By the year 2030, it is projected that China will eclipse the United States and have the largest gross domestic product (GDP) in the world, at 31.7 trillion U.S. dollars. The United States is projected to have the second largest GDP, at 22.9 trillion U.S. dollars.

What is gross domestic product?

Gross domestic product, or GDP, is an economic measure of a country’s production in time. It includes all goods and services produced by a country and is used by economists to determine the health of a country’s economy. However, since GDP just shows the size of an economy and is not adjusted for the country’s size, this can make direct country comparisons complicated.

The growth of the global economy

Currently, the United States has the largest GDP in the world, at 20.5 trillion U.S. dollars. China has the second largest GDP, at 13.4 trillion U.S. dollars. In the coming years, production will become faster and more global, which will help to grow the global economy.

The statistic shows global gross domestic product (GDP) from 1985 to 2022, with projections up until 2029. In 2020, global GDP amounted to about 85.52 trillion U.S. dollars, two and a half trillion lower than in 2019. Gross domestic product Gross domestic product, also known as GDP, is the accumulated value of all finished goods and services produced in a country, often measured annually. GDP is significant in determining the economic health, growth and productivity in the country, and is a stat often used when comparing several countries at a time, most likely in order to determine which country has seen the most progress. Until 2020, Global GDP had experienced a growth every year since 2010. However, a strong growth rate does not necessarily lead to all positive outcomes and often has a negative effect on inflation rates. A severe growth in GDP leads to lower unemployment, however lower unemployment often leads to higher inflation rates due to demand increasing at a much higher rate than supply and as a result prices rise accordingly. In terms of unemployment, growth had been fairly stagnant since the economic downturn of 2007-2009, but it remains to be seen what the total impact of the coronavirus pandemic will be on total employment.

The average for 2024 based on 184 countries was 3.25 percent. The highest value was in Guyana: 43.81 percent and the lowest value was in Sudan: -20.27 percent. The indicator is available from 1980 to 2028. Below is a chart for all countries where data are available.

This statistic shows the projected top ten largest national economies in 2050. By 2050, China is forecasted to have a gross domestic product of over 58 trillion U.S. dollars.

In most years since 1980, global GDP growth has been relatively consistent, generally fluctuating between two and five percent growth from year to year. The most notable exceptions to this were during the Great Recession in 2009, and again in 2020 during the Covid-19 pandemic, where the global economy actually shrank in both of these years. As the world economy continues to deal with the economic impact of the pandemic, as well as the fallout from Russia's invasion of Ukraine in 2022, the future remains uncertain, however current estimates suggest that annual growth will return to steady figures of around 3 percent in 2029.

In 2024, the United States had the largest economy in the world, with a gross domestic product of just under 29 trillion U.S. dollars. China had the second largest economy, at around 18.5 trillion U.S. dollars. Recent adjustments in the list have seen Germany's economy overtake Japan's to become the third-largest in the world in 2023, while Brazil's economy moved ahead of Italy's in 2024. Global gross domestic product Global gross domestic product amounts to almost 110 trillion U.S. dollars, with the United States making up more than one-quarter of this figure alone. The 12 largest economies in the world include all Group of Seven (G7) economies, as well as the four largest BRICS economies. The U.S. has consistently had the world's largest economy since the interwar period, and while previous reports estimated it would be overtaken by China in the 2020s, more recent projections estimate the U.S. economy will remain the largest by a considerable margin going into the 2030s.The gross domestic product of a country is calculated by taking spending and trade into account, to show how much the country can produce in a certain amount of time, usually per year. It represents the value of all goods and services produced during that year. Those countries considered to have emerging or developing economies account for almost 60 percent of global gross domestic product, while advanced economies make up over 40 percent.

