The USD/CNY exchange rate rose to 7.1875 on August 15, 2025, up 0.09% from the previous session. Over the past month, the Chinese Yuan has weakened 0.09%, and is down by 0.37% over the last 12 months. Chinese Yuan - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on August of 2025.

In April 2025, the exchange rate of yuan to U.S. dollar was ****. In the past decades, the yuan has undergone a slow liberalization, being increasingly exposed to the international money market. FOREX history of the Renminbi After the Communist Party took control over China, it introduced a unified currency which has since then undergone many changes. During the planned economy, the yuan had a fixed exchange rate. At the time, the currency’s exchange rate was deliberately set high to support the industrial development, which relied on imports. After the country committed to opening its economy, the Renminbi was gradually exposed to the supply and demand of the global FOREX markets. Until 2005, the yuan remained pegged to the U.S. dollar. Currency manipulator, or not? As China manifested its role in the global economy, the country was repeatedly accused of manipulating the value of its currency. Especially, voices from the United States claimed that Beijing would intentionally keep the value of the yuan low. A cheap Renminbi would make products from China more attractive for foreign buyers which in turn would support the country’s export-driven economy. However, currency manipulation is difficult to make out and even harder to prove, which is why no significant actions have been taken.

A graphic that displays the dollar performance against other currencies reveals that economic developments had mixed results on currency exchanges. The third quarter of 2023 marked a period of disinflation in the euro area, while China's projected growth was projected to go up. The United States economy was said to have a relatively strong performance in Q3 2023, although growing capital market interest rate and the resumption of student loan repayments might dampen this growth at the end of 2023. A relatively weak Japanese yen Q3 2023 saw pressure from investors towards Japanese authorities on how they would respond to the situation surrounding the Japanese yen. The USD/JPY rate was close to ***, whereas analysts suspected it should be around ** given the country's purchase power parity. The main reason for this disparity is said to be the differences in central bank interest rates between the United States, the euro area, and Japan. Any future aggressive changes from, especially the U.S. Fed might lower those differences. Financial markets responded somewhat disappoint when Japan did not announce major plans to tackle the situation. Potential rent decreases in 2024 Central bank rates peak in 2023, although it is expected that some of these will decline in early 2024. That said, analysts expect overall policies will remain restrictive. For example, the Bank of England's interest rate remained unchanged at **** percent in Q3 2023. It is believed the United Kingdom's central bank will ease its interest rate in 2024 but less than either the U.S. Fed or the European Central Bank. This should be a positive development for the pound compared to either the euro or the dollar.

Under the dollar-dominated international monetary system, the cross-border capital flows of emerging economies reverse sharply following policy shifts by the Fed. To investigate the sensitivity of cross-border capital inflows to dollar shocks, we analyze 33 emerging economies from 2006Q1 to 2021Q4 and use the panel quantile model to explore the dynamic evolution of dollar appreciation shocks at different stages of capital inflows, especially the tail effects. We find that dollar appreciation shocks reduce the total cross-border capital inflows of emerging economies. This impact is mainly through internal and external financial cycle difference channels. Dollar shock impacts differ significantly across different quantiles of capital inflows. Specifically, dollar appreciation shifts the capital inflow to the left and increases the severity of the left-tail risk of capital flows. More flexible exchange rate regimes exacerbate the negative effects of dollar shocks across the distribution of capital inflows. The moderating effect of the fixed exchange rate and intermediate exchange rate systems on external shocks are effective in low quantiles of capital inflows. The sensitivity of “capital flows at risk” to dollar shocks depends on national structural characteristics. As a key risk factor for emerging economies, US dollar appreciation can predict the trend of cross-border capital inflows. Countries should adopt policy measures to curb the adverse effects of US dollar fluctuations.

In 2024, the gross domestic product (GDP) of China amounted to around 18.7 trillion U.S. dollars. In comparison to the GDP of the other BRIC countries India, Russia and Brazil, China came first that year and second in the world GDP ranking. The stagnation of China's GDP in U.S. dollar terms in 2022 and 2023 was mainly due to the appreciation of the U.S. dollar. China's real GDP growth was 3.1 percent in 2022 and 5.4 percent in 2023. In 2024, per capita GDP in China reached around 13,300 U.S. dollars. Economic performance in China Gross domestic product (GDP) is a primary economic indicator. It measures the total value of all goods and services produced in an economy over a certain time period. China's economy used to grow quickly in the past, but the growth rate of China’s real GDP gradually slowed down in recent years, and year-on-year GDP growth is forecasted to range at only around four percent in the years after 2024. Since 2010, China has been the world’s second-largest economy, surpassing Japan.China’s emergence in the world’s economy has a lot to do with its status as the ‘world’s factory’. Since 2013, China is the largest export country in the world. Some argue that it is partly due to the undervalued Chinese currency. The Big Mac Index, a simplified and informal way to measure the purchasing power parity between different currencies, indicates that the Chinese currency yuan was roughly undervalued by 38 percent in 2024. GDP development Although the impressive economic development in China has led millions of people out of poverty, China is still not in the league of industrialized countries on the per capita basis. To name one example, the U.S. per capita economic output was more than six times as large as in China in 2024. Meanwhile, the Chinese society faces increased income disparities. The Gini coefficient of China, a widely used indicator of economic inequality, has been larger than 0.45 over the last decade, whereas 0.40 is the warning level for social unrest.

Dollar shocks and cross-border capital inflows: Effects of exchange rate regimes.

Dollar shocks and cross-border capital inflows: Baseline regression analysis.

Dollar shocks and cross-border capital inflows: Robustness test.

Panel quantile regressions: Dollar shocks and gross cross-border capital inflows.