) and is a key tool used by the Federal Reserve to influence the economy.

    The dataset includes the following five columns:

    Release Date: The date on which the data was released by the Federal Reserve. Time: The time of day at which the data was released. Actual: The actual federal funds target rate. Predicted: The predicted federal funds target rate. Forecast: The forecast federal funds target rate.

    Data Usage

    This dataset can be used for a variety of purposes, including: - Analyzing trends in the federal funds target rate over time. - Forecasting the future path of the federal funds target rate. - Assessing the effectiveness of monetary policy. - Data Quality

    The data for this dataset is of high quality. The Federal Reserve is a reputable source of data and the data is updated regularly.

    Data Limitations

    The data for this dataset is limited to the United States. Additionally, the data does not include information on the factors that influenced the Federal Open Market Committee's decision to set the federal funds target rate.

  6. F

    Data from: Personal Saving Rate

    • fred.stlouisfed.org
    json
    Updated Sep 26, 2025
    Share
    FacebookFacebook
    TwitterTwitter
    Email
    Click to copy link
    Link copied
    Close
    Cite
    (2025). Personal Saving Rate [Dataset]. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/PSAVERT
    Explore at:
    jsonAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Sep 26, 2025
    License

    https://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-public-domainhttps://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-public-domain

    Description

    Graph and download economic data for Personal Saving Rate (PSAVERT) from Jan 1959 to Aug 2025 about savings, personal, rate, and USA.

  7. d

    A Double-Edged Sword: High Interest Rates in Capital Control Regimes

    • search.dataone.org
    • dataverse.harvard.edu
    Updated Nov 21, 2023
    Share
    FacebookFacebook
    TwitterTwitter
    Email
    Click to copy link
    Link copied
    Close
    Cite
    Gudmundsson, Gudmundur S.; Zoega, Gylfi (2023). A Double-Edged Sword: High Interest Rates in Capital Control Regimes [Dataset]. http://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/S9KUHQ
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    Nov 21, 2023
    Dataset provided by
    Harvard Dataverse
    Authors
    Gudmundsson, Gudmundur S.; Zoega, Gylfi
    Description

    This paper describes the relationship between central bank interest rates and exchange rates under a capital control regime. Higher interest rates may strengthen the currency by inducing owners of local currency assets not to sell local currency off shore. There is also an effect that goes in the opposite direction: higher interest rates may also increase the flow of interest income to foreigners through the current account, making the exchange rate fall. The historical financial crisis now under way in Iceland provides excellent testing grounds for the analysis. Overall, the experience does not suggest that cutting interest rates moderately from a very high level is likely to make a currency depreciate in a capital control regime, but it highlights the importance of effective enforcement of the controls.

  8. S1 Data -

    • plos.figshare.com
    • datasetcatalog.nlm.nih.gov
    zip
    Updated Feb 7, 2025
    + more versions
    Share
    FacebookFacebook
    TwitterTwitter
    Email
    Click to copy link
    Link copied
    Close
    Cite
    Lingfei Chen; Kai Zhang; Xueying Yang (2025). S1 Data - [Dataset]. http://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0317185.s001
    Explore at:
    zipAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Feb 7, 2025
    Dataset provided by
    PLOShttp://plos.org/
    Authors
    Lingfei Chen; Kai Zhang; Xueying Yang
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Description

    While higher interest rates increase the cost of credit financing for businesses, this study finds that the direct impact of this traditional credit transmission mechanism on corporate bankruptcy risk is limited. Instead, our research reveals that changes in corporate behavior induced by rising debt financing costs are the root cause of bankruptcy risk. In the short term, an increase in interest rates drives businesses to substitute supply chain financing for credit financing in pursuit of profit maximization. This mismatch of short-term debt and long-term investments undermines the sustainability of the supply chain, ultimately reducing financial security—sacrificing safety for profitability. In the long term, higher interest rates exacerbate the overcapacity problem in industries, increasing the unsustainability of the production and sales balance. Using data from China’s construction industry, this study empirically tests these findings and, based on the main conclusions, provides policy suggestions regarding the long- and short-term effects of monetary policy on the sustainable development of China’s construction industry: (1) focus on short-term interest rate risks and be vigilant against commercial credit bubbles; (2) long-term monetary policy should prioritize industrial structure optimization.

