In June 2025, the yield on a 10-year U.S. Treasury note was **** percent, forecasted to decrease to reach **** percent by February 2026. Treasury securities are debt instruments used by the government to finance the national debt. Who owns treasury notes? Because the U.S. treasury notes are generally assumed to be a risk-free investment, they are often used by large financial institutions as collateral. Because of this, billions of dollars in treasury securities are traded daily. Other countries also hold U.S. treasury securities, as do U.S. households. Investors and institutions accept the relatively low interest rate because the U.S. Treasury guarantees the investment. Looking into the future Because these notes are so commonly traded, their interest rate also serves as a signal about the market’s expectations of future growth. When markets expect the economy to grow, forecasts for treasury notes will reflect that in a higher interest rate. In fact, one harbinger of recession is an inverted yield curve, when the return on 3-month treasury bills is higher than the ten-year rate. While this does not always lead to a recession, it certainly signals pessimism from financial markets.

The yield on France 10Y Bond Yield rose to 3.36% on July 30, 2025, marking a 0.01 percentage point increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.11 points and is 0.35 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. France 10-Year Government Bond Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on July of 2025.

The yield on US 2 Year Note Bond Yield eased to 3.90% on July 29, 2025, marking a 0.03 percentage point decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.18 points, though it remains 0.47 points lower than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. US 2 Year Treasury Bond Note Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on July of 2025.

In January 2020, prior to the onset of the global coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, three of the seven largest economies by GDP had negative yields for two-year government bonds (Japan, Germany and France). With the onset of the pandemic, two-year bond yields in these countries actually rose slightly - in contrast to the other major economies, where yields fell over this period. As of December 2024, yields for two-year government bonds exhibited fluctuations across all countries. Notably, Japan showed a slight upward trend, while China experienced a modest decline.Negative yields assume that investors lack confidence in economic growth, meaning many investments (such as stocks) may lose value. Therefore, it is preferable to take a small loss on government debt that carries almost no risk to the investor, than risk a larger loss on other investments. As both the yen and euro are considered very safe assets, Japanese, German and French bonds were already being held by many investors prior to the pandemic as a hedge against economic downturn. Therefore, with the announcement of fiscal responses to the pandemic by many governments around March 2020, the value of these assets rose as confidence increased (slightly) that the worst case may be avoided. At the same time, yields on bonds with a higher return fell, as investors sought out investments with a higher return that were still considered safe.

Graph and download economic data for Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 30-Year Constant Maturity, Quoted on an Investment Basis (DGS30) from 1977-02-15 to 2025-07-28 about 30-year, maturity, Treasury, interest rate, interest, rate, and USA.

The COVID-19 pandemic is a real shock to society and business and financial markets. The government bond market is an essential part of financial markets, especially in difficult times, because it is a source of government funding. The majority of existing ESG studies report positive impacts on corporate financial performance regarding environmental, social, and governance. Thus, understanding governments’ financial practices and their relevant ESG implications is insufficient. This research aims to value the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on different government bond curve sectors. We try to identify the reactions to the COVID-19 pandemic in the government bond market and analyze separate tenors of government bond yields in different regions. We have chosen Germany and the United States government bond yields of 10, 5, and 3 years tenor for the analysis. As independent variables, we have chosen daily cases of COVID-19 and daily deaths from COVID-19 at the country and global levels. We used daily data from 02 January 2020–19 March 2021, and divided this period into three stages depending on the COVID-19 pandemic data. We employed the methods of correlation-regression analysis (ordinary least squares and least squares with breakpoints) and VAR-based impulse response functions to evaluate the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on government bond yields both in the long and short run. Our analysis revealed the impact of the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic on government bond yields differs depending on the country and the assessment period. The short-term responses vary in direction, strength, and duration; the long-term response of Germany’s yields appeared to be more negative (indicating the decrease of the yields), while the response of the United States yields appeared to be more positive (i.e., increase of yields).

Graph and download economic data for Interest Rates: Long-Term Government Bond Yields: 10-Year: Main (Including Benchmark) for Canada (IRLTLT01CAM156N) from Jan 1955 to Jun 2025 about long-term, Canada, 10-year, bonds, yield, government, interest rate, interest, and rate.