Since the beginning of the 21st century, the BRICS countries have been considered the five foremost developing economies in the world. Originally, the term BRIC was used by economists when talking about the emerging economies of Brazil, Russia, India, and China, however these countries have held annual summits since 2009, and the group has expanded to include South Africa since 2010. China has the largest GDP of the BRICS country, at 16.86 trillion U.S. dollars in 2021, while the others are all below three trillion. Combined, the BRICS bloc has a GDP over 25.85 trillion U.S. dollars in 2022, which is slightly more than the United States. BRICS economic development China has consistently been the largest economy of this bloc, and its rapid growth has seen it become the second largest economy in the world, behind the U.S.. China's growth has also been much faster than the other BRICS countries; for example, when compared with the second largest BRICS economy, its GDP was less than double the size of Brazil's in 2000, but is almost six times larger than India's in 2021. Since 2000, the country with the second largest GDP has fluctuated between Brazil, Russia, and India, due to a variety of factors, although India has held this position since 2015 (when the other two experienced recession), and it's growth rate is on track to surpass China's in the coming decade. South Africa has consistently had the smallest economy of the BRICS bloc, and it has just the third largest economy in Africa; its inclusion in this group is due to the fact that it is the most advanced and stable major economy in Africa, and it holds strategic importance due to the financial potential of the continent in the coming decades. Future developments It is predicted that China's GDP will overtake that of the U.S. by the end of the 2020s, to become the largest economy in the world, while some also estimate that India will also overtake the U.S. around the middle of the century. Additionally, the BRICS group is more than just an economic or trading bloc, and its New Development Bank was established in 2014 to invest in sustainable infrastructure and renewable energy across the globe. While relations between its members were often strained or of less significance in the 20th century, their current initiatives have given them a much greater international influence. The traditional great powers represented in the Group of Seven (G7) have seen their international power wane in recent decades, while BRICS countries have seen theirs grow, especially on a regional level. Today, the original BRIC countries combine with the Group of Seven (G7), to make up 11 of the world's 12 largest economies, but it is predicted that they will move further up on this list in the coming decades.

1. Temporal Coverage of Data: The data collection periods are 2010, 2030, and 2050.2. Spatial Coverage and Projection:Spatial Coverage: GlobalLongitude: -180° - 180°Latitude: -90° - 90°Projection: GCS_WGS_19843. Disciplinary Scope: The data pertains to the fields of Earth Sciences and Geography.4. Data Volume: The total data volume is approximately 31.5 MB.5. Data Type: Raster (GeoTIFF)6. Thumbnail (illustrating dataset content or observation process/scene): · 7. Field (Feature) Name Explanation:a. Name Explanation: IND: Industrial Value Addedb. Unit of Measurement: Unit: US Dollars (USD)8. Data Source Description:a. Remote Sensing Data:2010 Global Vegetation Index data (Enhanced Vegetation Index, EVI, from MODIS monthly average data) and 2010 Nighttime Light Remote Sensing data (DMSP/OLS)b. Meteorological Data:From the CMCC-CM model in the Fifth International Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) published by the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)c. Statistical Data:From the World Development Indicators dataset of the World Bank and various national statistical agenciesd. Gross Domestic Product Data:Sourced from the project "Study on the Harmful Processes of Population and Economic Systems under Global Change" under the National Key R&D Program "Mechanisms and Assessment of Risks in Population and Economic Systems under Global Change," led by Researcher Sun Fubao at the Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciencese. Other Data:Rivers, roads, settlements, and DEM, sourced from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), Global Risk Data Platform, and Natural Earth9. Data Processing Methods(1) Spatialization of Baseline Industrial Value Added: Using 2010 global EVI vegetation index data and nighttime light remote sensing data, we addressed the oversaturation issue in nighttime light data by constructing an adjusted nighttime light index to obtain the optimal global light data. The EANTIL model was developed using NTL, NTLn, and EVI data, with the following formula:Here, EANTLI represents the adjusted nighttime light index, NTL represents the original nighttime light intensity value, and NTLn represents the normalized nighttime light intensity value. Based on the optimal light index EANTLI and the industrial value-added data from the World Bank, we constructed a regression allocation model to derive industrial value added (I), generating the global 2010 industrial value-added data with the formula:Here, I represents the industrial value added for each grid cell, and Ii represents the industrial value added for each country, EANTLi derived from ArcGIS statistical analysis and the regression allocation model.(2) Spatial Boundaries for Future Industrial Value Added: Using the Logistic-CA-Markov simulation principle and global land use data from 2010 and 2015 (from the European Space Agency), we simulated national land use changes for 2030 and 2050 and extracted urban land data as the spatial boundaries for future industrial value added. To comprehensively characterize the influence of different factors on land use and considering the research scale, we selected elevation, slope, population, GDP, distance to rivers, and distance to roads as land use driving factors. Accuracy validation using global 2015 land use data showed an average accuracy of 91.89%.(3) Estimation of Future Industrial Value Added: Based on machine learning and using the random forest model, we constructed spatialization models for industrial value added under different climate change scenarios: Here, tem represents temperature, prep represents precipitation, GDP represents national economic output, L represents urban land, D represents slope, and P represents population. The random forest model was constructed using factors such as 2010 industrial value added, urban land distribution, elevation, slope, distances to rivers, roads, railways (considering transportation), and settlements (considering noise and environmental pollution from industrial buildings), along with temperature and precipitation as climate scenario data. Except for varying temperature and precipitation values across scenarios, other variables remained constant. The model comprised 100 decision trees, with each iteration randomly selecting 90% of the samples for model construction and using the remaining 10% as test data, achieving a training sample accuracy of 0.94 and a test sample accuracy of 0.81.By analyzing the proportion of industrial value added to GDP (average from 2000 to 2020, data from the World Bank) and projected GDP under future Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs), we derived future industrial value added for each country under different SSP scenarios. Using these projections, we constructed regression models to allocate future industrial value added proportionally, resulting in spatial distribution data for 2030 and 2050 under different SSP scenarios.10. Applications and Achievements of the Dataseta. Primary Application Areas: This dataset is mainly applied in environmental protection, ecological construction, pollution prevention and control, and the prevention and forecasting of natural disasters.b. Achievements in Application (Awards, Published Reports and Articles):Achievements: Developed a method for downscaling national-scale industrial value-added data by integrating DMSP/OLS nighttime light data, vegetation distribution, and other data. Published the global industrial value-added dataset.