  9. Financial Access and Usage

    • kaggle.com
    zip
    Updated Jan 10, 2023
    Share
    FacebookFacebook
    TwitterTwitter
    Email
    Click to copy link
    Link copied
    Close
    Cite
    The Devastator (2023). Financial Access and Usage [Dataset]. https://www.kaggle.com/datasets/thedevastator/financial-access-and-usage-data-2004-2016
    Explore at:
    zip(836874 bytes)Available download formats
    Dataset updated
    Jan 10, 2023
    Authors
    The Devastator
    Description

    Financial Access and Usage

    Global Comparative Ratios Across 189 Jurisdictions

    By International Monetary Fund [source]

    About this dataset

    This dataset provides an unprecedented opportunity to explore global financial access and usage trends from 2004-2016 from 189 of the world's reporting jurisdictions—which cover over 99 percent of the total adult population. With 152 time series and 47 indicator ratios, this Financial Access Survey gives insight into ways that access to and usage of financial services differ by households vs small/medium enterprises, life vs non-life insurance, deposits & microfinance institutions as well as credit unions & financial cooperatives. Utilizing this data, we can gain a better understanding of how policies or shifts in the global economy may influence or relate to access or utilization of services in certain regions while having comparable cross-economy comparisons. The IMF Monetary and Financial Statistics Manual Compilation Guide is utilized for all methodologies used in accumulating these datasets, while all data is available “as-is” with no guarantee provided either express or implied. Are you looking for ways to implement insightful macroeconomic analyses? Download FAS 2004–2016 now!

    More Datasets

    For more datasets, click here.

    Featured Notebooks

    • 🚨 Your notebook can be here! 🚨!

    How to use the dataset

    The Financial Access Survey provides global supply-side data on access to and usage of financial services by households and firms for 189 reporting jurisdictions, covering 99 percent of the world’s adult population. With a robust selection of time series in this dataset, users can make meaningful insights into trends over time or across countries concerning various indicators related to access and usage of financial services. To help users navigate this large dataset, the following guide explains how to use the data most effectively.

    Understanding The Dataset Columns

    The columns in the dataset provide information about each indicator such as country name, indicator name, code for that indicator, its attribute (i.e., rate/ratio), when data is available for that particular indicator. Once you have identified an interesting measure/indicator whether it be credit union density or life insurance penetration rate measure in a given country during a certain year period then you can look up those numbers from the rows provided in this dataset .

    Understanding The Different Years Available & Comparing Numbers Over Time

    It is useful for users to compare different indicators over time by looking at specific years within this dataset which will allow us to see if rates are increasing or decreasing worldwide patterns across these trends among different countries based on these various measures listed provided in this survey such as mortgage lending rate or ratio GDP per capita etc that have been collected . We can therefore make use of our knowledge off economic changes that have occurred over time within certain parts of world , no matter if they are longer term economic effects due increases certain capabilities within a geographical area or shorter term changes due taxation laws by governments etc driving some people either towards using or away from using certain kinds financial products .

    #### Comparing Between Countries

    This datasets allows us direct comparisons between different countries with regards how many people are currently making use particular types off finances services , we certainly be able analyse current international relationships between services providers as well customers where ever concerned about particular attributes mentioned above whether being deposit interest rates small business credits terms tenders so forth . Knowing more about related dynamics helps build better user experiences with providers who understand needs risks impacts generating larger customer bases globally which often beneficial both parties involved exchange relationship so not forget always keep cross border motif whenever eye process from afar !

    Research Ideas

    • Comparing the access to and usage of financial services in different countries to better inform research policy decisions.
    • Analyzing trends in financial access and usage by jurisdiction over time, to identify areas needing improvement in order to promote financial inclusion and stability.
    • Cross-referencing FAS data with macroeconomic indicators such as GDP information to measure the potential impact of changes in level of access on economic growth or other metrics specific to a country or region of interest

    Acknowledgements

    If you use this dataset in yo...

  10. H

    Data from: The Persistent Power of Behavioral Change: Long-Run Impacts of...

