Based on a comparison of coronavirus deaths in 210 countries relative to their population, Peru had the most losses to COVID-19 up until July 13, 2022. As of the same date, the virus had infected over 557.8 million people worldwide, and the number of deaths had totaled more than 6.3 million. Note, however, that COVID-19 test rates can vary per country. Additionally, big differences show up between countries when combining the number of deaths against confirmed COVID-19 cases. The source seemingly does not differentiate between "the Wuhan strain" (2019-nCOV) of COVID-19, "the Kent mutation" (B.1.1.7) that appeared in the UK in late 2020, the 2021 Delta variant (B.1.617.2) from India or the Omicron variant (B.1.1.529) from South Africa.

The difficulties of death figures

This table aims to provide a complete picture on the topic, but it very much relies on data that has become more difficult to compare. As the coronavirus pandemic developed across the world, countries already used different methods to count fatalities, and they sometimes changed them during the course of the pandemic. On April 16, for example, the Chinese city of Wuhan added a 50 percent increase in their death figures to account for community deaths. These deaths occurred outside of hospitals and went unaccounted for so far. The state of New York did something similar two days before, revising their figures with 3,700 new deaths as they started to include “assumed” coronavirus victims. The United Kingdom started counting deaths in care homes and private households on April 29, adjusting their number with about 5,000 new deaths (which were corrected lowered again by the same amount on August 18). This makes an already difficult comparison even more difficult. Belgium, for example, counts suspected coronavirus deaths in their figures, whereas other countries have not done that (yet). This means two things. First, it could have a big impact on both current as well as future figures. On April 16 already, UK health experts stated that if their numbers were corrected for community deaths like in Wuhan, the UK number would change from 205 to “above 300”. This is exactly what happened two weeks later. Second, it is difficult to pinpoint exactly which countries already have “revised” numbers (like Belgium, Wuhan or New York) and which ones do not. One work-around could be to look at (freely accessible) timelines that track the reported daily increase of deaths in certain countries. Several of these are available on our platform, such as for Belgium, Italy and Sweden. A sudden large increase might be an indicator that the domestic sources changed their methodology.

Where are these numbers coming from?

The numbers shown here were collected by Johns Hopkins University, a source that manually checks the data with domestic health authorities. For the majority of countries, this is from national authorities. In some cases, like China, the United States, Canada or Australia, city reports or other various state authorities were consulted. In this statistic, these separately reported numbers were put together. For more information or other freely accessible content, please visit our dedicated Facts and Figures page.

DESCRIPTION

Johns Hopkins' county-level COVID-19 case and death data, paired with population and rates per 100,000

SUMMARY Updates April 9, 2020 The population estimate data for New York County, NY has been updated to include all five New York City counties (Kings County, Queens County, Bronx County, Richmond County and New York County). This has been done to match the Johns Hopkins COVID-19 data, which aggregates counts for the five New York City counties to New York County. April 20, 2020 Johns Hopkins death totals in the US now include confirmed and probable deaths in accordance with CDC guidelines as of April 14. One significant result of this change was an increase of more than 3,700 deaths in the New York City count. This change will likely result in increases for death counts elsewhere as well. The AP does not alter the Johns Hopkins source data, so probable deaths are included in this dataset as well. April 29, 2020 The AP is now providing timeseries data for counts of COVID-19 cases and deaths. The raw counts are provided here unaltered, along with a population column with Census ACS-5 estimates and calculated daily case and death rates per 100,000 people. Please read the updated caveats section for more information.

Overview The AP is using data collected by the Johns Hopkins University Center for Systems Science and Engineering as our source for outbreak caseloads and death counts for the United States and globally.

The Hopkins data is available at the county level in the United States. The AP has paired this data with population figures and county rural/urban designations, and has calculated caseload and death rates per 100,000 people. Be aware that caseloads may reflect the availability of tests -- and the ability to turn around test results quickly -- rather than actual disease spread or true infection rates.

This data is from the Hopkins dashboard that is updated regularly throughout the day. Like all organizations dealing with data, Hopkins is constantly refining and cleaning up their feed, so there may be brief moments where data does not appear correctly. At this link, you’ll find the Hopkins daily data reports, and a clean version of their feed.

The AP is updating this dataset hourly at 45 minutes past the hour.

To learn more about AP's data journalism capabilities for publishers, corporations and financial institutions, go here or email kromano@ap.org.

Queries Use AP's queries to filter the data or to join to other datasets we've made available to help cover the coronavirus pandemic

Filter cases by state here

Rank states by their status as current hotspots. Calculates the 7-day rolling average of new cases per capita in each state: https://data.world/associatedpress/johns-hopkins-coronavirus-case-tracker/workspace/query?queryid=481e82a4-1b2f-41c2-9ea1-d91aa4b3b1ac

Find recent hotspots within your state by running a query to calculate the 7-day rolling average of new cases by capita in each county: https://data.world/associatedpress/johns-hopkins-coronavirus-case-tracker/workspace/query?queryid=b566f1db-3231-40fe-8099-311909b7b687&showTemplatePreview=true

Join county-level case data to an earlier dataset released by AP on local hospital capacity here. To find out more about the hospital capacity dataset, see the full details.

