1 dataset found
  1. Time gap between yield curve inversion and recession 1978-2024

    • statista.com
    Updated Aug 29, 2024
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    Statista (2024). Time gap between yield curve inversion and recession 1978-2024 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1087216/time-gap-between-yield-curve-inversion-and-recession/
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    Aug 29, 2024
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    The 2020 recession did not follow the trend of previous recessions in the United States because only six months elapsed between the yield curve inversion and the 2020 recession. Over the last five decades, 12 months, on average, has elapsed between the initial yield curve inversion and the beginning of a recession in the United States. For instance, the yield curve inverted initially in January 2006, which was 22 months before the start of the 2008 recession. A yield curve inversion refers to the event where short-term Treasury bonds, such as one or three month bonds, have higher yields than longer term bonds, such as three or five year bonds. This is unusual, because long-term investments typically have higher yields than short-term ones in order to reward investors for taking on the extra risk of longer term investments. Monthly updates on the Treasury yield curve can be seen here.

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Share
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TwitterTwitter
Email
Click to copy link
Link copied
Close
Cite
Statista (2024). Time gap between yield curve inversion and recession 1978-2024 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1087216/time-gap-between-yield-curve-inversion-and-recession/
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Time gap between yield curve inversion and recession 1978-2024

Explore at:
Dataset updated
Aug 29, 2024
Dataset authored and provided by
Statistahttp://statista.com/
Area covered
United States
Description

The 2020 recession did not follow the trend of previous recessions in the United States because only six months elapsed between the yield curve inversion and the 2020 recession. Over the last five decades, 12 months, on average, has elapsed between the initial yield curve inversion and the beginning of a recession in the United States. For instance, the yield curve inverted initially in January 2006, which was 22 months before the start of the 2008 recession. A yield curve inversion refers to the event where short-term Treasury bonds, such as one or three month bonds, have higher yields than longer term bonds, such as three or five year bonds. This is unusual, because long-term investments typically have higher yields than short-term ones in order to reward investors for taking on the extra risk of longer term investments. Monthly updates on the Treasury yield curve can be seen here.

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