The yield on US 10 Year Note Bond Yield eased to 4.48% on June 9, 2025, marking a 0.03 percentage point decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0 points and is 0.01 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. US 10 Year Treasury Bond Note Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on June of 2025.

In December 2024, the yield on a 10-year U.S. Treasury note was 4.39 percent, forecasted to decrease to reach 3.27 percent by August 2025. Treasury securities are debt instruments used by the government to finance the national debt. Who owns treasury notes? Because the U.S. treasury notes are generally assumed to be a risk-free investment, they are often used by large financial institutions as collateral. Because of this, billions of dollars in treasury securities are traded daily. Other countries also hold U.S. treasury securities, as do U.S. households. Investors and institutions accept the relatively low interest rate because the U.S. Treasury guarantees the investment. Looking into the future Because these notes are so commonly traded, their interest rate also serves as a signal about the market’s expectations of future growth. When markets expect the economy to grow, forecasts for treasury notes will reflect that in a higher interest rate. In fact, one harbinger of recession is an inverted yield curve, when the return on 3-month treasury bills is higher than the ten year rate. While this does not always lead to a recession, it certainly signals pessimism from financial markets.

As of December 30, 2024, the major economy with the highest yield on 10-year government bonds was Turkey, with a yield of 27.38 percent. This is due to the risks investors take when investing in Turkey, notably due to high inflation rates potentially eradicating any profits made when using a foreign currency to investing in securities denominated in Turkish lira. Of the major developed economies, United States had one the highest yield on 10-year government bonds at this time with 4.59 percent, while Switzerland had the lowest at 0.27 percent. How does inflation influence the yields of government bonds? Inflation reduces purchasing power over time. Due to this, investors seek higher returns to offset the anticipated decrease in purchasing power resulting from rapid price rises. In countries with high inflation, government bond yields often incorporate investor expectations and risk premiums, resulting in comparatively higher rates offered by these bonds. Why are government bond rates significant? Government bond rates are an important indicator of financial markets, serving as a benchmark for borrowing costs, interest rates, and investor sentiment. They affect the cost of government borrowing, influence the price of various financial instruments, and serve as a reflection of expectations regarding inflation and economic growth. For instance, in financial analysis and investing, people often use the 10-year U.S. government bond rates as a proxy for the longer-term risk-free rate.

The yield on Germany 10Y Bond Yield eased to 2.56% on June 6, 2025, marking a 0.02 percentage point decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.09 points, though it remains 0.05 points lower than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. Germany 10-Year Bond Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on June of 2025.

This folder contains the replication code for "Sea Level Rise Exposure and Municipal Bond Yields" The main analysis code is Code/analysis.do The data file for running the code is called Data/final_regression_data.dta. However, we only include an example row of the data because the municipal bond data is proprietary. Users interested in constructing the dataset would need to purchase the bond data from Mergent. However, we do include our SLR projections data in Data/SLR Projections As well as the cross-walk between districts and issuer names matched_issuer_districts_clean.csv

As of April 16, 2025, the yield for a ten-year U.S. government bond was 4.34 percent, while the yield for a two-year bond was 3.86 percent. This represents an inverted yield curve, whereby bonds of longer maturities provide a lower yield, reflecting investors' expectations for a decline in long-term interest rates. Hence, making long-term debt holders open to more risk under the uncertainty around the condition of financial markets in the future. That markets are uncertain can be seen by considering both the short-term fluctuations, and the long-term downward trend, of the yields of U.S. government bonds from 2006 to 2021, before the treasury yield curve increased again significantly in the following years. What are government bonds? Government bonds, otherwise called ‘sovereign’ or ‘treasury’ bonds, are financial instruments used by governments to raise money for government spending. Investors give the government a certain amount of money (the ‘face value’), to be repaid at a specified time in the future (the ‘maturity date’). In addition, the government makes regular periodic interest payments (called ‘coupon payments’). Once initially issued, government bonds are tradable on financial markets, meaning their value can fluctuate over time (even though the underlying face value and coupon payments remain the same). Investors are attracted to government bonds as, provided the country in question has a stable economy and political system, they are a very safe investment. Accordingly, in periods of economic turmoil, investors may be willing to accept a negative overall return in order to have a safe haven for their money. For example, once the market value is compared to the total received from remaining interest payments and the face value, investors have been willing to accept a negative return on two-year German government bonds between 2014 and 2021. Conversely, if the underlying economy and political structures are weak, investors demand a higher return to compensate for the higher risk they take on. Consequently, the return on bonds in emerging markets like Brazil are consistently higher than that of the United States (and other developed economies). Inverted yield curves When investors are worried about the financial future, it can lead to what is called an ‘inverted yield curve’. An inverted yield curve is where investors pay more for short term bonds than long term, indicating they do not have confidence in long-term financial conditions. Historically, the yield curve has historically inverted before each of the last five U.S. recessions. The last U.S. yield curve inversion occurred at several brief points in 2019 – a trend which continued until the Federal Reserve cut interest rates several times over that year. However, the ultimate trigger for the next recession was the unpredicted, exogenous shock of the global coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, showing how such informal indicators may be grounded just as much in coincidence as causation.