Pull the 100 counties with the highest per-capita confirmed cases here

Rank all the counties by the highest per-capita rate of new cases in the past 7 days here. Be aware that because this ranks per-capita caseloads, very small counties may rise to the very top, so take into account raw caseload figures as well.

Interactive Embed Code

Caveats This data represents the number of cases and deaths reported by each state and has been collected by Johns Hopkins from a number of sources cited on their website. In some cases, deaths or cases of people who've crossed state lines -- either to receive treatment or because they became sick and couldn't return home while traveling -- are reported in a state they aren't currently in, because of state reporting rules. In some states, there are a number of cases not assigned to a specific county -- for those cases, the county name is "unassigned to a single county" This data should be credited to Johns Hopkins University's COVID-19 tracking project. The AP is simply making it available here for ease of use for reporters and members. Caseloads may reflect the availability of tests -- and the ability to turn around test results quickly -- rather than actual disease spread or true infection rates. Population estimates at the county level are drawn from 2014-18 5-year estimates from the American Community Survey. The Urban/Rural classification scheme is from the Center for Disease Control and Preventions's National Center for Health Statistics. It puts each county into one of six categories --...

COVID-19 Trends MethodologyOur goal is to analyze and present daily updates in the form of recent trends within countries, states, or counties during the COVID-19 global pandemic. The data we are analyzing is taken directly from the Johns Hopkins University Coronavirus COVID-19 Global Cases Dashboard, though we expect to be one day behind the dashboard’s live feeds to allow for quality assurance of the data.Revisions added on 4/23/2020 are highlighted.Revisions added on 4/30/2020 are highlighted.Discussion of our assertion of an abundance of caution in assigning trends in rural counties added 5/7/2020. Correction on 6/1/2020Methodology update on 6/2/2020: This sets the length of the tail of new cases to 6 to a maximum of 14 days, rather than 21 days as determined by the last 1/3 of cases. This was done to align trends and criteria for them with U.S. CDC guidance. The impact is areas transition into Controlled trend sooner for not bearing the burden of new case 15-21 days earlier.Reasons for undertaking this work:The popular online maps and dashboards show counts of confirmed cases, deaths, and recoveries by country or administrative sub-region. Comparing the counts of one country to another can only provide a basis for comparison during the initial stages of the outbreak when counts were low and the number of local outbreaks in each country was low. By late March 2020, countries with small populations were being left out of the mainstream news because it was not easy to recognize they had high per capita rates of cases (Switzerland, Luxembourg, Iceland, etc.). Additionally, comparing countries that have had confirmed COVID-19 cases for high numbers of days to countries where the outbreak occurred recently is also a poor basis for comparison.The graphs of confirmed cases and daily increases in cases were fit into a standard size rectangle, though the Y-axis for one country had a maximum value of 50, and for another country 100,000, which potentially misled people interpreting the slope of the curve. Such misleading circumstances affected comparing large population countries to small population counties or countries with low numbers of cases to China which had a large count of cases in the early part of the outbreak. These challenges for interpreting and comparing these graphs represent work each reader must do based on their experience and ability. Thus, we felt it would be a service to attempt to automate the thought process experts would use when visually analyzing these graphs, particularly the most recent tail of the graph, and provide readers with an a resulting synthesis to characterize the state of the pandemic in that country, state, or county.The lack of reliable data for confirmed recoveries and therefore active cases. Merely subtracting deaths from total cases to arrive at this figure progressively loses accuracy after two weeks. The reason is 81% of cases recover after experiencing mild symptoms in 10 to 14 days. Severe cases are 14% and last 15-30 days (based on average days with symptoms of 11 when admitted to hospital plus 12 days median stay, and plus of one week to include a full range of severely affected people who recover). Critical cases are 5% and last 31-56 days. Sources:U.S. CDC. April 3, 2020 Interim Clinical Guidance for Management of Patients with Confirmed Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19). Accessed online. Initial older guidance was also obtained online. Additionally, many people who recover may not be tested, and many who are, may not be tracked due to privacy laws. Thus, the formula used to compute an estimate of active cases is: Active Cases = 100% of new cases in past 14 days + 19% from past 15-30 days + 5% from past 31-56 days - total deaths.We’ve never been inside a pandemic with the ability to learn of new cases as they are confirmed anywhere in the world. After reviewing epidemiological and pandemic scientific literature, three needs arose. We need to specify which portions of the pandemic lifecycle this map cover. The World Health Organization (WHO) specifies six phases. The source data for this map begins just after the beginning of Phase 5: human to human spread and encompasses Phase 6: pandemic phase. Phase six is only characterized in terms of pre- and post-peak. However, these two phases are after-the-fact analyses and cannot ascertained during the event. Instead, we describe (below) a series of five trends for Phase 6 of the COVID-19 pandemic.Choosing terms to describe