    • dataverse.harvard.edu
    • dataone.org
    • +1more
    Updated Jul 25, 2018
    Share
    FacebookFacebook
    TwitterTwitter
    Email
    Click to copy link
    Link copied
    Close
    Cite
    Simone Schaner (2018). The Persistent Power of Behavioral Change: Long-Run Impacts of Temporary Savings Subsidies for the Poor [Dataset]. http://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/OXKJ92
    Explore at:
    CroissantCroissant is a format for machine-learning datasets. Learn more about this at mlcommons.org/croissant.
    Dataset updated
    Jul 25, 2018
    Dataset provided by
    Harvard Dataverse
    Authors
    Simone Schaner
    License

    CC0 1.0 Universal Public Domain Dedicationhttps://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Description

    I use a field experiment in rural Kenya to study how temporary incentives to save impact long-run economic outcomes. Study participants randomly selected to receive large temporary interest rates on an individual bank account had significantly more income and assets 2.5 years after the interest rates expired. These changes are much larger than the short-run impacts on experimental bank account use and almost entirely driven by growth in entrepreneurship. Temporary Interest rates directed to joint bank accounts had no detectable long-run impacts on entrepreneurship or income, but increased investment in household public goods and spousal consensus over finances.

  11. Z

    Forex News Annotated Dataset for Sentiment Analysis

    • data.niaid.nih.gov
    Updated Nov 11, 2023
    Share
    FacebookFacebook
    TwitterTwitter
    Email
    Click to copy link
    Link copied
    Close
    Cite
    Georgios Fatouros; Kalliopi Kouroumali (2023). Forex News Annotated Dataset for Sentiment Analysis [Dataset]. https://data.niaid.nih.gov/resources?id=zenodo_7976207
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    Nov 11, 2023
    Dataset provided by
    University of Piraeus
    Hellenic Telecommunications Organisation S.A.
    Authors
    Georgios Fatouros; Kalliopi Kouroumali
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Description

    This dataset contains news headlines relevant to key forex pairs: AUDUSD, EURCHF, EURUSD, GBPUSD, and USDJPY. The data was extracted from reputable platforms Forex Live and FXstreet over a period of 86 days, from January to May 2023. The dataset comprises 2,291 unique news headlines. Each headline includes an associated forex pair, timestamp, source, author, URL, and the corresponding article text. Data was collected using web scraping techniques executed via a custom service on a virtual machine. This service periodically retrieves the latest news for a specified forex pair (ticker) from each platform, parsing all available information. The collected data is then processed to extract details such as the article's timestamp, author, and URL. The URL is further used to retrieve the full text of each article. This data acquisition process repeats approximately every 15 minutes.

    To ensure the reliability of the dataset, we manually annotated each headline for sentiment. Instead of solely focusing on the textual content, we ascertained sentiment based on the potential short-term impact of the headline on its corresponding forex pair. This method recognizes the currency market's acute sensitivity to economic news, which significantly influences many trading strategies. As such, this dataset could serve as an invaluable resource for fine-tuning sentiment analysis models in the financial realm.

    We used three categories for annotation: 'positive', 'negative', and 'neutral', which correspond to bullish, bearish, and hold sentiments, respectively, for the forex pair linked to each headline. The following Table provides examples of annotated headlines along with brief explanations of the assigned sentiment.

    Examples of Annotated Headlines
    
    
        Forex Pair
        Headline
        Sentiment
        Explanation
    
    
    
    
        GBPUSD 
        Diminishing bets for a move to 12400 
        Neutral
        Lack of strong sentiment in either direction
    
    
        GBPUSD 
        No reasons to dislike Cable in the very near term as long as the Dollar momentum remains soft 
        Positive
        Positive sentiment towards GBPUSD (Cable) in the near term
    
    
        GBPUSD 
        When are the UK jobs and how could they affect GBPUSD 
        Neutral
        Poses a question and does not express a clear sentiment
    
    
        JPYUSD
        Appropriate to continue monetary easing to achieve 2% inflation target with wage growth 
        Positive
        Monetary easing from Bank of Japan (BoJ) could lead to a weaker JPY in the short term due to increased money supply
    
    
        USDJPY
        Dollar rebounds despite US data. Yen gains amid lower yields 
        Neutral
        Since both the USD and JPY are gaining, the effects on the USDJPY forex pair might offset each other
    
    
        USDJPY
        USDJPY to reach 124 by Q4 as the likelihood of a BoJ policy shift should accelerate Yen gains 
        Negative
        USDJPY is expected to reach a lower value, with the USD losing value against the JPY
    
    
        AUDUSD
    

    RBA Governor Lowe’s Testimony High inflation is damaging and corrosive

        Positive
        Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) expresses concerns about inflation. Typically, central banks combat high inflation with higher interest rates, which could strengthen AUD.
    