Vietnam’s real gross domestic product (GDP) has been experiencing positive growth for the past five years since 2019, and is projected to continue to do so through 2029. In 2023, Vietnam’s real GDP increased by around five percent compared to the previous year.

Learning from real GDP

Real gross domestic product (GDP) is a measure that reflects the value of all goods and services an economy produces within a given year. It is expressed in base-year prices, and is thus an inflation-adjusted way to compare a country’s economic output through the years. The GDP growth rate is a significant indicator of a country’s economic health, as it reacts to the economy’s expansions and contractions.

Vietnam’s optimistic future

As indicated by the positive growth rate of its real GDP, Vietnam’s economy is expanding due to growth in exports, domestic demand, and the manufacturing sector. As the economy expands, so does the total expenditure of Vietnamese consumers. The average monthly income per capita in Vietnam increased to almost 3.8 percent in 2018, and is spent on fast moving consumer goods from popular brands like Vinamilk and P/S.

In 2022, the estimated total GDP of all ASEAN states amounted to approximately 3.67 trillion U.S. dollars, a significant increase from the previous years. In fact, the GDP of the ASEAN region has been skyrocketing for a few years now, reflecting the region’s thriving economy. Power in the EastThe Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) comprises Brunei, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Myanmar, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam. It was established in 1967 among five of these countries (Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Singapore, and the Philippines) to facilitate trade and economic growth, as well as promote cultural development and social structures in the region. To date, they have been joined by another five nations. The ASEAN marketThe founding of the ASEAN organization provides the collaborating nations with more autonomy and influence on the global economy than they would have had by themselves. Additionally, struggling participating countries, such as Laos, are given an opportunity to grow on an ASEAN single market.

The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in Malaysia was worth 399.65 billion US dollars in 2023, according to official data from the World Bank. The GDP value of Malaysia represents 0.38 percent of the world economy. This dataset provides - Malaysia GDP - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

According to preliminary figures, the growth of real gross domestic product (GDP) in China amounted to 5.0 percent in 2024. For 2025, the IMF expects a GDP growth rate of around 4.6 percent. Real GDP growth The current gross domestic product is an important indicator of the economic strength of a country. It refers to the total market value of all goods and services that are produced within a country per year. When analyzing year-on-year changes, the current GDP is adjusted for inflation, thus making it constant. Real GDP growth is regarded as a key indicator for economic growth as it incorporates constant GDP figures. As of 2023, China was among the leading countries with the largest gross domestic product worldwide, second only to the United States which had a GDP volume of almost 27.5 trillion U.S. dollars. The Chinese GDP has shown remarkable growth over the past years. Upon closer examination of the distribution of GDP across economic sectors, a gradual shift from an economy heavily based on industrial production towards an economy focused on services becomes visible, with the service industry outpacing the manufacturing sector in terms of GDP contribution. Key indicator balance of trade Another important indicator for economic assessment is the balance of trade, which measures the relationship between imports and exports of a nation. As an economy heavily reliant on manufacturing and industrial production, China has reached a trade surplus over the last decade, with a total trade balance of around 823 billion U.S. dollars in 2023.