the five trends was informed by the scientific literature, particularly the use of epidemic, which signifies uncontrolled spread. The five trends are: Emergent, Spreading, Epidemic, Controlled, and End Stage. Not every locale will experience all five, but all will experience at least three: emergent, controlled, and end stage.This layer presents the current trends for the COVID-19 pandemic by country (or appropriate level). There are five trends:Emergent: Early stages of outbreak. Spreading: Early stages and depending on an administrative area’s capacity, this may represent a manageable rate of spread. Epidemic: Uncontrolled spread. Controlled: Very low levels of new casesEnd Stage: No New cases These trends can be applied at several levels of administration: Local: Ex., City, District or County – a.k.a. Admin level 2State: Ex., State or Province – a.k.a. Admin level 1National: Country – a.k.a. Admin level 0Recommend that at least 100,000 persons be represented by a unit; granted this may not be possible, and then the case rate per 100,000 will become more important.Key Concepts and Basis for Methodology: 10 Total Cases minimum threshold: Empirically, there must be enough cases to constitute an outbreak. Ideally, this would be 5.0 per 100,000, but not every area has a population of 100,000 or more. Ten, or fewer, cases are also relatively less difficult to track and trace to sources. 21 Days of Cases minimum threshold: Empirically based on COVID-19 and would need to be adjusted for any other event. 21 days is also the minimum threshold for analyzing the “tail” of the new cases curve, providing seven cases as the basis for a likely trend (note that 21 days in the tail is preferred). This is the minimum needed to encompass the onset and duration of a normal case (5-7 days plus 10-14 days). Specifically, a median of 5.1 days incubation time, and 11.2 days for 97.5% of cases to incubate. This is also driven by pressure to understand trends and could easily be adjusted to 28 days. Source used as basis:Stephen A. Lauer, MS, PhD *; Kyra H. Grantz, BA *; Qifang Bi, MHS; Forrest K. Jones, MPH; Qulu Zheng, MHS; Hannah R. Meredith, PhD; Andrew S. Azman, PhD; Nicholas G. Reich, PhD; Justin Lessler, PhD. 2020. The Incubation Period of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) From Publicly Reported Confirmed Cases: Estimation and Application. Annals of Internal Medicine DOI: 10.7326/M20-0504.New Cases per Day (NCD) = Measures the daily spread of COVID-19. This is the basis for all rates. Back-casting revisions: In the Johns Hopkins’ data, the structure is to provide the cumulative number of cases per day, which presumes an ever-increasing sequence of numbers, e.g., 0,0,1,1,2,5,7,7,7, etc. However, revisions do occur and would look like, 0,0,1,1,2,5,7,7,6. To accommodate this, we revised the lists to eliminate decreases, which make this list look like, 0,0,1,1,2,5,6,6,6.Reporting Interval: In the early weeks, Johns Hopkins' data provided reporting every day regardless of change. In late April, this changed allowing for days to be skipped if no new data was available. The day was still included, but the value of total cases was set to Null. The processing therefore was updated to include tracking of the spacing between intervals with valid values.100 News Cases in a day as a spike threshold: Empirically, this is based on COVID-19’s rate of spread, or r0 of ~2.5, which indicates each case will infect between two and three other people. There is a point at which each administrative area’s capacity will not have the resources to trace and account for all contacts of each patient. Thus, this is an indicator of uncontrolled or epidemic trend. Spiking activity in combination with the rate of new cases is the basis for determining whether an area has a spreading or epidemic trend (see below). Source used as basis:World Health Organization (WHO). 16-24 Feb 2020. Report of the WHO-China Joint Mission on Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19). Obtained online.Mean of Recent Tail of NCD = Empirical, and a COVID-19-specific basis for establishing a recent trend. The recent mean of NCD is taken from the most recent fourteen days. A minimum of 21 days of cases is required for analysis but cannot be considered reliable. Thus, a preference of 42 days of cases ensures much higher reliability. This analysis is not explanatory and thus, merely represents a likely trend. The tail is analyzed for the following:Most recent 2 days: In terms of likelihood, this does not mean much, but can indicate a reason for hope and a basis to share positive change that is not yet a trend. There are two worthwhile indicators:Last 2 days count of new cases is less than any in either the past five or 14 days. Past 2 days has only one or fewer new cases – this is an extremely positive outcome if the rate of testing has continued at the same rate as the previous 5 days or 14 days. Most recent 5 days: In terms of likelihood, this is more meaningful, as it does represent at short-term trend. There are five worthwhile indicators:Past five days is greater than past 2 days and past 14 days indicates the potential of the past 2 days being an aberration. Past five days is greater than past 14 days and less than past 2 days indicates slight positive trend, but likely still within peak trend time frame.Past five days is less than the past 14 days. This means a downward trend. This would be an

In 2023, there were some *** new cases of tuberculosis per 100,000 inhabitants in Africa. This statistic depicts the incidence of tuberculosis cases worldwide in 2023, distributed by WHO region.

In 2021, there were **** deaths due to drug use disorder recorded per 100,000 people recorded in North America. This was the region with the highest death rate attributed to drug use worldwide, and was followed by the regions of Oceania and Europe, with *** and *** deaths per 100,000 population attributed to drug use, respectively. Meanwhile, the world average for the same year was *** deaths per 100,000 people.