    Moreover, the dataset includes two columns with the predicted sentiment class and score as predicted by the FinBERT model. Specifically, the FinBERT model outputs a set of probabilities for each sentiment class (positive, negative, and neutral), representing the model's confidence in associating the input headline with each sentiment category. These probabilities are used to determine the predicted class and a sentiment score for each headline. The sentiment score is computed by subtracting the negative class probability from the positive one.

  12. w

    Large-Scale Financial Education Program Impact Evaluation 2011-2012 - Mexico...

    • microdata.worldbank.org
    • catalog.ihsn.org
    Updated Sep 4, 2014
    Share
    FacebookFacebook
    TwitterTwitter
    Email
    Click to copy link
    Link copied
    Close
    Cite
    David McKenzie (2014). Large-Scale Financial Education Program Impact Evaluation 2011-2012 - Mexico [Dataset]. https://microdata.worldbank.org/index.php/catalog/2049
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    Sep 4, 2014
    Dataset provided by
    Gabriel Lara Ibarra
    David McKenzie
    Miriam Bruhn
    Time period covered
    2011 - 2012
    Area covered
    Mexico
    Description

    Abstract

    To educate consumers about responsible use of financial products, many governments, non-profit organizations and financial institutions have started to provide financial literacy courses. However, participation rates for non-compulsory financial education programs are typically extremely low.

    Researchers from the World Bank conducted randomized experiments around a large-scale financial literacy course in Mexico City to understand the reasons for low take-up among a general population, and to measure the impact of this financial education course. The free, 4-hour financial literacy course was offered by a major financial institution and covered savings, retirement, and credit use. Motivated by different theoretical and logistics reasons why individuals may not attend training, researchers randomized the treatment group into different subgroups, which received incentives designed to provide evidence on some key barriers to take-up. These incentives included monetary payments for attendance equivalent to $36 or $72 USD, a one-month deferred payment of $36 USD, free cost transportation to the training location, and a video CD with positive testimonials about the training.

    A follow-up survey conducted on clients of financial institutions six months after the course was used to measure the impacts of the training on financial knowledge, behaviors and outcomes, all relating to topics covered in the course.

    The baseline dataset documented here is administrative data received from a screener that was used to get people to enroll in the financial course. The follow-up dataset contains data from the follow-up questionnaire.

    Geographic coverage

    Mexico City

    Analysis unit

    -Individuals

    Universe

    Participants in a financial education evaluation

    Kind of data

    Sample survey data [ssd]

    Sampling procedure

    Researchers used three different approaches to obtain a sample for the experiment.

    The first one was to send 40,000 invitation letters from a collaborating financial institution asking about interest in participating. However, only 42 clients (0.1 percent) expressed interest.

    The second approach was to advertise through Facebook, with an ad displayed 16 million times to individuals residing in Mexico City, receiving 119 responses.

    The third approach was to conduct screener surveys on streets in Mexico City and outside branches of the partner institution. Together this yielded a total sample of 3,503 people. Researchers divided this sample into a control group of 1,752 individuals, and a treatment group of 1,751 individuals, using stratified randomization. A key variable used in stratification was whether or not individuals were financial institution clients. The analysis of treatment impacts is based on the sample of 2,178 individuals who were financial institution clients.

    The treatment group received an invitation to participate in the financial education course and the control group did not receive this invitation. Those who were selected for treatment were given a reminder call the day before their training session, which was at a day and time of their choosing.

    Mode of data collection

    Face-to-face [f2f]

    Research instrument

    The follow-up survey was conducted between February and July 2012 to measure post-training financial knowledge, behavior and outcomes. The questionnaire was relatively short (about 15 minutes) to encourage participation.