In 2024, the average yearly yield of UK 10-year government bonds was 4.14 percent. The UK 10-year gilt has shown a significant downward trend from 1990 to 2024. Starting at nearly 12 percent in 1990, yields steadily declined, with slight fluctuations, reaching a low of 0.37 percent in 2020. After 2020, yields began to rise again, reflecting recent increases in interest rates and inflation expectations. This long-term decline indicates decreasing inflation and interest rates in Australia over the past decades, with recent economic conditions prompting a reversal in bond yields.

Graph and download economic data for Interest Rates: Long-Term Government Bond Yields: 10-Year: Main (Including Benchmark) for United States (IRLTLT01USM156N) from Apr 1953 to Apr 2025 about long-term, 10-year, bonds, yield, government, interest rate, interest, rate, and USA.

The yield on China 10Y Bond Yield rose to 1.69% on June 6, 2025, marking a 0.01 percentage point increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.05 points, though it remains 0.61 points lower than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. China 10-Year Government Bond Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on June of 2025.

After reaching negative yields in 2020 and in 2021, the average yield of long-term bonds in Slovakia increased in 2022 and in 2023. In 2023, the average yield was 3.65 percent.

The yield on US 30 Year Bond Yield eased to 4.96% on June 9, 2025, marking a 0.01 percentage point decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.04 points and is 0.36 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. United States 30 Year Bond Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on June of 2025.

Interactive chart showing the daily 10 year treasury yield back to 1962. The 10 year treasury is the benchmark used to decide mortgage rates across the U.S. and is the most liquid and widely traded bond in the world.

Graph and download economic data for Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 3-Year Constant Maturity, Quoted on an Investment Basis (DGS3) from 1962-01-02 to 2025-06-05 about 3-year, maturity, Treasury, interest rate, interest, rate, and USA.

The yield on Japan 10Y Bond Yield eased to 1.46% on June 6, 2025, marking a 0 percentage point decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.16 points and is 0.49 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. Japan 10 Year Government Bond Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on June of 2025.

The average yield for long-term government bond in Bulgaria reached almost four percent as in October 2024. Bond yields were as low as 0.19 percent in 2021, but started increasing following the interest rates hikes implemented by central banks in the last three years.

The yield on United Kingdom 10Y Bond Yield eased to 4.64% on June 9, 2025, marking a 0.02 percentage point decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.01 points, though it remains 0.30 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. UK 10 Year Gilt Bond Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on June of 2025.

The yield on Australia 10Y Bond Yield rose to 4.34% on June 6, 2025, marking a 0.10 percentage point increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.07 points and is 0.10 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. Australia 10-Year Government Bond Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on June of 2025.

China Bond Yield: Medium & Short Term Note (AAA): 10 Year data was reported at 2.220 % pa in 24 Apr 2025. This records an increase from the previous number of 2.215 % pa for 23 Apr 2025. China Bond Yield: Medium & Short Term Note (AAA): 10 Year data is updated daily, averaging 4.319 % pa from Apr 2011 (Median) to 24 Apr 2025, with 3516 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 6.482 % pa in 14 Jan 2014 and a record low of 1.996 % pa in 10 Feb 2025. China Bond Yield: Medium & Short Term Note (AAA): 10 Year data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by China Central Depository & Clearing Co., Ltd. The data is categorized under China Premium Database’s Money Market, Interest Rate, Yield and Exchange Rate – Table CN.MF: PBC & CCDC: Treasury Bond and Other Bond Yield: Daily.

In 2023, long-term government bonds yields increased to 3.08 percent, after years of low returns. This increase was due to the ECB's interest rates hikes implemented to lower inflation in EU member countries.

United States CBO Projection: Treasury Notes Yield: 10 Years data was reported at 3.753 % in Dec 2028. This records an increase from the previous number of 3.745 % for Sep 2028. United States CBO Projection: Treasury Notes Yield: 10 Years data is updated quarterly, averaging 3.677 % from Mar 2013 (Median) to Dec 2028, with 64 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 3.958 % in Sep 2021 and a record low of 1.563 % in Sep 2016. United States CBO Projection: Treasury Notes Yield: 10 Years data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Congressional Budget Office. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.M009: Treasury Securities Yields: Projection: Congressional Budget Office.