As of January 13, 2023, Bulgaria had the highest rate of COVID-19 deaths among its population in Europe at 548.6 deaths per 100,000 population. Hungary had recorded 496.4 deaths from COVID-19 per 100,000. Furthermore, Russia had the highest number of confirmed COVID-19 deaths in Europe, at over 394 thousand.

Number of cases in Europe During the same period, across the whole of Europe, there have been over 270 million confirmed cases of COVID-19. France has been Europe's worst affected country with around 38.3 million cases, this translates to an incidence rate of approximately 58,945 cases per 100,000 population. Germany and Italy had approximately 37.6 million and 25.3 million cases respectively.

Current situation In March 2023, the rate of cases in Austria over the last seven days was 224 per 100,000 which was the highest in Europe. Luxembourg and Slovenia both followed with seven day rates of infections at 122 and 108 respectively.

Context

From World Health Organization - On 31 December 2019, WHO was alerted to several cases of pneumonia in Wuhan City, Hubei Province of China. The virus did not match any other known virus. This raised concern because when a virus is new, we do not know how it affects people.

So daily level information on the affected people can give some interesting insights when it is made available to the broader data science community.

The European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control released historical data (to 14 December 2020) on the daily number of new reported COVID-19 cases and deaths worldwide.

Content

The attributes of the dataset are the following: 1) dateRep: Date of the report

2) year_week: Week of the year

3) cases_weekly: Number of cases during the week

4) deaths_weekly: Number of deaths during the week

5) countriesAndTerritories: Country/Territory where the data was reported

6) geoId: Country/Territory id

7) countryterritoryCode: Country/Territory code

8) popData2019: Population data of the Country/Territory in 2019

9) continentExp: Continent of the Country/Territory

10) notification_rate_per_100000_population_14-days: 14-day cumulative number of reported COVID-19 cases per 100 000 population

Disclaimer: Population data in the database is taken from Eurostat for Europe and the World Bank for the rest of the world. Disclaimer: Countries that are not listed in these databases have reported no cases to WHO and no cases were identified in the public domain. The formula to calculate the 14-day cumulative number of reported COVID-19 cases per 100 000 population is (New cases over 14 day period)/Population)*100 000.

Acknowledgements

Data obtained from the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, an agency of the European Union

Load data into R

#these libraries need to be loaded library(utils) #read the Dataset sheet into “R”. The dataset will be called "data". data <- read.csv("data.csv", na.strings = "", fileEncoding = "UTF-8-BOM")

Germany: Cases of Tuberculosis per 100,000 people: The latest value from 2023 is 4.8 cases per 100,000 people, a decline from 5.1 cases per 100,000 people in 2022. In comparison, the world average is 102.34 cases per 100,000 people, based on data from 193 countries. Historically, the average for Germany from 2000 to 2023 is 6.83 cases per 100,000 people. The minimum value, 4.8 cases per 100,000 people, was reached in 2023 while the maximum of 12 cases per 100,000 people was recorded in 2000.

Understanding Global Excess Deaths During the COVID-19 Pandemic: Insights from The Economist Data

The COVID-19 pandemic has left an indelible mark on societies worldwide, not only through its direct impact on health but also through its ripple effects on various aspects of life. As we strive to comprehend the full extent of its toll, one crucial metric that emerges is excess deaths – a measure encompassing not only confirmed COVID-19 fatalities but also those indirectly caused by the pandemic. In this discourse, we delve into the comprehensive dataset provided by The Economist and processed by Our World in Data, shedding light on the central estimates and uncertainty intervals of global excess deaths.

The dataset, meticulously compiled and analyzed by The Economist, serves as a cornerstone for understanding the broader implications of the pandemic beyond official death counts. This invaluable resource, available for public scrutiny and further research, offers insights into the nuanced dynamics of excess mortality across different regions and timeframes.

Central to our exploration are the central estimates provided by The Economist, representing the best approximation of excess deaths attributable to the pandemic. These figures, derived through rigorous statistical methodologies, provide a foundational understanding of the pandemic's impact on mortality rates globally. By accounting for excess deaths beyond what would typically be expected, these estimates paint a clearer picture of the true toll of COVID-19.

Accompanying these central estimates are uncertainty intervals, reflecting the range within which the true value of excess deaths is likely to fall. As with any statistical analysis, uncertainties abound, stemming from various factors such as data collection methods, reporting inconsistencies, and the inherent complexity of modeling excess mortality. Acknowledging these uncertainties is paramount in interpreting the data accurately and avoiding overgeneralizations or misinterpretations.

Delving deeper into the dataset, it becomes evident that the magnitude of excess deaths varies significantly across different regions and time periods. Factors such as healthcare infrastructure, socio-economic disparities, and the stringency of public health measures exert profound influences on mortality outcomes. By dissecting these variations, policymakers and public health experts can glean invaluable insights to inform targeted interventions and mitigate future crises.

Moreover, the dataset underscores the interconnectedness of global health, highlighting how the impact of the pandemic transcends geographical boundaries. As nations grapple with containing the spread of the virus within their borders, the ripple effects of excess mortality reverberate across the international community. This interconnectedness underscores the importance of collective action and solidarity in addressing not only the immediate challenges posed by the pandemic but also the long-term ramifications on global health security.