    Interviewers first attempted to conduct the follow-up survey over the phone. If the person did not respond to the survey during the first attempt, researchers offered one a 500 pesos (US$36) Walmart gift card for completing the survey during the second attempt. If the person was still unavailable for the phone interview, a surveyor visited his/her house to conduct a face-to-face interview. If the participant was not at home, the surveyor delivered a letter with information about the study and instructions for how to participate in the survey and to receive the Walmart gift card. Surveyors made two more attempts (three attempts in total) to conduct a face-to-face interview if a respondent was not at home.

    Response rate

    72.8 percent of the sample was interviewed in the follow-up survey. The attrition rate was slightly higher in the treatment group (29 percent) than in the control group (25.3 percent).

  13. T

    Pakistan Interest Rate

    • tradingeconomics.com
    • jp.tradingeconomics.com
    • +13more
    csv, excel, json, xml
    Updated Sep 15, 2025
    Share
    FacebookFacebook
    TwitterTwitter
    Email
    Click to copy link
    Link copied
    Close
    Cite
    TRADING ECONOMICS (2025). Pakistan Interest Rate [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/pakistan/interest-rate
    Explore at:
    csv, xml, excel, jsonAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Sep 15, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Feb 3, 1992 - Oct 27, 2025
    Area covered
    Pakistan
    Description

    The benchmark interest rate in Pakistan was last recorded at 11 percent. This dataset provides - Pakistan Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

  14. H

    The Impact of Financial Openness on the Size of Utility-enhancing Government...

    • dataverse.harvard.edu
    Updated Sep 8, 2017
    + more versions
    Share
    FacebookFacebook
    TwitterTwitter
    Email
    Click to copy link
    Link copied
    Close
    Cite
    Iñaki Erauskin (2017). The Impact of Financial Openness on the Size of Utility-enhancing Government [Dataset] [Dataset]. http://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/MXN1R8
    Explore at:
    CroissantCroissant is a format for machine-learning datasets. Learn more about this at mlcommons.org/croissant.
    Dataset updated
    Sep 8, 2017
    Dataset provided by
    Harvard Dataverse
    Authors
    Iñaki Erauskin
    License

    CC0 1.0 Universal Public Domain Dedicationhttps://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    2013
    Area covered
    global
    Description

    This paper studies the impact of financial openness on the size of government, and other key economic variables, such as the consumption-wealth ratio, the growth rate of wealth, and welfare, in a two-country world, based on a portfolio approach, assuming that public spending is utility-enhancing. The model suggests that the size of government, the consumption-wealth ratio, and welfare should be higher in an open economy due to a higher productivity and/or less volatility through risk sharing. The theoretical results for the growth rate depend on differences on productivities and consumption-wealth ratios. The empirical evidence based on a sample of 50 countries for the period 1970-2009 broadly supports the main theoretical results of the model, even though the inclusion of Singapore distorts sometimes the broad picture.

  15. f

    Comparison of GCPI and SIBOR.

    • datasetcatalog.nlm.nih.gov
    • plos.figshare.com
    Updated Aug 11, 2023
    Share
    FacebookFacebook
    TwitterTwitter
    Email
    Click to copy link
    Link copied
    Close
    Cite
    Yang, Qiong; Zhang, Jingru; Luan, Jingdong; Ding, Shiting; Zhang, Yanming; Pan, Qintian (2023). Comparison of GCPI and SIBOR. [Dataset]. https://datasetcatalog.nlm.nih.gov/dataset?q=0000970076
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    Aug 11, 2023
    Authors
    Yang, Qiong; Zhang, Jingru; Luan, Jingdong; Ding, Shiting; Zhang, Yanming; Pan, Qintian
    Description