The statistic shows the growth rate in the real GDP in the United Kingdom from 2019 to 2023, with projections up until 2029. In 2023, the rate of GDP growth in the United Kingdom was at around 0.34 percent compared to the previous year.The economy of the United KingdomGDP is used an indicator as to the shape of a national economy. It is one of the most regularly called upon measurements regarding the economic fitness of a country. GDP is the total market value of all final goods and services that have been produced in a country within a given period of time, usually a year. Inflation adjusted real GDP figures serve as an even more telling indication of a country’s economic state in that they act as a more reliable and clear tool as to a nation’s economic health. The gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate in the United Kingdom has started to level in recent years after taking a huge body blow in the financial collapse of 2008. The UK managed to rise from the state of dark desperation it was in between 2009 and 2010, from -3.97 to 1.8 percent. The country suffered acutely from the collapse of the banking industry, raising a number of questions within the UK with regards to the country’s heavy reliance on revenues coming from London's financial sector, arguably the most important in the world and one of the globe’s financial command centers. Since the collapse of the post-war consensus and the rise of Thatcherism, the United Kingdom has been swept along in a wave of individualism - collective ideals have been abandoned and the mass privatisation of the heavy industries was unveiled - opening them up to market competition and shifting the economic focus to that of service.The Big Bang policy, one of the cornerstones of the Thatcher government programs of reform, involved mass and sudden deregulation of financial markets. This led to huge changes in the way the financial markets in London work, and saw the many old firms being absorbed by big banks. This, one could argue, strengthened the UK financial sector greatly and while frivolous and dangerous practices brought the sector into great disrepute, the city of London alone brings in around one fifth of the countries national income making it a very prominent contributor to wealth in the UK.

In 2022, GDP per capita in Vietnam amounted to around 4,101.73 U.S. dollars. GDP is the total value of all goods and services produced in a country in a year. It is considered to be a very important indicator of the economic strength of a country and a positive change is an indicator of economic growth.

Vietnam’s economy In the last decade, the Vietnamese economy has experienced consistent economic growth with a six to seven percent increase in GDP from year to year. The country’s economy is fueled by its exports of natural resources and agricultural products, though since 2008 its information technology hardware exports have risen substantially. Vietnam’s agriculture and service sectors generate over 56 percent of Vietnam’s gross domestic product.

Vietnam’s population

The majority of Vietnam’s population works in the agriculture or service industries, and the country has one of the world’s lowest unemployment rates at just 1.8 percent in 2018. The population is relatively young, with the median age expected to reach 32.5 years by 2020. The median age has increased significantly from its low point of 18.2 years in 1970, around the time Vietnam was being devastated by war. Since then, the country’s population has increased as well, reaching over 94 million people in 2018.

In 2023, Taiwan’s gross domestic product amounted to around 755.67 billion U.S. dollars. Gross domestic product (GDP) denotes the aggregate value of all services and goods produced within a country in any given year. Taiwan’s GDP is projected to reach 956.17 billion U.S. dollars by 2029. Taiwan has the largest economy of any nation not a member of the United Nations (UN). Analyzing Taiwan’s economy Taiwan’s services sector generates the highest share of its GDP, at around 62 percent, though its industry sector also contributes about 35 percent to overall GDP in Taiwan. During the last decade, Taiwan has consistently held a trade surplus, and is known for its exports of electronics, machinery, and petrochemicals. Taiwan’s population Taiwan is a densely populated state, with a total population of about 23 million people, most of whom are between the ages of 15-64 years. Many members of the population are working; the unemployment rate was at only 3.8 percent in 2017. As one of the world’s technology hardware centers, Taiwan’s work force is comprised of high-skilled workers capable of navigating new technologies, such as artificial intelligence and blockchain.

The inflation rate in the United States is expected to decrease to 2.1 percent by 2029. 2022 saw a year of exceptionally high inflation, reaching eight percent for the year. The data represents U.S. city averages. The base period was 1982-84. In economics, the inflation rate is a measurement of inflation, the rate of increase of a price index (in this case: consumer price index). It is the percentage rate of change in prices level over time. The rate of decrease in the purchasing power of money is approximately equal. According to the forecast, prices will increase by 2.9 percent in 2024. The annual inflation rate for previous years can be found here and the consumer price index for all urban consumers here. The monthly inflation rate for the United States can also be accessed here. Inflation in the U.S.Inflation is a term used to describe a general rise in the price of goods and services in an economy over a given period of time. Inflation in the United States is calculated using the consumer price index (CPI). The consumer price index is a measure of change in the price level of a preselected market basket of consumer goods and services purchased by households. This forecast of U.S. inflation was prepared by the International Monetary Fund. They project that inflation will stay higher than average throughout 2023, followed by a decrease to around roughly two percent annual rise in the general level of prices until 2028. Considering the annual inflation rate in the United States in 2021, a two percent inflation rate is a very moderate projection. The 2022 spike in inflation in the United States and worldwide is due to a variety of factors that have put constraints on various aspects of the economy. These factors include COVID-19 pandemic spending and supply-chain constraints, disruptions due to the war in Ukraine, and pandemic related changes in the labor force. Although the moderate inflation of prices between two and three percent is considered normal in a modern economy, countries’ central banks try to prevent severe inflation and deflation to keep the growth of prices to a minimum. Severe inflation is considered dangerous to a country’s economy because it can rapidly diminish the population’s purchasing power and thus damage the GDP .