It is essential to note that behind every data point lies a human story – a life lost, a family shattered, a community grieving. Amidst the statistical analyses and epidemiological models, it is imperative not to lose sight of the human dimension of the pandemic. Each excess death represents more than just a number; it embodies a profound loss and underscores the urgency of concerted efforts to prevent further tragedies.

In conclusion, the dataset provided by The Economist and processed by Our World in Data offers a comprehensive lens through which to understand the complexities of excess mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic. By interrogating the central estimates and uncertainty intervals, we gain critical insights into the multifaceted dimensions of the pandemic's impact on global mortality rates. Moving forward, leveraging these insights to inform evidence-based policies and interventions is paramount in mitigating the ongoing crisis and building resilient health systems for the future.

As of January 13, 2023, there had been over 270 million confirmed cases of COVID-19 across the whole of Europe since the first confirmed case in January, 2020. Cyprus has the highest incidence of COVID-19 cases among its population in Europe at 71,853 per 100,000 people, followed by a rate of 64,449 in Austria. Slovenia has recorded the third highest rate of cases in Europe at 62,834 cases per 100,000. With almost 38.3 million confirmed cases, France has been the worst affected country in Europe, which translates into a rate of 58,945 cases per 100,000 population.

Current infection rate in Europe San Marino had the highest rate of cases per 100,000 in the past week at 336, as of January 16, 2023. Cyprus and Slovenia had seven day rates of infections at 278 and 181 respectively.

Coronavirus deaths in Europe There have been 2,169,191 recorded COVID-19 deaths in Europe since the beginning of the pandemic. Russia has the highest number of deaths recorded in a European country at over 394 thousand. Bulgaria has the highest death rate from the virus in Europe with approximately 549 deaths per 100,000 as of January 13, followed by Hungary with 496 deaths per 100,000. For further information about the coronavirus pandemic, please visit our dedicated Facts and Figures page.

San Marino: Cases of Tuberculosis per 100,000 people: The latest value from 2023 is 0 cases per 100,000 people, unchanged from 0 cases per 100,000 people in 2022. In comparison, the world average is 102.34 cases per 100,000 people, based on data from 193 countries. Historically, the average for San Marino from 2000 to 2023 is 0.53 cases per 100,000 people. The minimum value, 0 cases per 100,000 people, was reached in 2001 while the maximum of 4.3 cases per 100,000 people was recorded in 2000.

On March 10, 2023, the Johns Hopkins Coronavirus Resource Center ceased its collecting and reporting of global COVID-19 data. For updated cases, deaths, and vaccine data please visit: World Health Organization (WHO)For more information, visit the Johns Hopkins Coronavirus Resource Center. -- Esri COVID-19 Trend Report for 3-9-2022 --0 (-0) Countries are in Emergent trend41 (-3) Countries are in Spreading trend.61 (+2) Countries are in Epidemic trend.54 (+0) Countries have Controlled trend.41 (+1) Countries have End Stage trend.Strongest spike in past two days was in US at 64,861 new cases.Strongest spike in past five days was in US at 64,861 new cases.Strongest spike in outbreak was 424 days ago in US at 1,354,505 new cases. Global Total Confirmed COVID-19 Case Rate of 8620.91 per 100,000Global Active Confirmed COVID-19 Case Rate of 37.24 per 100,000Global COVID-19 Mortality Rate of 87.69 per 100,000 21 countries with over 200 per 100,000 active cases.5 countries with over 500 per 100,000 active cases.3 countries with over 1,000 per 100,000 active cases.1 country with over 2,000 per 100,000 active cases.Nauru is worst at 4,354.54 per 100,000.See the full methodology for information about how COVID-19 Trends are produced.

As of July 8, 2020, the total number of coronavirus (COVID-19) cases reached nearly 242 thousand, while the number of deaths stood at approximately 35 thousand. This means that the infection rate per 100 thousand population was 400.4, while the death rate per 100 thousand population was 57.7. Both figures were among the highest recorded worldwide. In fact, Italy was one of the worst hit countries by the pandemic.

Content

Countries that are not listed in these databases have reported no cases to WHO and no cases were identified in the public domain. The formula to calculate the 14-day cumulative number of reported COVID-19 cases per 100 000 population is (New cases over 14 day period)/Population)*100 000.