    The Chinese economy has undergone a long-term transition reform, but there is still a planned economy characteristic in the financial sector, which is financial repression. Due to the existence of financial repression, China’s actual interest rate level should be lower than the Consumer Price Index (CPI). However, based on official China’s interest rates and CPI, over half of the years China’s actual interest rate remained higher than CPI by our calculation from 1999 to 2022. This is inconsistent with the financial repression that exists in China, and the main reason is the calculation methods of China’s CPI. China’s CPI measurement system originated from the planned economy era, which did not fully consider the rise in housing purchase prices, so the current CPI measurement system can be more realistically presented by taking the rise in housing prices into consider. The core idea of this study is to mining relevant official statistical data and calculate the proportion of Chinese residents’ expenditure on purchasing houses to their total expenditure. By taking the proportion of house purchases as the weight of house price factor, and taking the proportion of other consumption as the weight of official CPI, the Generalized CPI (GCPI) is formulated. The GCPI is then compared with market interest rates to determine the actual interest rate situation in China over the past 20 years. This study has found that if GCPI is used as a measure, China’s real interest rates have been negative for most years since 1999. Chinese residents have suffered the negative effects of financial repression over the past 20 years, and their property income cannot keep up with the actual losses caused by inflation. Therefore, it is believed that China’s CPI calculation method should be adjusted to take into account the rise in housing prices, so China’s actual inflation level could be more accurately reflected. In view of the above, deepening interest rate marketization reform and expand channels for financial investment are the future development goals of China’s financial system.

  16. Descriptive statistics.

    • plos.figshare.com
    xls
    Updated Apr 17, 2024
    + more versions
    Share
    FacebookFacebook
    TwitterTwitter
    Email
    Click to copy link
    Link copied
    Close
    Cite
    Petre Caraiani; Alina Mihaela Dima; Cristian Păun; Tănase Stamule; Madalina Vanesa Vargas (2024). Descriptive statistics. [Dataset]. http://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0302012.t002
    Explore at:
    xlsAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Apr 17, 2024
    Dataset provided by
    PLOShttp://plos.org/
    Authors
    Petre Caraiani; Alina Mihaela Dima; Cristian Păun; Tănase Stamule; Madalina Vanesa Vargas
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Description

    The research delves into the underexplored area of how production network structures influence the severity of economic downturns, particularly during the last financial crisis. Utilizing the RSTAN database from the OECD, we meticulously derived critical measures from the input-output matrices for 61 economies. Our methodology entailed a panel analysis spanning from 2008 to 2010, which is a period marked by significant recessionary pressures. This analysis aimed to correlate economic performance with various production network metrics, taking into account control factors such as interest rates and the prevalence of service sectors. The findings reveal a noteworthy positive correlation between the density of production networks and economic resilience during the crisis, which remained consistent across multiple model specifications. Conversely, as anticipated, higher interest rates were linked to poorer economic performance, highlighting the critical interplay between monetary policy and economic outcomes during periods of financial instability. Given these insights, we propose a policy recommendation emphasizing the strategic enhancement of production network density as a potential buffer against economic downturns. This approach suggests that policymakers should consider the structural aspects of production networks in designing economic stability and growth strategies, thus potentially mitigating the impacts of future financial crises.

  17. g

    Replication data for: Persistent Liquidity Effects and Long-Run Money Demand...

    • datasearch.gesis.org
    • openicpsr.org
    Updated Oct 13, 2019
    Share
    FacebookFacebook
    TwitterTwitter
    Email
    Click to copy link
    Link copied
    Close
    Cite
    Alvarez, Fernando; Lippi, Francesco (2019). Replication data for: Persistent Liquidity Effects and Long-Run Money Demand [Dataset]. http://doi.org/10.3886/E114297
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    Oct 13, 2019
    Dataset provided by
    da|ra (Registration agency for social science and economic data)
    Authors
    Alvarez, Fernando; Lippi, Francesco
    Description

    We present a monetary model with segmented asset markets that implies a persistent fall in interest rates after a once and for all increase in liquidity. The gradual propagation mechanism produced by our model is novel in the literature. We provide an analytical characterization of this mechanism, showing that the magnitude of the liquidity effect on impact, and its persistence, depend on the ratio of two parameters: the long-run interest rate elasticity of money demand and the intertemporal substitution elasticity. The model simultaneously explains the short-run "instability" of money demand estimates as-well-as the stability of long-run interest-elastic money demand.

  18. m

    Data from: Dataset of calibrated simulations of the Chilean pensions by...