Yields on German government bond (Bund) with a maturity of over nine years increased between ********** and **********. On the other hand, yields on bonds with a shorter maturity decreased. For instance, the ****** bond yield fell from **** percent to **** percent.

The yield on South Korea 10Y Bond Yield eased to 2.79% on July 31, 2025, marking a 0 percentage point decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0 points, though it remains 0.22 points lower than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. South Korea 10-Year Government Bond Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on July of 2025.

The yield on US 10 Year Note Bond Yield eased to 4.28% on June 26, 2025, marking a 0.02 percentage point decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.17 points and is 0.01 points lower than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. US 10 Year Treasury Bond Note Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on June of 2025.

Graph and download economic data for 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus Federal Funds Rate (T10YFF) from 1962-01-02 to 2025-07-29 about yield curve, spread, 10-year, maturity, Treasury, federal, interest rate, interest, rate, and USA.

France Government Bond Yield: Monthly Average: 10 Years data was reported at 3.295 % in Apr 2025. This records a decrease from the previous number of 3.478 % for Mar 2025. France Government Bond Yield: Monthly Average: 10 Years data is updated monthly, averaging 4.046 % from Jan 1986 (Median) to Apr 2025, with 472 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 10.704 % in Oct 1987 and a record low of -0.343 % in Aug 2019. France Government Bond Yield: Monthly Average: 10 Years data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Banque de France. The data is categorized under Global Database’s France – Table FR.M008: Government Bond Yield: Monthly Average.

The yield on Ireland 10Y Bond Yield eased to 2.92% on July 30, 2025, marking a 0.02 percentage point decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.05 points and is 0.22 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. Ireland 10-Year Government Bond Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on July of 2025.

Poland Treasury Bond Yield: Avg: Zero Coupon data was reported at 1.456 % pa in Oct 2018. This records a decrease from the previous number of 1.610 % pa for Sep 2018. Poland Treasury Bond Yield: Avg: Zero Coupon data is updated monthly, averaging 4.991 % pa from Oct 1999 (Median) to Oct 2018, with 181 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 18.193 % pa in Oct 2000 and a record low of 1.456 % pa in Oct 2018. Poland Treasury Bond Yield: Avg: Zero Coupon data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Ministry of Finance. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Poland – Table PL.M006: Treasury Bond Yield.

These are nominal yield curves, obtained by fitting a parametric form to the prices of off-the-run nominal Treasury coupon securities. The data are available at daily frequency, from 1961 to present.

Portugal Treasury Bond Yield: 10 Years data was reported at 3.114 % pa in Apr 2025. This records a decrease from the previous number of 3.292 % pa for Mar 2025. Portugal Treasury Bond Yield: 10 Years data is updated monthly, averaging 4.280 % pa from Jul 1993 (Median) to Apr 2025, with 382 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 13.849 % pa in Jan 2012 and a record low of 0.027 % pa in Jan 2021. Portugal Treasury Bond Yield: 10 Years data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Banco de Portugal. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Portugal – Table PT.M006: Treasury Bond Yield.

The 10-year treasury constant maturity rate in the U.S. is forecast to increase by *** percentage points by 2027, while the 30-year fixed mortgage rate is expected to fall by *** percentage points. From *** percent in 2024, the average 30-year mortgage rate is projected to reach *** percent in 2027.

Graph and download economic data for Interest Rates: Long-Term Government Bond Yields: 10-Year: Main (Including Benchmark) for Israel (IRLTLT01ILQ156N) from Q1 1997 to Q2 2025 about Israel, long-term, 10-year, bonds, yield, government, interest rate, interest, and rate.

Graph and download economic data for Interest Rates: Long-Term Government Bond Yields: 10-Year: Main (Including Benchmark) for Switzerland (IRLTLT01CHM156N) from Jan 1955 to Jun 2025 about Switzerland, long-term, 10-year, bonds, yield, government, interest rate, interest, and rate.

The yield on Taiwan 10Y Bond Yield eased to 1.38% on July 30, 2025, marking a 0.02 percentage point decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has remained flat, , though it remains 0.25 points lower than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. Taiwan 10-Year Government Bond Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on July of 2025.