On March 10, 2023, the Johns Hopkins Coronavirus Resource Center ceased its collecting and reporting of global COVID-19 data. For updated cases, deaths, and vaccine data please visit: World Health Organization (WHO)For more information, visit the Johns Hopkins Coronavirus Resource Center.COVID-19 Trends MethodologyOur goal is to analyze and present daily updates in the form of recent trends within countries, states, or counties during the COVID-19 global pandemic. The data we are analyzing is taken directly from the Johns Hopkins University Coronavirus COVID-19 Global Cases Dashboard, though we expect to be one day behind the dashboard’s live feeds to allow for quality assurance of the data.DOI: https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.125529863/7/2022 - Adjusted the rate of active cases calculation in the U.S. to reflect the rates of serious and severe cases due nearly completely dominant Omicron variant.6/24/2020 - Expanded Case Rates discussion to include fix on 6/23 for calculating active cases.6/22/2020 - Added Executive Summary and Subsequent Outbreaks sectionsRevisions on 6/10/2020 based on updated CDC reporting. This affects the estimate of active cases by revising the average duration of cases with hospital stays downward from 30 days to 25 days. The result shifted 76 U.S. counties out of Epidemic to Spreading trend and no change for national level trends.Methodology update on 6/2/2020: This sets the length of the tail of new cases to 6 to a maximum of 14 days, rather than 21 days as determined by the last 1/3 of cases. This was done to align trends and criteria for them with U.S. CDC guidance. The impact is areas transition into Controlled trend sooner for not bearing the burden of new case 15-21 days earlier.Correction on 6/1/2020Discussion of our assertion of an abundance of caution in assigning trends in rural counties added 5/7/2020. Revisions added on 4/30/2020 are highlighted.Revisions added on 4/23/2020 are highlighted.Executive SummaryCOVID-19 Trends is a methodology for characterizing the current trend for places during the COVID-19 global pandemic. Each day we assign one of five trends: Emergent, Spreading, Epidemic, Controlled, or End Stage to geographic areas to geographic areas based on the number of new cases, the number of active cases, the total population, and an algorithm (described below) that contextualize the most recent fourteen days with the overall COVID-19 case history. Currently we analyze the countries of the world and the U.S. Counties. The purpose is to give policymakers, citizens, and analysts a fact-based data driven sense for the direction each place is currently going. When a place has the initial cases, they are assigned Emergent, and if that place controls the rate of new cases, they can move directly to Controlled, and even to End Stage in a short time. However, if the reporting or measures to curtail spread are not adequate and significant numbers of new cases continue, they are assigned to Spreading, and in cases where the spread is clearly uncontrolled, Epidemic trend.We analyze the data reported by Johns Hopkins University to produce the trends, and we report the rates of cases, spikes of new cases, the number of days since the last reported case, and number of deaths. We also make adjustments to the assignments based on population so rural areas are not assigned trends based solely on case rates, which can be quite high relative to local populations.Two key factors are not consistently known or available and should be taken into consideration with the assigned trend. First is the amount of resources, e.g., hospital beds, physicians, etc.that are currently available in each area. Second is the number of recoveries, which are often not tested or reported. On the latter, we provide a probable number of active cases based on CDC guidance for the typical duration of mild to severe cases.Reasons for undertaking this work in March of 2020:The popular online maps and dashboards show counts of confirmed cases, deaths, and recoveries by country or administrative sub-region. Comparing the counts of one country to another can only provide a basis for comparison during the initial stages of the outbreak when counts were low and the number of local outbreaks in each country was low. By late March 2020, countries with small populations were being left out of the mainstream news because it was not easy to recognize they had high per capita rates of cases (Switzerland, Luxembourg, Iceland, etc.). Additionally, comparing countries that have had confirmed COVID-19 cases for high numbers of days to countries where the outbreak occurred recently is also a poor basis for comparison.The graphs of confirmed cases and daily increases in cases were fit into a standard size rectangle, though the Y-axis for one country had a maximum value of 50, and for another country 100,000, which potentially misled people interpreting the slope of the curve. Such misleading circumstances affected comparing large population countries to small population counties or countries with low numbers of cases to China which had a large count of cases in the early part of the outbreak. These challenges for interpreting and comparing these graphs represent work each reader must do based on their experience and ability. Thus, we felt it would be a service to attempt to automate the thought process experts would use when visually analyzing these graphs, particularly the most recent tail of the graph, and provide readers with an a resulting synthesis to characterize the state of the pandemic in that country, state, or county.The lack of reliable data for confirmed recoveries and therefore active cases. Merely subtracting deaths from total cases to arrive at this figure progressively loses accuracy after two weeks. The reason is 81% of cases recover after experiencing mild symptoms in 10 to 14 days. Severe cases are 14% and last 15-30 days (based on average days with symptoms of 11 when admitted to hospital plus 12 days median stay, and plus of one week to include a full range of severely affected people who recover). Critical cases are 5% and last 31-56 days. Sources:U.S. CDC. April 3, 2020 Interim Clinical Guidance for Management of Patients with Confirmed Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19). Accessed online. Initial older guidance was also obtained online. Additionally, many people who recover may not be tested, and many who are, may not be tracked due to privacy laws. Thus, the formula used to compute an estimate of active cases is: Active Cases = 100% of new cases in past 14 days + 19% from past 15-25 days + 5% from past 26-49 days - total deaths. On 3/17/2022, the U.S. calculation was adjusted to: Active Cases = 100% of new cases in past 14 days + 6% from past 15-25 days + 3% from past 26-49 days - total deaths. Sources: https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/71/wr/mm7104e4.htm https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#variant-proportions If a new variant arrives and appears to cause higher rates of serious cases, we will roll back this adjustment. We’ve never been inside a pandemic with the ability to learn of new cases as they are confirmed anywhere in the world. After reviewing epidemiological and pandemic scientific literature, three needs arose. We need to specify which portions of the pandemic lifecycle this map cover. The World Health Organization (WHO) specifies six phases. The source data for this map begins just after the beginning of Phase 5: human to human spread and encompasses Phase 6: pandemic phase. Phase six is only characterized in terms of pre- and post-peak. However, these two phases are after-the-fact analyses and cannot ascertained during the event. Instead, we describe (below) a series of five trends for Phase 6 of the COVID-19 pandemic.Choosing terms to describe the five trends was informed by the scientific literature, particularly the use of epidemic, which signifies uncontrolled spread. The five trends are: Emergent, Spreading, Epidemic, Controlled, and End Stage. Not every locale will experience all five, but all will experience at least three: emergent, controlled, and end stage.This layer presents the current trends for the COVID-19 pandemic by country (or appropriate level). There are five trends:Emergent: Early stages of outbreak. Spreading: Early stages and depending on an administrative area’s capacity, this may represent a manageable rate of spread. Epidemic: Uncontrolled spread. Controlled: Very low levels of new casesEnd Stage: No New cases These trends can be applied at several levels of administration: Local: Ex., City, District or County – a.k.a. Admin level 2State: Ex., State or Province – a.k.a. Admin level 1National: Country – a.k.a. Admin level 0Recommend that at least 100,000 persons be represented by a unit; granted this may not be possible, and then the case rate per 100,000 will become more important.Key Concepts and Basis for Methodology: 10 Total Cases minimum threshold: Empirically, there must be enough cases to constitute an outbreak. Ideally, this would be 5.0 per 100,000, but not every area has a population of 100,000 or more. Ten, or fewer, cases are also relatively less difficult to track and trace to sources. 21 Days of Cases minimum threshold: Empirically based on COVID-19 and would need to be adjusted for any other event. 21 days is also the minimum threshold for analyzing the “tail” of the new cases curve, providing seven cases as the basis for a likely trend (note that 21 days in the tail is preferred). This is the minimum needed to encompass the onset and duration of a normal case (5-7 days plus 10-14 days). Specifically, a median of 5.1 days incubation time, and 11.2 days for 97.5% of cases to incubate. This is also driven by pressure to understand trends and could easily be adjusted to 28 days. Source