    • data.mendeley.com
    • narcis.nl
    Updated May 4, 2021
    Share
    FacebookFacebook
    TwitterTwitter
    Email
    Click to copy link
    Link copied
    Close
    Cite
    Carlos Madeira (2021). Dataset of calibrated simulations of the Chilean pensions by cohorts under different policy reforms until 2055 [Dataset]. http://doi.org/10.17632/bgxv7rtv2v.1
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    May 4, 2021
    Authors
    Carlos Madeira
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Area covered
    Chile
    Description

    This data provides projections of replacement ratios of the pension income relative to the last labor earnings for the Chilean cohorts of retirees between 2015 and 2055. Time series are presented for the percentiles 1, 5, 10, 25, 50, 75, 90, 95 and 99 of each cohort to fully characterize the heterogeneity of the living standards during retirement over the entire period. The datasets are available in Excel and Stata. The dataset is useful for academics, policy makers and financial analysts to plot the impact of policies such as increasing the contribution rate or delaying the retirement age on the pension income of future retirees for each generation between 2015 and 2055.

  19. T

    Argentina Overnight Repo Rate

    • tradingeconomics.com
    • tr.tradingeconomics.com
    • +13more
    csv, excel, json, xml
    Updated Jan 17, 2025
    Share
    FacebookFacebook
    TwitterTwitter
    Email
    Click to copy link
    Link copied
    Close
    Cite
    TRADING ECONOMICS (2025). Argentina Overnight Repo Rate [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/argentina/interest-rate
    Explore at:
    excel, xml, json, csvAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Jan 17, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Jun 8, 2005 - Oct 31, 2025
    Area covered
    Argentina
    Description

    The benchmark interest rate in Argentina was last recorded at 29 percent. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - Argentina Money Market Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

  20. p

    Ukraine Number Dataset

    • listtodata.com
    • st.listtodata.com
    .csv, .xls, .txt
    Updated Jul 17, 2025
    Share
    FacebookFacebook
    TwitterTwitter
    Email
    Click to copy link
    Link copied
    Close
    Cite
    List to Data (2025). Ukraine Number Dataset [Dataset]. https://listtodata.com/ukraine-dataset
    Explore at:
    .csv, .xls, .txtAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Jul 17, 2025
    Authors
    List to Data
    License

    CC0 1.0 Universal Public Domain Dedicationhttps://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Jan 1, 2025 - Dec 31, 2025
    Area covered
    Ukraine
    Variables measured
    phone numbers, Email Address, full name, Address, City, State, gender,age,income,ip address,
    Description

    Ukraine number dataset is a precious source for your telemarketing at this time. In other words, you need to do marketing to make people aware of your services. Also, without proper marketing, your business won’t be able to reach its maximum potential. Similarly, to ensure the maximum reach of any services or products you need to promote them in all possible mediums. The Ukraine number dataset from List To Data can be the best buy of all. We all know that in this digital era, actually, it is difficult to sell anything without marketing. So, this contact directory can change the whole scenario for anyone. Ukraine phone data will come in handy and at an affordable price. In fact, it will help promote products to a huge audience through the telephone. As we all know, a total of 55.64 million cellular mobile connections were active in this country, so it would be foolish not to use this list for marketing. Hence, with this authentic Ukraine phone data, you can hope to get the best possible outcome. In short, your business will see massive growth with the country’s mobile number database. Ukraine phone data can be used in any of your preferred CRM systems smoothly and you can analyze the results of your campaigns more easily. Besides, we add basic info about the people on our list, so anyone can use them to segment your leads. It will make your marketing more targeted and increase the prospect of success. Ukraine phone number list will be a useful marketing resource. SMS marketing costs less than other traditional methods, so it will save you money. In addition, your business will progress smoothly with a high ROI. Not only that, but it will also have an impact on your branding. So, take your business to the next level with our most updated and active number data. Ukraine phone number list is a cost-friendly resource that you can buy now from List To Data. Likewise, we guarantee a high accuracy rate for this list as well as a high delivery rate for your messages. So, you can be sure of the advantages that your business will get from our list.

Share
FacebookFacebook
TwitterTwitter
Email
Click to copy link
Link copied
Close
Cite
Abhishek Bhatnagar (2024). US Financial Indicators - 1974 to 2024 [Dataset]. https://www.kaggle.com/datasets/abhishekb7/us-financial-indicators-1974-to-2024
Organization logo

US Financial Indicators - 1974 to 2024

U.S. Economic and Financial Dataset

Explore at:
zip(15336 bytes)Available download formats
Dataset updated
Nov 25, 2024
Authors
Abhishek Bhatnagar
License

https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/

Area covered
United States
Description

U.S. Economic and Financial Dataset

Dataset Description

This dataset combines historical U.S. economic and financial indicators, spanning the last 50 years, to facilitate time series analysis and uncover patterns in macroeconomic trends. It is designed for exploring relationships between interest rates, inflation, economic growth, stock market performance, and industrial production.