United States US: Incidence of Tuberculosis: per 100,000 People data was reported at 3.100 Ratio in 2016. This records a decrease from the previous number of 3.300 Ratio for 2015. United States US: Incidence of Tuberculosis: per 100,000 People data is updated yearly, averaging 4.900 Ratio from Dec 2000 (Median) to 2016, with 17 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 6.700 Ratio in 2000 and a record low of 3.100 Ratio in 2016. United States US: Incidence of Tuberculosis: per 100,000 People data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by World Bank. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.World Bank.WDI: Health Statistics. Incidence of tuberculosis is the estimated number of new and relapse tuberculosis cases arising in a given year, expressed as the rate per 100,000 population. All forms of TB are included, including cases in people living with HIV. Estimates for all years are recalculated as new information becomes available and techniques are refined, so they may differ from those published previously.; ; World Health Organization, Global Tuberculosis Report.; Weighted average;

Dataset Description

This dataset serves as a comprehensive repository of global development metrics, consolidating data from multiple international organizations into a single, unified structure. It provides a granular view of the state of health, economy, and nutrition across 193 countries over a 30-year period (1990–2019).

The data is organized by Country, Year, and Gender (Male, Female, and Both Sexes), making it a valuable resource for longitudinal studies, demographic analysis, and socio-economic research. It combines high-level economic indicators (like GDP) with granular health metrics (specific mortality rates) and detailed nutritional breakdowns (diet composition by food group).

Content Overview

The dataset covers a wide spectrum of categories:

• Demographics & Economy: Population stats, GNI, GDP, and poverty rates.
• Mortality & Life Expectancy: Survival rates at various ages, maternal mortality, and life expectancy.
• Public Health: Incidence of infectious diseases (Malaria, Tuberculosis, Hepatitis B) and prevalence of health risks (Tobacco, road traffic accidents).
• Environmental Health: Mortality attributed to air pollution, sanitation access, and clean fuel availability.
• Nutrition: Detailed caloric and quantity breakdown of food consumption (fruits, vegetables, cereals, meats, etc.).
• Healthcare Infrastructure: Coverage of essential health services and density of medical professionals.

Sources

The data was extracted and unified via an ETL process from the following organizations:

• World Bank: World Development Indicators
• WHO: Global Health Observatory Data
• UNICEF: Data Warehouse
• Our World In Data: Statistics and Research
• FAOSTAT: Food and Agriculture Data
• Kaggle: WHO World Health Statistics 2020 Complete

Data Dictionary

Index Columns

• Country: Name of the country.
• Year: The calendar year of the recorded data.
• Gender: The gender category for the data (Female, Male, or Both sexes).