Key Features

  • Frequency: Monthly
  • Time Period: Last 50 years from Nov-24
  • Sources:
    • Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED)
    • Yahoo Finance

Dataset Feature Description

  1. Interest Rate (Interest_Rate):

    • The effective federal funds rate, representing the interest rate at which depository institutions trade federal funds overnight.
  2. Inflation (Inflation):

    • The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers, an indicator of inflation trends.
  3. GDP (GDP):

    • Real GDP measures the inflation-adjusted value of goods and services produced in the U.S.
  4. Unemployment Rate (Unemployment):

    • The percentage of the labor force that is unemployed and actively seeking work.
  5. Stock Market Performance (S&P500):

    • Monthly average of the adjusted close price, representing stock market trends.
  6. Industrial Production (Ind_Prod):

    • A measure of real output in the industrial sector, including manufacturing, mining, and utilities.

Dataset Statistics

  1. Total Entries: 599
  2. Columns: 6
  3. Memory usage: 37.54 kB
  4. Data types: float64

Feature Overview

  • Columns:
    • Interest_Rate: Monthly Federal Funds Rate (%)
    • Inflation: CPI (All Urban Consumers, Index)
    • GDP: Real GDP (Billions of Chained 2012 Dollars)
    • Unemployment: Unemployment Rate (%)
    • Ind_Prod: Industrial Production Index (2017=100)
    • S&P500: Monthly Average of S&P 500 Adjusted Close Prices

Executive Summary

This project explores the interconnected dynamics of key macroeconomic indicators and financial market trends over the past 50 years, leveraging data from the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) and Yahoo Finance. The dataset integrates critical variables such as the Federal Funds Rate, Inflation (CPI), Real GDP, Unemployment Rate, Industrial Production, and the S&P 500 Index, providing a holistic view of the U.S. economy and financial markets.

The analysis focuses on uncovering relationships between these variables through time-series visualization, correlation analysis, and trend decomposition. Key findings are included in the Insights section. This project serves as a robust resource for understanding long-term economic trends, policy impacts, and market behavior. It is particularly valuable for students, researchers, policymakers, and financial analysts seeking to connect macroeconomic theory with real-world data.

Potential Use Cases

  • Economic Analysis: Examine relationships between interest rates, inflation, GDP, and unemployment.
  • Stock Market Prediction: Study how macroeconomic indicators influence stock market trends.
  • Time Series Modeling: Perform ARIMA, VAR, or other models to forecast economic trends.
  • Cyclic Pattern Analysis: Identify how economic shocks and recoveries impact key indicators.

Snap of Power Analysis

imagehttps://github.com/user-attachments/assets/1b40e0ca-7d2e-4fbc-8cfd-df3f09e4fdb8">

To ensure sufficient power, the dataset covers last 50 years of monthly data i.e., around 600 entries.

Key Insights derived through EDA, time-series visualization, correlation analysis, and trend decomposition

  • Interest Rate and Inflation Dynamics: The interest Rate and inflation exhibit an inverse relationship, especially during periods of aggressive monetary tightening by the Federal Reserve.
  • Economic Growth and Market Performance: GDP growth and the S&P 500 Index show a positive correlation, reflecting how market performance often aligns with overall economic health.
  • Labor Market and Industrial Output: Unemployment and industrial production demonstrate a strong inverse relationship. Higher industrial output is typically associated with lower unemployment
  • Market Behavior During Economic Shocks: The S&P 500 experienced sharp declines during significant crises, such as the 2008 financial crash and the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. These events also triggered increased unemployment and contractions in GDP, highlighting the interplay between markets and the broader economy.
  • Correlation Highlights: S&P 500 and GDP have a strong positive correlation. Interest rates negatively correlate with GDP and inflation, reflecting monetary policy impacts. Unemployment is negatively correlated with industrial production but positively correlated with interest rates.

Link to GitHub Repo

https:/...

Search
Clear search
Close search
Google apps
Main menu