Demographics & Health Metrics

• Life Expectancy: The average number of years a newborn is expected to live.
• Infant Mortality Rate: Number of infants dying before reaching one year of age, per 1,000 live births.
  • Includes Low/High Confidence Interval (CI) columns.
• Under 5 Mortality Rate: Probability of a child dying before reaching age 5, per 1,000 live births.
  • Includes Low/High CI columns.
• Neonatal Mortality Rate: Number of deaths during the first 28 days of life per 1,000 live births.
  • Includes Low/High CI columns.
• Maternal Mortality Ratio: Number of maternal deaths due to childbirth per 100,000 live births.
  • Includes Low/High CI columns.
• Birth Rate: Number of births per 1,000 inhabitants.
• Death Rate: Number of deaths per 1,000 inhabitants.
• Adolescent Birth Rate: Number of births by women aged 15 to 19 per 1,000 women in that age range.
• % Population Aged 0-14 / 15-64 / 65+: Percentage of the total population falling into these specific age brackets.
• % Population Aged 65-69 / 70-74 / 75-79 / 80+: Granular breakdown of the elderly population percentages.
• Total Population: Total number of inhabitants.

Causes of Death & Disease

• % Death Cardiovascular: Probability of dying from cardiovascular diseases, cancer, diabetes, or chronic respiratory diseases between ages 30 and 70.
  • Includes Low/High CI columns.
• Incidence of Malaria: Number of malaria cases per 1,000 inhabitants at risk per year.
• Incidence of Tuberculosis: Estimated cases of tuberculosis per 100,000 inhabitants.
  • Includes Low/High CI columns.
• Hepatitis B Surface Antigen: Prevalence of hepatitis B surface antigen.
  • Includes Low/High CI columns.
• Road Traffic Deaths: Number of deaths due to traffic accidents per 100,000 people.
• Poisoning Mortality Rate: Deaths attributed to unintentional poisoning per 100,000 people.
• Conflict and Terrorism Deaths: Number of deaths due to armed conflicts and terrorism.
• Battle Related Deaths: Number of deaths related to battles in an armed conflict.
• % Injury Deaths: Percentage of deaths caused by injuries.
• Suicides Rate: Number of deliberate deaths per 100,000 inhabitants.
• Homicide Rate: Number of homicides per 100,000 inhabitants.

Air Pollution Mortality

• Air Pollution Death Rate Total: Probability of dying fr...

Dataset Overview

This dataset contains global COVID-19 case and death data by country, collected directly from the official World Health Organization (WHO) COVID-19 Dashboard. It provides a comprehensive view of the pandemic’s impact worldwide, covering the period up to 2025. The dataset is intended for researchers, analysts, and anyone interested in understanding the progression and global effects of COVID-19 through reliable, up-to-date information.

Source Information

• Website: WHO COVID-19 Dashboard
• Organization: World Health Organization (WHO)
• Data Coverage: Global (by country/territory)
• Time Period: Up to 2025

The World Health Organization is the United Nations agency responsible for international public health. The WHO COVID-19 Dashboard is a trusted source that aggregates official reports from countries and territories around the world, providing daily updates on cases, deaths, and other key metrics related to COVID-19.

Dataset Contents

• Country/Region: The name of the country or territory.
• Date: Reporting date.
• New Cases: Number of new confirmed COVID-19 cases.
• Cumulative Cases: Total confirmed COVID-19 cases to date.
• New Deaths: Number of new confirmed deaths due to COVID-19.
• Cumulative Deaths: Total deaths reported to date.
• Additional fields may include population, rates per 100,000, and more (see data files for details).

How to Use

This dataset can be used for: - Tracking the spread and trends of COVID-19 globally and by country - Modeling and forecasting pandemic progression - Comparative analysis of the pandemic’s impact across countries and regions - Visualization and reporting

Data Reliability

The data is sourced from the WHO, widely regarded as the most authoritative source for global health statistics. However, reporting practices and data completeness may vary by country and may be subject to revision as new information becomes available.

Acknowledgements

Special thanks to the WHO for making this data publicly available and to all those working to collect, verify, and report COVID-19 statistics.

In 2021, there were almost *** deaths per 100,000 population in Egypt due to obesity, while the death rate for the United States was around ** per 100,000 population. This statistic shows the rate of deaths attributed to obesity in select countries worldwide in 2021.

Bolivia BO: Incidence of Tuberculosis: per 100,000 People data was reported at 109.000 Ratio in 2021. This records an increase from the previous number of 103.000 Ratio for 2020. Bolivia BO: Incidence of Tuberculosis: per 100,000 People data is updated yearly, averaging 133.000 Ratio from Dec 2000 (Median) to 2021, with 22 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 184.000 Ratio in 2000 and a record low of 103.000 Ratio in 2020. Bolivia BO: Incidence of Tuberculosis: per 100,000 People data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by World Bank. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Bolivia – Table BO.World Bank.WDI: Social: Health Statistics. Incidence of tuberculosis is the estimated number of new and relapse tuberculosis cases arising in a given year, expressed as the rate per 100,000 population. All forms of TB are included, including cases in people living with HIV. Estimates for all years are recalculated as new information becomes available and techniques are refined, so they may differ from those published previously.;World Health Organization, Global Tuberculosis Report.;Weighted average;Aggregate data by groups are computed based on the groupings for the World Bank fiscal year in which the data was released by the World Health Organization. This is the Sustainable Development Goal indicator 3.3.2[https://unstats.un.org/sdgs/metadata/].